I am aware that institutional investors are pulling money out of the market. That would be hedge funds and pension funds and the like. But I was unaware that someone was holding up a sign saying "I'm big money and I'm pumping so I can dump." I think you imagination is filling in the gaps.
Retail investors on the other hand are still adding money to the market. I am assuming that much of this has to do with the fact that 401K account money keeps trickling in.
I for one have decided to take a breather. I would feel much better if we had a nice 20% correction after which I could come back in and feel a bit safer about valuations.
Also much of the concern about over valuations is focused on these over priced high fliers that we all know are over priced. No experienced investor is going to buy these stocks knowing that they will get hit very hard in any correction. Of course you have newbies with little experience who will imagine that "this time is different" and need to be taught that things are never different. Lucky for us or how can us more experienced investors make money?
In any event, I'm out for now.
I cannot find anything that confirms this. I hope they don't delist it. It is a wonderful way to make money if you short it.
it does not show up as a menu selection on the summary page but you can get there by typing in UVXY into the "get message board for" field on any message board page.
I did that. I sold most everything. I am now about 80% cash. The issues I was concerned with that lead to this probably do not affect AGNC. AGNC is its own beast dependent on future interest rates only. The economy could be crashing and if interest rates are going to go down then it will go up.
That said, I would not base my investment strategy on interest rates going up. Fed policy has gotten very political under Obama. You would be investing based on political outcomes. That is not something I want to try and predict.
In case you have not noticed. All that this turmoil did was keep TVIX from declining at its normal rate. It has not gone up. It only stopped losing money. I get it that for many that this is great news. But seriously, if this is the good news then what is the attraction?
I have been saying exactly that for 6 months and most longs don't understand that until they actually experience it. It was obvious to me the second I looked at the chart. But.the people who buy this stock seem to miss this. I think it can be concluded that if you would buy this stock in the first place it says something about you ability to understand the things that seem immediately obvious to the shorts. For some reason they over look the obvious and just see those occasional large spikes and image that another one will happen soon not comprehending that it is impossible to predict.
It was worse than that. The banks didn't want to make no doc loans because they were afraid of the liability but Fannie and Freddy told them that if they didn't make them that they would not buy their good loans. So basically they were forced into making these bad loans. And then the government sues them as a political move because it makes them look like they are doing something but all they are really doing is showing everyone how dumb they were in the first place for encouraging the banks to make these loans. Of course if you are uninformed and believe everything they tell you then you will believe what they say. Most of the time that is the case.
Eventually it will go full circle again. PACs will start pressuring the government about the poor not being able to get loans and this will cause the government to pressure Fannie and Freddy. They in turn will pressure the banks and this will lead to another financial crisis. The Republicans will fight all these efforts to get banks to make bad loans but in the end Democrats will blame Republicans as if somehow they were part of the ruse.
It is like being trapped in one of those circular scenss you see on the twilight zone except this is really happening.
and Obama won't be invited to it.
Anyone could have seen this coming. You bite the hand that feeds you and guess what? No more food. Banks have been fined three times the price of the loan for as much as a typo. So obviously they see this kind of loan as unprofitable and no longer want to write them. Who gets hurt? The poor are hurt because they get their loans through the FHA. And I ask you. Which party did this?
All they had to do was pass a law that loans had to be fully documented and that if any loan went bad that the bank who wrote it would be partially liable for the losses enough to make sure they would not want to write a bad loan. That was it. It would have solved the whole problem. But the Democrats wanted blood and now no one will be willing to write these loans. Morons.
The funny thing about this is that the only people who would care about this are Democrats. You Democrats really need to start electing smarter people. The ones you have been electing are making things worse.
Personally I don't think they do it on purpose. They are just too dumb to perceive ahead of time what the consequences of their actions will be until they see it after it is too late. Smart people don't do that. Smart people comprehend it before it happens and act accordingly. This isn't what is happening folks.
They certainly make a lot of money on it. Think about it. They keep selling shares to longs and the shares go down in value until they reverse split and then they sell more shares. I am sure they are blown away by the fact that people keep coming back for more.
Hey, no one is perfect. Besides, they might of had no idea that they were TG when they killed and raped them. Give them a benefit of a doubt. TG bigots have feelings too you know. I propose that in order to reform this behavior that we assign 3 TG bigots with every TG as punishment for their narrow mindedness. Problem solved.
I believe that LBGT are unrepresented in the professional homeless field and therefore are discriminated against. When was the last time you saw a transgender at the freeway entrance holding up a sign stating their dire homeless condition. This is a national disgrace. We need more LBGT diversity in the professional homeless field.
To this end I have been thinking about starting a company called LBGT homeless international. Straight people need not apply. You application will not be considered. We are an equal rights organization so stay away.
No, that is not correct. It does not accumulate. It retraces back to where it was each time. You can get a little overlap causing it to move for a few days in row up, but it immediately starts to go back down again.
A more accurate analogy for this stock is a boat that is trying to go up river and its motor breaks down most of the time. Every so often the motor stays on for a few days but then breaks down again. In the end the boat ends up further and further down river. Think of it that way.
If you are long you are trying to fight the current with a decrepit boat. If you are short you are riding the current down the river without a lot of concern. If the boat moves up river for a few days the short is not concerned because he knows the motor is going to break down again and in no time he will be back to where it was and then further on down river.
If you look at it that way you might understand a little better how to trade this which is to short it and not to buy it long.
I am short TVIX, not long. I am not going to lose anything.
If TVIX did a 10:1 reverse split they would give you 1 share for every 10 and the price would change from $2.90 to $29. I don't get why you say they cannot do that. They have done that twice in as many years. And they will do it again.
Some times I think you are not reading anyone's post very carefully as it seems it is all going in one ear and out the other. It would almost seem like you have me on ignore. At least conprehension wise.
You keep saying TVIX will become insolvent as if the stock price is related to its solvency when they are completely unrelated. They can do this for the next 1000 years. Every year it will become worth about 1/10 what it was worth the year before and that will happen forever. If we have a major recession it will bounce up by about a factor of 20 but then it will start to decay again. How rapidly I do not know because all these volatility ETFs were created after the last recession. Some people have done some computer simulations. I am not convinced that their models are accurate.
It is pretty easy to tell if a major recession is about to occur because unemployment starts to rise rapidly. It will give you plenty of time to prepare.
Investors in the over all market are complacent. One good correction will fix that behavior. But there is no way to predict when that will happen. All we know is that it will happen. But when is impossible to know.