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odonnellm66 139 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 28, 2016 11:39 PM Member since: Jan 17, 2012
  • Reply to

    How does a message board get so much spam?

    by theirrunning Jun 28, 2016 4:40 PM
    odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 28, 2016 11:39 PM Flag

    Of course I am paid to post here. The quality of my prose and my in depth analysis of the ZNGA Brain Trust demands top dollar from a large hedge firm. I finally found my life's calling after years of struggle, and a major plus is that I can drink and smoke to my heart's content on the job. Short this junk stock and you will never deal with a bar tab again. Guaranteed!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    How does a message board get so much spam?

    by theirrunning Jun 28, 2016 4:40 PM
    odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 28, 2016 11:38 PM Flag

    Of course I am paid to post here. The quality of my prose and my in depth analysis of the ZNGA Brain Trust demands top dollar from a large hedge firm. I finally found my life's calling after years of struggle, and a major plus is that I can drink and smoke to my heart's content on the job. Short this junk stock and you will never deal with a bar tab again. Guaranteed!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It is fading very quickly and take note of the desultory volume. Volume will rise with this junk stock only when it must submit to selling, not buying pressure. Yes Dear, we have much more selling ahead. This applies not only to ZNGA, but the broad stock averages.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It occurs as soon as tomorrow's session. The overriding question is if it is worth betting on in terms of the potential risks involved. These roadkill bounces in the indexes will be quite strong, on the order of 300 to 400 DOW points in less than a couple hours. It is however critical to recognize that the coming reflex ralleys will behave quite similar to the proverbial ZNGA roadkill bounces in that they are quite ephemeral and only for extremely adept day traders. The primary market trend remains down and down substantially. This is a poor trade in terms of mathematical probability.

    Summary: I can't go for that. No can do. Just remain a patient short and ride out the blips on the road to Dante's Inferno. Downside risk still looms enormous. ZNGA's trajectory will lead to a price below 200 pennies, and we could very well see a decisive break into the cesspool.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 27, 2016 11:12 AM Flag

    Obviously, we live in a global financial system with the nerve centers closely connected between New York, London, Frankfurt, and Tokyo. We also assume there exists huge counter party risk in bonds and currency rates between various parts of the world. This is exactly why the turmoil in Europe bares directly on US money center banks. Someone sneezes and the whole world has a bad case of the ague.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Merrill, formerly a conservative firm in its hay day, was on the very edge of bankruptcy during the Crash of 2008 as it was a large holder of the toxic waste known as subprime swaps and derivitives. Thus, we had the shotgun marriage with BofA to salvage Merrill. This tenuous arrangement was ordered (do it or else) by our very own Treasury Department. I just ask you to look at the BofA decline today. Ouch! The selling rout is essentially found in money center banks across the board. Keep in mind that legitimate financial reform was never enacted (dead in the water) by Congress post 2008. Rather, we did the exact opposite, and in light of huge consolidations in the financial industry, risk is now more concentrated than in 2008 since there are so few players sitting at the table. All it takes is for a single major entity to falter, and we have mass contagion. Don't believe for a moment that we cannot have another stock market crash. Risk should have been spread over many players via a strong regional banking system. It never happened. Power does corrupt.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The volume is extremely heavy to boot. My other favorite indicator, HYG, is at the low of the session, also on very heavy volume. This all suggests that we have much more selling ahead. Can ZNGA resist these broad market trends? No it cannot, and the pain will be multiplied by a percentage factor of three since this is a hype speculative issue with zero profits. What ZNGA has in its favor for the moment is that the major players are not yet selling, and the anemic volume says so. This will not be the case for long.
    Summary: We are undergoing a dynamic shift in market behavior not witnessed since 2008.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • What happens when a 30 million sell order hits the tape? Yes Dear, it gets quite ugly. Why were you tossing good money at fads anyway? Are these the best or worst of times? It depends on your perspective.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • You boys are sitting at the wrong poker table. FAZ is moving higher as well as the banking sector succumbs. We live in the most fascinating of times. There will be all kinds of reflex bounces, but we are essentially on the road to hell. It is but a question of time before the junk stock ZNGA once again trades below 200 pennies. The major declines are still before us.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This is in fact a very mild decline. That can only indicate that there is much more selling ahead, even if we do not equal the percentage declines in Europe and Asia. We likely witness a wave of margin calls this week, and margin interest has been at historically high levels. Whether selling resumes tomorrow, I cannot precisely say, but the futures markets will offer a strong clue.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I'm not sure that should be cause for comfort. If any single institutional holder tries to unload, ZNGA's atrocious liquidity is quickly revealed in a nasty price correction. Let us also ask these three questions:
    A) Did the professionals anticipate last Friday's market rout? No, they did not.
    B) If the pros are so smart, why are more than 95% of them under water on their ZNGA positions?
    C) Did any of them see 2008 coming?
    Summary: You would be surprised how few independent critical thinkers exist within the ranks of the institutional managers. They are essentially compensated to be optimists to the extreme, and the conformity of rose colored glasses is quite dangerous at this market juncture.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 26, 2016 1:19 PM Flag

    Your ID above (exalhoa97) doesn't work for Yahoo email, so you may contact me via this physical address:
    Michael O'Donnell
    C/O JK Sound
    1425 Davidson Street
    San Francisco, CA. 94124
    or
    mikeelectricbike@gmail.com
    August is the most plausible month for rafting the South Fork of the American, as I have a solid month of various tasks to complete. It is an excellent intro for you Colorado run.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I reassert that it is the bond market where the real trouble begins, with the US high yield sector being especially susceptible. Currency collapses as witnessed by Friday's decline in the British pound have very direct implications for interest rates. What appear to be relatively small interest rate moves can wreak havoc on derivitives and the reaction will be stunning. The chaos obviously transfers directly to equities and Real
    Estate values. We are in so many ways in uncharted waters with world deflationary pressures fully intact despite trillions in printed funny money. Our stock market is looking short term at an additional 10% downside risk at a bare minimum. Longer term, we must watch very carefully exactly how this cookie crumbles. The Monday opening should be quite fascinating with all eyes on tonight's futures markets. The junk speculative stock ZNGA finds itself in a perilous state as greed transitions to fear. Its short term downside risk is not 10%, but 30%. Fads like ZNGA with zero earnings will go by the wayside.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • .....may that multi-reincarnated CEO tie a great millstone around his neck and cast himself into the depths of the sea.
    --Matthew 18:16

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 by odonnellm66 Jun 24, 2016 4:01 PM Flag

    A) P/E Ratio: Not Available
    B) Dividend: Not Available
    C) Yield: Not Available
    D) Earnings: Not Available (negative 11 cents with highly creative accounting)
    E) Market Cap: $2.13 Billion
    F) Market Cap Downside Risk: $1 Billion and Rising
    G) Share Float: A Mere1 Billion Shares

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • What a blessing algo programs are when they push and shove to the upside. It was however overlooked by most that computerized trading is a sword which cuts in many directions. Now the robots will exacerbate the decline. We are obviously looking at a toilet bowl close today, and that indicates more fireworks ahead next week, and the Monday opening might be dire. I just sit patiently and watch it all unfold. Monday, Wednesday, or Friday. I makes no substantial difference to me. You simply have a singular focus on the primary market trend which is down big time. ZNGA implications: A decisive break below 200 pennies

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Curiously, a large increase in ZNGA volume is not yet evident, and the longs can thank their lucky stars that it has not occurred. I would not however relax, as we soon enough see a day when ZNGA volume goes catatonic, and then things get very interesting. This pink sheet rubbish cannot withstand heavy volume on the sell side without much pain in the price adjustments. Patience Dorothy. Rome wasn't built in a day, but it certainly was destroyed in short order. Veni, vidi, verloren.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 24, 2016 1:50 PM Flag

    Climbing down the canyon rim:
    1. Bring huge amounts of water.
    2. Tread slowly especially if you have a big pack--the worst place for a sprained ankle.
    3. Watch for rattlesnakes--harmless unless surprised.
    I actually envy this great adventure of yours. You will remember it all your life. Many of the guided trips use rafts with motors, and I'm a bit of a purist when it comes to river running. No motor, just paddles. That's just my opinion of course. If you are in CA. let me know if you are interested in the rivers here. September is my favorite month though the days get short and flows can often be a problem.

  • It should be monitored daily by any stock trader whether you have a position or not. Bond funds, even high yield junk, are generally know for very low beta values, so today's decline of 1.5% is pretty dramatic. HYG will be the canary in the coal mine. In terms of net capitalization, it is the largest high yield junk bond fund out there, and headed for catastrophe.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This has very important implications for the ZNGA Brain Trust as the company's only profitable acquisition is the headquarters building where those 1600 techies idle away at God knows what. San Francisco is in the midst of a huge property bubble, both residential and commercial, and the feeding orgy ends one more time in disaster. Deflation is the culprit, that very force which is about to devastate the junk bond market. It is critical to note that markets grind their way higher over months and years---since 2008 in our case--but once a dynamic shift occurs, and we are on the cusp of such an event, the decline takes place with lightening speed. In other words, markets go down much faster than they go up, and the downward acceleration is best described as shock and awe. Mr. Pinky has a few months at best to sell that Taj Majal and secure the gains for shareholders. Beware that property has a strong tendency to be an illiquid asset.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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