dakine you are spot on and Russia does indeed have a historical claim to the contested area. I hope Obama fingers are clean on the change of Gov. in the Ukraine and if not then deserves the problems that intervention in a foreign gov will bring with it. Putin is no fool. A nationalist yes but a fool no. He will push the issue and get as much leverage out of the Ukraine Gov as he can which I think down the road is his play.
To let them know they can not just do as they please with the Russian's people who live in the Crimea and would rather be in Russia than Ukraine. Some in the south would rather be in the Confederacy than the union but they lost the war. Russia could win the war but the cost would be too high for Putin's Russian eco to take thus I do not believe it will come to all out war. He may move strong in the Crimea IF the Ukraine Gov. overplays its weak hand. The US and NATO will do nothing military and without that kind of help the Ukraine can't stand up to Russian military might. The cool heads I think need to be in the illegal Gov. that now controls the Ukraine which was not elected to office but took power by force.
Obama should be talking with the Ukraine Gov folks warning them about being too fast and harsh on the Russian people inside their borders. The nation must find a way to unite or it will remain divided.
Sadly Money or eco. is the only reason the US today remains one as even the most right winged understand that apart from the US a state would go belly up without the Federal Gov to make things work. They want to tell the USA how to run but even they do not want to separate from the US. This is not the case now in the Ukraine and must move in that direction and only cool heads on all sides will get there. Putin Will Not allow Russians in the Crimea to be the victims of the present gov. That much I am sure of.
When are things not good in Hawaii lol How goes France? visit often? Take care
goldyhawk all you say MAY be true up the point that you give RR a pass on the fact that HE and not Kennedy or the ACLU defunded the Federal Gov part in keeping people in these facilities. The states were left with cost only. Thus without the Federal funding again withdrawn by your beloved RR hundred of thousands of mentally ill were THROWN OUT. It was not you can leave if you want as you suggest. It was a direct cause and effect. RR defunded the program. If NASA was defunded and NASA closed its doors you would blame and rightly so the President that did the defunding.
Your boy RR in order to cut Gov. spending sent a lot of mentally ill people to the streets. If it had been done over a period of years the states might of been able to take on the cost but they too were hurting as the states are still hurting from the crash of 2009. Anytime the Fed Gov. throws the states onto the tracks there will be a cause and effect in human life form. RR did indeed cause the problem by his rash action. He was a man of rash decision and action with little regard of the effects of such decision. He merely ignored the hundreds of thousands of ill he put on the streets since they unlike Lebanon did not explode in his face with the death of 261 marines. You guys make a big deal out of Benghazi and the deaths of 4 Americans and yet never even think to look at the 261 killed because RR sent them into harms way. Now you try to hide the fact that it was RR who cut the money to the states and forced the closing of hundreds of state ran mentally ill facilities and cutting down of services for those that stayed open.
Obama is offering the States a path into medicade help as he expands the rolls of those on medicade. The states can take him up on the offer and the Fed will assume the major cost of a new program enrollment and slow cost shift back to the states or they can refuse and bare the cost or as Tex does ignore the needs of poor Texans.
liza for once we agree totally. I have went back and looked at the last history available on NG storage numbers and they go back to 1990's and NG has indeed went lower than it is now or I think will go before winter ends. Bottom this year could go to 900's but not lower and it has been down to 600's before. The rise up was steady but the new highs didn't recover totally and for several years the storage numbers were lower then they corrected only to repeat the process. This year I think will be the same.
One Big factor that always looms in NG storage in a traders mind at least is a hurricane in the GOM which historically is were a lot of NG production comes from. I think that has changed some but still if hurricane season brings one or more to the GOM look out below on NG ST prices and storages effects.
Another factor is our eco. clearly this year could be the best of the recovery years and it will be built on better years behind it. In other words NG demand will increase built upon the use from last year. So I do not see a large falling off of demand for NG beyond what it did last year as winter ended but how hot the summer will factor as well as eco growth.
Both things of the unknown. If by some miracle Obama does actually get a NG auto conversion thing at least rolling then the demand side might go up even more. Supply will increase that is a given the only question remains is demand.
obboi All commodity based stock move both with the market and more to the point on the price of the commodity itself. Oil and NG will increase due to supply and demand. Oil and NG supply is increasing so a robust eco is needed both in US and world to increase demand. Winter supplied the demand side for NG for the last 3 months but will soon be gone and demand will be based on growth of demand from eco.
The problem with a MLP of oil and NG is not speculation which I agree can indeed effect the price on the short run but as with chkr the trust was sold on projections that proved very wrong. A trust like BP trust in Alaska oil has been a great investment tool over a long time. Its price went up and down and yes if you called and timed the rises and falls correctly you would of made money that way but if you bought and held the return would of been very good and produced what most who invest in such trust want INCOME.
I see a MLP trust in oil or gas as being like an annuity investment. You put your own money and they give it back to you over the life of the trust. I still thing that chkr will do that but clearly it will give a return as bad as annuities do and had I known the results of the drilling I would not of invested in chkr but in life and in stock nothing is known before had. We can hope and use history as a teacher but in the end their is no sure thing.
The crash of 2009 should of showed all that in a world controlled by unlimited greed nothing is a safe bet.
Even Gold has risk but it always has value. I rarely day trade or ST trade. I do gamble on double downs and sometime I win and sometime I lose. So far I have won more than lose but that could change in the next trade or trades. Commodities are indeed not for the faint at heart. But if anyone followed NG last year it was better than an even bet that winter would bring at least 4 buck NG and it did.
obboi do you ever look at your own post on chkr? One day your saying buy the next your selling. You predicted of high of 14 only missed by a 1.50 mark and then you do a 180 and start the cheer of gloom and a crash. I think your highs and lows show perhaps your own highs and lows which I hope meds can help or totally correct. We all want to buy low and sell high.
If you are only a trader in chkr your plan is totally different from LT holders who bought in at much more a higher price than you.
I said that those that bought in at 10.50 or lower should of sold before the disbursement and take the profit. If you didn't which your post says you didn't you took the disbursement and sold at a much lower price per share. I hope you learned from that mistake if your going to play this stock. If it retreats to 10.50 again which I do not think it will do but could then you buy and hold until the disbursement run up and sell before the x date.
The profit this time will not be as great as last time could of been but should be at least 5% gain. All depends if you want to throw the dice and risk the money for a smaller gain.
NG will go down from where it is now but I still do not see it going below 4 bucks for year average and next disbursement will be given out on a NG spot price of over 50% above the last quarter.
So instead of you selling when CHKR was still in the 12 buck a share price you sould when it dropped to lower 11"s? That after telling everyone ( I assume you believed this for your own investment but maybe not) chkr would reach 14 or higher. Now with no real change than what was present then you have sold and now say your waiting to buy back in? What do you NOW consider a good entry point for your new investment in chkr?
The "Swing" in chkr was done by 2 things. One the price of NG was clearly going to go up driven by a very cold winter demand. THat has happened the other was the distribution of 66 cents which also has happened.
We are now in the post distribution run down in price which so far has reached a low close of 10.82 and has bounced off of it as of today by .45 cents. NG is 4.63
on futures so there will be any weakness in NG below 4 bucks before next distribution and the run up to the distribution I think will reach around 11.75 but could be as low as 11.50 I think the stock will end up higher before next distribution than it today so you may indeed get a low point back down to 10.80 or so to jump on board for a 50-75 cent run up to distribution.
So were you wrong about 14 bucks or just pumping your position?
scs people who go to AA always say they are alcoholics. Some drink and battle it and others no longer drink and battle it. But the temptation is always present due to what happened in their past. I unlike you admit the past which was clearly racist to the core.
Not just in the South by the way. Perhaps you are too young to remember a up front honest Racist America? An alcoholic will never get help or change until he confronts the truth of his condition and try to do something about it. Mandela and MLK I am sure at times had old racist feelings (for good reason also) but their action showed men who could walk above those feelings. Paul freely admitted how his past life, character, religion, and Gov was totally against the Cross of Christ but He changed. Did he show some old dislike of those who remain as he had been? Read Gal and see how deep that dislike went. Yet he continued to risk his life to minister to those that opposed the most.
There is no "class" of " lowest rung " based on color, eco condition, ancestry or sex. To feel that way would be prejudice thinking. The are however individuals who character, actions and mind set make them the lowest rung clearly. Not all whites or blacks or rich or poor or young or old can be found in that groups nor sex for that matter. It takes individual mind set to put your mind in a set of delusion to end up in such a group of folks. They do seek their own to reinforce their prejudices and racism or elitism or just pure selfish desires.
Go find much difference in a 1% outlaw motorcycle gang or the #$%$ or neo Nazis or black street gangs or Hispanic ones. IT is not race that makes them different or eco situation but a mind given over to Hate and delusion. Paul says all you can do for such a person is Pray for them that they may "recover" their right mind. I have met many who now follow Jesus that once belonged to such groups but their minds have been healed.
Wow look at all the guys on this board who has never done much traveling and looking with their own lying eyes to what they see.
The only sane debate is not IF earth is in a warming trend but Why it is warming. If your too poor or to lazy to go visit Glacier Nat. Park and see with your own eyes the evidence of massive glacier retreats and no more glaciers over the last 100 years then use the internet to actually search out some of the glaciers of Alaska, Greenland, as well as the park and other areas were 100 years ago Glaciers were present and today either gone or headed toward even further retreat.
You right brained boys think you have to disbelieve everything that comes out about science as it All is some kind of Gov plot to get you?
Here is a flash for you boys of the right you have eyes use them.
If you want to make the argument that man's pollution does not cause
the warming trend then I think people will look at you as a little more saner but if you want to appear as a Lune keep on denying what even your own eyes will tell you if you turn off fox long enough to look.
You guys would of been on the dock laughing at Columbus as he left to open up one of the greatest capitalist period in our history. You also would of been buying buggy whip stock as cars rolled by you.
Change is the one thing we can depend on and with new facts and new ideas come new ways to make money. Or lose it if you keep denying the facts. The Gov. is not forcing you to invest your money into new techno products of the future so your failure to do so will bring gain or blame on you alone. If you did as much DD on new types of green
energy production as you do denying what all knows is happening you might pick a winner. So far been few winners and lots of losser but the same could be said for the Auto industry change gentlemen or you fail to take advantage of the latest ways to invest. Look for profit not the Gov out to get you at every corner.
Looks like the dividend has a good chance of not dropping below 50 cents and a larger chance of staying right were it is. My bet is they leave it at .65 for the next quarter. Lots of things in the head lines and none of them has any threat of the Fed changing policies any time soon. So why the big drop???
That average will be reflected in what chkr sells its NG for. Last quarter they got around 2.28 per unity with Henry Hub price around 3.60's. I know they will not get anywhere near the 5.40 average and the average will most likely be closer to 5 for the quarter but hard to believe that they would fail to see an increase of 10 to 25 % increase over the 2.28 price. You think they would get at least 3 bucks but I doubt they will being as how they are terrible at what they sell NG for chkr and even worse for CHK.
obboi your nothing more than a day trader I guess. You come in hear and cheerlead chkr and promise BIG price jumps to over 14 and now you say short it lol. Your a joke and a clear piece of glass that can be seen right through. The time to short this stock was when it was in the 12's to make big money. Why didn't you cry short it then instead you was saying it would go up to 14 or 15.
NG storage is down 152 units today and its storage number is now below 1200 with more draws to come in march and next weeks due to the still present cold weather over 60% of the country will be around the 150 number. 4.60 plus for NG is over 25% higher than were it was this time last year. The trend will continue to go down from here is what I expect and could very easy drop below the 4 buck a unit price but I still think it will average over 4 for the year. None of that will make chkr a good investment however. Short it if you want but based on lower production going into the future and lower return on investment as distribution fall down but NG will do better than chkr to invest in as the storage numbers will not recover to the big highs where they were as the days between winter cold moves strong into March and April for much of the country and then comes the AC burning summer. Now go and place your short order.
scs which one of Obama stated goals do you oppose? Obama is a millionaire why do you call him the lowest rung of the American people? What makes up that rung? Or better yet Who? Who is your enemy?
What group of people do you fear? Clearly 75% of the American People are no better or worse off now than when GW Bush left office. I suppose that would be the lowest rung? 75% of the people? Why would they not want change that would appeal to them if the current way of doing business and power in DC is controlled by the people with money to get "their" kind elected.
Just what parts of our Gov. do they want to overthrow? It would seem to me that it you and your kind that want to overthrow things back to the days of pre 1929. Never mind that over 50% of the people of America were rural back then. The country has evolved while you want to go backwards to a time where unfettered wealth ran everything and the poor were left to rut hog or die. Many could back then as over 50% did in fact live where food could be grown and animals hunted but all that has changed as big Agro business owns and controls most of the farms land In America. Those big city manufacturing plants that offered hope to those down on the farm are moved to Asia thanks to fat cat globial new world order boys who run American Parties
and have elected 4 of the last 5 president to push their agenda and even Obama is not against them he merely is not as much for them as the other 4 have been.
You are right to fear me. I want to go back to tariffs and quotas and force American and foreign Global corps to bring back our jobs. You want to wave good bye to them for the sake of being able to call yourself a capitalist free trader. Your not a capital but a globalist new world order supporter and your not a free trader as we get zero free trade in globalism but we do all the giving. You fear an empowered by new jobs and better life Americans as you enjoy being one of the 25%.
Lake please explain who and what you mean by lowest rung of the American people? Color? eco class?
location? Just what in your non prejudice mind do these lowest rung folks exist?
Lake how terrible a hell life would be if those monsters against humanity are not held accountable for their deeds they commit. Paul says that if we are wrong then we are too be pitied for we should of lived our lives eating drinking and being merry. That is a life of total selfishness directed toward only yourself without regard for others. I on the other hand might embrace my own brand of selfishness in how to deal with the idea that those who abuse, murder and torture others if they are no judgment to come. I think the OT of eye for eye makes sense. The fear of what I will do to you if you cross my line would have a lot more effect on humanity than hiring lawyers to settle abuses.
I saw a show once about Peabody Coal co. destroying the land around where people lived and destroying the water with mined coal trash. While lawyers and Gov haggled and argued and old man I think had the real answer. He said "They don't bother me" when they came up on the ridge to do some blasting I took out my Winchester and shot up among them and they haven't been back since." The interviewer asked the old man
"Aren't you worried about the Law". The old smiled and said "Son the Sheriff knows I shot better down hill than up" If there is no judgment and those with power, money and lawyers can do as they please then I think we all need to practice shooting so we shot good up and down hill if the need arises.
Without the Lord and His telling me to "Turn the other cheek and love my enemies" then I see no reason not to DEAL with line crosser in a way that is crystal clear. However I do have faith and I do believe that come the day those who have abused the least of them will find out that Jesus coming in judgment is a far worse thing to deal with than anyone shooting up hill or downhill.
I am often tempted to "deal" with things my way. But it is love for Jesus and trust in him that makes me repent, confess and trust him to walk me into his rest.
Same song today PGH UP LSTMF down. I own 20,000 shares of both right now one is showing a 3,000 loss the other a 3.000 gain. To say I enjoy my holdings in PGH over LSTMF would be a great understatement. I doubled down on both and PGH has almost gotten up to even with the double down while LSTMF has eaten away most of that gamble win. LT I will hold LSTMF until I sell off some gains to cover my losses meanwhile I get reduced dividends with almost a 15% loss due to Canadian Tax and lack of tax credit that recaptures the taxes paid. OH well its only money and life is too short to focus on such things.
Enjoy today your not promised another.
dakine I fondly remember those 15% CD's. My dad put all he could in them for 5 years and if you didn't buy a home or a car the interest rate didn't hurt you that much as you were getting those high interest rate from savings. I was lucky to be in a business that was making money. We put our business cash in those 15% CD's and our profits in 5 year CD. The average person didn't buy a home or car or cars as they seem to now so the average wage earning was making money off a simple bank saving account or 5,000 buck CD's
Today the average person is making crap and only those with money to invest in the stock market or other forms of non interest investments are making good money.
RR did by choice what Obama was forced to do. RR increased Gov. spending which Obama was for and RR also cut taxes on the rich. Obama would of liked to have small increases on the rich but the GOP would have non of that. Bottom line is that RR and Obama both ended up Steming the eco to save it. RR and his advisors were not stupid as the tea party and GOP is today and they understood that if you cut Gov. spending you will kill any hope of a recovery. RR couldn't make it pass the GOP primaries on his policies and only a blind party nut job can't see the truth about RR eco policies.
Putin is a real commie lol. He raddles his sword the global eco market start to nose dive and he being a good capitalist immediately tries to ease fears of a war in the Crimean. The GOP talking heads are quick to blame Obama but not one of them has come up with any actions different than what Obama has used.
Putin will get as much for Russia as he can. To see moving into the Crimea which as you point is as much Russian in history culture and people make up as anything else is not to be met with any military action from anyone I heard even the GOP hawks sayings. The area of Ukrine that Putin wants is mostly Russian and they want to be Russian. Not an easy solution.
Lake in the bible Jesus says Why do you call me Lord and do not the things I do. I am glad you follow many of the principles that the bible teaches especially the New Testament. I am sorry that so many you encounter do slander to the Name of Jesus while wearing His name. What you have against me or them do not hold the master as one who is pleased by our foolishness and failures. The Kingdom of God is not just heaven Lake. It is the people of God doing the will of God. You are right about how I live my life based on the belief of a Great Judgment to come. It is not my desire to live for ever or fear of Hell that makes me believe. Perhaps I should desire heaven more and fear God more but it is my profound belief that those who do wrong on this earth will indeed face a God that they can't con. I will face the same God and I have already been told what he will Judge by. It is not do you go to church or do you give money to church or do you hate sinners. It will be judged on What you did to the least of them you did to the Son of God.
Those who's life is full of hate and racism of any kind will be rewarded for hate. It truly is love your neighbor as yourself. Paul breaks that into one thing because he understood that even though Jesus said all is wrapped up in two commandments Paul understood that you can not love God unless you love your neighbor.
You Love your neighbor you will be loving and obeying God.
The cancer you see is not the GOP#$%$/Teaparty as you think. It is the same cancer that grew in Sodom and Gomorrah when they failed to love the least among them and turned into totally selfish driven humanity.
The cancer of selfishness grows from something small to something that must be served by the whole being of the body. Every area of your life will be given over to selfishness. Sodom and Gomorrah were not condeamed because they were Homosexuality in it but because they had given in to total selfishness.
This stock seems to be saying your dividend is safe and will soon be going up. Nice to see it going up from the lows and they have totally changed their business model during the down turn in tanker market.
A look at the 5 year chart shows just how much this company has changed in value, dividend payout and business focus which drove the stock price. The past is ugly lets hope the future is better much better :)
scs you and your soul mate rje are a match pair except he is more honest about what he really thinks.
I am a professed racist for the reason I stated.
Galatians 5:14-15 Has some True words that apply to both you and I. Paul says "For the whole law is fulfilled in word YOU SHOULD LOVE YOUR NEIGHBOR AS YOURSELF. Notice Paul does not put any qualifiers as to what kind of neighbor you may have. Verse 15 But if you bite and devour one another take heed that you are not consumed by one another. Clearly you and I are a lot better at biting and devouring one another than Loving each other. Or maybe you think you do both just fine? I know two things that I confess 1. I have racism still in my flesh but try hard not to act on it and get it out but I do confess and ask forgiveness for my sin of the flesh. 2. I can love and forgive a person who does not have or believe the word of God for transgression but for me to overlook such transgression in those who wear the name of Christ I have to confess failure far too many times. James says a lot about the human tongue in James 3:1-13 He warns of how words from our mouth bring shame to the walk of the Kingdom. Verse 8 "but no human being can tame the tongue , a restless evil, full of deadly poison. 9 "with it we bless the Lord and Father, and with it we curse men, 10 "from the same mouth come blessing and cursing. My breather , this ought not be so.
Once I told "jokes" which were nothing but pointed spears of insults and attack on a person who is my neighbor now I admit that is wrong. When I slip I admit error and repent. A Christian has liberty in Christ but clearly that liberty is not to be used to attack others. You have the liberty In Christ to be tea party if you like.
You do not have that liberty to use to attack those who disagree. Attack facts and disagree over facts is fine but to insult and attack the person and try to demean them is wrong. I do this way too much.
scs I see your taking up and paling up with rje a racist to the core and a man who accused me of being nothing more than a drunk. Now run off to a bible study after showing how you don't judge or think the worse of your fellow man. I do not embrace Lake hatful post and tell him so. I do not care if we both vote the same way I am not the same type of individual as Lake merely because I read and GOT the sermon on the mount. You on the other hand embrace your brother of tea party lines and thus birds of a feather flock together as well as pigs and swine saying is indeed proven fact based.
You and rje try to dismiss those who dare to disagree with you as poor folks or drunks. Have a good nap at bible study you clearly don't pay attention to well. But your religious pompous talk out of one side of your mouth does show non believers like Lake just how phony faith can be when only embraced as a weapon to use to justify unloving feelings about anyone but those like you. Clearly you are NOT a man without any guile.