The 4th quarter of 2014 was an excellent one for KORS. The beat on both the top and bottom lines dwarfed that of any other apparel retailer. Most retailers are whining about the weather and slow mall traffic. For KORS to sell off after such a stellar report must be technical action, and not related to the fundamentals of this company. I suspect at some point KORS will be rewarded for its organic EPS and revenue growth.
KATE missed by 50% as they were expected to lose $.04 and actually lost $.06. Coach had a negative 21% same store sales number. KORS is obviously taking market share and is the winner in this space.
They will report another beat and raise quarter for Q1 2015 in the first week of August. Will the stock sell off again?
Michael Kors does not rely on outlets for revenue, and that is Coach's area.
The analysts were overwhelmingly positive on KORS after Q4 and most raised their price target. Goldman Sachs raised its target to $134!
I visited two Michael Kors stores today, and called several others in various cities. Yes, they are discounting some of their older bags. You can get 20%-30% off a few Hamilton and Selma bags. I have no problem with KORS discounting to get rid of old inventory. They have been saying for years that "normalization" will happen at some point. The hot new bag is the Sutton Tote, and it is "flying off the shelves."
In looking back at Q4 2014 it was a great quarter, and certainly not one to prompt a selloff. There are darn few retail firms who are beating decisively on both the top line and bottom lines. Most are making their numbers by laying off employees or having a stock repurchase program. Michael Kors is growing organically and promises to grow 20%-25% for quite some time.
They crushed the revenue estimates and how many firms are doing that these days? Name a few for me please! Stocks go up when they are ready, and not when you want them to rise. Many newbies piled in prior to earnings expecting a spike after the EPS report, and they got flushed out. The strong hands still hold. I still believe $120 is a minimum for KORS this year.
Just type in "KORS" and you will see a steady 60 for April and May which is up 12-13 points from 2013. In retail it is year to year comparison and not month to month. They will easily beat the $.80 estimated this quarter. In fact, I believe we see a much larger EPS beat than Q4 2014!
I am checking malls & making calls today to see if I can find some discounts...
Weak hands expecting a spike in the stock price got flushed out....pretty good action in KORS last week....maybe more shorts in the stock? Herb Greenberg may be doing the longs a favor by bringing weak short sellers in this equity?
Thanks for the anecdotal evidence. According to Google trends Michael Kors is having an excellent quarter and tracking much higher than this time last year. This is a global company and a few store visits tells us nothing. I am sure they will beat the $.79 that has been estimated. It would not surprise me if the earn $1 billion in revenue and earn $1 EPS. They are still gaining momentum and taking market share from Coach!
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Among the names, Michael Kors Holdings KORS +2.28% is expected to tack up earnings growth of 20% and 21% in the March 2015 and 2016 fiscal years, respectively. The marketer of luxury clothing, accessories and footwear has a very high return on equity of 46%. Companies with ROEs in this range usually have some long-term debt, but KORS doesn't. Mutual-fund sponsors have increased from 669 to 831 to 1053 to 1092 in the last three quarters.
Technically, the shares, which had been forming a quality three-month base, reacted to their first-quarter earnings report Wednesday by staging an early reversal and going out near the high of the day. Volume was quite heavy at 333% above normal turnover. An aggressive speculator is presented with a possible cheater entrance above the Tuesday high of 98.96. Alternatively, a standard breakout entrance for less-aggressive players would be on a takeout of the Feb. 25 high of 101.04.
The idea here is that the violent shakeout of the first 20 minutes of Wednesday flushed out weak holders, leaving others holding the stock who are less likely to sell right away.
The board got full of newbies this eek who were trying to pile in for a big earnings spike. Boy, did they get played? I really do not care where KORS is going Monday as I know where it will be one year from now…
Good luck with your perfect sample….
KORS traded down exactly $2 this week with 29 million shares traded. It was the highest volume week since the first week in February (also an earnings week). Technically, the stock is forming a base with a buy pint of $101.14. The stock sold off after a stellar earnings report, and bounced off its 10 week line nicely on Friday with good volume. The stock looks healthy, although I am sure we will hear some bear cases in regards to margins and technicals in the coming weeks. That is what makes a market!
Good luck to all...
Nice post raskolnikov88!
Just keep focused on the weekly chart as that is the tell; lower left to upper right.
If you just hold the stock then you will make money. Let the MM's, pundits, analysts do and say what they want. KORS will grind higher quarter after quarter and tear after year.
Nice find on that note...
John Idol and Joe Parsons will do a better job in August focusing on their earnings, revenue, brand power, brand awareness, and future growth potential. The margins should not be the focus of a conference call.
I am not selling any of my shares....In fact, I was tempted to add yesterday, but did not! I am comfortable holding 1,200 shares with an average price around $60. The KORS growth story is not over. But, the attention on this stock is growing, and the attention on the margins is ridiculous. Their operating margins and gross profit margins are beyond healthy!