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WebMD Health Corp. Message Board

salhem1 24 posts  |  Last Activity: Feb 17, 2015 3:39 PM Member since: Jun 23, 2000
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  • salhem1 salhem1 Feb 17, 2015 3:39 PM Flag

    As I said to you last week, why are you so sure the high rates aren't permanent? Just look at the numbers over the last 2 years! Here's the last 5 profitable quarters CYAN has reported. Recent fiscal Q3 had a tax rate of 60%, Q2 of this fiscal year had a tax rate of 63%. In the prior fiscal year, Q3 had a tax rate of 88%! Q2 had a tax rate of 68%. And Q1 had a tax rate of 78%. So again I ask why on earth would you assume this is just going to magically drop down to a normal rate when they've consistently paid these outrageously high rates!?!

    I'm laughing about your "investor friend" and his response that these rates are common among small companies right now. Uh...no they're not. I follow hundreds of smallcaps. There's only a handful that pay a tax rate over 45%. I'd find out from the company right away what the heck is going on. Is Hawaii state tax that steep?

    And yes the numbers could get better. Obviously. But I think everyone would agree that CYAN just had a couple of 'good' quarters. And those of us who've followed CYAN for years know their history. A good quarter or 2, followed by a disappointing quarter or 2. Maybe this time will be different.

  • salhem1 salhem1 Feb 17, 2015 1:05 PM Flag

    Huh? I made a post last week about how the stock had gotten ahead of itself and would drop back. And that's exactly what happened.

  • salhem1 salhem1 Feb 17, 2015 12:20 PM Flag

    Selloff actually makes perfect sense. This stock didn't deserve to go to $9. Yeah they touted the .14 number in the press release. But that was PRETAX. With the company's burdensome tax rate, you're looking at earnings of .06/share per quarter after tax. And that's excluding the legal expenses. A p/e of 20-30 gets you to a stock price of $4.80-$7.20.

  • Reply to

    $9 a share

    by prince_ashargin Feb 12, 2015 9:48 AM
    salhem1 salhem1 Feb 12, 2015 11:09 AM Flag

    Why wouldn't it be permanent? If this was the only quarter with such a high tax rate, I would agree. But look at the quarterly numbers over the last 2 years, they've paid a very high tax rate several times. So unfortunately we're stuck with it. Maybe it'll only be 40-50%. But regardless, the .14 is pretax so it's not the number to use.

  • Reply to

    $9 a share

    by prince_ashargin Feb 12, 2015 9:48 AM
    salhem1 salhem1 Feb 12, 2015 10:02 AM Flag

    No they can't earn .14 per quarter. That number is PRETAX. Slap on the unfortunate 60% tax rate and we're looking at .06 per quarter. I'd sell on today's nice pop. Think stock drops back when people figure this out.

  • Reply to

    Compnesated Analyst report

    by bluhorseshu76 Feb 9, 2015 9:37 AM
    salhem1 salhem1 Feb 10, 2015 1:09 AM Flag

    Not sure why you guys are throwing good money after bad. This company puts out a lot of hypey press releases. They keep talking about revenues on the way and the huge market potential. Meanwhile they report revenues that are disappearing and losses that are increasing sharply. Why would anyone buy such a stock? Let this company prove themselves with a decent quarterly report first. Even if you have to pay more, there will be plenty of time to make money. Otherwise, if they continue this all talk and no substance routine, the stock will just keep dropping to .01. No need to go down with this ship.

  • Reply to

    big volume; little price action

    by gemini_dealer Feb 5, 2015 10:16 AM
    salhem1 salhem1 Feb 5, 2015 10:22 AM Flag

    Little price action? Stock was up to $12 premarket. Now back to $11. Do we keep falling to $10 or rebound back up to $12?

  • Reply to

    CC was a joke these guys are in trouble

    by anabolic44444 Feb 1, 2015 5:46 PM
    salhem1 salhem1 Feb 2, 2015 10:42 AM Flag

    It's not going to drop much below $4 with that dividend, but yeah the CC stunk. I'm surprised the stock didn't start dropping last Thursday. Jeez they hope (and he emphasized the word HOPE) the acquisition will be accretive in a year. They lost a large medical customer. And the new CEO said he talked to the major OEMs in the sector...and they describe the environment as 'almost dead'. Yikes. Sure doesn't sound like we'll see business bouncing back in a quarter or 2 like I was thinking.

  • Think I saw a nearly 10,000 share bid at $4.80 a moment ago. What's up? Earnings this Thursday won't look good. And why buy in the $4.80's when you could have bought all you wanted below $4.20 a week ago? I don't get it.

  • Reply to

    shorting size around 4.5

    by anabolic44444 Jan 22, 2015 5:44 PM
    salhem1 salhem1 Jan 26, 2015 12:34 PM Flag

    Up to $4.80 today. How's that short position? Will you cover at $5 or wait for $6?

  • Reply to

    FWIW a few articles in WSJ

    by gemini_dealer Jan 15, 2015 10:39 AM
    salhem1 salhem1 Jan 16, 2015 12:15 AM Flag

    Down 80% a year? Not quite that bad. Unless PRCP traded over $50 and I didn't notice.

  • salhem1 salhem1 Jan 8, 2015 6:58 PM Flag

    An insider sold 8,000 shares at $5.15 last September. Another insider sold 7,900 shares last April at $6.30. Those are the only insider sales in the past 11 months. That is the fact.

    Yes dividend is currently higher than earnings. But they have plenty of cash. And are obviously expecting a rebound in earnings.

    Business falling apart? Look at the last 3 quarters. Revenues and earnings have stabilized. Maybe you're looking at the year-over-year comps, which have been ugly. They have one last poor Q4 comp this month, that's your only hope for a quick dip lower imo.

    Business isn't great, but that's why the stock is at $4 and not at $14 like last year. They have a strong balance sheet and pay out a juicy dividend. There has been a positive tone to the last couple of conference calls. We'll see how the Q4 call goes. I think there might be an excellent buying opportunity after the Q4 report.

    RFIL earnings can improve dramatically when business conditions improve (and they will at some point). I'd sure rather be long than short at these low prices. We'll see the stock back at $5-$6 later this year, and you collect a big dividend while you wait.

  • salhem1 salhem1 Jan 5, 2015 2:24 AM Flag

    LOL are you serious with this stuff? First of all, insiders are not selling like crazy at this price...so let's stop with the lies. An insider exercised some options and sold shares in September. Before that, looks like an insider sold some shares in April. Hardly selling like crazy!

    And $2? You must be joking. Sales have stabilized in the $5-$6M range per quarter with earnings around .05/share per quarter. Yes that makes the business worth about $2. But then you have to factor in the balance sheet. Company sitting on $1.63/share in CASH. And don't forget about the huge dividend. Stock won't fall much further with the current 6.9% dividend yield. At $2, RFIL would be yielding 14%! haha

    You may get lucky and see a brief dip when they report a Q4 comp this month. But I'd cover quickly. Because after that, numbers should start a gradual improvement in 2015. If they close that acquisition, numbers could see a big improvement. I wouldn't be surprised if RFIL doubles from here by yearend.

  • salhem1 salhem1 Dec 28, 2014 11:04 PM Flag

    Time to short was $10+, not now! They've got a strong balance sheet and pay out a huge dividend. Business has stabilized and might even improve from here. Plus there's an acquisition that should be finalized soon. There should be a few more days of tax selling, but after that I'd rather be long than short at these prices.

  • Reply to

    Quarterly Report

    by bluhorseshu76 Dec 23, 2014 9:53 AM
    salhem1 salhem1 Dec 23, 2014 1:28 PM Flag

    Wish you guys luck, but that was one ugly report. Probably why no press release with the quarterly numbers. They're too embarrassed. ABHI looks like a classic overpromise/underdeliver penny stock. Back in May, CEO was talking about $5-$10M in revenues. Well they just reported their second quarter after the acquisition...and revenues for the entire quarter were $102,755. Ouch. Down 87% from last year. Small profit last year now a big loss. What was the point of the acquisition?? Share count has jumped and looks like the company is printing shares to keep the lights on. Anyone catch this?

    As of December 22, 2014, the Registrant had 48,505,617 shares of common stock, par value $0.008 per share, issued and outstanding.

    Major dilution as share count was only 18M last year. Unfortunately, I think this dog is headed below .10.

  • Reply to

    well, that was nice!!

    by hopeful200 Dec 18, 2014 4:01 PM
    salhem1 salhem1 Dec 19, 2014 3:30 PM Flag

    Company made a NT10Q filing on 12/15. So actual 10Q should be out this Monday. I didn't think expectations would be higher either. But when I saw stock almost double from .11 to .21 yesterday, thought someone was expecting good news.

  • Reply to

    well, that was nice!!

    by hopeful200 Dec 18, 2014 4:01 PM
    salhem1 salhem1 Dec 19, 2014 12:12 PM Flag

    Just seems like they always promise revenues that never show up. This statement was made by the ceo in MAY when they closed the Veloxum acquisition. Where's the $5-$10M in revenue growth? And that was conservative? We'll see how #'s look on Monday.

    "Revenue growth for the next 12 months conservatively estimated to be between $5 million to $10 million with this new product potential and client list," stated AmbiCom Chairman and CEO, John Hwang.

  • Reply to

    well, that was nice!!

    by hopeful200 Dec 18, 2014 4:01 PM
    salhem1 salhem1 Dec 19, 2014 9:41 AM Flag

    Congrats on the gain. Think I'd take the money & run. Earnings are delayed & due Monday. Maybe they'll finally show the large revenue increases they've been promising. But if they don't (more likely scenario imo), stock will drop back below .15 very quickly.

  • Reply to

    Suitor for MPO

    by ratchetnrg Dec 10, 2014 9:02 PM
    salhem1 salhem1 Dec 11, 2014 12:44 AM Flag

    Absolutely! If they were smart, the big boys would start using their vast cash hordes to take advantage of the blood in the streets and start snapping up juicy assets at firesale prices.

  • salhem1 salhem1 Dec 8, 2014 3:19 PM Flag

    FONR was in the $20's earlier this year. So a good candidate for tax loss selling this month. If that's the case, I think the stock rebounds to $12-$14 in January.

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