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Supertel Hospitality, Inc. (SPPR) Message Board

peristentone 47 posts  |  Last Activity: May 30, 2015 3:53 PM Member since: Nov 14, 1999
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  • Reply to

    Radio Frequency Vs GPS

    by peristentone May 28, 2015 5:30 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 30, 2015 3:53 PM Flag

    Can you point me to the product?

  • Has anyone seen any filing or presentation suggesting how much free cash flow Fortune Casino might produce? They released an adjusted EBITDA figure, but I invest on free cash flow, never EBITDA.

    I think it is very telling that Fortune took more than 90% of their acquisition price in cash, not stock.

  • peristentone by peristentone May 28, 2015 5:30 PM Flag

    Lojack is getting its consumer products' lunch eaten by competitors who use GPS. Why can't Lojack understand this and offer that product in combination with its radio frequency technology?

    The common use case would be to check on the location of a car or person on an ongoing basis. That is 99.99% of the use for these kinds of products. An actual theft or kidnapping is a rare event. Why doesn't Lojack at least offer GPS options for its product line?

    Hard to believe they could make such a huge product error.

  • peristentone by peristentone May 28, 2015 4:43 PM Flag

    I typed in a long post to this discussion forum and when I go to post it Yahoo flashes a red error message, does not pause for me to read it, and then auto deletes the post!!! What is up with that? Why would they do something so stupid?

    Yahoo discussion forums are filled with spammers who laugh at Yahoo and pollute all their content. They do nothing to address those people and instead harass people who have real content?

  • Reply to

    CVEO Rate of Decline

    by peristentone May 22, 2015 2:18 AM
    peristentone peristentone May 23, 2015 4:08 AM Flag

    No, I think it is going to be a great buy at some point. I am not short, and it would be stupid to short them at this price.

  • Reply to

    CVEO Rate of Decline

    by peristentone May 22, 2015 2:18 AM
    peristentone peristentone May 22, 2015 3:03 PM Flag

    Actually I'm exceptional at this game. The fact that you form opinions without facts says everything about you and nothing about me.

  • peristentone by peristentone May 22, 2015 2:18 AM Flag

    I did a simple spreadsheet entering in the quarterly revenue and EBITDA from Q1 2014 through Q1 2015. Most of these quarters have seen 13% to 17% sequential declines. I was hoping to find that the rate of decline is decreasing. Instead Q1 2015 significantly increased the rate of decline.

    Canada was down 22% on revenue and 33% on EBITDA. I realize that there have been some big contract wins announced for Canada, and we will see if they can at stabilize the decline in Canada.

    The bottom line is I don't see much evidence of a turnaround yet.

  • Reply to

    Big flush on Civeo---Selloff gains strength into close

    by shhc May 14, 2015 5:14 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 21, 2015 3:50 PM Flag

    Debt is not increasing. And the cash flow statement clearly shows positive cash flow, so that could be applied to pay off debt further.

    The question is what level will sales shrink to? What is a sustainable level for Australia, and separately for Canada? Sales are still imploding, so this is very much a hot potato and could easily revisit $2 again.

  • Reply to

    escape by skin of my but !!!

    by mingtiki May 19, 2015 1:35 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 19, 2015 3:41 PM Flag

    Einhorn selling does appear to be a marker for a base - and bottom - forming. You would have to say he didn't understand what he bought, which is why he lost so much. He didn't control his losses on the way down. And he doesn't seem to understand or care about the dynamics of how the company might recover.

  • Reply to

    Tax implications of Canadian move

    by errejonxavage May 15, 2015 9:15 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 19, 2015 3:39 PM Flag

    It could be that tax authorities on either end would construe the transfer of the company to a new market as two separate actions:
    1) The implied sale of the original security at the current price.
    2) An implied purchase of a new security with a new symbol, with a new cost basis.

  • Reply to

    Canadian Competitors

    by peristentone May 15, 2015 3:59 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 19, 2015 3:37 PM Flag

    What kind of morons would give a thumbs down to a simple declarative question about a company's fundamentals? This forum is filled with garbage spam and promotion. Shame on yahoo for running such a sleazy operation on its investment forums. Shame on yahoo for never doing anything to control the spam.

    And get rid of the feedback system. It's been corrupted by spammers.

  • peristentone by peristentone May 15, 2015 3:59 PM Flag

    Are any of Civeo's Canadian competitors public companies?

  • Reply to

    Presentation

    by jayrotunes May 8, 2015 1:35 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 15, 2015 3:42 PM Flag

    What is the headline? Under press releases I do not see it.

  • Reply to

    Presentation

    by jayrotunes May 8, 2015 1:35 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 15, 2015 3:24 PM Flag

    Where is the presentation posted?

  • Reply to

    Composition of Australia

    by peristentone May 14, 2015 12:32 AM
    peristentone peristentone May 15, 2015 2:35 PM Flag

    From the CVEO presentation, it looks like they are primarily supporting mining, with focus on coal.

    You almost want to say that CVEO should just write off most of the Australian operation and then put it into runoff. That way we don't get the slow bleed of deterioration in Australia poisoning the better-than-zero results coming out of Canada. Australia could drag CVEO down for a while because it is a higher margin operation and CVEO still gets a lot of EBITDA there.

  • Reply to

    what is wrong with DHT?

    by gallimbeni May 12, 2015 12:06 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 14, 2015 2:48 PM Flag

    Track the commodity. Tankers went up because oil pricing came down. That created demand for VLCC used as offshore storage facilities, to support users who bought oil at low prices and sold on forware futures contracts, locking in a profit.

    Oil futures are heading back up, which reverses that phenomena, and lowers the demand for VLCC.

  • peristentone by peristentone May 14, 2015 12:32 AM Flag

    Does anyone happen to know how the Australian operation breaks down by resource type? How much is for iron ore, how much for oil/gas, how much for gold or other resources?

  • Reply to

    25% Haircut for 3% Shortfall?

    by peristentone Apr 30, 2015 7:40 PM
    peristentone peristentone May 1, 2015 1:07 AM Flag

    I do not believe LinkedIn is a company valued on earnings. Other momentum stocks like AMZN rarely even have earnings yet sell for phenomenal multiples of revenue. LNKD is being valued for growth as a momentum stock, and it would trade at enormous multiples of revenues even with very negative earnings.

  • peristentone by peristentone Apr 30, 2015 9:35 PM Flag

    What would be a normalized EV/EBITDA level for the temporary lodging industry? I'm assuming somewhere around 5x to 8x depending on where you are in the cycle?

    What was the EV/EBITDA for Civeo when it went public?

  • Reply to

    25% Haircut for 3% Shortfall?

    by peristentone Apr 30, 2015 7:40 PM
    peristentone peristentone Apr 30, 2015 9:17 PM Flag

    I did live through the Internet bubble, but that was a totally different dynamic. In 2000 some analyst calculated that all possible growth in telecom could never pay back the investments already made. That shut off the money flow to the entire sector. That in turn stopped all growth, since it was largely fake growth based on raising money to buy advertising at uneconomic prices.

    Companies that were growing at 30%+ per year simply imploded and went out of business quickly, because they had no real business and the shortfall in funding rounds proved that. LinkedIn has a real business, and they are a fully funded operation. I don't think they are worth their market capitalization, but I also don't understand how a 3% shortfall in revenue is anything more than a yawn.

SPPR
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