We typically run thru Sept but with the bad quarter an no pre announce i think people are spooked.
I am long calls Jan15 28 and 23's but I am not venturing further- no avg down
Hi- I recall someone offering it up- I tried to make one- the logic is correct (based on what Doc has on his blog) but I am not getting the right results- I tried ARR
I listened/ing- I thought it was ok.
GK just said they have recovered some of the BV since Q close.
However you can tell they know it sucked pretty bad.
How you figure?
Maybe it's too early and I need more coffee
Perhaps- but do not think we will dip below 29. It will hinge on the conference call at 11. If there is alot of negativity- yeah i think we will see 28. If not we could close over 30- I will buy below 29
I have been noticing there has been almost no time premium and at times negative time premium on the Jan 2015 28's and 27's when compared to Jan 14's or even some 2013 calls. I dumped 40 of them today and still hold 140 calls- planning on holding the rest thru next ex unless we go over 34 in next couple weeks- I think SPO would come then if we breech 34 around the earnings date
Wondering if anyone has noticed this.
Hi Doc- I took some time this afternoon and read your email. Thanks.
I did the analysis on AGNC and found something interesting. If you simply apply the 3% rule only- you are a winner what appears to be 90% of the time if you hold for 5 days.
if you ignore the months of march and September- looks like you can hold for a couple weeks.
What i did for AGNC is to make the Glad rules met "yes" No" column a hard "yes" by removing the equations and make it simply yes- then to the right calculate the earnings/losses over time. Use conditional formatting and zoom out.
Willing to send spreadsheet to see what you think
Ya know-will Soap box a little. This is a free forum- dare I say to those who berate/mock people who contribute for free here- please follow "you get what you pay for" mantra and move onto another board.
For those who appreciate the contributions here if, for nothing else, stimulating the gray matter between our ears, I appreciate your posts. Especially Doc- I mean #$%$- he is not getting paid people. He freely advocates input- so give some constructive input. I have my GLAD spreadsheet open and using that gray matter a bit and trying to see what I can positively contribute. it's my choice to follow-lead or like the last 4 months- sit on sidelines until this week
Bought more calls- still Jan 2015 strike 28- this time 100 calls
Looking for the run to earnings and then to X
On calls- 80 call contracts Jan 2015 28 strike BE is at 32.45. I even held my nose and went long on some MT stock (french steel of all things).
doc- hope surgery went well. I am in the midst of a potential job change at work but will be traveling and will try to get my GLAD spreadsheet going. Question- what is the best place for tables containing the data needed- yahoo?
OK thanks- I will try to get into the "swing" of things and see if i can positively contribute. I will likely be tracking 5-10 stocks.
Not alone- just trying to decipher some of the acronyms :-)
Good luck on the surgery- hope it's nothing serious
I look at Zignals for moving average notifications but it can't tell you when a SMA crosses a stock price. If you select an SMA as a trigger- it can only compare it to another SMA or a constant value- not the stock price.
Anyone interpret it differently?