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Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. Message Board

o08o.ugh64w 300 posts  |  Last Activity: 7 hours ago Member since: May 13, 2011
  • Reply to

    News department is nonexistent for this company

    by djhmk4 Nov 4, 2014 9:38 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 4, 2014 2:01 PM Flag

    if you go to the nasdaq site and look at the trades, you see that after every buy market maker sells 100 shares at the bid. if there's no activity for a while, he sells 100 shares at the bid.

    if he scares someone into selling along the way, he loves it.

    very obvious.

  • Reply to

    News department is nonexistent for this company

    by djhmk4 Nov 4, 2014 9:38 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 4, 2014 1:16 PM Flag

    market maker strategically pushing shares lower and scaring longer-term folks into selling.

    that can only last so long.

    there is a dividend announcement/payment coming up soon, and that will generally pull the shares higher leading up to it.

    I'm buying more on the way down as they are offered to me.

  • Reply to

    Acquisition door left open

    by o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 8:45 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 3:46 PM Flag

    I don't know why DRAD did what they did. I agree that it appears very odd. However, I know how Jeff Eberwein operates and what has taken place is certainly not the end as far as DRAD goes.

    As far as NL - I don't think she's as concerned about her shares at this point as her job + undeserved high salary + perks.

  • Reply to

    Acquisition door left open

    by o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 8:45 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 1:48 PM Flag

    I don't believe DRAD had intent to take on much debt if any to do the acquisition. I think their plan may have been to use a little bit of DRAD cash, the PDI cash, and issue DRAD shares. The fact that PDI has done its acquisition and taken on its own debt may change the situation a little. But, if DRAD is interested, they will move forward. I don't think PDI's acquisition of RedPath should change anything. But it highlights why DRAD had indicated in its letter not to do any acquisition or take on debt. However, obviously the RedPath acquisition was already set at the time...I believe that DRAD was likely aware of the fact. Certainly PDI could not have possibly thrown together the acquisition, funding, and everything else just in a couple days at the end of last week.

    Dilution is relative - if you are acquiring assets that are worth more than the value of the shares you are issuing, or believe that the assets being acquired can be worth more than the value of the shares, then it makes sense.

    As I mentioned earlier - I think this is only the beginning of this dance.

  • Reply to

    The problem

    by sonomaca Nov 3, 2014 10:54 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 11:39 AM Flag

    Out of everything discussed today, Is that what you believe is the problem? There are so many things wrong with your statement I'm not going to waste my time pointing them out.

  • I think CEO stated the company position well - make a firm offer and we'll consider it.

    Seems reasonable.

    My guess is that DRAD will come back with a firm offer, subject to normal due diligence/contingencies.

    Should be interesting as I believe this is just the beginning.

  • Reply to

    seeing if I can post

    by o08o.ugh64w Oct 31, 2014 12:29 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 8:35 AM Flag

    analyst asked the question, obviously feeling awkward and CEO stated company's position while leaving the door open for DRAD to make a firm offer.

  • Reply to

    moving the quarterly report up to monday....

    by blu10duck Nov 2, 2014 10:22 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 8:28 AM Flag

    details of the terms are in the announcement and is now being discussed on the call

  • Reply to

    seeing if I can post

    by o08o.ugh64w Oct 31, 2014 12:29 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 8:08 AM Flag

    fully anticipated...DRAD obviously was well aware that the acquisition was going to be announced - gamesmanship.

  • Reply to

    moving the quarterly report up to monday....

    by blu10duck Nov 2, 2014 10:22 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 3, 2014 8:07 AM Flag

    agreed - I'm waiting for Q&A

  • Reply to

    Nice move today before earnings Fri

    by thundersnow4me Oct 28, 2014 1:31 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Nov 1, 2014 7:54 AM Flag

    thunder, if you like the dividend then have a look at CCUR.

  • Reply to

    I can only think

    by sonomaca Oct 31, 2014 9:19 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Oct 31, 2014 4:54 PM Flag

    Did you read the letters, or are you simply speaking off the top of your head?

    "The PDI Board has also refused to return my calls to discuss our proposal."

  • Reply to

    I can only think

    by sonomaca Oct 31, 2014 9:19 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Oct 31, 2014 2:47 PM Flag

    Read the letters between the companies - it's all very clear.

    Understanding how Eberwein operates and the content of his letter this morning, you can be assured that DRAD is coming for PDII. Now, the only question left is will the PDII board simply sit down and engage with DRAD to hear what they will offer and make the best deal for PDII shareholders, or will this become a messy fight where PDII will cover their ears and not even listen?

    Eberwein is very pro-shareholder, always does right by them, and creates value. PDII management and the BOD should start packing, because they are likely all history - just a matter of if they do right by shareholders, make the best deal and go quietly, of if they act like little children and go kicking and screaming.

  • o08o.ugh64w by o08o.ugh64w Oct 31, 2014 12:29 PM Flag

    Check out PDII - DRAD/Eberwein is going after them. Financials stink but it is currently well below cash value, below book value. Director who was on both boards resigned from PDII board on Wednesday and DRAD sends letter to PDII after close the same day. Go read the news. I nibbled a little PDII and will buy more if it goes down further. Downside seems limited with a DRAD offer saying they'd pay a premium to market price two days ago.

    PDII moved earnings announcement/call from Tuesday to Monday morning - should be interesting.

  • Reply to

    I can only think

    by sonomaca Oct 31, 2014 9:19 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Oct 31, 2014 11:19 AM Flag

    they cannot judge the offer to be inadequate and be holding out for a better one because nothing has been discussed regarding price. the point DRAD is making is that PDII simply gave a knee-jerk response that it's not for sale without even having a meeting to hear what DRAD's offer would be.

  • Wildly moving the bid/ask around with no trades taking place. Buy or sell a miniscule 100 shares and the bid/ask may move up or down by 10 or 15 cents.

    Since the bottom did not fall out, I have to believe that most people who wanted out, got out over the past few weeks. Aside from that, I thought the conference call was very good - Mike explained everything very clearly and commercial sales and new products are certainly beginning to have an impact. Obviously it's a slow process to develop new products, field test with customers, and then get orders. However, from the sounds of it, all the products are premium top of the line and excellent quality. Hopefully that's going to translate into a nice recurring order stream from clients once they are able to use the products and feel confident to rely on them. I also liked hearing that the batteries for the healthcare market are beginning to gain market acceptance. I truly believe this could be a huge segment and the icing on the cake would be if they could somehow become the OEM for some of the manufacturers. Lastly, it was also good to hear that there are international customers purchasing.

    Anyhow, looking forward you have to have good feeling about the future, even if the past few quarters were somewhat disappointing. The company appears to be doing all the right things, and it's just a matter of time to see the sales pick up. I think that we're approaching the point in time when government/communication systems orders will be viewed as icing on the cake as opposed to being something the company relies on to make their numbers.

    So goes another quarter.

  • Reply to

    Should be an interesting call

    by o08o.ugh64w Oct 30, 2014 7:54 AM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Oct 30, 2014 9:22 AM Flag

    can't disagree with you on any of that.

  • Reply to

    PDII acquisition?

    by stokluver Oct 29, 2014 11:21 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Oct 30, 2014 8:56 AM Flag

    See news this morning - PDII has already responded saying they are not for sale...their overpaid management obviously looking to preserve their paychecks/packages.

  • Reply to

    PDII acquisition?

    by stokluver Oct 29, 2014 11:21 PM
    o08o.ugh64w o08o.ugh64w Oct 30, 2014 8:34 AM Flag

    This has Eberwein written all over it - he is simply using DRAD as the vehicle to accomplish it instead of doing it on his own.

    PDII is in a similar position as DRAD was two years ago. In going after PDII, Eberwein is simply looking to do the same thing - acquire the revenues, and cut the costs to increase margins. I think the first thing to go in a PDII acquisition/merger would be their overpaid management. Based on most recent financials, PDII is trading below cash value, however, as you rightly point out, they are bleeding money. The only way it could be pulled off is if PDII management were given golden parachutes to leave, otherwise any advances by DRAD will likely be rejected (which DRAD shareholders should be happy about).

    I think a combination of cash/stock will be extremely dilutive to DRAD shareholders - drawing down cash, issuing shares (at what will likely be lower than what DRAD shares are trading for today), and then having to pay dividends on those new shares. PDII shares are trading ridiculously higher in pre-market (though only a miniscule number of shares), and DRAD investors likely would not be happy with an acquisition of that size at this time.

    Eberwein should just go after PDII on his own using his fund's investment dollars and not those of DRAD shareholders.

  • Clearly the market was anticipating a disappointing quarter. Obviously the results were attributable to lower communication systems sales and government purchases.

    If there's anything positive, it's the increase in commercial sales and continued good cost controls.

    End of government fiscal year is this week, so hopefully some end of year purchasing will help in Q4.

    I think there will be good buying opportunity for the shares the remainder of the year. Question becomes how hard will be investors be selling off with year end tax selling, and how aggressive will company be repurchasing shares?

    Now would be a good time for Mike and Phil to step up with their own significant share purchases.

    I'm cancelling my GTC buy orders right now and moving them lower.

PACB
6.76-0.30(-4.25%)Nov 28 1:00 PMEST

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