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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. Message Board

o08o.ugh64w 454 posts  |  Last Activity: 41 minutes ago Member since: May 13, 2011
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  • Shares are ripe to head for $30 - way, way undervalued at/under $22.

    Now, if the fool who's been sitting on the ask at $22 with 4000+ shares for the past month would get out of the way, shares could go higher.

    The longer we stay at/under $22, the higher the probability of a buyout offer.

    Management - it's time for a dividend increase - throw us a bone and at least go to 20 cents/share/quarter. Earnings can obviously support it.

  • Reply to

    uco

    by who_gnu_1235 1 hour 55 minutes ago
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 1 hour 48 minutes ago Flag

    Take what Boone says with a grain of salt - half the time is propaganda in support of what he owns.

    My view has still not changed - not buying anything oil related until July.

  • Reply to

    Fear running through small caps

    by o08o.ugh64w 3 hours ago
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 2 hours 44 minutes ago Flag

    bid/ask on SAL is all over the place - now at 26.95 x 28.50

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w 3 hours ago Flag

    technicals beginning to turn positive

    earnings in two weeks - I may sell some if there's a runup leading in to the announcement...usually a selloff after Q4 is announced.

  • Folks are selling and running for the exits on any whiff of non-positive news.

    Many bargains emerging - they just do not want to hold.

    I'm also seeing volatility in a number of my usual holdings - selling and snapping them back up same day. They shouldn't be moving, but they do, then fall back. Take SAL for instance - repurchased a few days ago just below $27, popped over $28 today, sold, just repurchased below $27 again. Not sure if pumpers are trying to do things with low volume names - but I'm going with it.

    EEI - was purchasing below $9 when shares sold off in November/December - popped over $10 two weeks ago for just one day and I sold, started buying back below $10 and there is a dividend coming already announced.

    Ridiculous market overall.

  • Reply to

    JSDA

    by who_gnu_1235 Dec 26, 2014 3:58 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 3 hours ago Flag

    I saw big volume sitting on bid at .31 so I put my bid in at .3101 and someone gave me a partial fill this morning.

  • Reply to

    JVA

    by who_gnu_1235 5 hours ago
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 3 hours ago Flag

    I was in JVA before earnings, sold on pop after.

    I like shares in the $4s better.

  • Reply to

    Why Hasn't The Stock Moved? I Am Confused.

    by timing10987654321 Jan 21, 2015 12:10 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 7 hours ago Flag

    Yes, I agree - some of the new board members should be buying at some point.

    I'm not sure if Wise could buy more as I believe there may be a 20% restriction.

    I'm willing to give them some time - I'm sure they have many business/organizational things to be attending to at this time. Certainly Wise is actioning what he outlined in his 90 day plan.

  • Reply to

    LF

    by o08o.ugh64w Jan 22, 2015 9:04 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 9 hours ago Flag

    yes - they are definitely in big trouble...likely the beginning of the end for them. however, along the way, if you can figure the trading range, there may be some opportunity for short-term trading to scalp some money here and there.

    their cash is still reasonable - they indicated $94 million at quarter end, though they will be dipping in to it to fund next few slow quarters.

  • Reply to

    Now is the time to buy

    by o08o.ugh64w Jan 25, 2015 8:17 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w 12 hours ago Flag

    Yes, I was optimistic on NAUH. I did make money as well...mostly on end of year weakness and recent bounce. I am out now and will not repurchase - I think the entire sector is in jeopardy going forward. The latest earnings report was not impressive - I don't think people are understanding lower quality of earnings.

    Your concerns about the company were correct.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Jan 25, 2015 8:17 AM Flag

    Whether or not the shares have reached the bottom makes no difference at this point - they are undervalued. Why? Look at 2013 performance vs. 2014. 2013 was much worse and shares at this time last year were higher than where they are now.

    Significant sales growth is taking place. Q3 had a bottom line loss only as a result of income taxes. Go read the income statement in the 10Q comparing 2014 with 2013. It's right there.

    I look for momentum to continue in 2015 and come this time next year, the shares will be higher, and continue higher - not falling off as they have.

    Anyhow, the dividend is secure and very good considering the continued low rate environment. Take advantage of it, and simply be patient.

  • o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jan 24, 2015 9:34 PM Flag

    That is incorrect, as of Sept. 23 Riley still owned 1.854 million shares down from 2.145 million in June.

    Please show/prove otherwise.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Jan 24, 2015 12:20 AM Flag

    December quarter lowered to 2 cents
    March quarter lowered to 4 cents
    Full year 2014 at 12 cents, however quarterlies only add to 10 cents.

    Full year 2015 lowered from 25 cents to 19 cents - which I'm guessing will be too high and likely to be reduced over time.

  • Reply to

    FXCM?

    by who_gnu_1235 Jan 20, 2015 2:01 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jan 23, 2015 10:45 PM Flag

    on Seeking Alpha this evening:

    FXCM: This Equity Is Nearly Worthless
    Disclosure: The author is short FXCM. (More...)

    Summary
    •FXCM shares have rallied to a valuation far beyond what is justified based on its prior earnings power.

    •Its forward value will be harmed by more regulation and reputational damage.

    •Shares should trade for less than $1/share.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Jan 23, 2015 7:43 PM Flag

    I'm beginning to investigate.

    Decent insider purchasing, shares near lows, company granted approval for fund to acquire up to 45% of outstanding shares - it looks like they are keeping a floor at $3.60.

    They also just did a 1 for 100 reverse split plus a 100 for 1 forward split to knock out all the small shareholders with less than 100 shares.

    I may just buy a little next week to get in if I can below $3.70.

  • Reply to

    Why Hasn't The Stock Moved? I Am Confused.

    by timing10987654321 Jan 21, 2015 12:10 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jan 23, 2015 6:31 PM Flag

    the point regarding tax loss selling is simply that during December when the tax selling was taking place, it was putting additional downward pressure on the shares. whether the shares are repurchased is of no importance.

    there will be some churn in the shares for a few weeks - some people who were buying at the December lows will take quick profits, other longer term holders will sell as they see they've recouped a bit. after the churn is over, then shares will be able to more easily move higher.

  • Reply to

    FXCM?

    by who_gnu_1235 Jan 20, 2015 2:01 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jan 23, 2015 2:54 PM Flag

    now crumbling

  • Reply to

    H may be buying

    by o08o.ugh64w Jan 22, 2015 3:18 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jan 23, 2015 1:51 PM Flag

    remaining 23,300 shares of second 25k block at $4.50 just taken in one purchase.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Jan 22, 2015 9:04 PM Flag

    big dump coming tomorrow - shares will be trashed...you may be able to get a bounce at some point.

  • Reply to

    Follow the Numbers

    by nuttierthansquirrellshiat Jan 22, 2015 12:37 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Jan 22, 2015 5:23 PM Flag

    "however, cue bought in below market. kind of a scam on shareholders if you ask me"

    how is exercising your stock options anything like a scam? if anything, she wasted much of the benefit of the options since at the time she exercised, the share price in the market was only slightly above the exercise price. additionally, when she exercised the options at 29 cents, she also had to pay taxes on the difference between the market price at the time and the 29 cents - so more money out of her pocket. she chose to exercise instead of doing a market purchase for a couple reasons:

    1. she would not be able to buy 2 million shares in the open market without significantly moving the price

    2. exercising the options provided the means to give the company a cash injection - likely sufficient enough to get it back to the point of breakeven/profitability.

    think about it you fool - if instead of exercising the 2 million shares at 29 cents, couldn't she have gotten the same publicity and being all in buying 1 million shares in the open market at 31 cents, or whatever the price was at the time and spending less money? she did shareholders a favor by exercising the options - you are just too focused on trying to put a negative spin on absolutely everything, and you are very wrong in this case.

    she could have just as easily exercised the options previously at 29 cents and turned around and sold into the market at 60 to 90 cents when the shares were trading there, but she didn't. why don't you open your eyes and understand what she did was for the ultimate benefit of the company and all shareholders?

CBRL
136.67+2.21(+1.64%)Jan 26 3:59 PMEST

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