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Phillips 66 Message Board

rogers2308 31 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 25, 2014 2:30 PM Member since: Oct 17, 2007
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  • rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 25, 2014 2:30 PM Flag

    And you can trust what this WH says - good luck with that one - they talk out of both sides of their mouth telling both sides what they want to hear - who knows what is real with these incompetents in charge.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    THIS OPENS THE DOOR TO CHINA

    by casstech1964 Jun 19, 2014 8:50 AM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 19, 2014 8:58 AM Flag

    4 eggrolls. Look its a measly 6 million dollar contract for a 55o million dollar market cap company - worth a 3 to 4% price bump, the 20% jump is way overdone - look for a large drop by the end of the day to a reality level of 3 to 6 %.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    need a safe 5% yielder

    by ifishnski Jun 12, 2014 12:02 PM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 12, 2014 12:11 PM Flag

    Anytime you get a 5% yield or more there is some real risk. You probably should invest in many stocks to minimize the impact of any one going down severely, SFL, SDRL, VLCCF, and NE would be my recommendation.

  • Reply to

    High Cost Supplier

    by winomaster Jun 10, 2014 5:44 PM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 11, 2014 4:39 PM Flag

    How did you come to the conclusion that the offshore oil is more expensive than on shore - the USA is still importing oil - you need to do more research - why do you think there are so many offshore rigs being built ?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 11, 2014 3:20 PM Flag

    Hindsight 20 20 / with market going up up you want to sell ? Look its a matter of time till $40.00 + with oil going up, so do not worry about interim changes - market due for correction but still going higher afterwards - count on it.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • rogers2308 by rogers2308 Jun 11, 2014 1:41 PM Flag

    Iraq problems making oil price go up and brent price is up - so oil companies will have more incentive to do deals on more favorable driller rates - look for SDRL to move over $40.00 a share before July ends - summer driving increased demand.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • rogers2308 by rogers2308 Jun 11, 2014 12:42 PM Flag

    VLCCF by the fundamentals should be a $12.00 stock that got way over hyped by a merger frought with dreams of grandeur - I have owned this stock on and off for over 10 years so I know it and like it - just not at the current share price and current rate structure. It will pull back another dollar soon as its just way ahead of reality.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    What the industry won't tell you........

    by gasman2501 Jun 10, 2014 11:50 AM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 11, 2014 10:52 AM Flag

    Yes, different type, but it will be a big factor as the new builds are and will be primarily the ultra deepwater ( which is by far more expensive ) and if these oncoming units come into a glut market as you suggest then there will be cancellations and more importantly delayed buys so that rates are still very profitable. There will not be new buys, if rates are weak and unprofitable, you also have to realize there is a lengthy lead time from buy to completion.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    SHIP FINANCE (SFL)....!

    by staggman99 Jun 8, 2014 10:02 AM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 9, 2014 3:40 PM Flag

    So do you consider SFL a buy currently or a sell being that its up over 20% YTD ? The $19 -$20 level seems to be a wall that it goes down at from my experience.

  • Market up firmly till BIG EARS offers his new Student Loan give away program - sure he will get more popular offering new programs to spend taxpayer money - He is great at it increasing the Federal Debt to past 16 trillion dollars, why not spend more if it helps his popularity - after all its not his money.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    3 reasons to buy VLCCF, please help me...

    by gallimbeni Jun 4, 2014 10:35 AM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 9, 2014 12:14 PM Flag

    VLCCF is up on future expectations - its really not making any money so to speak yet, its not earning half its current dividend, the hype is that the fleet is growing fast and being new(er) than the others will still make money at bad rates. The problem is that there are too many ships and everybody already gets the new ship energy savings and are buying more ships so an overly capacitied market only gets worse and will not earn an eps basis to justify the current share price in the next two years. There are better deals out there.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Interesting Trades

    by tsew_yek Jun 6, 2014 7:35 PM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 7, 2014 8:07 AM Flag

    Shorts and longs spiking their directional way at the close - generally harder to get your way shorting side if their is volume involved in the long side. Shorts generally more successful than longs over time as there is not sustained long pressure and overall market weakness can be exploited.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Thoughts about FRO

    by rogers2308 Jun 3, 2014 12:18 PM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 4, 2014 1:50 PM Flag

    SFL only gets profit sharing when there is profits, and SFL does have the liability of the assets they have relative to FRO. At this point SFL is in a better position to manage its assets than FRO is. To me this is a win win for both putting SFL in control who has the financial backing to move forward and / or liquidate as necessary.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • rogers2308 rogers2308 Jun 3, 2014 12:35 PM Flag

    No way will apple sign first with VHC, that bridge or opportunity has long past and too much bad blood - KL has already been lied to about apple having work arounds etc. if a deal was going to happen it would have happened long ago - Samsung is the one that KL needs to reach out to and negotiate a deal to screw apple.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • VHC could be next, I sure would not want to be short VHC when this happens - Samsung could really put the screws to Apple with a deal.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • rogers2308 by rogers2308 Jun 3, 2014 12:18 PM Flag

    A bad day for FRO - now having a market cap of only 220 million - JF needs to seriously consider merging FRO into SFL as it is already on the hook for FRO anyway and could sell off the remaining bad assets and begin the operation of creating the next generation tanker line - presumeably also including LNG into the mix. Sure I know this may be considered competition to GLNG - but JF has Golden Ocean and VLCCF ( now drybulk ) so I do not see that as a problem.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Politics

    by rogers2308 May 23, 2014 2:33 PM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 May 23, 2014 3:48 PM Flag

    Wow - did I nail it - OBAMA announcing new appointments looking for any and all moves to gain votes for upcoming elections - he will do anything to get votes and he doesn't care who it hurts - look for GILD to take a hit just as BANKS have with constant huge fines the new pinata to hit will be expensive drugs - drug companies.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • rogers2308 by rogers2308 May 23, 2014 2:33 PM Flag

    Look for Obama to put the squeeze on High Pharmacy prices as he looks to shore up his unfavorable Obamacare opinion among the populace ahead of the upcoming elections to bolster Dummycrat support. And yes it will happen and yes it will be effective - politically. Look for Gild to drop about $10.00 soon.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    MEG ADMITS TO MISTAKES ON CNBC.

    by capn_trade May 23, 2014 9:23 AM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 May 23, 2014 9:32 AM Flag

    No, they are not needed, HP needs to be much leaner - the company does not exist to employ people that are no longer necessary in today's marketplace. Competition from the world will be even fiercer as time goes on.

  • Reply to

    VHC

    by rogers2308 May 8, 2014 1:32 PM
    rogers2308 rogers2308 May 8, 2014 2:22 PM Flag

    I still feel the same - given time - who knows how long - that given the Apple victory and a huge if if that victory is not overturned that I will eventually make money on VHC. My problem is that I had previously thought that KL was a shrewd business man who knows how to monitor the day to day events and how to make the art of the deal - he has failed on both counts - He has to make a deal to fight a Goliath like Microsoft, Cisco, and Apple - he did make a deal a long time ago with Microsoft and needs a partner like Samsung to leverage with in fighting Apple - it does not take Einsteins brain to figure that one out.

    Sentiment: Hold

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