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QuinStreet, Inc. (QNST) Message Board

sd1440 9 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 20, 2014 3:28 PM Member since: Jun 3, 1999
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  • At this level I'm thinking of buying 15,000 shares for a hold period of one or two years. If the dividend does not get cut that would mean a dividend return in two years of $90,000. Looking at a ten year chart I would think that in two years we should see it back up to the $30 to $35 dollar range. Taking the $30 range this would net me out a total investment profit of $240,000 for my initial $315,000 buy in. Giving me a nice total account increase of $555,000. Any thoughts?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    One or two year buy and hold question.

    by sd1440 Nov 29, 2014 5:14 PM
    sd1440 sd1440 Nov 29, 2014 5:55 PM Flag

    Thanks for the good advice and insight on my question. I don't expect them to hold the dividend to $3 a share at this level and I would be o.k. with even up to a 50% reduction and still be fine. I just see this as a good opportunity to get in at a ten year low level and make a small killing in two years. Thanks again.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Does anyone know when they are thinking of cutting back the dividend? I was going to start buying under
    $20. a share for a year or two hold, but now I might wait if the dividend is going to be jacked with. If they cut it by half I bet we could see another little correction to the current price. No matter what, if we see $16. a share, I'm buying in big time.

  • Reply to

    When will the dividend be cut?

    by sd1440 Dec 1, 2014 2:45 PM
    sd1440 sd1440 Dec 2, 2014 5:46 PM Flag

    Just did some Valuline research and they even stated in bold print last month that the dividend was in danger of being lowered back then. Now after all this bloodbath, it would be unrealistic to not agree to some dividend cut. The current 16% dividend is far too high for what it's trading at right now. Don't get me wrong, I like high dividends, but just don't see them holding if things don't get better soon.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • They are bringing the oil market down and destroying the shale producers in doing it. Then when the oil producers like RIG hit bottom they will be buying like crazy. Then they will announce they are cutting production in half and everything will shoot up like crazy. They win in both directions.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • I'm going to buy in to RIG in the near future, but I still have some concerns after doing some Value Line research today. My first concern is that the revised earnings est. have not been factored in yet. This could be a huge downturn when the bad numbers are finally put out. Second is the real possibility of the dividend being cut. Numerous other drillers have done this and I really don't think RIG is beyond having to do this. If this happens then the price will also drop. My third concern is we just might not have seen the bottom price for oil. And after today's crazy market conditions the DOW up 150 then closes down 111 is not going to help bring stability into this sector. So with all this any one of these events could bring down the stock price of RIG. I would love to pick up 15,000 shares at $14. or better, but I just don't know. I'm going to be long for up to five years on this position when I finally buy so I guess I could just ride it out because I don't think that this low oil will last that long out. My main thing would be if the dividend gets cut because I would like to have the income of that while waiting the five years for the price to rebound. Any thoughts?

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Three concerns here still

    by sd1440 Dec 16, 2014 6:20 PM
    sd1440 sd1440 Dec 18, 2014 4:24 PM Flag

    Gee your good at math. :) Like I said this would be for a long term investment and based on the fact that it's trading a 10 year lows and even if the dividend were cut in half I think would be a good return in the long run.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Three concerns here still

    by sd1440 Dec 16, 2014 6:20 PM
    sd1440 sd1440 Dec 19, 2014 1:22 PM Flag

    Your logic of talking to a broker is like saying go to a fortune teller IMHO. I have lost lots in the past on brokers advice. They say that's why their called "Brokers". They will make you broke. I do have the funds as some are saying I'm full of #$%$. I don't get why all the negative posts. I have been doing lots of research with the Value Line and online and yes, even asking several brokers advice also. So I'm not some nut just throwing out $200,000. I'm looking long term and I just don't see the oil prices staying this low based on historic info for too many years. I don't need this money right away and I'm looking at a five year hold. During this time the dividend will be nice but I'm aware that at $3.00 a share right now it will get cut in the near future if oil stays this low for a year or so. Even with a possible dividend cut I'm o.k. with that in the long run. I figure if I can in five years hopefully go from say $17. a share to $34. based on past price history, and pick up around an average of $75,000. in dividends, would be a win. So my $200,000. investment would net out about $475,000. if my plan goes as I hope. I also like the fact that the book value is almost triple of the current stock price and feel that this is another plus.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Three concerns here still

    by sd1440 Dec 16, 2014 6:20 PM
    sd1440 sd1440 Dec 20, 2014 3:28 PM Flag

    Funny you say AAPL because I held that pig for two years and lost money in it. I finally had to get out it was such negative energy in my account. Of course once I sold it flew up and did the 8 for 1 reverse split. I will never invest in AAPL again.

    Sentiment: Hold

QNST
5.70-0.28(-4.68%)Dec 22 4:00 PMEST

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