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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Message Board

o08o.ugh64w 136 posts  |  Last Activity: 14 hours ago Member since: May 13, 2011
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  • Continue taking advantage of it - slowly accumulate.

    saketyme - as you said - Xmas in July!

  • Reply to

    Painting the tape at the close...nothing more

    by o08o.ugh64w Jun 21, 2014 6:00 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 21, 2014 5:57 PM Flag

    and when those 300,000 share blocks are being sold (there was another yesterday), who is on the other side buying? it has to be Ted - right?

    My next buy is at $1.45.

  • Reply to

    Anended poison pill ???

    by saketyme Jun 19, 2014 6:57 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 19, 2014 8:53 AM Flag

    yes, I was just reading through it - you beat me to it.

  • Reply to

    New business opening internationally

    by shrewd_curmudgeon Jun 12, 2014 3:20 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 12, 2014 5:26 PM Flag

    "They just announce confirmation of a first new order within China."

    Makes you wonder if there was any bribery involved? Hmmm?

    And please tell me how they will resolve the cash situation? Do you not agree that they are running extremely low on cash and will require an infusion by some means soon?

  • Reply to

    Anended poison pill ???

    by saketyme Jun 19, 2014 6:57 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 19, 2014 11:42 AM Flag

    where is the volume coming from?

    it's going to trade another 400,000+ shares today.

  • Reply to

    Bring it on!

    by o08o.ugh64w Jun 16, 2014 1:51 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 16, 2014 9:12 PM Flag

    whatever took place, I think market maker knew what was happening and was manipulating the price the entire time. if you look on the NASDAQ site and the trades/timestamps you'll notice periodic 20,000+ share trades at $1.65. and then, in the last 10 minutes of the day, a single 100 share trade brings the price from $1.65 back to $1.83 and after that a few 100 share trades keeps the price up and brings the close to $1.80.

    15:53:05 ... $ 1.837 ... 100
    15:51:41 ... $ 1.65 ... 2,000
    15:51:41 ... $ 1.65 ... 5,300
    15:51:41 ... $ 1.65 ... 21,000
    15:51:38 ... $ 1.6498 ... 150

    I was slowly picking up shares each time they dropped the price today. I also have my bigger buys out there at $1.55 and $1.45 - so if others get scared and want to sell, go for it - I'm happy to take the shares at that price level.

    maybe you're right and someone who acquired a larger position during the runup in December decided to sell it all now for quarterly window dressing, as they need to report their holdings as of June 30 soon.

  • Reply to

    What to do now

    by friendofthetrend Jul 15, 2014 6:30 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jul 15, 2014 6:42 PM Flag

    I think you may be going overboard with your assessment of the situation. But, it is true, we need to wait for more information.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Jun 11, 2014 4:57 PM Flag

    and well deserved!

    As folks are doing house cleaning of their portfolios, looking to sell the garbage and rotate into quality, ISNS certainly qualifies as stinky garbage.

    Shares could easily fall another 50% - because sales continue to decrease and losses continue to increase.

    Hey, where are they going to get new cash from? They will likely run out by Jan 1. They may be running on fumes right now.

    Ignore pumping Seeking Alpha authors.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Jun 16, 2014 1:51 PM Flag

    I'll take shares at last year's price at this time.

    I'm patient - will take them as cheaply as you want to give them...let's go for $1.55 and $1.45 like we had last summer!

  • Reply to

    What to do now

    by friendofthetrend Jul 15, 2014 6:30 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jul 15, 2014 6:47 PM Flag

    "...primarily due to the time necessary to complete the review of certain complex, multi-element contracts. The company may have a material weakness in its internal controls over financial reporting related to certain of these multi-element contracts..."

    It is focused on these specific contracts. It doesn't sound like there are lots of them, just that there is some aspect of some of them that makes the accounting more involved.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w May 28, 2014 12:39 PM Flag

    You shouldn't use corporate money or the corporate name in the press to make a personal statement.

    The press release, your statement, and the decision to spend more advertising on ESPN is no different than what loudmouth Nick Caporella does over at FIZZ.

    You're more than welcome to your own opinions - there's absolutely no reason to tie PRPH to them. If ESPN provides better advertising rates, better frequency, and translates into better sales then wonderful - spend more advertising with them. No need for the press release or getting involved with this.

  • Reply to

    Hope you liked today's action

    by mnamhie May 23, 2014 8:44 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w May 23, 2014 8:54 PM Flag

    end of the year shares will be making new 52 week highs

    the next couple earnings reports will show continued improvement and turn back to profitability.

    you don't buy when everyone else is - you buy after they've all raced for the exits and tossed their shares at rock bottom prices - just like in the movie Trading Places.

    with volume back down to historical levels, now is the time to buy - by the time the masses come back again, we'll be sitting pretty.

  • Reply to

    Another stinker

    by ghetto_trash May 1, 2014 4:46 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w May 2, 2014 11:40 AM Flag

    and closing/leaving Poland and taking charges.

    it gets worse before it can possibly get better.

    very, very bad.

  • Reply to

    New business opening internationally

    by shrewd_curmudgeon Jun 12, 2014 3:20 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 12, 2014 5:24 PM Flag

    new "52 week" lows

    I thought it was kind of obvious

  • This is big...just a foot in the door of many more like it.

  • Reply to

    Anended poison pill ???

    by saketyme Jun 19, 2014 6:57 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jun 19, 2014 12:56 PM Flag

    maybe this is the last of it?

    $1.55 ... 331,126 ... NDD ... 12:38:14

  • o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jul 18, 2014 10:09 AM Flag

    "Sidoti seems to be giving us a warning about possible lower prices. Others here may disagree and dislike the fact that I'm mentioning it but just by reviewing their web site, they seem to be under no pressure to do anything but provide research. "

    What happened is perfectly clear. Sidoti did nothing but read the headline and shoot from the hip, plain and simple. If you give credence to that type of "coverage", then more power to you. What I've learned is that it's the kind of stuff that shock journalism is made of. I think back to when another big firm put a similar type of rating on Royal Caribbean Cruise Lines when it was trading at $5 not so many years ago. The company and stock price performance since that day speaks for itself.

    So, if you look to such dramatization from the only firm providing coverage, that they provided absolutely no details of specifics why they issued their downgrade and price target before having any details from the company, then again, soak it all in.

    You will see Sidoti move back to a buy rating with the prior $2 price target they had when the company finalizes and submits the filings - with absolutely no material changes having taken place during the period. I will bank on it.

  • Assuming we go by the bank's non-GAAP numbers and take EPS at 35 cents, annualize it, and we have $1.40/share. That gives a PE of 17 today - which is too high for a bank at this time. Similar bank PEs at this time are in the 12 to 15 range. There are bargains out there trading closer tangible book value (BDGE is below $14) , with PE close to 10, and offering similar to slightly higher dividends.

    Bottom line, BDGE is still overpriced garbage and should be trading no higher than $20.00 - giving PE at 14.3

    The growth is not sufficient to justify the premium...overpriced.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w May 1, 2014 10:43 AM Flag

    Very upbeat and optimistic with outlook.

    Key point, even with weak government business, they are still doing ok and continuing to diversify. Government orders are coming in, but they are dragging out the final approvals/signoffs.

    I want to buy more shares lower, but questionable how low shares will go now with buyback in place.

  • I've taken the time to go through the 10Q.

    1. As I mentioned in my previous post, there was a breach of the $12M tangible net worth requirement. Lender has amended the agreement lowering to $10.25M

    2. Company is confident they have sufficient cash/resources for the remainder of the year.

    3. Sales for the quarter were the highest in quite a while

    4. The only reason for the $1M loss was in income taxes due to biting the bullet now on their deferred tax valuation allowance. Operating loss of only $217k was the best in over a year - last better was Sept 2012 quarter just after company began posting losses.

    5. If you look at the balance sheet, there is clearly a buildup of inventory taking place. I believe this goes in hand with the jump in sales we see this quarter...they are planning for higher sales going forward. Inventory has been pretty tightly managed over the past year, so the buildup is noteworthy and indicative that there are higher sales coming.

    6. Assuming somewhat higher sales, better control on the cost of production for SQL, and normal tax rates, the company will show operating profit within the next one to two quarters, and bottom line profitability during 2014.

    I am now beginning to load up.

    I suspect that there may be insider purchases coming very soon...this will simply confirm that there is a light at the end of the tunnel.

    Regardless how incompetent Feltl is, they should be putting together a research report on ELMD now to review the quarter and justify their $2.75 price target.

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