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Zynga, Inc. Message Board

odonnellm66 432 posts  |  Last Activity: 21 minutes ago Member since: Jan 17, 2012
  • What precisely are we going to do about it? Will we bomb Moscow? I rather think not. Putin is wearing britches quite a bit bigger than Saddam Hussein or Momar Ghadaffi, both two bit dictators. Putin is not easily intimidated by our naval ships in his Black Sea. Sure, we'll crank further on the economic sanctions, seize a few bank accounts in London and New York, and arm the Ukrainian resistance. Remember, the Russian population at large has a huge historical capacity for pain and suffering, unheard of in the common ghettos of Philadelphia, Newark, or Oakland among the welfare recipients, where there would (will) be riots and looting when faced with a serious economic decline. In the event Russia experiences a bit of social unrest at home, Putin stamps it out immediately with bullets--shoot to kill. Then he just plays the waiting game until Germany is cold and on its knees. We are in no position to answer Putin militarily. To do so opens World War III with no winners. It's a zero sum game.

    Summary: Putin is in the driver's seat. He is a much better chess player than Obama. I predict he takes control of the Ukraine. It is best done before winter settles in.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 5:40 PM Flag

    There are no even prime numbers with the sole exception of 2. I was only referring to 89. That's prime enough for me.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Here's what this story is really about. Of course it's about money, but more specifically, it is about natural gas pipelines, and the Ukraine's critical geographic position. Putin wants to become Europe's primary source of energy, and that has the United States in a tizzy for several reasons. First of all, Putin will sell that gas in any currency he desires, circumventing the sanctity of the petro dollar which is a long term disaster for our currency, because petro dollars artificially prop up the value of the U.S. dollar. Once a major power like Russia does this, other nations will soon follow. Secondly, the United States currently has seven liquefied natural gas terminals under construction (more are on the drawing board) on our own shores, and we want to supply the natural gas to Europe. We don't want Russia to be the major player in that market for obvious reasons. The smart people in Washington D.C.already grasp that our huge trade deficit is not sustainable, and the export of natural gas would do much to appease those horrible numbers. You can't discuss the Ukraine without talking about energy. Putin needs direct control of the Ukraine, and I think he will take whatever steps are necessary.

    Summary: Major wars are started over these kinds of disagreements. Let's hope not. There is much at stake. Putin has a much stronger historical claim to the Ukraine than we do. We only want the Ukraine in NATO so we can control their political process and prevent Russia from moving energy through that country. I say Putin holds the upper hand in this conflict. That's why we should be very careful about pushing him against the wall with ever stricter economic sanctions.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 4:29 PM Flag

    The actual culprit was Merrill Lynch. It was a shotgun marriage.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Dear ZNGA Board,
    I wanted to take this moment to thank you folks for the salary raise to $1.3 million per week. Someone around this joint needs to make some serious money, and it sure as hell isn't the shareholders. True, I haven't yet managed to join the Billionaire Boys Club, and Jack Dorsey had the audacity to point out that somber fact the other day on the Silicon Valley cocktail circuit. I simply replied that Mark Pinus had his membership revoked as well in light of this ongoing ZNGA death spiral. I just wished I had been around to cash in on the fraudulent secondary offering. Mark scored a cool $200 million on that deal when he dumped shares at $13-. I guess you could say that tribal membership has its privileges, and I remain a lowly Goye. By the way, thanks for inquiring on my wife. She's doing fine, but we are getting divorced. I blame it on all the stress of trying to resurrect a dead company. There were also some other extra-curricular San Francisco activities, but I don't want to go into the specifics beyond revealing that I discovered certain latent tendencies. Don't worry about the video conference call tomorrow. I just finished reading that blockbuster, How to Succeed with Garbled Language Impediments. I think you might want to focus on the fireworks show which comes at the end of my presentation. It occurs just as we cue up that Doors classic tune, Light My Fire. We have put considerable thought and shareholder money into this extravaganza. I remain your humble servant.
    Dr. Don

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Pinned at $3.00 until earnings on Aug 7

    by intelidog Jul 28, 2014 2:02 PM
    odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 3:26 PM Flag

    I did take your advice, and I got some sun and fresh air, but only after the market close. I even stopped beating the ex-wife for a few days. I'm still trying to to ween myself off of that bad habit of kicking this rabid bulldog. Thanks for all the moral counsel. A 7% loss isn't much for a week. Just take it in stride. I would be a bit more concerned about Friday's closing price.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Their long term record on this stock is a disaster. Read up on their ZNGA recommendations over the last years.. Just like me, they are nothing more than a common hack.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Then Hal (computerized trading) kicks in for the last 20 to 30 minutes. We had a Federal Reserve pump this morning, same thing yesterday, and now it will succumb. Here is an astonishing and little known fact. The market, measured as a whole, is much more powerful than even the Federal Reserve. The Fed merely attempts to prod in the desired direction. If you quantify the power of you, me, the major players, and everyone else (including the rest of the world) in this casino, the sum total effect is greater than Janet Yellen and her minions. So what does the government do when we see panic selling by the masses, and we witness a genuine liquidity crisis? They will likely shut the market down for a cooling off period, and that might just create more panic when the street reopens. Watch and see if they outlaw the private ownership of gold as well. There is already precedent for that act of desperation. Are these the best of times or the worst of times?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 2:28 PM Flag

    You are mostly correct, but we are about to witness a huge confiscation of principal when stocks swoon. Buy and hold is now a strategy which leads to the poor house. Clearly, I expect some cataclysmic event way beyond the pale of a normal 10% correction. Economic historians will eventually lay the blame at the doorsteps of the Federal Reserve. That institution is primarily responsible for this castle of sand. In terms of actuaries, anyone over the age of 50 should now adopt an extremely defensive posture, unless you are comfortable with short positions, and your average investor is not. There won't be enough time to make the losses back. After the Crash of 1929, I believe it took until 1953 before you broke even. I actually wish I didn't feel all this gloom and doom, and certainly for the sake of my 20 year old son's generation. We are now contending with deep structural problems in our economy which have been 30 years in the making. There is no easy quick solution and that's all quantitative easing is, money printing plain and simple. We all like instant gratification but risk is now more leveraged and concentrated than it was in 2008, and that is particularly frightening. We have forestalled the actual pain only to make this final crash much worse. Now we face very difficult choices. The US dollar is the key theme.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Winner receives a lifetime supply of Candy Crush in either powder or pill form, a backstage meeting with Kim Khardashian at Motel 6, and a one way ticket on the last train to Farmville.

    Here's my guess: 89 million shares. I have a mild obsession with prime numbers.
    Should we also have stage 2 in our little competition where you must guess the price decline?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Go to your bank and see what a 5 year CD pays. Ditto the 10 year Treasury. We have penalized the traditional saver and rewarded rampant speculation. High yield (junk) bonds are in for an especially rude awakening.

    Summary: We are close to a key inflection point where cash, despite the paltry yields, will be king. Skilled investors should be shorting this market at will with margin leverage. Never forget JP Morgan's famous words. "It is not return on capital, but return of capital." How much capital have you lost on ZNGA?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • In the currency markets, that's a very big move, and it primarily explains the modest rally in gold and silver. In reality, neither the US dollar nor the Japanese yen are truly free floating currencies. The two central banks cooperate with each other and peg exchange rates. Japan wants to export their cars to us, and we don't want inflation. This explains why the dollar has not been able to break parity (1 cent equals 1 yen) with the yen for such a long time. The system works remarkably well so long as it is mutually beneficial. When it is no longer mutually beneficial, then we move in the direction of free price discovery, and all hell can and will break lose, and it does so with a speed that will shock all but a few. You might call it a crisis of confidence, and keep in mind that the US dollar is entirely faith based. All the above logic applies to the Chinese Yuan.

    Summary: You might argue that exchange rates have nothing to do with ZNGA, but that attitude is mistaken. The currency markets are the big story going forward until the end of the decade. I could explain what Putin will do to the petro dollar with his massive supplies of oil, natural gas, and strategic minerals, but that is for another chapter. Suffice to say, if we push too hard with economic sanctions, we just push the clock forward. Then the chances of a direct military confrontation only increase.

  • My read is that the newest in a string of CFO's was looking at some pretty nasty numbers. Revenue and active users--people who actually pay good money for this garbage-- are likely in a free fall. It became necessary to buy some time, hopefully to unload this company into the lap of the unsuspecting. ZNGA now requires a knight in shining armor. It is the only hope. I would remind you that some major acquisition deals (Time Warner to name just one) fell flat on their face this week. Sanity is slowly creeping into the markets, and if you think someone will pay a premium for the failed ZNGA business model, I can only say you are pushing on a string.

    Summary: ZNGA is about to release bad numbers in the midst of extreme market tension. There will be no patience for the mantra, "We are still turning this loser around." I expect the major averages to be under heavy selling pressure this Friday. ZNGA's timing couldn't be worse. "Fie, time is out of joint. Oh that I was ever born to set it right."

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It's been a very profitable ride for myself and my employer, Vulture Capital Management. We do practice the discipline of non-attachment, so mundane money is not our sole end. It is reassuring in this troubled world that occasionally good does triumph over evil, and ZNGA is the Antichrist. Even at the pathetic price of $2.82, the ZNGA death spiral is not yet complete, which you will soon discover. It must first break below the all time low of $2.09. I utilize something known as an ethics and integrity inversion layer in my charts. The methodolgy is a bit esoteric, or at least old fashioned and no longer in vogue (ethics are dead and a waste of time for most), but my Karma Yoga indicator points to further downside action. In the land of virtual corn, you shall reap that which you sow, and mass capitulation in ZNGA common is pending, and it won't be pretty. In summary, we invest based on the spiritual principles of Vivekenanda, and I'm reading a red curry sell signal right now on ZNGA and this entire market.

    Hare Krishna!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 11:24 AM Flag

    Here's the essential problem with pure technicians and their voodoo science. Two perfectly intelligent people can study the same chart and draw opposite conclusions. This is not to say that I ignore charts. It is one of a vast array of tools in my kit. Charts to not accurately take into account that critical factor---human emotion. We are now transitioning from unbridled greed to herd fear. The charts will bear that reality out, but only after the fact, and you will be much poorer by then.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 11:05 AM Flag

    I hate to be stochastic, but you are out of you mind. Now, let's hear about the Bollinger rubber bands. Toss in a few candlesticks, lit at both ends.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Speculate on their direct participation in the precious metals. Gold and silver eventually become direct competition for fiat paper, and this will not please the men at the helm of the printing presses. They must keep the prices of the metals suppressed, otherwise their house of cards, a ponzi scheme no different than Bernie Madoff's, falls apart. Price manipulation succeeds only over the short run. When the strategy fails because of overwhelming world demand, then we shall witness a huge move in the metals. Patience, but it is not that far away. Then see what your ZNGA paper is worth.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Aug 6, 2014 10:53 AM Flag

    Not by any means. Anyway, Obama is the best Republican we have had in years in terms of his pandering to Wall street. No, I am a fervent Libertarian. The Democrats and the Republicans are two sides to the same coin, completely beholden to the likes of Golden Sacks and Zionist economic theory. This ends in disaster.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This state of affairs is explained by a Federal Reserve which actively intervenes in the futures markets in a vain attempt to prevent further mass contagion. Please explain what these actions have to do with free market capitalism. Where in the Federal Reserve charter does it say their job is to backstop this casino known as Wall Street? We have arrived at the point where we have a centrally planned economy, not far from the model of the USSR, and we know how that turned out. If you want endless quantitative easing, you are looking at an eventual crash in the US dollar. Then the actual social fabric of our nation is tested, and social unrest is the net result.

    Summary: ZNGA came very close to testing the 52 week low of $2.72. That price will be broken shortly. Earnings now matter, not hype and momentum. Just take a look at GRPN. Big money will be made in FAZ, but make a very careful assessment of your appetite for risk. A more conservative approach is to just short the SPY, be patient, and you shall reap big rewards over the next 90 days. I would use leverage. ZNGA is dead dog meat.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • There was really only a single engine of growth in Europe. It wasn't France, Italy, Spain, Great Britain, or Portugal, all flailing in what should be labeled as more accurately a recession, or in the case of Spain, an actual depression. It has been the ever industrious Germans, aber jetzt, Arbeit mach frei nicht. Now the almighty Germans are falling, and falling fast. Europe, led by the Germans is currently blood red.

    Summary: With Europe in big trouble, we are looking at another down day on Wall Street. ZNGA's timing is horrible. They will be release a lack of earnings report just as the market unravels. Downside risk in ZNGA common remains substantial. By the way, sector weakness is strongest within the money center banks of Europe, and we are seeing that weakness in our own financials. Just take a look at a ten day chart of FAZ, not for the lighthearted, because it is high risk and high reward. Our system is more leveraged today than it was in 2008, and that ought to scare the living daylight out of you. ZNGA is high risk and more flogging to come.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

3.08+0.02(+0.65%)Aug 22 4:00 PMEDT

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