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Inergy, L.P. Message Board

ousaouparis 57 posts  |  Last Activity: 22 hours ago Member since: Mar 19, 2010
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  • Reply to

    Added shares today

    by antiquecar1930 Mar 26, 2015 12:31 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis 22 hours ago Flag

    So far the Crack Spread from March 15, 2015 through to day is $18.22 average. I am using the 3-2-1 Crack with the index prices. ALDW is getting discount prices on the WTI and the WTS. I am optimistic for a good quarter.

  • Reply to

    Good day ALDW: for one who asked.

    by tccc101 Mar 15, 2015 3:53 AM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 25, 2015 9:36 PM Flag

    Many do not understand what "crack spread" is! they just go by the index crude prices. They also do not understand that the refinery location , Big Spring, gives ALDW good discount prices, especially when storage in Cushing and GOM are getting full. ALDW will be back to $20 before Xdate.

  • Reply to

    ALDW profitability increases as crude drops

    by jackhilr Mar 11, 2015 2:09 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 24, 2015 6:16 AM Flag

    Last year ALDW had a lengthy turn around; ALDW added some equipment to be able to process WTS as well as WTI. This new equipment has increased the refinery through put. I believe the 2015 turn around will be short.
    Should the Cushing as well as the GOM storage become full, ALDW is well placed to take advantage of good discounts. The price of distillates is based on GOM refineries. Therefore the feed stock in Cushing Midland will probably be very good. So Far ALDW Q1 2015 the Crack Spread is $19.62. Q4 2014 the crack spread barely made $10.00. These 2 crack spreads are standard 3-2-1 WTI. I am sure ALDW bought at discount.

  • ousaouparis by ousaouparis Mar 23, 2015 5:43 PM Flag

    The new Fracking regulations that will take effect in 90 days will be positive for Excelyte. The regulations will touch the fracking wastes. I can see Excelyte use in making this waste pollution acceptable for reuse or disposal. H2S is, so far, the primarily use for Excelyte, but Excelyte is a biocide that can neutralize, from an environmental angle, other pollutant bacteria. Chlorine has been the other disinfectant, but chlorine cannot be disposed of as easily as Excelyte, and more expensive.
    Let’s hope this is the case!

  • I just received a message while log in in Google that is asking me to authentify my Google account. They are asking everything.
    I have to take this as a hoax and did not reply.
    As anyone experience the same. Hope Google knows about it and will do something about it??

  • Reply to

    ALDW profitability increases as crude drops

    by jackhilr Mar 11, 2015 2:09 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 16, 2015 2:59 AM Flag

    The dollar is strengthening at a faster rate, 4% in the last 4 trading days, and 23% in the last 12 month. Strong dollar is negative for exports. The Europeans are desperate to see their economy moving.
    For us, I still believe the crack spread is the money maker. The gulf coast refineries that export distillate products will be hurt. ALDW does not export, too far from the gulf coast. If the dollar continue to strengthen what will happen to contango. My research shows that the crude oil March 2016 is $60 plus. The import crude oil at $60 is really $45 if the dollar is 25% higher. Should contango vanish, the discount at Cushing or the Gulf Coast will be favorable to ALDW.
    Interesting times??

  • Reply to

    ALDW profitability increases as crude drops

    by jackhilr Mar 11, 2015 2:09 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 15, 2015 10:35 PM Flag

    Refineries live on the crack spread. ALDW is located in Big Spring, north of Austin. Early in the quarter (12 Jan 2015 through 13 March 2015) the crack spread was down to $4.40. At that time plenty storage was available on the gulf coast. Today contango is taking place, and the gulf coast storage is getting full. Contango is also taking place in Cushing, 2MMBbl since January. ALDW is well placed to buy crude; WTI or WTS at discount prices. I track the crack spread (3, 2, 1) today at $16.80 and for 2015, $11.42. ALDW crude discount has to bring ALDW crack spread around $20.00 or more.
    My only concern with refineries, especially a single refinery is a shut down for a fire or whatever. ALDW is getting pricy; it is $2.04 from the 52 week high! With 57 days to Xdate, I expect volatility. ALDW is a very good MLP, I will wait to buy.

  • Reply to

    106 OIL WELLS!!! BOOM

    by gajervis Mar 5, 2015 9:06 AM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 13, 2015 9:23 AM Flag

    All right 600/mth what is mth? My numbers were taken from past IEVM articles. I assume they are still good. Long time ago I saw an add for a 5 USG bottle of Excelyte for $20 retail. I cannot find this add again. No one will show the price of Excelyte per USG or barrel or FT2. The K8 report to not show sale of Excelyte as yet!!

  • Reply to

    106 OIL WELLS!!! BOOM

    by gajervis Mar 5, 2015 9:06 AM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 12, 2015 5:37 AM Flag

    For every 995 gallon of water used 5 gallon of Excelyte is mixed with it. A fracking well uses at least 5 million gallons of water. 25,000 gallon of Excelyte is required x 106 wells, this add up to 2,650,000 gallon of Excelyte. Sound like IEVM is starting to be profitable? Cannot see 1 gallon of Excelyte delivered to the drilling site be less than $1.00 minimum. Any comment?

  • Reply to

    Outlook for US industrial gas use trimmed

    by nesivos Mar 10, 2015 10:59 AM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 12, 2015 5:25 AM Flag

    We are at the start of a new era. NG will become the leading energy. It will take time, but the green lobby will favor NG over crude oil. Not because they like NG, but because NG will meet the green lobby environmental requirements. I expect the transportation sector to go NG and crude oil to be out 70% to 80% within 10 years.

  • ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 9, 2015 1:24 AM Flag

    Bunker fuel will no longer be admitted by 2018. The Dual-Fuel is going to be DNG. NG cannot be ignited by pressurizing it. As the piston goes up in the cylinder, a very small amount of diesel is introduced. This diesel will under pressure ignite the NG. The NG can be LNG, LPG or CNG. The NG must be gaseous at atmospheric pressure to enter the cylinder.
    My research shows that DNG will be used not only in the marine transportation, but also in the trucking and in the Rail Road locomotives. The demand for LNG and LPG is starting to be felt. I would guess that the fuel of choice will be the fuel with the biggest bang and the most economical. Small liquefaction trains are starting to be available and service station are becoming available on US main highway. We are entering a new petroleum business model.

  • Reply to

    When Saudis short XLE !

    by tafpatwds5 Mar 8, 2015 8:30 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 8, 2015 11:37 PM Flag

    The "irrational exuberance" in the crude oil pricing is over! That is what the Saudis have come to realized. Keeping crude oil prices as high is possible without causing an economic down turn is the incoherent way to make money, plenty money. $140 plus crude price is killing the goose. Petroleum has a competition, it is call green energy. Green energy is expensive, but political legislation and mass production of green products is starting to compete with crude oil and natural gas. The Saudis are out to compete with green energy, and crude oil prices in the $60 to $80 per barrel is the new price.

  • Reply to

    Added More Shares

    by gajervis Mar 3, 2015 11:22 AM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Mar 4, 2015 7:40 AM Flag

    IEVM for years stayed in business by selling some of their shares. This was when they were only in hospital cleaning. Going O&G and especially H2S is the game changer. I bought last April when I read an article on Rig Zone, but IEVM has not really moved. In the O&G business it takes time to get your foot in the door. But result is the price to pay to be the one called to fix the problem. We are entering the problem solver, so IEVM is in, reputation will bring more customers. In 6 month we should be smiling! This new CEO is a welcome changer!

  • Reply to

    New Webcast Available

    by dtechman Feb 20, 2015 1:41 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Feb 28, 2015 3:07 AM Flag

    My past posting need no further testimony. The only comment I have with the IEVM CEO is that H2S smell like rotten yegg. You lose your sense of smell when the H2S concentration is beyond 5PPM. By 10PPM concentration you are a dead man or at least you are out and need quick medical help. H2S is a safety problems that you do not mess with. Yes corrosion is the other problem, but health and safety is first.

  • ousaouparis by ousaouparis Feb 27, 2015 10:00 AM Flag

    I was in Laos for business reasons Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. My inability to log in with my Yahoo regular password was a real pain you know were. Yahoo sent me an email telling me where I was, like I did not know!!??
    Yahoo assumed that this was not my lap top. Yahoo should know that when you move from one country to another, the IP number changes. Yahoo jumped to conclusion for no reason and locks me out of my emails. One would think that Yahoo would understand how IP works, I guess Yahoo does not! This is surprising.
    Luckily Yahoo was the only outfit to give me troubles. Hope it does not happen again, as Yahoo do have competition!

  • Reply to

    Natural Gas Can Be The Energy Policy That Works

    by nesivos Feb 17, 2015 4:06 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Feb 26, 2015 8:39 AM Flag

    Yes 20% or 30% sound right. NG will be the fuel of choice. But This new DNG will overtake straight NG. Compression cannot fire NG, so DNG is the very small quantity of diesel you need to introduce as the piston goes up the diesel to fire the mixture. 95% plus NG and very little NG. I believe it will be cost efficient to go DNG. It is starting to be used.

  • Reply to

    New Webcast Available

    by dtechman Feb 20, 2015 1:41 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Feb 21, 2015 10:02 AM Flag

    Having worked in the O&G drilling business for 30 years, at SEDCO now Transocean and ESV, Noble I can attest that H2S is a prime concern. OSHA safety requirements are extremely costly. When I read an article on RigZone 9 month ago I figure out that it was a no brainer. Naturally to put your foot in the door requires time and successful treatments.
    When IEVM will become established in the O&G sector they IEVM Excelyte will be the insider that is called to SOLVE the problem. That takes time, but then cost is immaterial, result is what count. My guess is that on the company drilling team, there is already a mud engineer that usually works for the mud additives sub-contractor. Just to make sure H2S is under control, an Excelyte representative will be added. The oil company that contract drilling does not want any disruption in the drilling. The cost of having to stop drilling to fix a problem is very expensive, so $1000 per day for a H2S expect is nothing. In the offshore side of drilling, been idle cost 100s of thousands of dollar. He will probably seat on his duff all day for days, but should any H2S appears, he will work 24 hours a day until the problem is resolved. That is what drilling is about, great business to be in. It has been good to me. I am retired and enjoy that too.

  • Reply to

    Earnings- 2/25

    by donnapurplegirl99 Feb 19, 2015 1:08 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Feb 20, 2015 9:17 AM Flag

    What makes MMLP pop was the sales of their oil tanker fleet and the cash that they want to use in repaying their debt. MMLP will become a leaner outfit.

  • ousaouparis ousaouparis Feb 20, 2015 9:10 AM Flag

    It does take time to dispose of 56 million shares. I guess the market is saturated with XOM shares. None the less it is only 1.2% of the outstanding shares. Compare XOM volatility with CVX and APA, the outstanding shares of CVX is half that of XOM and APA 1/3 that of XOM. This is the reason XOM does not have nearly the volatility of CVX and APA. OXM will do well; they may be buying back their own share for that matter. Look at it this way; should XOM buy back the 56 million shares, XOM would save $38,640,000.00 of dividend in Q3 so it would really cost XOM $17,360,000 to buy them. I am not worry!

  • Reply to

    Natural Gas Can Be The Energy Policy That Works

    by nesivos Feb 17, 2015 4:06 PM
    ousaouparis ousaouparis Feb 19, 2015 2:51 PM Flag

    The private vehicles will, by enlarge, stay gasoline or electric. The electric car will indirectly be fuel by NG. The NG will be more and more used in power plants, replacing the coal fire power plants. I believe that the industrial public transportation will more and more be powered with NG. The diesel is losing to NG but NG modified. The new fuel is DNG (Diesel Natural Gas); NG will not ignite under pressure, so a very small quantity of diesel is introduced when the piston is almost at the top of the combustion chamber and ignite under pressure the NG. This fuel will be used in trucking, R&R locomotives and marine propulsion. Banker fuel will be outlaw as marine fuel in 2 years for pollution reasons. NG in the form of LNG, LPG or CNG will be used as DNG. Little history about the DNG fuel, although 70 year old. The German submarines in WWII were powered by a mixture of diesel and liquid NG. My understanding is that the lack of oxygen in a submarine was the reason to use liquid NG. Need to be research more, as it is interesting. May be some of the history experts can put light (literally) on the subject.