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VirnetX Holding Corp Message Board

sab63090 2678 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 1, 2013 7:58 AM Member since: Nov 4, 2005
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  • Reply to

    Stuck in mud...

    by sab63090 Feb 28, 2013 1:20 PM
    sab63090 sab63090 Mar 1, 2013 7:58 AM Flag

    we have already broken 36 several times and even gone above 37 pre market....I'm sticking with a more difficult spot...a bust thru 37 on volume...

  • Reply to

    Stuck in mud...

    by sab63090 Feb 28, 2013 1:20 PM
    sab63090 sab63090 Feb 28, 2013 1:51 PM Flag

    36 to 36.50 is NOT enough....we need a blast thru 37, imo....with increased volume...even the pre-trial with CSCO is so far a neutral.....

  • sab63090 by sab63090 Feb 28, 2013 1:20 PM Flag

    It feels like we have a "bug rider" on an old horse.....what's it going to take to bust out across 37? Moving late on volume would be great....

  • Reply to

    Eyeballs on the triangle formation...

    by sab63090 Feb 27, 2013 3:22 PM
    sab63090 sab63090 Feb 27, 2013 4:28 PM Flag

    I think you have hit on what the crowd is thinking, but there is an ongoing effort to stop the price by interests that are somewhat trapped, once the price is able to surpass 37 (jmo), all Hell will brake loose....this triangle is big, looking at the daily and weekly charts and will not be stopped until much higher levels are achieved....a run towards 41.93 seems easily attained, with a massive breakout above 42, imo.....I still stand will a hold on this one and like the action in SGMO a little more, since there has been a couple of 13G's filed by one interest....went from 5.5% to 7.2% in a short time frame....move today in SGMO is larger than in VHC....

  • We have had volume, news, etc.....now we just need the price to "pop".....I feel strongly that the resistance is at 37 on a late rally....no fundamentals here just the technical action....we could explode at some point....news will always make the charts useless (for a few days anyway)....settlement will do it with any or all parties involved.....Apple, Cisco, or Avaya.....

  • I think the high spike (pre-market touched 37.26); I believe that is a good spot as long as we close above 37 (using the daily chart)....that would be a triangle breakout move....and the count would project to above the former spike high (41.93) and cause a triple top breakout on the P&F charts....I won't project the count until it hits (we would need to hit 42 for that to trigger yet another higher objective...pre-market volume is pretty good so far, but not what I would have expected based on the news..

  • Judge Davis (higher ranked court) did not enforce an injunction, so why attempt this effort at the ITC..seems smart to me....cut futile efforts.

  • GHORS has it correct; the political pressure of big companies employing many people and bringing in big dollars will have support in their efforts to avoid settling with a little company; it will take a Judge who can stand above the heap of #$%$ he is troubled with to stand firm and slam down the hammer....I have been waiting in the background for something to happen, but I'm convinced this game will stretch out to past the Cisco trial....Naturally, I hope I'm wrong....but the stock price seems to reflect the status and pressure on the good judge, imo.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • IMO, his "brreak out level" @ 35 was incorrect.....we've already visited a spike above 36...I used it, but then raised my trigger up to 37.....I think that's the key level, with volume and hopefully lots of block action....we hold OK.....seems like we are always waiting on the train conductor to step on the gas.....trade is OK, but not enticing to me right here....I like DNDN now, and I do have egg on my face with SGMO, but I'm up big....I think Feb.22 is the release of the abstract acceptance at CROI (Mar 3 to Mar 6...that would be big if accepted)....earns on Mar 4th

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Man O Man.....this is like the slow boat to China

    by sab63090 Feb 6, 2013 3:18 PM
    sab63090 sab63090 Feb 6, 2013 3:57 PM Flag

    hope you are right....I feel like we have been standing in place at Starbucks waiting for a cup of java.....I hope I wake up tomorrow with a surprise.....just bought some DNDN today, looks good to me.....also hope that SGMO has a good earnings call tonight, not for earnings but for other things in their future....glad that Ed L. has a big chunk of his company

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Why doesn't this stock get going? Stock is holding OK, but volume stinks...clock is ticking to next week's status conference (11th or 12th)....Mardi Gras/Fat Tuesday in New Orleans....maybe that's when it's "lights out for Apple"....

    Sentiment: Hold

  • I believe today is the last day for Motions In Limine (CSCO/VHC)....Judge Davis should be prepared for next week, I would guess.....any clarification on whether the status conference is Feb. 11th or Feb 12th? I would think the 11th is the unchanged date since there were corrections filed by all parties...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • IMO, the 13G is always fresh news (would just bought a 5% position), the 13D is for the activist filings, and 13H (relatively new SEC Form) is for the Big Traders........you can pretty much ignore the 13F Filings as these are the Mutual Funds and other passive types....you can be almost certain that VHC will get some institutional interest if Judge Davis applies what most of you think will happen...an injunction although I think a compulsory license will be the most likely....I see the Cisco status conference will move forward one day....the the 12th....no big whoop.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • We need to get these guys by their "coglione".....

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Yet another 13G/A Filing for SGMO...that's 2 since November (5.5% RA Cap Mgmt, and Blackrock up to 6.7% now) .....where's ours?

    Sentiment: Hold

  • ruling, it's "Hammer Time" for VirnetX, the shorts are laughing.....another drop, hiding behind a falling market.....business as usual....down, down we go......

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    I like ALJ Gildea at the ITC

    by sab63090 Feb 1, 2013 9:02 AM
    sab63090 sab63090 Feb 1, 2013 10:10 AM Flag

    I agree with your comment on Avaya, although I'm not a lawyer and don't know what tricks they might try....I hope you're right on the price.....I thought 36 was "the spot", but I have now raised my "trigger" to 37, too.....volume, spike and close above it....some big blocks might get me to jump...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • VHC tries to run, but the troops keep getting shot.....I think 37 or more with volume (and staying above that level) is critical....where are the block trades and overall volume? Story keeps getting better and the stock is faded each and every day......weird, ain't it? btw, JStevenbaker's last post on iv....is how I see it, too....

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Let's quit with game playing and do what you're supposed to do....both sides are trying to play games....he might be outspoken, but I'm a guy who likes no #$%$ with my money....btw, I'm moving my "trigger spot" up to 37 (close, volume and a few blocks, too)....

    Sentiment: Hold

  • The hit at 36 has now turned the P&F downside target to and "upside target of 57"....the implied vol of the options are now 57.5 for Feb and 65 plus for March, both not extreme....with the deltas around .57 (one in stockis about .57 cents up or down on option)...if long, you could sell the near term Feb strike and buy the March with a reduced cost basis...getting some decay on the Feb or set up as a partial "back spread"...assuming you are long the stock...lots of moves possible....In my many years of trading I have found that trying to outsmart the big institutional option players is a losing game...too many things they can do to outsmart the retail investor....the big blocks of options yesterday at relatively flat prices suggests, to me, that these were deals of some sort....since big buys would have been at larger premiums, not flat....good luck....the weekly triangle suggests a massive accumulation/distribution level...the 36 level was not apparently the "key spot" as I had suggested....might be above the last bump high....37 and change...downside risk is there, too, on a breakdown (technically)....

    Sentiment: Hold

VHC
5.85+0.96(+19.63%)Dec 19 4:02 PMEST

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