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ou812wi 6 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 16, 2014 9:29 PM Member since: Apr 28, 2000
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  • Looking like a good start to what might be the biggest week for natural gas this year? Cold weather is not priced in. This is lasting and extending longer than the "pros" thought...

  • Reply to


    by blackoilpeaking Nov 13, 2014 9:15 PM
    ou812wi ou812wi Nov 13, 2014 10:30 PM Flag

    This second chance was a early Christmas present to those wanting to go long. I honestly think UGAZ will be in the 20's in two weeks. I will mark your post and you can mark mine. As I type the weatherman on the news just said parts of northern Wisconsin got 48" of snow! That is not going to go anywhere fast! That might be normal for January/February but the second week of November?

  • Reply to

    Last year on nov 11

    by mrscience1 Nov 10, 2014 10:35 PM
    ou812wi ou812wi Nov 11, 2014 9:41 PM Flag

    Tell your team to bring some parkas when they come here - low teens by the end of the game. I thought this polar vortex was not going to last? Be careful what the so called experts are saying in NY. The weatherman on the news tonight stated the next ten days will be below freezing (15 -20 degrees below normal) in SE Wisconsin. He is stating we will set record stretch of below freezing temperatures for November. See you at UGAZ 30 by the end of next month...

  • Reply to

    Last year on nov 11

    by mrscience1 Nov 10, 2014 10:35 PM
    ou812wi ou812wi Nov 11, 2014 9:29 PM Flag

    Billy, the article was from Oil and Gas Investors Bulletin with the article dated 9/25/14: "I found it odd that I hadn’t heard much recently about Net Midstream’s huge 2.1 bcf/d (billion cubic feet per day) natural gas pipeline from Texas into Mexico—which is supposed to start December 2014." "The pipeline on the Mexican side of the border that connects to the big 2.1 bcf/d Net Midstream pipe in Texas is called Los Ramones. The smaller Phase 1 should be ready by December 1 2014, according to FERC (Federal Energy Regulatory Commission) documents." The article goes on to state that the first phase of the project may only amount to 30% of this number.

    Another interesting aspect of the article "They are tracking a list of 47 power developments in Mexico that could create up to 4.3 bcf/d of power demand between now and 2026, with nearly 1.9 Bcf/d of power burn coming online by 2019. It’s estimated that PEMEX has costs of $6-$7/mcf for domestic gas, so it makes sense that cheaper US gas could fill almost all that new demand.

    And as PEMEX moves forward with it liberalization plan, it will be very focused on oil for years—not developing its own natural gas." Forget about exporting overseas, let's just pipe it south!

  • Reply to

    Last year on nov 11

    by mrscience1 Nov 10, 2014 10:35 PM
    ou812wi ou812wi Nov 10, 2014 11:01 PM Flag

    Sorry about your Bears, us here in Wisconsin look forward to the match up!!! The storm coming through will drop the temperatures significantly which is factored into prices. The thing that is not factored in is the prolonged cold that is in the forecast for the next 30 days according to both the Weather Channel, Accuweather, and the local news with temperatures 15 - 20 degrees below average. Factor in natural gas production decreasing as a result of less oil drilling, greater industrial demand, and the major pipeline exporting natural gas to Mexico starting next month (did everyone forget this) and I honestly believe $30.00 is reachable by the end of the year and $40.00 by the end of January is reachable.

  • Reply to


    by blackoilpeaking Sep 24, 2014 3:02 PM
    ou812wi ou812wi Sep 24, 2014 9:49 PM Flag

    I think the numbers tomorrow will surprise some people tomorrow (sub 85). A lot of furnaces were running last week. The next couple weeks will return to higher injections and subsequent pull back in prices but mid October is looking very cold in the Midwest according to Accuweather.

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