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ConocoPhillips Message Board

rlbeard6734 206 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 24, 2014 8:17 PM Member since: Jul 17, 2008
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  • Reply to

    How can PSEC sustain rising distibutions?

    by bluedreamdreamer2 Aug 26, 2014 12:39 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 27, 2014 12:35 AM Flag

    you are not the smartest apple on the tree are you minnyfan, earnings dropped per share they had more shares from selling more shares but the income per share is all that matters and not total revenue. If you dont understand that you should not be in the market.

  • Reply to

    How can PSEC sustain rising distibutions?

    by bluedreamdreamer2 Aug 26, 2014 12:39 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 27, 2014 12:32 AM Flag

    in two more quarters they will cut the distribution and that is my prediction, look for a 15 to 20% haircut

  • Reply to

    Inversion Rhetoric High, but....

    by geringerart Aug 26, 2014 1:50 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 26, 2014 8:57 PM Flag

    I hear what pain you went through and how you held but for me that is not consoling, I do not like to sit through those types of swings I would much rather a stock like AAPL going from 80 to 650 or gild going from 50 to 10y0 and not those major down cycles. I say that and I own over 500k in this stock because I do believe a lot of what you are saying but I ystill dont like those wild flucuations and feel the downside here was extreme for the event but do not feel comfortable buying more but wishing I had bought all here.

  • Reply to

    Weak hands sell. On no news.

    by ajetjock Aug 26, 2014 10:00 AM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 26, 2014 8:43 PM Flag

    you know the same could be said for some longs. I was long and lost 130k on this stock and I think management stinks at this point, taking bonuses two quarters in a row when they were losing money, not filing any new ANDAs, not getting any new approvals, not telling us what the heck was going on. This is not a stockholders dream. I moved to UBNT and have made up about 1/2 of my loss so far while this continues to tank,
    BTW UBNT is 65% owned by its CEO and he gets no salary or bonuses. A lot like steve job s he can see the future.

  • Reply to

    GILD puts be in an Obamacare bind....

    by keltus1952 Aug 23, 2014 1:52 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 24, 2014 9:46 PM Flag

    your thoughts dont correlate with science, hep c is passed through contaminated blood transfer, this happens basically through needles, which can be from bad blood transfusions(although with current testing is getting rarer in the US), drugs (the prevalent method), tatoos ( although current practices for tatooists has lowered that) and blood exchange through what I will call aberant sex, or sex with a lot of tissue tearing as in homosexuality Those that have hep c through these means would like you to think they got it by going to Sunday school but it is extremely rare for that to be the case, for those that actually got it innocently I am sorry to paint you with a wide brush stroke but the number is less than 3%. That being said we are all human and treatment is needed and no one should be heartless in this manner or not cover those unfortunately infected but I dont believe I should have to pay for thier impropreties but that has been the case for all time so that wont change either nor more than likely should it. WE should all be willing to help those that are less fortunate than ourselves even if it is self inflicted.

  • Reply to

    GILD puts be in an Obamacare bind....

    by keltus1952 Aug 23, 2014 1:52 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 24, 2014 9:35 PM Flag

    keltus I have more bad news for you unfortunately, when you get on Medicare your premium you pay will also vary by your income (including passive) the premium rates vary from approximately 3 levels of about $105 lowest to 210 to 315 if your income is over 225k so it doesnt get a lot better. What upsets me is that those that paid the most for years and then saved are penalized the most in the end. I paid medicare for every dollar I made the last 10yrs since there was no cap on medicare costs of 2.9% then there is more bad news if you make over 250k in stock income you are hit for an additional 3.6% tax for obamacare on those profits. The grasshoppers are in control of the vote now it wont get better.

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 24, 2014 9:20 PM Flag

    then why wait??

  • Reply to

    Taxing question

    by rlbeard6734 Aug 9, 2014 6:57 AM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 21, 2014 2:44 PM Flag

    that is not what the company told me or their proxy, I guess I will have to wait until it goes down and see how the broker reports it, if they give me losses then I have losses if they carry it over I will carry it over, if they leave the holding period then that will be it but my feeling is that I get the loss this year and a new holding period as HZNP executive has told me.

  • rlbeard6734 by rlbeard6734 Aug 20, 2014 8:23 AM Flag

    sell mnk1 sept 80 puts and buy sept mnk 55 puts which mnk1 80 call is basically a mnk 56 put
    mnk1 sept 80 puts are bid 55 ask 90 mnk sept 55 puts are bid 0 ask 25 this would be really a bull put spread for 30 cents or better for 30 days that will be a gift.

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 19, 2014 7:57 PM Flag

    I havenot owned S for over 3 yrs but have traded this 16 times in the last month and currently have 4000 shares at 42.67 and booked 28k in profits previously. how are you doing.??

  • Reply to

    I'm Scare Here, I have a stop loss at $99.99

    by iknightu Aug 18, 2014 7:23 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 19, 2014 7:30 PM Flag

    the problem and causes of being scared
    1) scared people usually lose money because they cant think clearly and dont have staying power
    2) the reason they are scared is because they are in over their head and shouldnt even be in the market

    It really doesnt matter if this goes down as it did the last major sell off if nothing changes either company wise or macroeconomically and I am not talking about guessing but actual facts and not temporary things like wars, Obamas golf score or things that dont make a long term affect.

  • Reply to

    Riebeard, You From Chicago?

    by catalystforfreedom Aug 18, 2014 3:36 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 19, 2014 5:25 AM Flag

    .clf had more problems than that, the cost overruns on ring of fire were in the billions, their bookkeeping kept stockholders in the dark for several quarters because of selling stockpiled previously costed out iron ore which took several hard quarters of analysis and that is why i was able to get out early, I could see the earnings losses coming 6 months in advance.
    UBNT what i like is that CEO takes no salary similar to steve jobs at aapl did because he knows that the earnings to company are more important to his net worth than a salary he owns 65% of company so he is totally in this one deeply and wants it to succeed more than most. I mostly like the technology which will propel this..If I wasnt so loaded in Gild I would have more here, I have 1500 shares of Jazz that will be delivered to calls I have sold in the next 30 days I will be investing in this stock giving me 6k more shares about. I have traded this regularly but originally got in with 2k shares at 34 in may

  • Reply to

    Sold

    by theodorepong Aug 5, 2014 3:34 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:45 PM Flag

    why would you sell in a bull market, there is only temporary things to set this back, the market looks like it has rallied more than it really has due to devaluation of the dollar with QE thanks to Obama and Bernanke devaluing the dollar by 40% hurting the fixed income and poor and making the rich wealthier. The unions just took a 40% pay cut and didnt even know it. so the market is really at 10000 on the Dow if you factor out devaluation and since Obama cant create jobs this market will continue upwards until the republicans take charge of all three branches then we will really go into a big rally followed by a top.

  • Reply to

    Major support at 101

    by wildandwacky39 Aug 18, 2014 12:52 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:39 PM Flag

    do you mean resistance, support is where it holds coming down not where it hits selling pressure.

  • Reply to

    small sell off

    by rlbeard6734 Aug 14, 2014 2:19 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:30 PM Flag

    yes that is what I meant now at 35k as I got back in for 6k shares at 42.57 and sold sept 45 calls on it for $1 will most likely let them take delivery if it keeps going like it did today

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:27 PM Flag

    2000 was a tech bubble that was overdone and 2007 was the beginning of a recession, neither are to compare to this one, first off if you take the monetary deflation out the market is really at near 10000 on the dow as US dollar has lost 40% of its value due to Bernanke and Obama doing QE. We are slowluy recovering even if nothing is being done to create jobs like the Keystone pipeline, or incentives for cars to go on natural gas so we can quit sending money to our enemies for oil. This bull market really has a long way to go as it will not really get started until 2017 when the republicans get control of the Senate, House and Executive office

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:22 PM Flag

    it blew past that 43 like a frieght train

  • Reply to

    Riebeard, You From Chicago?

    by catalystforfreedom Aug 18, 2014 3:36 PM
    rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:20 PM Flag

    I am not from Chicago but went to school there at northwestern undergrad and grad but moved to KC in 1972 but yes I was in CLF and rode it up and got out at 90 and told everone to bail that it was going to 40 and it got worse and went to 15, they still have too many problems but made nice money on it, just glad I could read the writing on the wall in their terrible earnings reports that were so screwed up. doing well trading here up nearly 35k in a short period, but doing much better in GILD, i got in it last december at 75 on 22k shares and it has me up over 500k I am in to make 2 mil then I am buying CDs lol. currently retired for last couple of years since early 2012 but been buying farms and now building a few new rental houses. good talking to you again hope things are doing well for you also. amazing how we end up in common stocks so often, good karma.

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 18, 2014 10:12 PM Flag

    I AM confused on how they get sued and lose, they arent saying you cant take it just that it is not covered, they arent treating patients or writing scripts. The end effect is a person has the choice to get it and pay for it or get thier doctor to write something else and he would be the one to be sued should he not properly moniter it and kept prescribing. IT is a complicated web they weave but I dont see how they can get sued and lose.

  • rlbeard6734 rlbeard6734 Aug 17, 2014 4:40 PM Flag

    in fact it hasnt traded at 30 except for many many years unless you consider buying at 60 then going to 90 and splitting 2/1 buying at 30

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