For those that are puzzled about the last 5 weeks of AA stock performance here's an explanation.
It's all about the new takeover. The agreement of the purchase was "stock only" and that was when the price was over $16. Well, there's a legal group that's looking into the sale and they're not happy. The share price has plummeted in the period JUST BERORE (that's hugely important) and for the 5 weeks that followed, up to today. But that's just the lead-in to the reason. Look at the price stagnation points on the way down. The price hic-up'd at each .50 interval from 16 to the current 13ish. Did you notice how AA had a hard time at the $13 mark?
In case you haven't realized what I'm suggesting, It's all about the OPTIONS!!!!! Someone had inside info on the takeover and situated themselves with options at each .50 strike price on the way down!!! The question remains, is $13 the end of the game or is $12.50 the next target? But know this!!!! It's the daily game with the share price that get's these institutional snakes their ultimate goal. That is, cash in on the options game!!! Risk is less, outlay is much less, reward is much better!!! In a low short world that AA is in, there is no other logical explanation. Monday's close will speak volumes (literally). The options game may be over and the stock price may be allowed to climb.
Know this!!! AA is in the commodity sector which isn't doing that well right now, either real or manufactured. But as poor as that sector is, AA doesn't belong at $13!!!!!!! This is another gaming of the share price, goes on all the time. It's just that AA is being played BIG TME!
Pipeline for WHAT?????
In the last 5 years the price of RICK has gone nowhere. With the exception of gamers who channel the stock near Q-reportings, the price is STILL 10.50 esque.
So a pipeline is USELESS. In those 5 years the company has built/bought RCI is the only public company in this business. They have entered into breastarunts where there is established competition in TX. There's nothing to stop the competition from shorting, or, channeling the stock price. And RCI management is too ignorant to realize that this is a definite possibility.
So NO!!!!! No new financing of a "pipeline". I DO agree with the dividend as I've been arguing for that over a few years now!!! And a recurring one, just a one time special one that'll show the investing public that RCI is a worthwhile investment instead of a money pit.
Bumped because DBR pushes good info out of view while her wisdumb floats to the top. There autta be a law!
But see my last entry. It might be good reading.
Look at the last paragraph!!!
The call was for $69.25 by this Friday. Looks like the pukes did it all in 2 days. The options of last week were the play. Note going forward that there's already a healthy interest in the $70 and $75 calls. Given that AVGO reports soon should be either a further up, or, a sell on the news opportunity for the tech sector.
I'll follow this post up with further guidance when it's prudent to do so.
In the mean time, do you readers realize how much money you should have made by now after 5 years of my .......... (fill in the appropriate word. lol) In any case, a $4 heads up in 2 trading days should verify a high degree of credibility. DBR and SVS, not so much!)
Opps!!!! My apology. In 5 years I don't recall a gender mentioned. Whereas DBR and Mustang are genderless, I was unaware of yours. No harm intended. Please know that that error has been permanently corrected.
In case you didn't know (and there's a lot of readers that don't) today was option expirations day.
And because most of you are clueless, you didn't realize the strike prices were separated by $5.00
Think that isn't important? Well look at the peak price in the opening seconds of Tuesday. Yep, $70.00 (BTW, it held $70.00 for micro-seconds. Just long enough for Bruggie to sell his freebies at the highest price in a 3 week period. BTW2, QRVO's price was at $70 for a total of 3 minutes in a 3 week period. How'd he do that????) But I do digress, back to the point.
Yep, $70 was a strike price. Tuesday started the plummet downward. Notice that today, options day, that QRVO had dropped below, and, had a REALLY HARD time getting above $65, Yep, the next strike price.
Isn't it coincidental that the share price would jump up to a strike price, then, immediately plummet to the next strike price, 5 dollars away!!!!!!!!! To SK's point, this is NOT an example of an efficient market. Seems it behooves the institutions to fk with the stock price as there's more money to be made in the options game.
So whereas the options game has ended for this month, the pukes can allow the price to ascend towards the "natural" price, in my estimation 69.25 by next Friday. (Not withstanding an overall market or tech sector melt down.) Note: SWKS was exempt from the shenanigans today and rose along with the SOX. QRVO was in the grasp of gamers. (STILL)
Monrio is spot on. The Leopard still has RFMD spots. Only the ticker has changed.
I fully agree.
This has NOTHING to do with the company and it's performance/projections. And as with RFMD, it never did.
Monrio. Look at SWKS and SOX as an overlay on a 1 month chart. Confirmation that QRVO (AKA RFMD) has a following of it's own. (AKA snakes and pizzants)
First, make sure in your reply to this to reference just how neurotic I am. That'll validate that the reply is originating from your sorry self.
As for SK's observation, she's spot on!!! Unfortunately, she doesn't support the observation other than view-only observation.
So I'm going to shed some light on SV's viewing. If you have the smarts (questionable) and technical capabilities to open a 2 month chart. Open QRVO. Superimpose SWKS on that chart. (Note the divergence)
And because my discussion doesn't pull much weight with a QRVO-to-SWKS comparison, do the following! On that same chart throw up the SOX. With the 3 items on the same screen even YOU can see that QRVO is a HUGE outlier to overall sector.
Now, try to come up with an intelligent reply. Your feeble reputation of having ANY knowledge of the market is on the line.
This first common sense statement (observation) you've EVER made on this board. And that's only because you're visual assessment is accurate, which is supported by the charts. (and the daily actions of the trading)
SEC investigation? Oh HECK YES!!!!!!! Helen Keller can see this one!!
SWA and the other airlines were given a windfall profit this last year as oil prices (jet fuel) headed south remarkably. LUV's price rose in proportion to the drop in oil. DO NOT expect the same proportions to happen on the way down (as oil prices --might--rise).
Today is the 19th of Feb and the chart shows a POSTER CHILD PATTERN for a market move. (Can't offer a free board what actually happened unless you want to cut me a check)
So if a cadence was established on the way down, say, 1 to 1, raise to drop, LUV to jet fuel --- then expect a 1.2 to 1 drop to raise, LUV to jet fuel.
The problem is that SWA has budgeted for this year (AND 2016) for jet fuel at MUCH HIGHER process than where is it now, or, even with oil in the low 70's. They'll still do MUCH BETTER than budgeted!!! The problem will be when the Q's come out which compare Q to Q. So if the bottom line isn't as good this next Q versus last because of increasing jet fuel prices, the stock will suffer. Even though the facts are that the Company is doing MUCH BETTER than they had projected!!!!
LUV needs to get this kind of news out NOW!!!!!!!! So that an English to English interpretation can be made in the following Q's
........ should be gauged from $roughly $64.00 (RFMD equivalent $16.00)
PLEASE tell me that some clowns out there ARE NOT seeing RFMD from $5 to the current price!! That would be less than stupid.
Even more stupid would be those that are seeing QRVO as, RFMD $16 to the current price, a 4 fold increase in actual gain. man there's a mix of nuts out there.
We are all aware of the superpowers that S. Rudy has. She has sold more free shares at the PEAK price than anyone earthbound. And it happened again!!!! The pre 2-17-15 price hadn't seen $70 for a while. On the 13th, when the almost $4 price escalation occurred, the closing price ended at almost $70 TO THE PENNY!!! On the 17th of Feb, (the 16th was a holiday) the ONLYTIME that QRVO was at $70 was at the very opening. There's been a $5 PLUNGE since those opening seconds of the 17th.
A Form 4 was allowed to be viewed following a SALE of free shares by the Bruggie. (Facilitated, manufactured, coordinated, cooked-up, conspired) by the Wizard Rudy. And you guessed correctly. In the opening seconds of Feb 17th, Ms Rudy sold, on behalf of Bruggie, his allotment of shares at $70!!!!!!!!!!Within a 3 week period, QRVO was only at $70 for a TOTAL of 2 minutes!!!!!!! Tell me how this Rudy clown got to sell at that PEAK? The stock has plummeted ever since!
Please note. When TQNT and RFMD had millions of shares and the posted available share size was plentiful at any price point, the sales of free options n the market didn't effect the price. Now, when these management clowns sell their shares into a MUCH LOWER posted float, the price DOES MOVE because of their shenanigans. Look at Level 2 any more (and yes, it's usefulness has vanished over the last 4 years) but really!!!!! Tell me that of 10 exchanges out there that only 3 have size for QRVO. And of that size, only 300 TOTAL shares are available at the ask or bid. Yet 1.1 shares get traded!!!
Now the good news. If you think the games associated with QRVO are bad, go to LUV. They have Knee-jerk trading down to a science. A .10-.14 plummet happens in eye-blink. And it happens enough throughout the day to keep day-trading at bay. (That's if you're smart. If you're stupid, you'll try to play along!)
Ridership, as a function of available seat miles was down only a SPECK!!!! Heck analysts, SWA just opened a bunch of new routes to new destinations from new origins. Do the analysts expect those seats to be full right out the gate? (Yes, a pun) Let the new routes situation themselves and THEN draw conclusions about RSM's.
As for trading Southwest, I STRONGLY recommend against it. If you do trade SWA I'm sure you've lost money 70% of the time, right? That's because there's some 1st class market makers out there that are turning LUV on a dime, over and over. I can't recall the time over 15 years where I've seen the xxxxxxx candle heights as tall as they are. The shares can go up .20 on 5K shares and doesn't go down on 90K (as an example) and vice versa. Just too well manipulated to day trade, unless you're suicidal.
Hang in there with you long positions and don't get caught up in the minute-to-minute plays of LUV. If you do, you'll LOSE BIG TIME!!! As a retailer you're already at a HUGE disadvantage. The game just got 5 time tougher over the last 2 months.
Management (If you're reading this)
There were only 2 questions asked by callers. I was expecting more!! By the time I dialed in, the calls were closed out!!!!!
Here's an answer you HAVE TO PROVIDE!!!!!
Let's say the Monster isn't selected by A/B for energy drink distribution. Is ROBUST in a position to jump start production to the volume required, and, the time required for such a venture?? My current understanding is that ROBUST is currently manufactured and shipped from overseas. That US-based manufacturing is in the works. Can you share with me the status of US produced ROBUST, and, can the volume be met to the liking of any MAJOR distributor looking at Robust as an option to Monster, et.al.
Here's the second question:
There's an 800 pound gorilla in the room and it's called ROIC. The share price hasn't kept up with the growth of the company and the diversity of product. Yet, any free cash has been now allocated to share buy-backs. Tell me, in an already low float equity, what value added do the shareholders appreciate through further reduction of an EXTREMELY LOW FLOAT??? Short of off-setting the options given to management, can you share with me any value added to holding this public company as an INVESTOR? Wouldn't the investor be best served by ERIC buying his own company? He can then dole out free cash as he chooses and not cause the shareholder to continually suffer through another quarter of NO RETURN!!!!
Drunk = no.
They have expensed out the pole tax so the hit RCI takes won't be as bad as you'd think. (You DO think, don't you?)
Any tax won't happen for years down the road, the same with the labor situation.
Trust me, I'm NOT happy with this company's results as it pertains to ROIC!!! They grow the business, expand into new markets, and the results are the same, channel the price between 8.50 and $10. This is characteristic of a "captive equity". Understand this!!! As RCI is the ONLY publicly traded company on the market in a sea of private competition, the competition can devastate the share price through shenanigans and manipulation. RCI has no recourse as the private companies can't be retaliated against. So Bikinis, Hooters, etc can have a field day with RICK stock. (And 5 years of price stagnation in a company that has shown growth across a number of metrics, is proof of the competitions stronghold on the equity of this company.
HENSE the suggestion of a DIVIDEND! Something the short position will have to PAY instead of receive.
Any other ideas of how to punish the competition for gaming RCI's stock price will be appreciated.
In fact, I'm convinced that the upgrades were a head-fake.
If ATML holds $7 I'll be surprised.
If I sum this CC up in one sentence it'll sound like .............. "wait until next year"!!!!!! (AGAIN)
Dead money. Dead BOD. Dead management. Dead product mix. = ZOMBIE STOCK.
Please note. I don't bag on stocks for personal benefit as NOTHING can be accomplished on a Yahoo message board for either direction. I'm just being REAL with the situation.
Robertcover 57 wants 10 words to explain what I covered in detail with 4 reasons. Go figger. In the mean time he lost the opportunity to gain over $7 on-the-down with my guidance. Perhaps he should have acted on the help instead of trying to abbreviate the meaning or asking for an English to English interpretation. LOL
But Robertcover57 is the main reason for this post. (Monrio, thanks for trying to help that nut)
So Robert, the bald spot on my head got a little larger as I scratch my head on your reply/question.
You must be joking??? Within my EXTREMELY TIMLY post of 1-20-15 was 4, four, fore, for!!!!!! reasons for the downward move. That was on 1-29 and OVER $7 higher than the downside I called in advance. (Not bad for FREE ASSISTANCE!!???!!???) But 4, four, fore, for reasons for my position statement weren't good enough for you. You wanted it in 10 WORDS!!!!!
Try this jurk!
"This stock will go down the day after this post".
Does that help you Robert57?
For those of you that have TRIED to day trade I'm thinking that you're finding it ever more difficult to trade a profit. That's because the market makers have essentially shut out the day trade for retailers. There is no longer a sustained direction during the day as the whip-saw has taken on a life of it's own. So many stocks out there that are turning on a dime!!! (figuratively!) I've put trading on the back burner until the dust settles, if ever!
As for QRVO. I agree with other posters that the voice inflections and tone were void of ANY energy. Almost to the degree that it was orchestrated.
No mention of dividend but that'll be reserved for the next Q or the one going into September.
On a side. I took a 200 share dive-in with the AH market last night. 200 in at 40.30. Out today at 45.25. SWEET! More of an experiment that paid off.
But going forward I'm urging caution. The float on QRVO is low enough where a short interest can now be stealth accumulated. And I see that action being started now. All the makings of a downturn are now in full view. To support that (vs others that pull guidance out of their panties)
1. The Q's going forward WILL SEE seasonality.
2. The anals have OVER upgraded QRVO and have assigned a target price near $80 for the year-end, NOT THE PRESENT!!!!!
3. Watch for Form 4 activity from that #$%$ RUDY esq. I wouldn't be surprised to see Form 4's out the ying-yang AFTER the close tomorrow. (She's good about the timing of the release. You have to look at news released over the last 2 days to find them now. She won't release the filing so it shows up on the current days' news)
4. The market is due for a pullback of a healthy degree. I believe that a good majority of stocks are now over-valued as they are the ones that institutions have moved to as the oil sector has been exited BIG TIME creating an over-value in those non-oil companies, as the oil companies are a place to avoid. (Yes, even at these prices)
As always. JMO