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odonnellm66 222 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 20, 2015 1:29 PM Member since: Jan 17, 2012
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  • The reasoning is quite simple: Triple Witching Friday on the 20'th. Short term, the options pit is the tail which wags the dog, and huge bets have been placed. In this context, free price discovery is but a pipe dream, as it doesn't really exist. You reply, "Then the markets are rigged over the short haul." Yes honey, they are. Welcome to the real world. The most pertinent strike price for ZNGA is clearly $2.50, and if we get a Friday close near that price, then we can all write about grand conspiracy theories. At a $2.50 Friday close, a large number of ZNGA options, both puts and calls, will expire worthless, and premiums go into the pocket of guess who? It all depends on how the options boys need to balance their books. Watch for a volatile Friday.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • There's all kinds of day to day volatility, one day up, the next down, which very much benefits our fourth branch of government, Goldman Sachs, but we are essentially going nowhere. Take a close look at a 90 day chart of DJIA or the SPY. Despite all the hoopla, we are basically in the same place where we closed the year of 2014. I don't like this kind of action. We are building toward some type of major crescendo, and it won't be pretty. I'm gong to watch for volume to begin drying up in the SPY, a big warning sign. There comes a day, and in this year, when heavy bouts of selling occur, and buyers do not magically reappear on the scene. The Federal Reserve can no longer save this market. The seeds of disaster have already been sown by that private Zionist controlled bank. Mierda like ZNGA will be vaporized.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Not you. Not me. However, an astute trader can begin to read the handwriting on the wall. I watch the price of oil very carefully. Observe the very strong roadkill bounce which began in late January in the largest oil ETF, symbol USO. As we now approach $40- oil, all those gains have now been given back, and the trend remains down, and down substantially. Before you celebrate cheap gasoline at the pump, first consider that those very same deflationary forces will exert themselves on our equity markets this year, and it will be a virtual bloodbath. You should also carefully monitor the high yield bond market, stable for the moment, but deflation devastates and lquidates junk debt, and in the perennial search for yield there is no proper risk perspective in this sector. 10% of the junk bond market consists of oil drillers, and there will be defaults which trigger a landslide in the high yield bond market as a whole. HYG, the largest junk bond ETF, merits close attention. In line with the deflationary thesis, homebuilders, KBH in particular (which post earnings this week) should be shorted.

    Summary: We have very heavy weather ahead. Don't concern yourself with precise timing. Short the proper sectors, and sit patiently. A very conservative position is to simply short the SPY. Stake your claims, turn the computer off, and perhaps make an extended cat house tour of Southeast Asian backwaters. In this environment, ZNGA and its asinine games are entirely irrelevant, but that outfit will also be severely punished, as there are zero earnings. Patience is the order of the day. Thus spoke Zngathustra.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • "The Truth Contest"
    Yes Brothers and Sisters in Canine, things don't look so good.
    Repent now for all former sins.
    God will forgive that you ever entered this temple of the fallen ones.
    But you must first liquidate all ZNGA shares at tomorrow's open.
    Lord have mercy on your heathen souls.
    You were looking for money in all the wrong places.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • KB Homes (KBH) will post earnings on March 20, and you can expect volatility. It is another garbage stock in my book, as are their homes. ZNGA is going nowhere in a hurry, just dead money for the moment, so for the traders who require action, you could short KBH, cover after earnings, and rotate back into a short of the dog until the ZNGA death spiral resumes, which will take this rubbish back below critical support at $2.50.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 16, 2015 12:12 PM Flag

    Who was pushing very hard in conjunction with the Washington Zionist Neocons (Pearle/Wolfowitz) for our disastrous invasion of Iraq? Of course, it was the fascist Likud Party. Netanyahu even had the audacity to state that the 9-11 bombing was a good thing, at least from the perspective of Tel Aviv. It is often forgotten that there is a moderate element in Israel, and they are a peace loving people. Netanyahu will shortly discover this when he is no more. His s a language of hate, and of course America does most all of his dirty work--our money, our money, and our military hardware.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This can be nothing but a positive development.
    A pox on the Likud Party.
    Maybe the United States won't any longer kiss their bootstraps.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Oil of late is again being hammered after a healthy roadkill bounce, and the oil futures look bad at this very moment. Oil weakness over time will directly transfer to junk bond weakness. These bonds of dubious quality are poised for nothing less than a severe correction, and quite possibly a crash when defaults begin to mount. In this coming environment, junk stocks like ZNGA with zero earnings are, well, nothing but junk. Toss good money here at your own peril, despite the so-called bargain pricing. There is very high risk with minimal potential reward. In terms of probability, it is a very poor bet.

    Summary: 30% downside risk remains in ZNGA common stock, and possibly more.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Please cue up now his most pertinent classic, "57 Channels (And Notin On)"
    The thing about the Ashbury Park Kid is that he was a bit premature in his prognostications.
    Hell, the last time I looked at a full Comcast package, it was approaching 1000 channels.
    And still damn near Notin on.
    The choices become quite baffling.
    Sifting through all the fluff for a good Golden State Warriors game.
    Unless, you have those important channels memorized.
    And I don't. I don't even own a television.
    Too many choices among a garbage heap is not necessarily a good thing.
    And there are only so many hours in a day or in a man's life.
    This is exactly the dilemma faced by ZNGA.
    Which must compete with its own ilk of rubbish.
    It grows by the hour and day.
    The barriers of entry to this market are quite modest in terms of capital required.
    One day Kim Khardashian, the next Paris Hilton.
    And 97% in freemium mode.
    Is it any great wonder that ZNGA will never earn a profit?
    And 2000 techies toiling away on the next drug of conformity.
    A major hit is coming any day now.
    How pathetic this world has become.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This is the major theme going forward, and the implications are no less than frightening. This subsidiary of Goldman Sachs, the Federal Reserve that is, should have modestly raised interest rates long ago. Instead, they encouraged massive speculation in junk stocks like ZNGA. Now the cabal finds itself between a rock and a hard place. They must make some token increase in the interest rates or lose all credibility. This further drives up the value of the U.S. dollar which is already curtailing our export sector. Our stock market will swoon even on a token rise in what is essentially a negative yield curve. Garbage like ZNGA with zero earnings and bloated overhead will be taken to the cleaners. Yes, this will be a very exciting year. ZNGA will be punished and this tech bubble implodes. The best conservative ideas are to short junk bonds (HYG) and the broad averages (SPY). Then just sit back patiently and wait for the carnage. No one can call the exact timing precisely, but a hard rain gonna fall. Short these sectors (homebuilders also), turn the computer off, and go on a long fishing trip to Alaska until next fall. You will be justly rewarded.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Zngathustra says it will be Uranus.
    And it will hurt so good at $1.99.
    Karma Yoga is by no means done with this rubbish stock.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 12, 2015 9:46 AM Flag

    Ich verbrachte einige Zeit in Deutschland auf der Universitat und ich kann die Sprache lesen. Ich kann auch "Nietzche" richtig buchstabieren. Yes, I am Supermensch. On this knowledge alone, dump all ZNGA shares immediately. You have until today's close. Thus sprach Zngathustra.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • "Gentiles, behold the vast expanse before you as we rest atop Mount Canine. This and all things so far as the eye can see shall be yours if you only bow down and worship my temple, The ZNGA Brain Trust. Ignore all the the dribble from my arch foe, Zngathustra. We shall hang the false prophet of gloom and doom on the cross at $3.00. You need only buy more ZNGA shares at tomorrow's open. Don't worry that the ZNGA Brain Trust will never post a profit. Ever."

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Why do you persist in thwarting my grand schemes for this hype stock? Get with the program now, and start dumping this garbage in droves, as you all behave like a flock of sheep. I'll warn you at this very moment, that should ZNGA reach the lofty heights of $2.70--yes, irrational wet dream exuberance--I'm might find it necessary to pick up the bottle again, and then you should be prepared for some genuine (and incessant) rants and raves on this message board. I may be shaking in my boots over this latest roadkill bounce, but here's the one major factor in my favor. Did you notice how today's lethargic rally in the DOW has already withered and died? We are once again in negative territory. This market is in big trouble and takes ZNGA right along for the ride straight to the underworld. Yes, the Hades. Enjoy this momentary erectile dysfunction, as it shall prove quite ephemeral. By the way, I have the power of the Holy Spirit on my side. Do you really wish to argue with God? Thus spoke Zngathustra.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • That's how obnoxious and inane this garbage really is.
    Insidious drugs of utter stupidity and conformity.
    And ZNGA, with 2000 techies, apparently can't replicate it.
    In terms of social trends, I wonder how these Zombies will react to the next stock market crash.
    The one which will make 2008 look like a relative picnic.
    Will they panic and get frightened?
    Demand order over liberty?
    Not an original thought among any of these sheep.
    Study carefully how Hitler came to power.
    All rooted in a severe economic crisis.
    Sieg Heil mein lieber Freund!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Here's the headline. You can read the article if you are curious enough.
    "Junk-Bond Protections Hit Lowest Quality On Record, Moody Says"
    Deflation will devastate the junk bond market, and in the insane drive for yield, there is no proper risk assessment in the blind purchase of this paper. Watch when outright defaults begin to creep up. It is worth noting that 10% of the junk bond market is made up of minor oil drillers, the same folks now struggling in North Dakota and elsewhere.

    Summary: Short junk bond ETF's at will. It is an excellent long term and very conservative play. Deflation will ravage the likes of HYG.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 10, 2015 3:36 PM Flag

    You are quite correct today and for last week, and from a pure technical perspective, this is excellent price action. I will however point out that ZNGA volume is in sharp decline, and if there is one indicator I'm quite obsessive about, it is volume.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Yes, it's a very ugly word: DEFLATION
    And China hasn't even imploded, not yet.
    Watch when deflation rears its head in the major stock averages.
    A modest 7000 points of downside DOW risk.
    "Never happen, " you say.
    "The Federal Reserve has infinite power to print."
    How mistaken you are.
    Major crashes take on lives of their own.
    And the next crash is actually Fed instigated.
    They encouraged massive speculation for five years in rubbish like ZNGA.
    With no regard for risk or fundamental value.
    And we will also see $35- oil, or even lower.
    Copper in a tailspin.
    Renewed declines in real estate, especially nose bleed markets like San Francisco.
    The most difficult part of this equation is the precise timing.
    I'm studying sun spots at the moment.
    Watch for severe radio interference soon.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • However, a dark cynic like myself would note that this outfit has never once posted a profit since the sham IPO.

    Summary: History does not necessarily repeat itself, but it does rhyme.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • That's a day in and day out loss of $500,000 per day, and I'm including Saturdays and Sundays. I worship the truth of mathematics, truth being a thing of enormous beauty, so let us put this in an hourly perspective. ZNGA loses $20,833 per hour each day. It loses money while you are in bed getting the much needed beauty rest. ZNGA is losing money today, it lost money yesterday, and it will lose more money tomorrow. None of the delusional longs want to ask this very hard question. Is this failed business model long term sustainable? I just love ZNGA's motto-- "Free Drugs of Conformity for the Masses (Zombies)" -- but I don't want to toss good money at this garbage stock. Nothing changes until ZNGA gets it bloated overhead under control, and that of course means axing 500 to 700 of the highly compensated techies and slashing your $50 Million Dollar Man's (Dr.Don and His Medicine Show) patently obscene employment package. You reply, "Old dogs don't just die." I answer, "No, they just fade away."

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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