Google dºt Org Flu Trends is heating up really fast and appears well on the way towards an intense flu season. That combined with over 1400 people being monitored for ebola is a recipe for increased false alarms. What happens when one of the 1400+ tests positive and a bunch of people who rode the subway with him are just coming down with the flu? The false alarms will quickly spiral out of control and overwhelm the health system. One positive ebola case could easily lead to hundreds of people being isolated while tests are completed. Which begs the question- Why are they so tight with these tests?
The 35 designated hospitals will have total treatment capacity of 53 beds.
Whats the matter, not falling for their games and BS? They are only trying to help you out! wink, wink...... certainly the last thing on their agenda is taking your money.....
LOL, if I had the time I'd go back to March or so and find my post saying 'if just one person boards a plane from Conakry to CDG Charles de Gaulle airport, this thing will fly.' But I thought that meant it would fly to about $5.oo. That was probably the only post in about a two week period! Plus I might have deleted it!
I could have sworn I saw the APT logo right behind the CNBC talking heads at the NYSE yesterday!!!!! Too freakin much!!!
PS- Don't worry about the next Ebola case that shows up in the USA; worry about the Ebola case that shows up in Mexico City, Rio de Janeiro, Kingston or Port Au Prince.
Why Ebola Quarantines Will Grow Larger -- And More Trouble = Interesting article.
I too believe this is almost a certainty at this point. I am buying early to mid-2015 Puts on travel-related companies, buying Calls on vaccine companies with promising Ebola candidates. Long APT & VSR. Never got into LAKE, seems over-played to me.
Safer plays = JNJ CLX DD HON XLV.
This will change the global economy.
common stock 10/27/2014 S 1,700 D $ 4.31 140,100 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 1,100 D $ 4.3 139,000 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 1,800 D $ 4.301 137,200 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 200 D $ 4.276 137,000 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 54,000 D $ 4.387 83,000 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 27,058 D $ 4.326 55,942 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 28,442 D $ 4.0137 27,500 D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 27,500 D $ 3.9674 0 (1) D
common stock 10/27/2014 S 8,270 D $ 4.19 0 (2) I by spouse, Mr. Montgomery disclaims beneficial ownership
LAKE issued business update, is what is moving them I believe. Certainly not the exec's selling like drunken sailors.
Last I heard was the day before their quarantine period was up. No symptoms. They were going to spend an additional few days at the house provided for them, then were moving into an unspecified different apartment. It would be nasty and unfair to them to provide the media with the new apartment address so they could stalk them and everyone would harass them IMHO. What good would that do?
By the way, my source is-
World Health Organization
EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP
22 OCTOBER 2014
and your source is-
Liberian Observer (Monrovia)
21 OCTOBER 2014
It's up to all to decide which spin makes the most sense to them.
~ 10% of ALL the cases in Guinea, Liberia, & Sierra Leone have occurred in the last 7 days according to WHO. ~ .....in the last 7 days....
The 444 confirmed, probable, and suspected cases reported from Liberia this week is the highest number in the
past four weeks and the fourth highest since the outbreak began (figure 2). Liberia remains the country worst
affected by the outbreak. All but one of Liberia s 15 administrative districts has now reported at least one
confirmed or probable case of EVD (figure 4) since the outbreak began, but transmission is most intense in the
capital, Monrovia, with 305 new probable and suspected cases reported this week. Only 15 of the 444 new cases reported nationwide from Liberia this week are confirmed cases. This is due to a
continuing failure to integrate laboratory results into clinical epidemiology reports. Many probable and suspected
cases are likely to be genuine cases of EVD.
Outside Monrovia, most newly reported cases have come from the districts of Bong (40 cases), Margibi (22 cases),
and Nimba (29 cases), which borders both C te d Ivoire to the east and Guinea to the north.
Because 1. the trading/price was getting completely carried away. 2. I remember how short lived the rise was last time around; and 3. My average cost was around $2.00. I sold between 7 and 8, so didn't catch the top, mis-judged that. If it drops much lower I will consider buying back in. That will also depend on what guidelines the CDC comes out with (any minute now). Also if they expand their capacity- right now they simply don't have the ability to make enough product to merit that kind of valuation. They considered expanding last time around (SARS) but wisely decided against it- as evidenced by the huge inventory they were carrying ever since (which should certainly be gone now). Selling that inventory may provide a 1 quarter sales gain that is not sustainable. That combined with all the new shareholders figuring out just how much of the profits management keep for themselves could be crippling when results are released, which should be soon. At least that is what happened last time around also.
I think the clue is in the 1-month chart comparing APT, LAKE, and VSR. These three will eventually trade in tandem, bumping up on each Ebola news event; dropping on any lull. This is of course barring any one of the three announcing some massive contract that the others don't get. I don't think LAKE and APT will drop down to pair up with VSR. I do think VSR will move up to join the other 2. This seems like a no-brainer.
I posted here before APT went absolutely crazy that I thought it could possibly settle into an approximately $100 Million market cap range with the increased PPE business. And upon looking at it this morning, looky where it is currently sitting. $100 Million market cap.
I was massively loaded up on this at the beginning of the month. Now I hold zerø shares.
Be careful with unrealistic expectations.