New York Community Bancorp Inc. Message Board

Panic everywhere...this is oversold, in my opinion. I'm looking for one precipitous drop. Not .14 cents...

I see you've crawled back out of your sink hole, coward.

Guys like you are a dime a dozen.

Even as the stock market soars into record territory, real estate investment trusts (REITs) are shooting past it. U.S. REIT returns were more than three times those of the broader equity market in April, according to a new report from NAREIT, the REIT industry association. REITs have also outperformed the market in the first four months of this year.

"The REITs are direct beneficiaries of Ben Bernanke and his fellow global central bankers who are all following the same QE/currency debasement playbook," said Alexander Goldfarb, of Sandler O'Neill. "Investors continue to scramble for total return, and that pressure is pushing up prices and thus compressing yield. REITs offer earnings and dividend growth as well as inflation protection."


Institutional investors are especially drawn to REITs because they provide not just earnings growth, but strong dividend growth. REITs are required to distribute at least 90 percent of taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Also, real estate is relatively inexpensive right now.

(Read More: The Other Housing Recovery: Agents' Pay )

"Physical real estate is attracting institutional investors because there is a positive spread between how much it costs to finance real estate versus the income generated," added Goldfarb.

On a total return basis, the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index gained 5.80 percent in April and the FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index gained 6.33 percent, while the S&P 500 was up 1.93 percent.

While almost all sectors of U.S. REITs have delivered double-digit gains year-to-date, some are outshining others. Health care was the industry's top-performing major sector, with a 23.77 percent total return, according to the NAREIT report. Lodging was up 17.51 percent, and retail was up 17.34 percent, led by shopping centers.

An improving economy is clearly sending consumers back on vacation and back to the malls. Health care has been a consistent leader, as Baby Boomers fuel the aging population.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery )

A product of the real estate recovery, Mortgage REITs were up nearly 19 percent and Home Financing REITs were up over 17 percent. Commercial financing is driving much of the former, but these sectors are benefitting from a potential thaw in mortgage credit in residential as well. (Read More Below the Video.)


"There are signs that conditions are beginning to loosen," according to analysts at Capital Economics, who also noted that mortgage demand is on the rise.

Meanwhile, mortgage delinquencies are falling - at least delinquencies on newer loans. As of February, 2014, mortgages originated before 2009 make up 50 percent of all outstanding mortgages, but 86 percent of all mortgage delinquencies, according to a new report from TransUnion. Both the improvement in credit outstanding and credit availability will benefit the corresponding REITs.

(Read More: Fannie Mae: From Bailout to Cash Cow )

The dividend yield of the FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REITs Index was 10.79 percent, with Home Financing REITs yielding 11.82 percent. The S&P 500 (^GSPC)'s dividend yield was 2.12 percent, according to the NAREIT report.

Apartment REITs, however, are underperforming their peers, despite still strong rental demand, rent growth and low vacancies. Some analysts say that may be a mistake on the part of investors who think housing is rebounding far faster than it really is, or who are worried that there is too much multi-family construction coming on line. Apartment REITs, they say, are still a good buy.


Even as the stock market soars into record territory, real estate investment trusts (REITs) are shooting past it. U.S. REIT returns were more than three times those of the broader equity market in April, according to a new report from NAREIT, the REIT industry association. REITs have also outperformed the market in the first four months of this year.

"The REITs are direct beneficiaries of Ben Bernanke and his fellow global central bankers who are all following the same QE/currency debasement playbook," said Alexander Goldfarb, of Sandler O'Neill. "Investors continue to scramble for total return, and that pressure is pushing up prices and thus compressing yield. REITs offer earnings and dividend growth as well as inflation protection."


Institutional investors are especially drawn to REITs because they provide not just earnings growth, but strong dividend growth. REITs are required to distribute at least 90 percent of taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Also, real estate is relatively inexpensive right now.

(Read More: The Other Housing Recovery: Agents' Pay )

"Physical real estate is attracting institutional investors because there is a positive spread between how much it costs to finance real estate versus the income generated," added Goldfarb.

On a total return basis, the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index gained 5.80 percent in April and the FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index gained 6.33 percent, while the S&P 500 was up 1.93 percent.

While almost all sectors of U.S. REITs have delivered double-digit gains year-to-date, some are outshining others. Health care was the industry's top-performing major sector, with a 23.77 percent total return, according to the NAREIT report. Lodging was up 17.51 percent, and retail was up 17.34 percent, led by shopping centers.

An improving economy is clearly sending consumers back on vacation and back to the malls. Health care has been a consistent leader, as Baby Boomers fuel the aging population.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery )

A product of the real estate recovery, Mortgage REITs were up nearly 19 percent and Home Financing REITs were up over 17 percent. Commercial financing is driving much of the former, but these sectors are benefitting from a potential thaw in mortgage credit in residential as well. (Read More Below the Video.)


"There are signs that conditions are beginning to loosen," according to analysts at Capital Economics, who also noted that mortgage demand is on the rise.

Meanwhile, mortgage delinquencies are falling - at least delinquencies on newer loans. As of February, 2014, mortgages originated before 2009 make up 50 percent of all outstanding mortgages, but 86 percent of all mortgage delinquencies, according to a new report from TransUnion. Both the improvement in credit outstanding and credit availability will benefit the corresponding REITs.

(Read More: Fannie Mae: From Bailout to Cash Cow )

The dividend yield of the FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REITs Index was 10.79 percent, with Home Financing REITs yielding 11.82 percent. The S&P 500 (^GSPC)'s dividend yield was 2.12 percent, according to the NAREIT report.

Apartment REITs, however, are underperforming their peers, despite still strong rental demand, rent growth and low vacancies. Some analysts say that may be a mistake on the part of investors who think housing is rebounding far faster than it really is, or who are worried that there is too much multi-family construction coming on line. Apartment REITs, they say, are still a good buy.

For full disclosure...I sold 11000 at 6.60 in my regular account..($4K loss, bit profitable after dividends) and currently hold 6000 in my IRA, down $8800.00 - $5400.00 in dividends.

Not sure what to do. I've spoken to IR, and they're willing to answer most questions, but there is no elation or positive vibe I can pickup from our conversations. If any of you make a regular practice of calling companies, you may know what I mean.

The fact AGNC missed, has been bad for all mReits. Is this company well-managed? Not sure. Will they reduce the dividend again? Not sure. Does trading below book in this environment really mean anything? Not sure...

This doesn't feel like the same ARR I bought a year ago.