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odonnellm66 273 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 20, 2015 1:29 PM Member since: Jan 17, 2012
  • If you answer that question, then you know why the Federal Reserve couldn't even manage a token gesture of a 0.25% interest rate increase, and we haven't even addressed the subject of complex derivitive contracts.

    Summary: We are set up for the mother of all stock market crashes. Leverage is a sword which cuts in many directions.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The deflation thesis remains fully intact, and we already had one oil driller go belly up yesterday, and problems in the junk bond market (defaults) are a virtual certainty in my book. For the moment, the huge risks are being ignored, and there will be a domino effect. Hell no, I can't call the precise timing, but it occurs this calendar year. Meanwhile, complacency reigns supreme, all based on a few words from that fraudulent triad, the Federal Reserve. Deflation destroys junk bonds and junk stocks like ZNGA. Tread carefully in these waters. This is a day traders market. Traditional investors should exit, and perhaps dabble in physical gold and silver (both universally despised at the moment) as a prudent insurance policy in preparation for Armageddon.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    The Thursday ZNGA essay contest:

    by odonnellm66 Mar 19, 2015 9:05 AM
    odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 19, 2015 9:56 AM Flag

    I lived in Tsuen Wan, a district of Hong Kong in the New Territories, decades ago. It was about 100 yards from where the big ships loaded containers. It's quite a fascinating place if you can handle the population density. Excellent food everywhere, and the Chinese girls......Well. Those were my green salad days, and many great memories. You seem to have a deep interest in the Hang Seng Index, so you ought to spend time there. Once you grasp the culture, it will improve your trading of that market. Because of the Chinese propensity towards gambling, the Hang Seng is probably the most volatile market in the world, so unlike ZNGA, it's never a bore.

    And to my friend Arbuor below---Anger, resentment, and pet obsessions (I have my own) can eat a man alive. Good men also. It's very unhealthy, and this life is a very brief ride. Stop and smell the coffee. Add a shot of good Irish whiskey if necessary. A good roll in the sack is also highly recommended, even if a working girl.
    I'm praying for you.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Who is Stanley Fischer, his current position, and what country was he imported from? Also explain the imminent dangers of dual citizenship. Bonus points will be granted to anyone who reveals who really runs the Federal Reserve. How do the policies of Stanley Fischer help pump junk stocks like ZNGA? Proper subject verb agreement and paragraph construction are required. Winner receives 1.99 shares of ZNGA common stock, a most auspicious number. Now get to work.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Yawn..... Oh, about 60 minutes or so. Why do the fools consistently buy into this blatant push and shove? Remember, the charade doesn't succeed without the full cooperation of the message board sheep. This garbage stock breaks back below $2.50 next week after options expiration, and perhaps decisively so.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Shame on our so-called democracy. It's becoming a farce.
    Meanwhile, basic working people are being taken to the cleaners.
    I said working people, not the idlers on welfare.
    They are the true heart and soul of this nation.
    This is all done to make the wealthy even wealthier.
    The greatest wealth transfer--outright theft-- in the history of America.
    I say all of this though I am a product of the 1%'ers.
    Not my fault, just circumstances beyond my control.
    The entitled ones.
    It is not sustainable.
    Market crash still pends.
    Not if, but when.
    Likely a Black Swan catalyst.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 18, 2015 2:53 PM Flag

    It is most unfortunate that this scoundrel remains. He continues the tradition of Ariel Sharon, another thug. I guess enough of the Israelis bought into his paranoia, distortion of truth, and outright victimization. It is noteworthy that his true colors did come shining through in a desperate appeal to the far right. "There never will be an independent state of Palestine." Yes, he will continue the economic blockade of Gaza, the illegal settlement expansion, and the outright theft of water rights. This can only mean that there is much more killing to come. How sad and how pathetic. If it weren't for the likes of AIPAC (Congress runs scared of them), we would cut ourselves off from the fascist Likud Party. A pox on Netanyahu and all he represents. A pox on the Christian right and the Republicans who kiss the ring of the devil.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Delusional ZNGA Longs: Beware!

    by odonnellm66 Mar 18, 2015 1:09 PM
    odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 18, 2015 1:54 PM Flag

    Then let the numbers speak for themselves. It won't be a pretty sight.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Mike: You certainly have become the Leo Tolstoy of the ZNGA message board. Even though you are frequently off topic, we have grown to love your rants and raves out here in North Dakota. Hell yes, we went to the bank on your wisdom, and that's from when this rubbish was trading at $14.19. Have you ever considered to gather up those thousands of missives and publish them in a single volume? You could very well be the next Jesse Livermore. Yes, a New York Times bestseller in the genre of self-help. By the way, did you finally grant a personal audience to Mark Pincus? He probably wants to know if the ZNGA Brain Trust should simply be liquidated and shut down. What does he then do with Don Mattrick, the $50 million fall guy? It probably is the wisest course of action, but what should Mark's take be, and he already sucked $200 million from the sheep? He still owns the majority of the voting shares, an absolute travesty, and Mark is not exactly known for his generosity. Anyway Mike, keep posting. The whole idea is to confuse and obfuscate matters, and you are a master of this art form.
    One more thing. Remember that brief liasion with the 300 pound gal you met at the local Indian casino? Well, she's been looking for you around our offices. She's not exactly a happy camper. Look Mike, this is just one more reason for you to stay away from the bottle. Extend our greeting to China Girl.
    Yours,
    F. Scott O'Rothschild
    Vulture Capital Management

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Volume on this hype stock is again drying up. We've seen this pattern many times before. First volume declines on a price drift with a modest downward price bias. This generally persists for a number of days in absolute tedium. The volume decline is most always resolved when someone (a large player) pulls the trigger, tired of chasing a pipe dream, and suddenly we see 25 million shares change hands in a single session. Since ZNGA's liquidity is so poor, the shares can only be unloaded with a nasty price correction. Keep in mind that today's atrocious volume would be truly miserable if not for computer trade programs, which represent only artificial demand, and at least 40% of total shares bought and sold. Technical support is at $2.50, and we will again break this figure, but not until after options expiration. My guess is that we end up near that magic $2.50 strike price this Friday, just the way the options boys want it.

    I repeat myself, therefore I repeat myself. Volume precedes price with high mathematical probability.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 18, 2015 12:26 PM Flag

    At heart, I am a realist, and this market has been taken to extreme excess by policies of the Federal Reserve, and the feeding orgy ends in disaster. I wish none of what is coming for the sake of my 20 year old son's generation, and they most certainly are looking at a substantial decline in the standard of living. Just take a look at current levels of student loan debt. It's disturbing to say the least, and much of this debt, greater than all credit card debt combined, cannot be repaid.
    In terms of dark visions and depression, I simply make regular visits to China Girl, and my mental balance is miraculously restored. I'm off the sauce also. I suppose there are more than a few St. Patrick's Day hangovers today. That's one more amateur night I did not participate in. I'm a survivor no matter what, as my living requirements are quite modest. I can also easily make it in the Third World, a place I've lived before, and it continues to fascinate me.

    By the way, how did your last electro shock therapy session go?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 18, 2015 12:05 PM Flag

    Will ZNGA post a profit in the next earnings release? No, it won't. Meanwhile, the major averages are poised to roll over, and when that occurs, there will be no patience for vague promises of prosperity at some unknown point in the future. Furthermore, ZNGA has extremely poor liquidity, so if any of the big boys decide to unload their positions--any session with 100 million shares changing hands--there will be a very nasty price correction, and ZNGA can even trade below the value of its fundamental assets, which is pretty much the remaining cash, the building, and a pittance for the acquisitions like Unnatural Motion. I'd be a buyer when that occurs as a short term trade.

    In closing, I would add that even a mild token rise in interest rates is not by any means already priced into the market. Such an increase, minuscule though it be, will cause a dynamic shift in market psychology. The dollar will soar further strangling our export sector. The market sells off in a violent manner.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Why yes Dorothy, it sometimes does, so long as you have done your homework. In fact, these are very often high probability trades, as the primary trend is already clearly defined. Here's an excellent case in point. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) has already declined from $236- to $121- over the last year. OK, you missed that huge decline and there's no point musing over what could have been. However, the primary trend is now in place, clearly defined, and there remains plenty of downside action to come, quite possibly below $50-. Your homework assignment would be to read up on the Beijing crackdown in Macau, quite a fascinating tale in of itself. Next, study the Zionist domination (yes, the Kosher Nostra) of the Macau casinos, with Wynn and Adelson as the central players. Understand the Chinese cultural propensity toward a roll of the dice, and the destructive effects this can have on the fabric of a society. Finally, carefully study the kind of debts levels and service required for WYNN. Then you realize WYNN remains an excellent short candidate. By the way, WYNN is down another 3% in today's session. You can apply this line of thought to ZNGA as well, though debt is not ZNGA's issue. ZNGA's dilemma is a failed business model, bloated overhead, and a complete lack of meaningful product.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • They could do no worse than that other carpetbagger, the $50 Million Dollar Man, Dr. Don.
    Yes, I say rainbow diversity all the way at the ZNGA Brain Trust.
    By the way, this former altar boy has no problems with gay marriage.
    No, I was never molested by a priest, but it certainly happened to others.
    The Catholic church has been burying their dirty little secrets for decades.
    Hell, whatever gets you through the night.
    That's my motto.
    But remember the Hippocratic Oath
    "First do no harm."
    How much harm has been inflicted on ZNGA shareholders?
    And more to come.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The carnage since the beginning of March has been horrific, from $19.00 to $15.67 in a period of days, and we will break $40- oil. A break of $30- also appears increasingly likely. The clear theme here is deflation especially when one observes dollar strength, which will only be exacerbated by any token rise in interest rates. It is but a question of time before junk bonds begin to falter.
    I suggest to you that these inane and mindless computer games, drugs for the masses, will trade just like commodities. The market is being flooded with them--a man has only so many hours in a day to waste--so classic supply and demand curves come to bear. This spells big problems for ZNGA, a company which can't even come up with something as creative as Kim Khardashian's fat rear end.
    Summary of favorite shorts:
    1. Junk bond Market (HYG)
    2. Homebuilders (KBH, earnings out this Friday, potentially dangerous because of high short interest)
    3. Remain short the Euro (pretty obvious trade)
    4. Remain short ZNGA to $1.99 or lower

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 17, 2015 3:49 PM Flag

    Many of my favorite songs are quite repetitive in their lyrics. The bible uses the same words/ phrases endlessly, and remains a very interesting read.
    But yes, I am a broken record. However, I must always keep in mind my audience on this message board, and they are a rather thick skulled bunch, unteachable Neanderthals, and that's even after they wasted much money chasing this garbage stock. Hence, repetition is the order of the day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • As is generally the case with these pumps, strong volume is entirely missing, so it likely will prove quite ephemeral. Also observe how ZNGA flat lined numerous times during today's session, which strongly hints at computer trade programs, not actual and real demand for the shares. In other words, this is one more temporal smoke screen designed to draw in the sheep. It will fall flat on its face by Friday's close, so make sure you can push the sell button in rapid order. The only way to make a dime from a ZNGA roadkill bounce is to sell too early, always seeking the midrange points, never tops or bottoms.

    In terms of full disclosure: I am highly compensated by Vulture Capital Management in Minnewaukan, North Dakota to post incessantly on the ZNGA message board. I hope to get a transfer to the Herbalife board once ZNGA breaks below $1.99. Frankly, I'm a bit tired of this place. Same song/ different day. I don't think my finer poetic qualities are adequately appreciated by the ZNGA sheep. If only I had been a better guitar player, I wouldn't have to waste my life here. A man does what he has to, and let me remind you that China Girl is a high maintenance concubine. This ZNGA crash and burn can't come fast enough so I can get back to completing my epic novel.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • You had to have been around this board for a while, but those were the good old days. Hell, ZNGA was a $12- stock back then. When was the last time anyone seriously posted anything here pertaining to real money gambling, which in the final analysis, is ZNGA's only potential savior? What about the BWIN partnership? Not a peep. At the height of the insanity, it was even absurdly suggested that ZNGA would purchase an Atlantic City casino, now a ghost town, as an entryway into the world of gambling. The moral of this hot air story is that human perceptions can shift on a dime, and if the stock market is about one thing, it is about the perception of value. Hence, perception and reality must eventually meet, and in ZNGA's case, it has not been a pretty story. We are now back in freemium mode, a rather stark reality, and another failed concept. By the way, take a look at the one year chart of Steve Wynn's company (WYNN). Ouch! The stock has been decimated, with more pain to come. There may be an intrinsic connection between Chinese culture and a roll of the dice, but Beijing authorities are very serious about their crackdown in Macau, and the Zionists (Wynn and Adelson) are at the very heart of the triad. ZNGA: A tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • He's been suffering from a limp putter since crashing his Cadillac Escalade while attempting to escape the wrath of his Swedish wife. This much explains why he withdrew from the PGA for the season. It increasingly appears he might never attain the record of Jack Nicklaus, which was assumed as a virtual given at one time. As a part of his ongoing therapy, he must make daily visits to Denny's and attempt to make time with the waitresses. He has met with zero success thus far. It is also reported that on his last golf outing, he screamed not "Fore!" on the course, but rather "Foreskin!" and if that is any sign of progress, he probably remains in deep trouble. Do the delusional ZNGA longs seriously believe Tiger Woods can save this pathetic company? I think not. However, ZNGA is up 5 cents today on absolutely horrible volume (Hal generated), so hope can still spring eternal. I just shorted additional shares at $2.61.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Mar 17, 2015 11:24 AM Flag

    I can't deal with the complexities of your system, though the notion of short term hedging makes perfect sense in a market with this high level of volatility. I must keep things very simple. Focus on your major theme and just wait it out with prudent and firm stop losses in place, in the event the tables turn against you. If that has never happened, you have not much experience in this pursuit. Patience has worked remarkably well with the ongoing ZNGA death spiral, and 30% downside risk remains even at this so-called bargain price level. I also remind you that I don't know any wealthy day traders, and more than a few of them should attend Gamblers Anonymous meetings.

    Lastly, it should be noted that a huge percentage of NYSE and Nasdaq volume is computer generated, on the order of 60% or more of total volume. There comes a day when these programs run amok and exacerbate the selling. Hal will say, "I'm sorry Dave, I can't do that." It will be very exciting. That is a certainty.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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