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National Western Life Group, Inc. Message Board

sean_erickson2000 4 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 2, 2016 6:37 PM Member since: Aug 6, 2012
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  • Reply to

    Not a bad time to bail

    by sean_erickson2000 Mar 2, 2016 3:01 PM
    sean_erickson2000 sean_erickson2000 Mar 2, 2016 6:37 PM Flag

    Yeah but IBM was always much smaller potatoes. IBM was never worth even $15 billion, BNSFs value approached $70 billion. Now you have the congruence of whats gone on with BNSF as well as IBM, AXP, and possibly some concerns about PCP. If the stock price was down a lot, then I wouldnt move but at 137, its worth considering lightening the load especially considering the very high % of portfolio that some people have in Berkshire.

  • sean_erickson2000 by sean_erickson2000 Mar 2, 2016 3:01 PM Flag

    Carloads down 16% from last year over almost a 2 month period with petroleum at -26.55%, that is significant. Yes intermodal has made up a lot of it but its much lower revenue. For the 4th quarter carloads were only down 5.36% with intermodal roughly flat and it hurt income by 10%, this quarters hit will be much larger. Sure BNSF is only 20% of berkshire, but the strains there are real.

  • Reply to

    This generation is lucky they said.

    by likechink Feb 27, 2016 6:37 PM
    sean_erickson2000 sean_erickson2000 Feb 27, 2016 6:51 PM Flag

    2 trillion is held by the federal reserve who sends the interest payments right back to the treasury, another 4.5 trillion is intragovernmental borrowing so in reality you have ~11.5 trillion in debt. The US has more than $12.3 trillion of home equity and more than $85 trillion of household net worth. We will survive and thrive

  • 2.7 % premium growth to 33.8 still a big lead over geicos 23 but it will keep closing. Thats a nearly 15% underwriting loss and worse than the $3.4 billion underwriting loss last year. Of course theyre bailed out by the incredibly strong home insurance market that gave them a 2.1 billion underwriting profit and earned 4 billion on their very large investment portfolio so still grew net worth by a couple billion.

NWLI
205.55-1.15(-0.56%)May 26 4:00 PMEDT