Yes I will wait, no matter how long it takes. What are the alternatives. Jump up and down and swear at management or sell and move on? What would you suggest, if no information prior to or on the Aug CC?? In my case, I will just listen to the shorts for awhile longer. I am not selling, so I will WAIT. Others will have to make up their own mind.. To me ARWR is worth Billions, just maybe not to those without HBV/HDV. Time will tell, if I am right or wrong.
Just maybe they can't discuss guidance on funding, due to on going negotiations, and Roche ROFN. "WHEN" will happen, one way or the other. IF nothing on Aug CC, then they have 1 more chance on the Nov CC. You can't rush a cake in the oven, or make water boil sooner than it takes. One thing for sure, I would hate to wait until the Feb 2017 CC.
Note - My job is to wait, no matter how long. Investors either believe or they don't If investing was easy, it would take all the drama out of it..
My 2 cents = It's not "IF", it's when, by who, and how much; BP is not going to let this one get away. The Science has done just what was anticipated, and with "NO" safety issues.
Reminds me of when people who were looking for wealth in this country in the early years. Some had better picks/shovels, better horses or more than the other guy. Some had more knowledge of where to look, but no one paid any attention until the MAGIC WORDS were yelled. GOLD. Then everyone came a running. Let's see if ARWR mentions those words, like in FC. They will all come running. Lots of people will get run over, during that time. Best to stay clear of the possible stampede. Just my 2 cents
This is an example of the endless research and drivel I used to write
Now you just write DRIVEL. Move on an grow up. This one is not for YOU.
I am all for #2. That would be that duel new release about 5 hrs apart. Catch the shorts twice that day. First thing in the morning, then after they reload.
#3 Still looking for NVS/Roche.
I am still in favor of 2 releases that day. One at 7:30 to 15. Then let the shorts re establish a new short position, then hit them w/the big release around 1:30.. ZOOM ZOOM,,,, ZOOM
End - I thought about that last nite, and came to the conclusion that most of the big institutions will wait for the outcome of the trials. Once the facts are known. you will see a day w/approx. 15-25 M on volume. It will be one hell of a day, and we will all be there to witness it happen. That is why I always said, ARWR will never see 10. It will be either 3 or 25. I can hardly wait for that great day. Ever see 10/13M shorts trying to get out the same door at the same time. So far, CA has out played the players.
Most in the 3.5 to 5.5 range
I was thinking most of the biggees were in from the 15 range. If I was a short in that range you mentioned, I wouldn't be sleeping very comfortable, currently. Most are down around 1.25 to 2.00 right now, and must be the Johnny come lately to the party. Let the party begin. Burnt toast anyone. I would think the smart money would be on ABUS. That have to be running around 25M per quarter, w/about 15 months left, and zilch for potential.
The cycle you mentioned, is about .18 top to bottom most days. No one, and I mean no one, catches the top or bottom exactly. So most are playing for 60% of that .18 cent spread. That is .11 cents on say, 5K shares, is $500 per normal day, less any cost. No one is going to get rich that way, and it just takes one day, to wipe it all out. Most do have a plan, but plans can get turned upside down, on any given morning.
Like PT Barnum stated, there is a "sucker born every minute". Hope you have a escape plan
There was a Shepherd Boy who tended his sheep at the foot of a mountain near a dark forest. It was lonely for him, so he devised a plan to get a little company. He rushed down towards the village calling out “Wolf, Wolf,” and the villagers came out to meet him. This pleased the boy so much that a few days after he tried the same trick, and again the villagers came to his help. Shortly after this a Wolf actually did come out from the forest. The boy cried out “Wolf, Wolf,” still louder than before. But this time the villagers, who had been fooled twice before, thought the boy was again lying, and nobody came to his aid. So the Wolf made a good meal off the boy’s flock.
The Wolf is coming an he will eat you and your flock. That is what you get for lying.
Dr. Zoidberg @psuvafan007 · 9m9 minutes ago
@BattagliaCE Funny, just last week I compiled a list of markers of HBV FC besides HBsAg KD. $GILD
Forget Surface Antibodies, If You Have Both Undetectable Viral Load and HBsAg, You Might Be Functionally “Cured” http://hepbblog.org/2016/03/23/forget-surface-antibodies-if-you-have-both-undetectable-viral-load-and-hbsag-you-might-be-functionally-cured/ …