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Highpower International, Inc. Message Board

o_xia 10 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 7, 2014 3:30 AM Member since: Dec 21, 2008
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  • It said very clearly the release date is Nov 6 after the market close but it didn't happen yet as of now. It may not have legal consequence, but I don't like this. A promise is a promise, especially about earnings release- I never take the ER release date lightly.

  • The ER should come out quickly as they should have been done by now but just need to be reviewed by auditor-the interim periods financials are not audited which take more time than a review. So there is really no reason they would not come out by end of November.

    If the earnings are indeed strong enough to justify the share dilution due to acquisitions, and show NQ core business strong, buyers for sure will come back and push stock price to a much higher range, breaking $10 for sure.

    Right now we have to face volatility at $6.80 and $7.5 range, given lots of open shorts interest. The stock now is on downward trend and great for day traders. Day traders may be caught up certain events but can cut their loss quickly. For buy and hold investors, this coming month is going to be a very tough period. But I strong believe if you are mentally tough enough to just hold and wait it out, you will reap big rewards, very very big rewards.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Recent price moves are all speculations and manipulations. Just keep in mind no fraud found by DT. NQ does have material weakness in internal control but by all means the company should do much better going forward.

    Hold NQ strong.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    HPJ earnings scenario

    by o_xia Oct 13, 2014 1:05 PM
    o_xia o_xia Oct 13, 2014 4:49 PM Flag

    You have way underestimated the downside of HPJ from here. Keep in mind it was at $1-$2 range at the beginning of this year and now it is still up more than 400%. Expectations built into this stock were ultra high and when it comes to earnings, the pressure is huge.

    Let us wait and see.

  • Based on its past two years record, I think HPJ should slight beat or be at top of its Q3 guidance-I would give it a 75% probability-if this happens, the stock may still slide to $5.5 range and may slide further if Q4 guiance is not bullish.

    I would be very surprised of a miss and it would be a disaster to the stock price.

  • Reply to

    a signal

    by fdkp5354 Oct 10, 2014 1:06 PM
    o_xia o_xia Oct 10, 2014 2:13 PM Flag

    HPJ needs to beat Q3 guidance or significantly lifts its Q4 and whole year 2014 guidance to stay above $5.5. If its Q3 results and Q4 guidance are still in line with the guidance provided at Q2 earnings conf call, the stock will easily have a 30%-40% cut.

    The worst case scenario is it misses its revenue guidance, that for sure will make the stock price collapse, more than 60%, not surprising, but I don't think it is likely.

  • o_xia o_xia Oct 7, 2014 8:42 PM Flag

    I would consider any price above $5.50 in bullish zone. In case it goes down lower, we would need to be really careful.

  • It is just a matter of time. Right now the stock is overwhelmed by shorts. Keep in mind that a year from MW allegations, no fraud had been identified by external auditors. When you invest in such a company, it is all about looking into these hard facts and turning away from those noises. It is all about a mind game.

    When NQ are eventually done with auditors, even with a qualified opinion but no fraud, it will go up to $15 level.

    All you need to do in longing NQ is wait, with patience.

  • o_xia o_xia Sep 5, 2014 11:04 AM Flag

    No non-sense but you need to keep its gross margin and roi in mind.

  • I think HPJ is doing great. Its management team is very stable and has been executing very well. No surprise that its stock price is climbing back to 1 year high level. The company's Li-ion battery business is taking off and its overall business has a very bright future.

    However one definitely needs to be cautious chasing stock price spike with "exciting" news coming out: keep in mind that these are times that could hurt you most. One needs to look into its low gross margin and ROI, and even more important, its very high debt ratio. It needs to roll over its debt soon and keep in mind that debt market in China right now is not a pretty picture at all. HPJ may have to have another secondary offering before the year end and it certainly won't help its stock price in a short run.

    Regardless, it is a great long term buy, even at the current price level.

HPJ
5.50-0.14(-2.48%)Nov 28 1:00 PMEST

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