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ConocoPhillips Message Board

rlbeard6734 549 posts  |  Last Activity: 1 hour 11 minutes ago Member since: Jul 17, 2008
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  • Reply to

    listen to karen lupa

    by mrkenusa May 28, 2015 7:58 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 1 hour 11 minutes ago Flag

    You need to do a little more DD. If you go back over a year and read all of her posts you will find she stated she was long on this stock and lost a bundle which then she recooped on some shorting but covered over a month or two ago. Because she gets one thing right and then posts it 1000s of times does not make her an accurate person to follow. I like people that are 60% or more correct on many ideas not a person that is wrong 80% of the time but posts continuously on her one success. If you continue to pump her you will find that all those that have her on ignore will be adding you to their list. Yes I know you dont care but if that were true you wouldnt be posting at all.

  • didnt like the action on VNR although I had sold calls, thought was that perception that adding on newcomers right now may not be the best thing to do, although longer term I dont agree with that perception but it was a short term trade that I wanted to be out of by sept anyhow and made 3k in less than a week so cant complain on a 75k investment. GLT those of you still in this one, I am currently heavily into BBEP so while it is a different MLP we are all in for the same reasons

  • rlbeard6734 by rlbeard6734 2 hours 0 minutes ago Flag

    didnt like the action in VNR so exited the eroc shares and bought back the calls ended up making almost $3000 on a $75k investement in less than 3 weeks just not happy with the sell off in VNR but it made me money on the calls I had sold and broke even on the eroc stock. glt those still in here

  • Reply to

    Corvette the wannabe troll

    by shitakemushroom 8 hours ago
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 4 hours ago Flag

    I will and I recommend that every one that voted thumbs up to ignoring corvette also ignore you.so we can get this guy off the board. You dont get rid of him by validating and bating him If you like him that much get a hotel room

  • Reply to

    Corvette the wannabe troll

    by shitakemushroom 8 hours ago
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 7 hours ago Flag

    If you keep bringing him up then you are validating him and you too should be placed on ignore this is the HZNP board not he corvette bd. One more post about him and you are on ignore.

  • Reply to

    PTX looks a sinking #$%$

    by gemini_dealer Jun 2, 2015 11:29 AM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 2, 2015 1:59 PM Flag

    must be an uber short lol

  • Reply to

    Partner POZN up big today

    by geringerart Jun 1, 2015 12:49 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 2, 2015 10:26 AM Flag

    THEY also announced setting up a irish subsidary to handle Yosprala distribution but it imo is really a tax shelter such as HZNP has with irish domicile. I think this has something to do with todays gain plus the new CEO wants to expand company per his statement.

  • rlbeard6734 by rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 5:52 PM Flag

    I sent an email to your yahoo address if you dont have a yahoo acct let me know where to send it.

  • Reply to

    bad stock?

    by hioklopm May 30, 2015 4:51 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 5:48 PM Flag

    you are fairly close on the major losses I have had for the year 600k on cldn actual, on paper PTX 200k, and about 165 on BBEP but what you dont know is the stocks I have made money on last yr I bought 45k shares of HZNP and still have 33.5k shares that I bought at 13.85 average and is my largest holding, gild that I bought over a year ago at 75 and originally had 24k shares but now only 7200 shares, a number of stock spreads that have closed and still have 560 contracts spreads in Hznp, spreads in eroc/vnr arbitrage, I rarely trade more than 6 to 7 stocks and concentrate my holdings so I have large swings. I have daytraded considerably and my current standing is about 200k negative for the year on account values. Working hard to get back to even but the spreads and arbitrage should get me close without the other stocks appreciating. You have done your math and DD well from my posts. I dont lie and do not mind telling the truth as those that know me know it is true and those that wont believe wouldnt believe it if I said it was 10% of what I have stated. when I say I do options you can follow those trades very easy on level 2 to verify such as those in VNR and Hznp as they are not traded heavily and my trades sometimes are the only trades of the day.

  • Reply to

    bad stock?

    by hioklopm May 30, 2015 4:51 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 5:34 PM Flag

    yes send it to yahoo

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 5:23 PM Flag

    vnr makesmonthly distributions and I assume they will close on eroc the first week of Aug to avoid paying a vnr distribution that goes ex july 31 and to avoid eroc paying an aug distribuiton so I would get a vnr aug and sept distribution or if I am wrong i get 3 vnr or one eroc and one vnr which would be more money than my proposition above.

  • Reply to

    If you don't want to Bump, Make a comment

    by geringerart May 31, 2015 1:22 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 8:58 AM Flag

    I agree there is no distress with Hznp but there could be distress in peoples lives which is what I meant here but if there was some distress in Hznp you could see the action described. I have seem people who "claim" to be strong bulls shatter at certain short raids. Until you are in those shoes it is hard to say how they fit but people change at certain price levels that is why you have bear raids to shake the trees. Personally I think they should outlaw short sales or at best go back to shorting only on an uptick

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 8:49 AM Flag

    I would stay away from all BDCs they can not appreciate in price much as they pay all earnings out and have no way to appreciate or grow PPS Their philosophy is similar to a Ponzi scheme on very high risk sub prime loans.

  • Reply to

    Lets talk options ...

    by fishart4 May 29, 2015 7:47 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Jun 1, 2015 8:30 AM Flag

    my guess would be the 60s

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 May 31, 2015 7:52 PM Flag

    the only argument I would have against that thought is that they have limits on how much they can buy on any one day and to my recollection that is 10% of a days average volume for the last 30 days which would exclude them. My other thought it is a mutual fund that wanted to buy 4 million shares and buy selling the puts and buying the calls they could buy the stock for $2 under market and only lose if price was below 103 compared to trying to buy it at 105 and disturbing the market by doing so. They stand to pocket a lot of money on this deal as they make 4000000 times how much it is over 103 on the june 195h expiration date.

  • Reply to

    Lets talk options ...

    by fishart4 May 29, 2015 7:47 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 May 31, 2015 7:46 PM Flag

    my number one thought agrees with you but close behind is a large mutual fund trader sold the puts and bought the calls on that day the stock was at 105 and this way he gets the stock for $2 below the market at that moment if it is put to him he gets it at 103 if he calls it he gets it at net 103 both $3 under the 105 that day that he did the deal. If it closes over 120 he gets 4000000 X the price minus 102 He only loses if it is below 102. Not a bad place to be right now. Very bullish on the trade But someone has to deliver that stock and that will put a lot of stock on the block or that has to be bought for delivery.

  • Reply to

    bad stock?

    by hioklopm May 30, 2015 4:51 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 May 31, 2015 7:18 PM Flag

    a boatload, my major holdings in $ amount order are HZNP, GILD, BBEP PTX EROC and Zinc I still have 44k shares of PTX I really believe that they will turn things around this quarter meagerly not robustly, they need a abuse resistant oxycodone soon or their deal with Zohydro is going to be their tombstone. Luckily #1 and 2 are holding me up and the EROC is really an arbitrage deal as I have sold VNR to offset my holdings on an arbitrage spread. PTX has me down $3 per share at the moment as I booked a lot of profits at higher levels and reentered at lower. ARe you still holding also.?

  • Reply to

    If you don't want to Bump, Make a comment

    by geringerart May 31, 2015 1:22 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 May 31, 2015 7:03 PM Flag

    I can tell you from personal experience that PB is correct, I once posted on a message bd on a stock on the Nasdaq that I wanted to overturn the BOD and would like ot hear from those that would support me and that they could email me at my email address and within 24hrs I had 10% of the stock pledged in addition to the 1% I owned and with int 6 more hrs I was served with a cease and desist and a lawsuit saying I had violated SEC rules. These are serious places and people fall prey. My settlement says I can not post on their bd again and that I will not mention their CEO or company by name as I was almost posting all of his legal problems in the county where he lived for not paying his bills and walking away from debt. Bds persuade a lot of people especially when they are distressed I understand helping the newbies and retail but agree that strong hands laugh but I have seen those supposedly strong hands become quivering weaklings. I will help bring good messages forward but will continue to put some on permanent ignore.

  • Reply to

    did another arbitrage today

    by rlbeard6734 May 27, 2015 2:02 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 May 31, 2015 6:53 PM Flag

    not in the slightest, I have rarely seen a merger where the ambulance chasers havent shown up and I do not remember them ever stopping one or getting anything that was publicly announced. They are lawyers to be ignored. They have been around on every deal I have been a part of and even ones that I wasnt arbing but owned stock in They are a shame to thier profession and to theirselves imo This deal closes and my best guess is the first week of august or I make more money due to getting more distributions. The first week of aug is the best time for VNR to save 10 million is distribution funds and that is not small peanuts. if they dont think of it then their CFO should be hung.

  • Reply to

    bad stock?

    by hioklopm May 30, 2015 4:51 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 May 31, 2015 6:57 AM Flag

    it is trading at a price that assumes their will be no distribution, if or when oil recovers and this raises its distribution the price will move accordingly up. That is the day I am waiting for in fact I have sold some $7.50 leap puts for 2016 and expect to be the owner of more stock at that point at a reduced rate. I may either roll them out or take the stock and sell more puts.for more stock. 80k shares and still adding. the shorts can have thier day but I will have mine eventually.

COP
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