If the fed raises rates this week the market is toast. If they hint at a rate hike in June they have no idea what June will bring but the knuckle heads will be trapped into doing something in June. If they say nothing or on hold indefinitely markets will assume they know something bad. Looks like a great spot for some puts.
Since you are so smart tell me my trades in AMZN. YOu need to include the strike --selling a call- buying a put. You need the expiration dates and size of each trade. Give us the purchase date and price as well as the sale date or dates if I scaled out. You seem to claim you know what I did. if you don't supply it or are wrong you have just been blowing smoke and wishing you had shorted this thing correctly. Bring it on..
You have no clue how to trade AMZN options. If you buy just one put option for every 50 point move up- the sharp pull backs that follow-give you a winner and bingo you have made a nice chunk of money trading this thing. Don't say it can't be done because we have done it. You use long dated options and scale in to the trade. Everyone looks at the long side on this but what they fail to realize is the puts have been more profitable then the calls due to premiums. You can't trade it like you would other stocks using options but it is very tradable on the short side. Options premiums explode on the down moves which you can't see in the stock charts. Reason --the options have a different premium--if you watch for the put premiums to contract couple that with the 50 point up moves and bingo you have money in the bank. One final trick is look at the volume on the long dated puts- it gives you some super clues as to when the pull backs are coming. Some big money has gone into the puts just before the pull backs. Someone knows something and you can get the clue with the 6 month plus dates.
Earnings looking better China turning no inflation dollar looks good shorts being squeezed to death. Hillary in the bag democrats set to take back congress. Jobs looking great GDP moving BUY BUY BUY
Futures tell nothing of the sorts. Roaring up total green bull move. Squeeze all the shorts until they die. It's over you fools go long or die.
Big super rally coming--bears are dead meat. DOW 18000 in one month--bears to be crushed. Huge move coming everyone jones it. Earnings will be good-- fed on hold--inflation not too bad. Europe stating to recover. Hillary will beat Trump. Moving averages looking better. Cash on the sidelines. China starting to show life-democrats will romp. IPO's coming. Short squeeze underway. Options show bullishness. VIX getting crushed. Onward and up ward all sighs point up.
AMZN wants in on whats hot not whats not. Soon an AMZN car. They need to keep everyone guessing who and what they are so no one looks how awful are the sum of its parts. Nothing is profitable but they do sell stuff. Orders for 747 coming next ? AMZN Bank deposits but no withdrawals. AMZN to buy Union Pacific to cut costs? HOme builders next. Order a house from AMZN. In order to do that they have to buy Home Depot. Why not a gold mine. You can order coins and they can save by mining the gold themselves. Need bottled water. They will just buy a lake. fresh produce. They can buy a farm and cattle ranch. Oder your taxes done on line. buy H&R Block.
Been down for the last week. Can you imagine what the drop will look like when the market sells off. Since January it has been weaker then the overall market. Scams done --get out alive
Mexico can't win a trade war. what do they send us other then warfare recipients cucumbers and watermelons . You honestly think those crossing the boarder don't get benefits. You don't live where I do or where most others live. Even the Mexicans who are legal hate them and want them sent back. They contribute maybe 4300 in economic activity and suck up 25000 in benefits to include schooling for their kids. The medical costs alone eat up more then they contribute.
Cut off all money. Charge 35 percent on wire transfers. Every Mexican truck needs to bring a hundred dollars payable at the border. Trains need to pay at the border by the ton. Cash only no checks. 50 percent charge on all vehicles made in Mexico. That's just a start. No one tells me how to vote. He must think he is dealing with Hillary.
Just read another article about how good the jobs report was. I have to ask did anyone read anything other then the headline? Most jobs (80 percent) were minimum wage. And the majority were part time. The Fed is hanging their hats on the good jobs report. Most but not all of us are not stupid and can read past a headline. It's insulting to think someone would write something that stupid and expect people not to catch it. If that is what anyone is betting their 401K's on you better read past the stupid media bias and government control tools who have the job of fooling the public with nonsense.
The fundamental case for AMZN has been priced into the stock around the 200 dollar level. Everything after that has been just hyped up recycled nonsense. The core retail business is not profitable. The cloud has big guns coming after them at every turn. The fact they are on top of the cloud only means they will fall from top dog at sometime in the future --nothing lasts forever. The prices on cloud computing are going down as they feel the heat from other players. On a value basis it's a 400 PE selling for 500 bucks. Truly nuts. Funds support it not the retail investor. They are keeping it elevated NOT you. When they sell in size nothing will stop it from returning back to earth VERY FAST. You can hold the bag if you wish or bail before they do. Market is about to roll over earnings are going down and what's left of AMZN will be a fraction of the price it now sells for. This thing has the capacity to fall over 200 bucks from here. The drop will be like falling off a skyscraper.