Wed, Aug 27, 2014, 8:25 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 1 hr 5 mins

Recent

% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

reppeptgs 141 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 25, 2014 5:27 PM Member since: Feb 21, 2001
SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Highest Rated Expand all messages
  • Reply to

    The stock was higher 21, 14 & 8 years ago

    by smootherhooker Aug 25, 2014 4:29 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 25, 2014 5:27 PM Flag

    As you can see, our Welcome mat is out of order these days, smootherhooker. It's good to see your handle, and I hope you and yours are well.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Saturday Report 23 August, 2014

    by reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 12:27 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 24, 2014 9:03 PM Flag

    I tried to reply to you on your other thread to our friend, but our hosts dropped my message twice. Just wanted you to know he is not ignoring you.

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Saturday Report 23 August, 2014

    by reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 12:27 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 24, 2014 9:02 PM Flag

    Wow, that does sound like quite a trip, Razor Man. I look forward to hearing about it.

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Saturday Report 23 August, 2014

    by reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 12:27 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 5:48 PM Flag

    It's good to know one of our stalwarts is in agreement with me, burgoo. I may not have any fingernails by the end of the year, but it sure will be exciting. And the stock will reflect the performance of the company, one way or another. You know which way I'm betting.

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Saturday Report 23 August, 2014

    by reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 12:27 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 1:35 PM Flag

    I think the company is just unlocking its value, Hans. At the last earnings report, after reporting that the sales force was essentially going to double, KK talked about "leveraging our position in the market", which I took to refer to additional deals where the sales force would be used by another company--like the Januvia deal.

    I'm here for the long haul, and would be disappointed if the company was sold out short term.

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Saturday Report 23 August, 2014

    by reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 12:27 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 23, 2014 12:29 PM Flag

    We have huge results pending. Irritability on Alzheimer’s is truly a game changer, IMO. Optinose is also significant, and it’s more of a sure bet. These are weeks or months off, but the institutional numbers keep going up. Us peons are just here for the ride, and thankful they're hopping aboard.

    I think OFP is right--the next few weeks and months are going to be a wild ride. Hang on, and scream if you want.

    To close, here are the Boys talking about weather changes. Secure the hatches, longs!

    /watch?v=T3znOTuT4K8

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Our intro song may be a repeat, but it’s just so applicable! Here’s Men at Work with Dr Heckyll and Mr Jive. Check the funky video.

    /watch?v=eZkOn0-yt9E

    AVNR was green for a FOURTH straight week, gaining 23 cents (4.13%) to close at $5.80. The broader market was green, with the NAS gaining 1.7%; its YTD gain rising to 8.7%. Biotechs were mixed. The BTK gained 1.4%, while the IBB gained 1.1%. The XBI lost 1.1%. YTD, AVNR is up 72.6%. Last August 8, the stock closed at $5.03. YOY, AVNR still has a gain of 15.3%. This last comparison faces its toughest test in the next few weeks.

    Here are the LOW prices for this week:

    Mon: 5.57
    Tues: 5.79
    Weds: 5.62
    Thurs: 5.62
    Fri: 5.62 (!)

    And here are the lows from last week:

    5.37
    5.449
    5.55
    5.60
    5.57

    This stock is starting to gyrate, as the joust between bulls and bears gets more intense.

    The last couple weeks have been fascinating. Last week (8/11) we were green M-Th. Friday’s drop of 12 cents was so devastating that Ride lamented we had been red too much lately.

    Now, he DID go on to predict a big day Monday, which was spot on. The stock gained 30 cents or 5.39% on over 3 milion volume. Then we went red 3 days in a row, only to end with a strong Friday. So, the score this week: 2 green days totaling 44 cents, and 3 red ones totaling 21 cents.

    I’m sure the pill count helped yesterday. Yes, as some here seemed eager to point out, it was below last week’s record total. By what, 1.5%? Which is still the second highest pill count ever? And after Ralph has explained how the numbers always go down the second reporting week of a month? Gimme a break. The numbers are strong. And with the company in the process of adding another 70 sales reps in both LTC and the private sector, those numbers are going to get a lot better.

    Continued...

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Nuedexta Numbers - August 15th

    by tomollie3 Aug 22, 2014 11:28 AM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 22, 2014 12:15 PM Flag

    Thank you Tom, for providing these numbers each week. The historical data puts it well in context. I truly appreciate your providing this vital information.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Not to burst the shorts' bubble (who am I kidding?), but the stock closed at $5.57 on Friday. The stock has gained 16 cents so far this week, an increase of 2.7%.

    I'm just sayin'.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 20, 2014 10:44 AM Flag

    The simple fact is that no stock ever goes up every day. AAPL goes down; so does GOOG. AVNR is no exception.

    After your DD, you purchase shares and hope the company has more good days than bad. Take a look at the YTD chart for AVNR. I think it might make you feel better.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 18, 2014 12:06 PM Flag

    Good call!

    Sentiment: Buy

  • reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 18, 2014 11:52 AM Flag

    Ok, you did make the right call. I grant you that, and congratulations (and thank you!). But I disagree with your premise.

    Your note said "we've seen too much red lately". The numbers don't prove that out. Last week, the stock was green 4 days out of 5, only closing red Friday. The stock gained 16 cents on the week 2.9%. And it was the third straight green week for the stock.

    So your reasoning was faulty. And I'm REALLY GLAD you were right!

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 15, 2014 10:54 AM Flag

    It's not just AVNR. The NAS and biotech indexes I follow both plunged starting about 10 minutes ago.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • reppeptgs by reppeptgs Aug 15, 2014 7:22 AM Flag

    Good morning! It's been a great week so far in Avanirland, and I think the numbers in tomorrow's Saturday Report would be pretty impressive. Except I'm not writing a report tomorrow. I'm going somewhere where there's no internet access (yay!).

    Just to let y'all know. If someone could reply to this tomorrow morning so the weekenders will know, I'd appreciate it.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Allianz, Alliance-Bernstein, Geode & Prudential

    by spook2b Aug 13, 2014 4:14 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 13, 2014 5:04 PM Flag

    NIrv was a good egg. Still miss his presence here.

  • Reply to

    Allianz, Alliance-Bernstein, Geode & Prudential

    by spook2b Aug 13, 2014 4:14 PM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 13, 2014 4:24 PM Flag

    Thank you for your continued efforts on this important information, Mr. #$%$.

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Sense of relief

    by jd39souza98 Aug 12, 2014 10:07 AM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 12, 2014 5:06 PM Flag

    I am glad you and yours are well and have an opportunity to let the dust settle for a bit. Thanks for the link. Several pictures I had never seen--no small feat!

    I shall do my best to keep the woodpile in check, with help with my long friends here in the bunker. I trust you left the flask....

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Sense of relief

    by jd39souza98 Aug 12, 2014 10:07 AM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 12, 2014 10:48 AM Flag

    I agree, JD. In fact I was thinking the same thing yesterday, looking at AVNR's long-term chart. Quick rises have almost inevitably been followed by quick drops in share price.

    As the saying goes, slow and steady wins the race.

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Saturday Report 9 August, 2014

    by reppeptgs Aug 9, 2014 10:07 AM
    reppeptgs reppeptgs Aug 10, 2014 8:50 AM Flag

    Licenses. Not as much of a bad word as "warrants" around here, but they are something to deal with.

    My recollection is that you are correct, that the license for Optinose for migraines is limited to N. America. Perhaps I'm being overly optimistic, but let's hope the negotiators have anticipated the EU and ROW, and are just waiting to get approval here and perhaps good sales, before tackling other horizons.

    SP

    Sentiment: Buy

  • I just got to know our opening song this week. Listening to the lyrics, I can see it as applicable to the stock market. Or maybe I just like the video.

    /watch?v=b7k0a5hYnSI

    AVNR was green for a second straight week, gaining 14 cents (2.65%) to close at $5.41. The broader market and sector were green. The NAS gained 0.4%; its YTD gain rose to 4.7%. The BTK gained 1.52%, while the IBB gained 0.5%. The XBI gained 2.9%. YTD, AVNR is up 61%. Last August 8, the stock closed at $4.59 (compared to 4.76 last week). YOY, AVNR’s gain stands at 17.8%.

    Here are the LOW prices for this week:

    Mon: 5.17
    Tues: 5.16
    Weds: 5.08
    Thurs: 5.28
    Fri: 5.22

    And here are the lows from last week:

    5.14
    5.22
    5.32
    5.21
    5.16

    I waxed poetic about this Weds. evening, but the idea bears repeating. The fundamentals of this company are (finally!) starting to make it so the stock price of the company can’t be pushed around (too much).

    Earnings around here used to be…depressing. Not only the report, but the aftermath. InEVitably, the share price would go down after a report. BUT NOT THIS TIME.

    Why? I think Wall St. is beginning to realize the story of this company is rather compelling.

    N. is steadily gaining pill count and more importantly, prescribing physicians. The company is going to double its sales force, AGAIN. And did you get Keith’s comment in the CC that they will “continue to explore in-licensing to take advantage of [the company’s] infrastructure”. So there may be more deals where Avanir’s unique LTC sales force leads to additional income.

    The near term horizon has serious catalysts. Optinose on November 23. Significant? Naw. It’s only going to give patients suffering from migraines a treatment that works in ¼ of the time, using ¼ of the medication that has been used to date.

    Irritability in Alzheimer’s. Need I say more?

    The story is compelling.

    In closing, I’ll leave it to a couple of Johns. I hope it gives you a smile.

    /watch?v=eUqvZqaCrzo

    Sarge

    Sentiment: Buy

AVNR
6.10+0.04(+0.66%)Aug 26 4:00 PMEDT

Trending Tickers

i
Trending Tickers features significant U.S. stocks showing the most dramatic increase in user interest in Yahoo Finance in the previous hour over historic norms. The list is limited to those equities which trade at least 100,000 shares on an average day and have a market cap of more than $300 million.