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Mast Therapeutics, Inc. Message Board

reven2427 234 posts  |  Last Activity: 8 hours ago Member since: Jul 24, 2012
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  • Signal Update : Tomorrow!

    Our system’s recommendation today is to BUY. The BULLISH KICKING pattern finally received a confirmation because the prices crossed above the confirmation level which was at 0,8139, and our valid average buying price stands now at 0,8610. The previous SHORT signal was issued on 25/11/2014, 23 days ago, when the stock price was 1,4900. Since then DRYS has fallen by -42,21%.

    Market Outlook

    The bulls have strong evidence on their side and this evidence prompts us to make a bullish bet. The bullish pattern that was previously identified is finally confirmed and a BUY signal is generated. It is probably the right time to be part of this boost and bullish market sentiment. The market is telling you about a possible new profit. Do not miss this chance.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Ratings Breakdown: 1 Sell Rating(s), 4 Hold Rating(s), 1 Buy Rating(s)
    Consensus Rating: Hold (Score: 2.00)
    Consensus Price Target: $1.98 (111.23% upside)

    12/10/2014 Deutsche Bank Lower Price Target Hold $2.00 - $1.00
    11/7/2014 Zacks Reiterated Rating Neutral - Neutral $1.50
    10/28/2014 Imperial Capital Upgrade Underperform - Outperform $1.40 - $1.90
    10/13/2014 Deutsche Bank Downgrade Buy - Hold
    10/13/2014 Imperial Capital Downgrade Outperform - Underperform $4.00 - $1.40
    10/3/2014 Nordea Equity Research Downgrade Hold - Sell

    Sentiment: Buy

  • reven2427 reven2427 9 hours ago Flag

    While the Company has a strong pipeline of equipment orders in its books, it appears that the company's customers are taking a wait and see approach to the company's prospects before proceeding with the orders. For shareholders to have any meaningful prospects, in addition to the furnace sales, GT Advanced needs to bring its marquee solar business back to life.

    Traditionally equipment contracts are prepaid to a certain extent and difficult to cancel. Given the tight nature of equipment contracts, it is likely that many of the orders have been pushed out due to customer concerns about GT Advanced's viability. If so, these orders may survive the bankruptcy process. However, the poor nature of the contracts that the company negotiated with Apple can make investors wonder about the solidity of these equipment contracts. Without disclosures from the company, it is impossible to know which of the orders the company can meaningfully retain on its books.

    All things considered, we believe the future of the company's equity holders now depends on two factors:

    - The company's ability to sell most of the furnaces at a price well above the Apple clearing prices.

    - Revival of the company's solar business.

    Given the technology advantage that the company has in both these areas, we believe there is a reason for investors to be optimistic. The company's strong leadership position in the solar equipment market space remains the best prospect for the equity holders.

  • Dec. 17, 2014 4:48 PM ET
    •Bankruptcy court Judge Boroff signed off on a revised deal between GTAT and Apple which significantly improves the prospects for GTAT bond and equity holders.
    •We believe the cutting edge nature of the furnaces makes it highly likely that GTAT can sell the equipment at reasonable prices at a substantial income to the estate.
    •The future of the equity holders now firmly resides in the company's solar business prospects.
    On Monday, bankruptcy Judge Boroff signed off on a deal between Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and GT Advanced Technologies (OTCPK:GTATQ) bringing to an end a contentious chapter in the GT Advanced bankruptcy process.

    Apple and GTAT made a deal earlier in the bankruptcy process but the unsecured creditors resisted the deal and wanted further concessions from Apple. As a result of the negotiations between the involved parties, Apple agreed to limit its receipts for the first 500 furnaces to $169K per furnace compared to the $200K as per the terms of the prior agreement. Apple also agreed to $224K per furnace for the next 500 furnaces compared to $250K as per the prior agreement. Furthermore, Apple gave GT Advanced an extension on the free Mesa lease to proceed with the furnace sales.
    As a practical matter, it is easier to sell the first 1,000 of the 2,000 furnaces at Mesa. The reduction in Apple's cut for the first 100 furnaces and flexibility in the deal terms substantially increases GT Advanced cash flow and puts the company on a stronger footing to recover from the bankruptcy. With this deal, Apple has essentially given GTAT a concession of about $50M - a much needed reprieve for the beleaguered company. Furthermore, we find it likely that if GT Advanced cannot sell the furnaces at a reasonable margin, it will negotiate a sweeter deal for the remaining furnaces. Apple has very little leverage in this regard since Apple needs GT Advanced sales and support services to have any meaningful recovery from equipment sales.

  • reven2427 reven2427 12 hours ago Flag

    Follow your instinct, as I keep mine


  • Reply to

    S&P Affirms Petrobras 'BBB-' Ratings

    by reven2427 17 hours ago
    reven2427 reven2427 17 hours ago Flag

    We have also revised our management and governance
    score to "fair" from "satisfactory" because we believe that Petrobras has
    lesser ability to identify and effectively control critical strategic risks,
    as seen in the corruption investigations and delays in releasing its financial

    The ratings on Petrobras reflect our view of the "very high" likelihood that
    the government would provide timely and sufficient extraordinary support to
    the company in the event of financial distress. Under our government-related
    entity criteria, absent any rating action on the sovereign or our reassessment
    of the government support likelihood, a downgrade would occur only if the
    company's SACP were to fall to 'b' or below

  • 2:33p ET December 16, 2014 (Dow Jones)
    The following is a press release from Standard & Poor's:

    -- Brazil-based integrated oil and gas company Petrobras is currently
    under the corruption investigations, which weakened its financial flexibility
    and market access.
    -- We affirmed our 'BBB-' corporate credit rating on the company. At the
    same time, we revised downward our stand-alone credit profile (SACP) on the
    company to 'bb' from 'bbb-'. The stable outlook reflects that on the sovereign.

    SAO PAULO (Standard & Poor's) Dec. 16, 2014--Standard & Poor's Ratings
    Services affirmed its 'BBB-' corporate credit rating on Petroleo Brasileiro
    S.A. - Petrobras (Petrobras). The outlook remains stable. At the same time, we
    affirmed our 'BBB-' senior unsecured ratings on the notes of Petrobras'
    wholly-owned financing vehicles-- Petrobras International Finance Co. and
    Petrobras Global Finance B.V.

    We also revised downward our SACP assessment on Petrobras to 'bb' from 'bbb-'.
    This revision doesn't affect our final ratings on the company because they
    continue to benefit from what we view as the "very high" likelihood of
    extraordinary support from the government. Due to this support, there's a
    two-notch uplift in the company's SACP.
    The SACP revision reflects Petrobras' weaker projected liquidity, more
    restricted market access to financing, and potentially weaker cash flow
    generation in light of the current corruption investigations. In our view, the
    company already had tight credit metrics for its previous SACP assessment,
    while its cash flows could suffer from lower capex execution (and consequently
    production ramp-up) and potential fines arising from Brazil Federal Police's
    and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's investigations into
    allegations of corruption and money laundering, both of which have been widely
    publicized in the press.

  • Ratings Breakdown: 3 Hold Rating(s), 3 Buy Rating(s)
    Consensus Rating: Buy (Score: 2.50)
    Consensus Price Target: $9.00 (1,116.22% upside)
    12/16/2014 Wunderlich Downgrade Buy - Hold $4.00 - $1.00
    11/7/2014 Canaccord Genuity Reiterated Rating Buy $7.50 - $6.00
    11/6/2014 Northland Securities Downgrade Outperform - Market Perform $6.00 - $2.00
    9/17/2014 Piper Jaffray Initiated Coverage Neutral
    6/24/2014 GMP Securities Initiated Coverage Buy
    5/22/2014 Jefferies Group Lower Price Target $19.00 - $17.00
    5/22/2014 Brean Capital Lower Price Target $20.00 - $14.00
    5/15/2014 KLR Group Lower Price Target $10.00 - $9.00
    5/14/2014 EuroPacific Canada Lower Price Target $14.00 - $12.00

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Eric Jhonsa, SA News Editor
    •Bankruptcy judge Henry Boroff has signed off on GT Advanced's (OTCPK:GTATQ) revised settlement with Apple, through which GT stands to keep an extra ~$50M as it sells off its 2,000 sapphire furnaces to help pay down $439M in claims held by Apple.
    •GT attorney Luc Despins told the court he expects each furnace to sell for at least $500K. Apple will receive $169K/furnace for the first 500 sold, and $224K/furnace for the next 500.
    •Advantage Capital's Irvin Schlussel notes the furnace proceeds will determine how much GT's creditors recover ... and if anything will be left over for stockholders. "If they sell these furnaces for $500,000, then all of a sudden we have a great prospect for full recovery for the bonds."
    •GT rose to $0.49 on the pink sheets today. Its market cap stands at $67.4M.

  • Ratings Breakdown: 11 Hold Rating(s), 3 Buy Rating(s)
    Consensus Rating: Hold (Score: 2.21)
    Consensus Price Target: $16.04 (1,282.76% upside)
    12/10/2014 Societe Generale Downgrade Buy - Hold $7.75 - $1.60
    12/9/2014 Northland Securities Lower Price Target Outperform $5.50 - $4.50
    11/12/2014 Howard Weil Lower Price Target Sector Outperform - Outperform $11.00 - $8.00
    9/10/2014 Cowen and Company Initiated Coverage Market Perform
    8/12/2014 Zacks Downgrade Outperform - Neutral $7.30
    7/18/2014 Evercore ISI Initiated Coverage Market Perform $7.50 - $7.50
    7/16/2014 FBR Capital Markets Initiated Coverage Market Perform $7.50
    6/25/2014 SunTrust Reiterated Rating Buy $10.00 - $12.00
    5/2/2014 Bank of America Reiterated Rating Neutral $100.00
    4/14/2014 MLV & Co Downgrade Buy - Hold
    4/11/2014 Tudor Pickering Downgrade Accumulate - Hold
    3/20/2014 Wells Fargo & Co. Downgrade Outperform - Market Perform
    3/13/2014 RBC Capital Downgrade Outperform - Sector Perform $7.00 - $5.00 View
    1/31/2014 Morgan Stanley Downgrade Overweight - Equal Weight $7.00

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • reven2427 reven2427 Dec 11, 2014 2:40 PM Flag

    90% of the day, APT territory of purchase.
    There are many short, covering.
    I can understand a short sale with an RSI (14) 85.00 and a very high price. I do not understand the position of some short at these levels.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • reven2427 reven2427 Dec 11, 2014 12:13 PM Flag

    The main chart RSI(14)42.00.
    APT have to climb a lot. No bad news, but good news would go up pretty. The chart is quite open to climb way.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Short sellers betting on the fall. But there are also short sellers who are covering as low as possible. There betting normal sales and buyers to buy at a good price.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Signal Update : Tomorrow!!

    Our system’s recommendation today is to BUY. The BULLISH DOJI STAR pattern finally received a confirmation because the prices crossed above the confirmation level which was at 2,7650, and our valid average buying price stands now at 2,7742. The previous SELL signal was issued on 14/10/2014, 57 days ago, when the stock price was 8,4501. Since then APT has fallen by -67,17%.

    Market Outlook

    Let’s jump on our white horses and go for a bullish ride. The bullish pattern that was previously identified is finally confirmed and a BUY signal is generated. Most probably, it is the right time to participate in bullish fervor. The market is telling you about a new profit. Do not miss this bullish opportunity.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Kennedy Capital Management, Inc.
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    552.44k 3.02%
    Bridgeway Capital Management, Inc.
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    325.40k 1.78%
    Renaissance Technologies LLC
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    309.10k 1.69%
    Granite Investment Partners LLC
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    171.54k 0.94%
    BlackRock Fund Advisors
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    156.19k 0.85%
    Thompson, Davis & Co.
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    78.80k 0.43%
    Edmunds White Partners LLC
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    71.92k 0.39%
    The California Public Employees Retirement System
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    40.80k 0.22%
    Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    34.71k 0.19%
    Northern Trust Investments, Inc.
    as of 30 Sep 2014
    25.51k 0.14%

  • Signal Update : Tomorrow.

    Our system’s recommendation today is to STAY IN CASH. The previous SELL signal was issued on 14/10/2014, 55 days ago, when the stock price was 8,4501. Since then APT has fallen by -67,34%.

    Market Outlook

    The market is finally giving hints of a bullish resurgence. Today a bullish pattern is detected.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Who owns Alpha Pro Tech? Today!

    by reven2427 Dec 8, 2014 12:50 PM
    reven2427 reven2427 Dec 8, 2014 6:23 PM Flag

    I would be worried if no one has. Change your perspective ;)

  • KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 562444 $1.26M March 31, 2014
    Renaissance Technologies 309100 $1.00M Sept. 30, 2014
    Bridgeway Capital Management 276000 $618240 March 31, 2014
    Robeco Investment Management 274977 $615948 March 31, 2014
    Granite Investment Partners 171537 $557495 Sept. 30, 2014
    BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. 156188 $507611 Sept. 30, 2014
    HighTower Advisors 100000 $2000 March 31, 2012
    Nationwide Fund Advisors 90800 $193404 June 30, 2014
    GRT Capital Partners 84030 $121843 Sept. 30, 2012
    THOMPSON DAVIS & CO 78800 $256100 Sept. 30, 2014
    EDMUNDS WHITE PARTNERS 71915 $233723 Sept. 30, 2014
    CalPERS 40800 $133008 Sept. 30, 2014
    DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS 34712 $113161 Sept. 30, 2014
    RBF CAPITAL 30728 $69138 March 31, 2014
    NORTHERN TRUST 25505 $82891 Sept. 30, 2014
    Spark LP/DE 25000 $38000 March 31, 2012
    KCG Holdings 20952 $45046 Dec. 31, 2013
    Ancora Advisors 18925 $24981 June 30, 2012
    Spark Investment Management 14700 $18963 June 30, 2012
    Shufro Rose & Co 12900 $26961 June 30, 2014
    BAIRD ROBERT W & CO INC /WI/ 11500 $37030 Sept. 30, 2014
    Rotella Capital Management 10439 $22026 June 30, 2014
    Wealthtrust Axiom 10000 $32000 Sept. 30, 2014
    JAMES INVESTMENT RESEARCH 7425 $23982 Sept. 30, 2014
    Bank of America Corporation 5548 $17975 Sept. 30, 2014
    Wells Fargo & Company 5000 $11000 June 30, 2014
    Royal Bank of Canada 4000 $9000 March 31, 2014
    JBF Capital 3600 $11988 Sept. 30, 2014
    UBS AG 3109 $10010 Sept. 30, 2014
    BlackRock Investment Management 2302 $6998 Sept. 30, 2014

0.46+0.01(+2.20%)Dec 18 4:01 PMEST

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