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Royal Dutch Shell plc Message Board

oildean 33 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 31, 2014 12:51 PM Member since: Mar 6, 2012
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  • Reply to

    The Long View

    by carol88888 Mar 30, 2014 2:57 PM
    oildean oildean Mar 31, 2014 12:51 PM Flag

    As Guru indicated those were the years my friend. I don't believe they'll repeat again (at least not in my lifetime). I started investing (SPDIF & Shell Provident Fund) in '78 and continued to contribute until '92 at which time I had amassed 2 times my annual salary by splitting (& holding) my (and the companies) contributions between Shell/RDSa and the US Equity fund. In '92 I stopped my personal contributions (relying on the companies 10% contribution) and got out of the buy and hold mentality and started buying pull-backs and selling what I thought were peaks. I took a company package and retired in '05 at 53 and now have over 25 times my retiring salary in the Provident fund. I can only guess where I'd be if I had continued to contribute and held off retiring until the Shell norm of 58-60. With a few more 10% years, the little lady and I should be able to maintain our current lifestyle (which is annually spending more than my retirement salary). Bottom line, there's more than one way to skin a cat. We're very thankful and realize how very fortunate we've been. GLTA and keep up the great posts. And for you younger investors - Figure out what method you're comfortable with, contribute as much as you can, as soon as you can, as long as you can.

  • Reply to

    Today might be the day

    by oldest2none Mar 25, 2014 10:29 AM
    oildean oildean Mar 28, 2014 11:55 AM Flag

    Joining those on the sidelines today. Grateful for current run-up (+ yesterday's dividend payment) and will wait for reversal to jump back in. They say "Out in May and STAY AWAY" but that wasn't last year's case and hopefully won't be this year either. GL

  • Reply to

    Today might be the day

    by oldest2none Mar 25, 2014 10:29 AM
    oildean oildean Mar 26, 2014 1:02 PM Flag

    Been in for awhile and needed this little run-up to make up for last Wed/Thur pullback. Looking forward to tomorrow's Dividend Payment. GLTA

  • oildean by oildean Mar 5, 2014 10:50 PM Flag

    I sold yesterday (Tues) at the close of market and recovered all (plus a little) that was lost in Monday's pull-back. I was curious if any believe there's good reason to be in RD on the day (Thurs, 3/13) the new CEO Ben van Beurden is scheduled to give his asset sale (liquidation) strategy presentation.

  • Reply to

    I'm out. that $73 target look good

    by rmarfl Feb 13, 2014 10:15 AM
    oildean oildean Feb 13, 2014 5:39 PM Flag

    I joined you and jumped out at the close today Ray. Very happy with our better than 5% gain on this run-up. As you say probably got out early, but heading south tomorrow morning to visit some of my snow-bird friends at the London Bridge (Lake Havasu) and won't be monitoring the market for 10 or so days. GLTA (especially those still in).

  • Reply to

    Nice jump this morning

    by oldest2none Feb 12, 2014 9:50 AM
    oildean oildean Feb 12, 2014 12:21 PM Flag

    Very GOOD week (just about paid for this year's 401k systematic withdrawals). Took Shasta's (Russian roulette) advice and didn't buy Monday of last week, but have been in since close last Wednesday and will continue to hold until trend shows some sign of reversal. Maybe Ray's 71.50 target???

  • Reply to

    Dividend run, get a head count?

    by cyclehitmen Feb 6, 2014 9:41 AM
    oildean oildean Feb 7, 2014 1:34 PM Flag

    I put 5 toes in at close of market on Wed. So far so good. Not saying your low volume comment is wrong, but it could also be viewed as a lot of folks not selling. Personally, I think it's both. It's truly a gamble these days. I may take the little bump and run...... Or stay a little longer for the dividend. Hanging close to the trigger...

  • Anybody thinking about a short ride on a sick (or dying) cat bounce Monday? Or too risky? The current consensus of the board is as negative as I can remember.

  • Reply to


    by retiredguru3 Jan 29, 2014 1:14 PM
    oildean oildean Jan 29, 2014 1:47 PM Flag

    I'm thinking (like you Guru) that no matter what's in the announcement tomorrow the price should not go up. If the earnings are better than what was in the new CEO's pre announcement warning the price should be penalized for misleading shareholders. If the announcement is as bad as previously stated the price shouldn't profit (maybe flat line), and if the announcement is worse than stated in the warning the stock price should be hit. I'm staying in the hurry up and wait mode (100% Thrift in 401k). JMHO & GLTA. But, then again, logic doesn't always prevail, does it?

  • Massive profit warning on Thursday and a little drop. Today there's a nice bump (so far). I'm thinking, with the profit warning, there should've been a 10% (or so) drop?? My questions for the board are: Will RD beat expectations If at the earning announcement they declare earnings greater than the recently projected profit warning of $2.9 billion? And, was RD so depressed prior to the massive profit warning that they lose very little ground with such a warning?

  • Reply to

    Run up to dividend, When do we get on board ?

    by oilstud52 Jan 13, 2014 12:14 PM
    oildean oildean Jan 14, 2014 3:00 PM Flag

    I also jumped ship / sold and am very happy with this run. Would probably take a large pull-back to tempt me to buy before announcement date (Thurs - 30Jan). So, I'll wait for a large pull-back or guidance from my financial advisors (you guys) before re-entry ---- GLTA..

  • Reply to

    When is the RD earnings reporting?

    by rmarfl Jan 10, 2014 5:59 AM
    oildean oildean Jan 10, 2014 11:19 AM Flag

    Shell announces on Thurs Jan 30
    BP announces Tues Feb 04
    XOM & CVX announce Fri Feb 07
    TOT announces Wed Feb 12

  • Reply to

    Out of RDS-A

    by theroz43 Jan 7, 2014 11:45 AM
    oildean oildean Jan 7, 2014 2:41 PM Flag

    Currently in at 50%, and plan to play the ups and downs until Fri (24-Jan) at which time I'll most likely be out until the announcement (last couple have been really bad). After announcement will play the ups and downs until ex-div day where I'll be in 100%. Too bad but Shell's first to announce this quarter so we won't get any help from the other major oil co's announcements (which all come later). GLTA

  • Reply to

    I got out too early

    by oldest2none Dec 27, 2013 9:29 AM
    oildean oildean Dec 27, 2013 6:11 PM Flag

    I also got out too early Wednesday before last at $67.44, but did something I usually don't do and got back in after 3 straight up days last Friday at $69.55. Can't catch it all, but still in and looking / hoping for more upside. It's been very interesting to say the least. Good Luck and a happy / prosperous year to you all.

  • Reply to

    Good PR for Royal Dutch lately

    by carol88888 Dec 17, 2013 4:22 PM
    oildean oildean Dec 18, 2013 3:53 PM Flag

    20% that's ironic. I made a minor misstep getting out yesterday protecting my 20% gain for this year. I agree there's some good money to be made next year. Question is: When will I jump back in? GLTA

  • Reply to

    Sizeable move coming

    by bigt_again Dec 14, 2013 7:50 PM
    oildean oildean Dec 17, 2013 4:07 PM Flag

    Checking out for awhile... Sold all at the bell. Merry Christmas and Hoping Everyone Has a Great New Year... See YA!!!

  • Reply to

    Lets keep this going . New entry point.

    by oilstud52 Dec 12, 2013 12:13 PM
    oildean oildean Dec 16, 2013 4:01 PM Flag

    Cold outside, but the water's warm. Thru the other foot in the water just before the bell. GLTA

  • Reply to

    Lets keep this going . New entry point.

    by oilstud52 Dec 12, 2013 12:13 PM
    oildean oildean Dec 13, 2013 4:08 PM Flag

    Auctionman, I couldn't resist either, so I thru five toes in the water. Now we'll have to sweat the weekend to see if the water's hot, warm, unchanged, cool or cold. GLTA

  • Reply to

    Selling at close today.

    by theroz43 Dec 11, 2013 3:30 PM
    oildean oildean Dec 13, 2013 11:29 AM Flag

    Good to see, I'm not the only one who remembers. There's a lot of Shell history on this board. I'm surprised we ever make a mistake (ha ha). GLTA....
    Short-Term Sentiment Disclosure: Hurry Up & Wait..

  • Reply to

    Q4 Ror RD

    by nowafarmer Dec 11, 2013 4:00 PM
    oildean oildean Dec 11, 2013 4:18 PM Flag

    If it's a bad 4th quarter, it just may be compounded by having a new leader next year. A bad 4th quarter won't be too painful for Peter as he's on his way out. And a bad 4th quarter won't be bad for Ben van Beurden as he wasn't in the lead for the 4th quarter. Actually, it might prove good for Ben as any improvement moving forward would only look that much better vs a bad 4th quarter. So, yeah they might throw in the kitchen sink. Hope not though. Took Rays, my other friends on the board, and my wife's advice and got out at the bell today. But, always ready to jump back in. GLTA

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