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odonnellm66 291 posts  |  Last Activity: 12 hours ago Member since: Jan 17, 2012
  • It is still widely assumed that some last minute deal will be hammered out. The stock market doesn't like unpleasant surprises. The Germans have had enough of kicking this can of rotten sardines down the road. Watch out below. There can be a very high price exacted for complacency. Junk stocks like ZNGA are especially susceptible to waves of selling. Why? No P/E ratio. Zero earnings. Losses as far as the eye can see.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 22, 2015 4:25 PM Flag

    In a very basic mathematical sense, declining volume is an excellent predictor of a price decline for any given stock. Volume is the Holy Grail of all technical indicators. It is not perfect, but has very high numeric probability. Declining ZNGA volume, now in a virtual tail spin, says the path of least resistance is now down, and down big time.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Pride and greed cometh before the fall.
    And ZNGA's pending fall will be huge.
    Volume is the single most important indicator.
    Legitimate interest is this lost cause is dying at an exponential clip.
    Let the volume numbers speak.
    They speak loudly in two words.
    Dump it!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • However, an implosion in the Shanghai Index (up 100% in the last 12 months) is potentially more dangerous. It was down more than 6% last Friday. China is a rather odd combination of corrupt capitalism with a single party state. Social unrest is not a far fetched notion should the Chinese market suffer severely. I was in China during Tiananmen Square, and the party will answer any social disturbances exactly the same way. The bottom line is that systemic market risk is currently at unprecedented levels, and junk stocks like ZNGA, with no record of profit, are particularly vulnerable at this juncture. A perfect storm would be the Chinese market in a freefall and a Greek exit simultaneously. We have an extremely exciting week ahead. An additional and and rather intriguing political consideration is that if we find Putin and Greece in bed with each other. If you are a gambling type, true of 90% of the poster boys on this board, the VIX looks interesting as a short term trade. We will soon pay a big price for Fed funny money and rampant complacency. You say, "Cash is trash." Maybe not.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I sense great excitement comes next week with huge volatility. If you have designated high risk gambling capital, the VIX is particularly intriguing. Most of you are speculative gamblers or you certainly wouldn't be tossing good money at ZNGA.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Yes, it makes perfect sense to chase a losing position in a stock. I would double down. Buy more.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Hell no. He knows that ZNGA is a drug of conspiracy (and conformity) entirely dependent for revenue on full blown addiction, exactly the same as the alcohol and tobacco industries. This is precisely how sheep are controlled in modern society--an army of dumbed down button pushers without a creative or original thought in their heads. The youngsters now go through acute withdrawal without their mobile touchscreens. No, a real man wants his children reading quality books. Painting. Drawing. Playing guitar. Listening to quality music. Going fishing. Taking long bicycle rides. Growing a tomato garden. The Surgeon General should require a warning label on the rubbish ZNGA cranks out.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • You reply, "The market operates on an even playing field, and we absolutely have free price discovery in ZNGA common stock. There's no way the options market can dictate the close on Triple Witching Friday. I have complete faith in free market capitalism. These are simply classic supply and demand curves at work. The stock market is a thing of truth and beauty."

    Summary: Are you nuts? However, classic supply and demand curves will eventually exert influence in this garbage stock which is why a wider measurement of time, certainly not a single session, is all that matters. Time is not on the side of the delusional ZNGA longs. There will be continued cash erosion and then suddenly there will be waves of selling when the sheep suddenly decide that the dog is dead. That is precisely when ZNGA's horrible liquidity sinks your brokerage accounts. Most of you will wake up with big league hangovers. The hair of the dog won't help.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    RMG is back blitches!

    by grabapairandgolong Jun 17, 2015 11:01 PM
    odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 18, 2015 12:09 AM Flag

    RMG, where real money exists, has been that most ephemeral of pipe dreams at the ZNGA Brain Trust since day one, and nothing has ever come to fruition, nor will it. The partnership with BWIN was just another false start, another so-called lead to the slaughterhouse. Legislation is obviously required, and were that ever to happen (it won't because of the other side of the Jewish clan--Wynn and Adelson, just to name two), the amount of government oversight would be enormous, and the red tape mind boggling. Keep dreaming and playing freemium Farmville. There's not a dime of profits in that mode.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 17, 2015 4:37 PM Flag

    It's not that complicated. We will see a huge burst in volume as selling accelerates. If you happen to be a very brave soul, you buy during the panic. The supreme difficulty is precise timing because no one can manage this consistently. Not me. Not you. The bottom line is ZNGA will post losses as far as the eye can see, so why even hazard a blind stab into this bottomless chasm, strictly in terms of probability. There are much better bets if you wish to bottom fish.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Not even 5 million shares could cross today's tape. This is on a day where SPY volume was well above average. There is no single indicator more important than volume, and clearly, interest in this hype stock is fading at a rapid clip, and that leads us to a most pertinent question. What will the baggies do with this garbage when they get scared? Sell, of course. Sell with wild abandon as they desperately search for a decent bid. Liquidity 101. Repeat this mantra after me:
    Volume precedes price with extremely high mathematical probability.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • While I have been a dismal failure in all other aspects of my pathetic existence, it's reassuring that I have finally found my life's true calling right here among you. Let me briefly quote Marissa Meyer as she handed me the trophy:
    Mike, we here in Silicon Valley have never seen ignore ratings as high as yours on any message board. However, you have been absolutely correct about the ongoing ZNGA death spiral since $14.19. I just shorted another 2 million shares based on your sage recommendation of $1.99 ZNGA common stock. Just between you and me, I won't go near any high roller techie cocktail party where Mark Pincus is on the guest list. Fortunately, there aren't many where he's invited. The guy's such a cad. He'll do most anything for a quick buck, and he gives social byte the bad name it completely deserves. Mike, I have a special treat in addition to this trophy. Park your bicycle again in the alley behind my penthouse. I already gave you the door code. Yes Mike, I want if rough again. Pull my hair and spank me just like the last time.
    Yours,
    Hot Finn Tuna

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • odonnellm66 odonnellm66 Jun 17, 2015 1:52 PM Flag

    You don't mind if SFJLegend joins our private party?
    He'll be the one with the Teddy Bear on his lap.
    We must stop him after the fourth drink.
    Legend is such a lush.
    He can't practice moderation.
    You might know Jekyll.
    You definitely do not want to meet Mr. Hyde.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Bring your ZNGA charts. 399 Ninth Street (SOMA), not far from the ZNGA Brain Trust.
    Since you're now broke from speculating in junk stocks, I'll pay for all the drinks.
    Yes, of course I'll show you how to walk on the wild side.
    I'll be the old gray haired man sitting at he bar in pink Spandex.
    You are a callow youth and you have so much to learn.
    I'm a teacher by nature and formal training.
    You're lucky I'm even willing to waste my breath on you.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Yesterday's reflex bounce was entirely predictable as the public has been potty trained to buy each and every decline. This logic is about to fail miserably. We have an emergency meeting of the European Central banksters this Sunday. I predict the Germans will balk at more welfare payments to the failed nation of Greece. I know more than a few things about the German mentality and Deutsche Ordnung. I lived there many years, and attended the university in Mainz. If no last minute agreement is hammered out, we have major fireworks in all world indexes. Yes, the proverbial straw which breaks the camel's back. That's precisely when risky speculative junk stocks like ZNGA (zero earnings) are dumped.
    Summary: Short ZNGA at will. Short SPY. Short HYG. Cash ain't trash even with no yield. Risk is unprecedented at this critical juncture.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • You see, unlike Bill Clinton, I actually inhale. Why do they call it dope, stupid?
    Just one more reason I'm dying for the upcoming road trip to Colorado. All that green hybrid herb.
    The lonely road--Highway 50. Nudie remote hot springs in the Nevada desert. I know many.
    Just might have to race down Pike's peak on the bicycle as well and take the cog train back up.
    But to the point, as I have a mad tendency to digress.
    I do make a serious effort to entertain the dull sheep on this board.
    Back to my vision.
    Yes, Mark Pincus in handcuffs and the Nasdaq delists ZNGA.
    ZNGA longs hurling themselves over the rail of the Golden Gate Bridge.
    They better get that suicide barrier up quickly. We don't have long.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • True, sipping mixed drinks while chasing a stupid ball down 18 holes might possibly pique my interest-- the cocktail part that is. Do you seriously believe an alpha male (much like myself) would scream, "Fore!" or be caught dead or alive playing Farmville? Hell no! Real men are more interested in running Class IV rapids on wild rivers and the regular hunt for elusive nookie. Get with the program and short more blocks of this junk stock ZNGA.
    By the way, Tiger Woods is toast. Done. Finished. Don't you grasp the irony of ZNGA's new Tiger game? Yes, ZNGA is toast just like Tiger. Mr. Woods will never surpass the Nicklaus record. Hell freezes over first. Funny, it was recently taken as a near given that Woods would exceed that milestone. No way! You see, this is what happens when you chase cheap strippers and ignorant waitresses at Denny's. Karma Yoga baby! The hand of God is again at work, and never forget that God despises ZNGA. He will destroy this temple of infidels. The longs will be transformed into pillars of dog excrement.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • If the delusional longs were able to practice the Hindu spiritual concept of non-attachment, best illustrated by the works of Vivekananda, the coming demise of the ZNGA Brain Trust wouldn't even rattle your frail nerves. In the final analysis, what is ZNGA but "a tale told by and idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing." Yes, it is an empty bag of wind, as you will soon grasp as we move toward the $1.99 price level. You could also begin to practice love just like SFJLegend, one of the few legitimate humanists on this esteemed citadel of knowledge. It is recommended that you follow in the footsteps of that stock savant. Stand in front of the full length plate glass mirror this morning, flex your biceps, smile, and say, "I love what I'm looking at. It doesn't get any better." Love must indeed start with self love. You will then no longer be disturbed by the continuing decline in the price of ZNGA common. Thus spoke Zngathustra.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Computers are simply trading with each other.
    Very little retail buying or selling.
    Anemic volume.
    Just Hal and his algo pals shaving for pennies.
    Watch out when real selling occurs in this junk stock and we get a huge burst in volume.
    On the order of 35 million shares. Or higher.
    Coming soon.
    The delusional longs will then learn the concept of poor liquidity the hard way.
    Yes, it will hurt so good.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • This is by no means my case as the paramount skeptic/cynic of ZNGA.
    I willingly accept and enjoy logical arguments for this junk stock.
    I appreciate rational discourse--to be challenged--but it must be based in simple mathematics.
    It's entirely missing in the discussion so far as I can see.
    Just a pipe dream of some profits at some rather vague period down the road.
    While we still hear that great sucking sound from the ZNGA Brain Trust.
    Those pampered techies who can neither weld nor pass an ultrasonic test.
    Much less a real X-ray.
    Real work with dirt under your fingernails.
    What a foreign concept.
    It is being done each and every day in China.
    I know a few things about China.
    And Chinese women.
    Even the new S.F. Bay Bridge decks were fabricated and welded by the Chinese.
    Is there something missing in this picture?
    Yes, there is
    We will all pay for our complacency.
    Now listen to Aja.
    Steely Dan
    Walter Becker.
    Donald Fagen.
    "Chines music always make me........"

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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