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The New York Times Company Message Board

sage2123 220 posts  |  Last Activity: 16 hours ago Member since: Mar 1, 2009
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  • Reply to

    Oregon resident.

    by billwanterache Dec 31, 2014 3:51 PM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 31, 2014 8:04 PM Flag

    But expensive Toll homes all up and down the west coast.

    The prices are sure to double along with your vision with the radiation poisoning.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    One and Two Year Returns on Frontier

    by sage2123 Dec 23, 2014 8:32 PM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 24, 2014 12:39 PM Flag

    BTW- My FTR shares have been on DRIP for decades, way before Maggie.

    Oh yes, and FTR is a much larger company now due to acquisitions. This is the reason for share dilution and dividend decreases. WIN is getting ready for a 30% divvy cut.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    One and Two Year Returns on Frontier

    by sage2123 Dec 23, 2014 8:32 PM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 24, 2014 12:35 PM Flag

    The gas bag opines....

    Yo sage -- I sold my FTR long position out in 2011 at $8.08.

    I then traded it a few times -- always long -- and made some money.

    But went she went under $5 I just watched.

    But you on the other hand have been on DRIP since FTR peaked at around $16 right before Maggie started to jack things up so she would have a bigger sand box -- so the stock is down from $16 to about $6.75 today or a slide of about $9.25 -- that's about a 60% slide. And that parallels the divvy cut. Funny how that works.

    At $16 the dividends bought fewer shares, and as the pps decreased, the dividends bought more shares.

    See how that works?

    FTR was under $6 for a few years, and a dozen or so dividends. Those shares are up big.

  • Reply to

    things go better with.....

    by primemeridian Dec 24, 2014 12:03 PM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 24, 2014 12:32 PM Flag

    Haven't you heard?

    Mass layoffs are great for the housing market.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • 1 year return= 44%
    2 year return= 62%

    Not including dividends.

    Shhh....don't tell beeess and d.i.n.k.y !!!

    Let's let them think they were right all along.

    Its better that way.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • 1 year return= (-10%)
    2 year return= +2.5%

    While market closes at historic highs.

    Woo Hoo! Go Toll !!!!!!

    Dat's what I'm talking about.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • More downward revisions.

    Sales of new U.S. single-family homes fell for a second straight month in November, a sign that the housing market recovery remains fragile.

    The Commerce Department said on Tuesday that sales declined 1.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 438,000 units. October's sales pace was revised down to 445,000 units from 458,000 units.

    Economists polled by Reuters had forecast new home sales rising to a 460,000-unit pace last month.

    New home sales, which account for about 8 percent of the housing market, tend to be volatile month to month. Compared to November last year, sales were down 1.6 percent.

    A report on Monday showed home resales tumbled to a six-month low in November.

    The housing market is being hobbled by a slow pace of household formation, a result of sluggish wage growth. An acceleration is expected next year as a strengthening labor market fosters a faster pace of wage growth.

    Last month, new home sales fell in the Northeast, the Midwest and the South. They rose 14.8 percent in the West.

    The stock of new houses available on the market rose 1.4 percent last month to 213,000, the highest since May 2010.

    At November's sales pace it would take 5.8 months to clear the supply of houses on the market, up from 5.7 months in October. The median new home price rose 1.4 percent from a year ago to $280,900.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    Christmas special on remaining lots!

    by wyo34 Dec 22, 2014 12:00 PM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 23, 2014 8:21 AM Flag

    We're calling you out wyo.

    I just did a quick search of Toll projects in Arizona and the Grand Villas at Scottsdale mountain isn't even listed.


    Sentiment: Sell

  • sage2123 sage2123 Dec 22, 2014 11:49 AM Flag

    But I'm so smart, but what about demographics, but everybody and their cousin is buying with cash.

    Looks like the Cap'n might be pawning his parrot.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • If so, perhaps The Captain and Tennille can get jobs entertaining the crews....if there are any left?

    The Baltic Dry Index Has Never Crashed This Fast Post-Thanksgiving

    We are sure it's nothing - since stock markets in China and The US are soaring - but deep, deep down in the heart of the real economies, there is a problem. The Baltic Dry Index has fallen for 21 straight days, tumbling around 40% since Thanksgiving Day.

    This is the biggest collapse in the 'trade' indicator (which we should ignore unless it is rising) since records began 28 years ago...

    As The Index itself hovers very close to the post-crisis lows...

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Nice way to implement across the board pay cuts, and without increasing UE rate.

    The Connecticut-based tech giant Pratt & Whitney will furlough most of its salaried workers in the U.S. on seven different days in 2015 in an effort to cut costs.

    According to a company spokesperson, the following dates have been scheduled as non-work, non-paid days:

    Easter weekend on Monday, April 6
    Memorial Day weekend on Friday, May 22
    Fourth of July weekend on Monday, July 6
    Labor Day weekend on Friday, Sept. 4
    Columbus Day weekend on Monday, Oct. 12
    Thanksgiving holiday on Wednesday, Nov. 25
    Christmas Eve on Thursday, Dec. 24

    Pratt spokesperson Ray Hernandez said that although the company has recently developed new programs that will increase revenue in the future, "we won't see the benefits of our new programs for a few years."

    The company has also made launched several new projects that have required large investments. As a result, Hernandez said, Pratt "continues to face significant near-term financial challenges."

    Hernandez said Pratt has made a number of moves to reduce costs, of which the furloughs are one. Other changes including the implementation of labor reductions, voluntary separation programs, travel and hiring restrictions and layoffs.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • And only a $0.02 drop.

    Can you say resistance level?

    Sentiment: Buy

  • sage2123 sage2123 Dec 19, 2014 9:37 PM Flag

    That's true. Cap'n Crunch got hacked.

    No wait, Cap'n Crunch Is a hack.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • And made two dividends.

    See how easy it is?

    Sentiment: Buy

  • After announcing details of REIT spin-off.

    WIN's loss is FTR's gain.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    To the Sage Master

    by cd_iso Dec 13, 2014 1:28 AM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 17, 2014 8:07 AM Flag


    Well said DLJ.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Has anyone noticed?

    by primemeridian Dec 16, 2014 6:04 PM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 16, 2014 6:44 PM Flag

    Noticed? Yes.
    Surprised? No.

    His thesis is flawed, and now he has face in palms wondering where he went wrong.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • sage2123 by sage2123 Dec 16, 2014 12:46 PM Flag

    Made today while beeess tries to figure out what to do with face in hands.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Oops.

    This must be due to all of the "demand" in the market.

    WASHINGTON (AP) -- Construction of new homes fell slightly in November, reflecting weakness in construction of single-family homes.

    Builders started construction at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.03 million homes and apartments last month, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. That was a decline of 1.6 percent from October when construction activity had posted a 1.7 percent gain.

    The weakness last month came from a 5.4 percent fall in construction of single-family homes, which offset a 6.7 percent rise in the more volatile apartment sector.

    Applications for building permits were also down in November, falling 5.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.04 million. Analysts are still looking for housing to regain momentum in 2015, believing that strong increases in employment will help boost home sales.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    Hey Sage,

    by bswiththebest Dec 15, 2014 10:41 AM
    sage2123 sage2123 Dec 15, 2014 11:10 AM Flag

    Actively managed accounts and brokers for that matter rarely beat the market indices.

    This is true, and has been borne out by endless amounts of historic investment data.

    Question- How do you make a small fortune on Wall Street?

    Answer- Start with a large fortune and trade it a lot.

    Oh yes, except for always make money and never pay taxes on it because its in a Roth. Give us all a break.

    BTW- FTR isn't the only holding in the trust, and the trust isn't our only investment.

    Sentiment: Buy

13.64-0.23(-1.66%)Mar 4 4:03 PMEST

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