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Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF Message Board

plat46 29 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 26, 2015 6:06 AM Member since: May 12, 2000
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  • Pepco merger doesn't matter. Strong dividend support in mid 20's. Plus they can continue to increase dividend and debt not that bad.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • The price of jet for july and august we are well below the 2nd quarter prices and inthat quarter they had 500 million in fuel cost saving. Look for 3rd quarter earning to be substantially above estimates. Will once againbe a record quarter for the company.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Of course this is also the owner of the entertainment network MSNBC. Fabor will probably be on Monday, lol or they could put on Bernie Sanders.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • plat46 plat46 Aug 21, 2015 6:36 AM Flag

    Flextronis does pretty good, they do more then panel but unlike sune they actually make money and at least for the past few years they pay down debt & don't borrow and they aren't flooding the market with millions more of new shares. Their business model relies on electric rates increasing in areas like California, Arizona and other areas where solar may make sense. I don't think that is going to happen. In my area rates have gone down about 20% over the last several years. Fees have increased but that doesn't help solar. There are so many in on this solar scam including investment houses who make money off the debt financing, politicians who get kickbacks , traders and stock evangelists pushing these companies that do not make money and have built up large debt loads. Imho

    Sentiment: Hold

  • They upgraded from 5 to 4 on June 26th, stock price was $26.07. I don't get how during this period you can upgrade when for at least several quarters in a row they are losing about $200 million a quarter and have an interest load per quarter of $150 million. Plus their projections don't show them making money until at least 2017, I am guessing that is not likely. I don't think the price of crude has much to do with the price drop. I think the business model model is bad. Their business models rely heavily on government subsidies and without them they go out of business. Investor relation firms sell this thing like tv evangelists. A lot of these firms make money brokering deals on the financing. Politicians sell the solar based on global warming. Even the pope had a revelation in a parking lot on climate change, lol. That being said this thing could bounce back and companies like solar city could continue performing relatively well.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Buying 38-38.50

    by melodias23 Aug 20, 2015 10:42 AM
    plat46 plat46 Aug 20, 2015 1:37 PM Flag

    May not go that low for awhile, notice the volume is less then 5 million. If it stays above $38.50 until mid to late next week I don't think we will see it that low for quite come time. IMHO

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    did airline fares deop? No.....

    by jwsull Aug 19, 2015 2:00 PM
    plat46 plat46 Aug 20, 2015 6:12 AM Flag

    Yes I would think they would drop because the way jet fuel costs have plummeted. All these airlines are going to continue to have massive amounts of cash flow if oil stays down. Until oil turns around the airlines will continue to be a strong buy, especially after the pullback earlier this year. Even if they get back to their 52 week highs they will be a strong buy especially if oil slips below $40. Even at $60 oil a company like Southwest will operate very profitably. IMHO

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Process Impacts Cash Flow

    by cptdjpicard Aug 7, 2015 2:40 PM
    plat46 plat46 Aug 18, 2015 6:19 AM Flag

    Cpt, I don't fully understand the solar business model. If the array yields 8000 kwh/yr at a 14 cents/kwh that would be about $1120 year in saving. In my area there is no solar because our rates are under 10 cents kwh. I am guessing to make 8000 kwh a year that the installed array would have to be about a 6000 kw (about a 15% capacity factor) So with the $112 month they would have to pay you something say $50 a month and with the remaining $62 pay off the capital investment and then try to make a profit. I figure a 6 kw system would cost at least $21 k to install and maybe $14 k is owed. Which would probably take about 20 years to pay off. That wouldn't include the overhead. Plus everything would have to go right over 20 years and rates would have to stay high. Ours have went down over the past few years. I am not saying they are not going to make a profit. It just doesn't seem real lucrative. But they must have this figured out, perhaps their installation cost are a lot cheaper. I hope it isn't based on rates continuing up because I don't think that will happen. Ki do like nrg especially at these levels. CEO pretty dynamic. IMHO

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Anyone look at analyst estimates section of yahoo. Oas reported a .39 loss per gaap but a net gain of about .39/share non gaap. Yahoo has the non gaap numbers reported. Yahoo analyst estimates show them beating expected .28/share estimate by .10. Don't research analyst base their estimates on gaap.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    Unreal... gees where is bottom?

    by dbascb Aug 4, 2015 2:06 PM
    plat46 plat46 Aug 4, 2015 6:46 PM Flag

    At some point their dividend will support them. At 4% that would be about $15 and at 4.5% it might be $12-13. Plus I heard they have a goal of increasing their dividend to a dollar by 2016. That would certainly put them in the $20-$25 range. CEO owns a million shares so he has a lot of motivation to keep the price of stock up. Plus I think he can do it. Short term things don't look favorable, may already be oversold.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Has OAS rated as a 3(hold) Could be oversold and ripe for a short term trade. Very speculative stock. I bought some in the fourth quarter of last year prior to an event where Saudi's were going to announce production cuts. They didn't and I sold quickly for about a 15% loss. I sold somewhere between $20-$21 can't remember exact price. Earning should be interesting could provide a big pop for the stock, although could be devastating. Based on fundamentals i don't think this stock should be hold. Although it is so volatile it may make someone money as it moves from oversold to overbought. IMHO

    Sentiment: Sell

  • I looked at revenues and notice over the last few quarters that revenues are actually decreasing plus last quarter revenues were only a little over $300 million. Can anyone explain this? I would expect revenues to increase quite a bit with the way the stock price has moved up over the last year.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    No worries

    by know2foldem Jul 31, 2015 3:51 PM
    plat46 plat46 Aug 1, 2015 7:19 AM Flag

    I have been watching sune and don't own it and it does take money to make money but these guys make scty look like no debt company. Going forward they are going to have at least 500 million in long term interest. I think the high debt and the recent financing is really spooking people and causing the drop. Still looks like this will drop more. I am just basing this on Friday drop of about 10% on three times normal volume. Imho

    Sentiment: Sell

  • It looks like yahoo hasn't adjusted epd for the split a year ago or the 52 week price range. Are they not at about a 52 week low or am i looking at this wrong. I think yahoo has the 52 week low at $17 and change?

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Don't matter as they won't earn any money and no one is expecting them to. The only thing that matters is increase in revenues which should be at record levels and forward guidance. No one really cares about the debt either which is very large compared to revues but pales in comparison to. SUNE. I expect Scty up after their earning report especially since hilary said we need toincrease solar use by 700%.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • 1) baseless environmental regulations
    2) low natural prices due to fracking and pipeline infrastructure
    3) lack of energy demand due to efficiency gains in products consumers use
    4) decrease in electric power usage due to the loss of the industrial and manufacturing base

    Actually from a global standpoint the use of coal is increasing due to China, Asia and India use since it is so cheap to produce power in nations that require cheap power.

    California actually has no coal fired plants. One of the reasons why consumers there pay about twice what others do in the continental US. However they do import about 30% of their. A lot from Mexico where they don't burn coal cleanly like in the US.

    Solar use will still continue to increase as long as it is subsidized by federal, state and local governments with taxpayer dollars. Bottom line it is a very expensive and inefficent technology until the Asians find a way to decrease costs more.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Positioning for earning. If so doesn't look good for earning. We are at a 52 week low. A lot of support at $30.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Murphy wants the DOJ to investigate airline price gouging. Hmmm I wonder if the private law firms who will work with DOJ will be associated with him. Oh yeah this was the guy who was sued in 2007 because he wasn't paying his mortgage, lol. He said he was only a few payments behind, lol. Ironically he was a member of the finance committee. The he struck a deal for a consolidation loan with a large bank for a low interest loan. That bank later contributed large amount s of money to his campaign. The other democratic senator who asked for the investigation is one of the richest members of congress who made his fortune filing lawsuits and making settlements. If you think flying is to expensive don't fly.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Two bad articles this morning, no mention of the record profits and continued weakness in fuel that will result in $100 millions more in profit. Much better today then when crude is at $80, great fundamentals. Earning always wins out in the end. Expect share buy back soon if price weakness persists.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    what a great shorting opportunity!

    by markpl950 Jul 20, 2015 10:58 AM
    plat46 plat46 Jul 21, 2015 6:32 AM Flag

    Yes the metrics look horrendous. Plus there is so much competition in this space. These solar companies keep bleeding cash. I don't get why this hasn't crashed. If this is a long term investment even under the best scenarios they could be 5 years away from profitability. Plus wholesale power prices are dropping.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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