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Advanced Medical Isotope Corporation Message Board

sensiseattle 254 posts  |  Last Activity: 18 hours ago Member since: Jun 26, 2007
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  • Reply to

    Taking shots at ADMD

    by sensiseattle Jul 9, 2014 11:17 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle 18 hours ago Flag

    Speaking of investing with locals. It definitely doesn't work all the time. I got creamed once on CLWR. That was funny. Then CTIC and recently OMER (Omerus) went lunar boom boom ballistic on me. You just never know. You never know. ADMD is going to be a very challenging ride. I hate to say it but with 500 million shares, a money problem as well, it could get nasty. Could RS after issuing all the shares and start over again. I have seen it. I watched CTIC kill investors for three years. I bought $10k of the junk with an average of $.09 and the sold the junk seven months later at $2. Then they started the dilution show again, along with RS and got their stock back below a buck. Only the last year have they gotten it together enough to maintain their share price. So happy I left them in '09. Took a lot of that money over to Acadia and waited a couple years for that thing to go. You just never know. ADMD should be a tiny piece of a portfolio. No one can afford to "lose money" so to heck with that hog wash but you also have to hold your nose and buy more of a loser. Anyways, you better be darn patient with ADMD. Sell it up to keep your real average super low. All I can say about that!

    SS

  • Reply to

    Taking shots at ADMD

    by sensiseattle Jul 9, 2014 11:17 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle 18 hours ago Flag

    I am definitely sticking around as well. The SP is still to high for me now. I like to lower my basis too and I will not make much of a dent there at these prices. I did something funny and put a high sell price on my position. A buy me out price. Then I do not get tempted at all as my Fidelity says I already have an order in. It is just a psychological control game I play.

    I started nibbling at ALDR (Alder) today. It is well off its highs but still above its IPO price. It is a popular local Seattle pharma play. It has some heavy hitters from Seattle in it like Jeff Bezos. Not like they are investment gurus but it is fun to invest with our local business leaders.

    Anyways, all my money is not with ADMD that is for sure. I carry a 4 stock pharma bucket now with ALDR added to the mix. Hopefully I can buy it down a bit more before it finds its short term base. Volume sucks now so it should come off a bit more but I never really know of course.

    Best fortunes on ADMD. Of course I will post if I add again to the ADMD position. PATIENCE!

    SS

  • Reply to

    ADMD + Battelle = 100% Confidence

    by medplay01 Jul 8, 2014 7:08 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle 21 hours ago Flag

    Where is that information publicly available? I have looked all over when it came out on this chat page but could not find it anywhere that she was working for ADMD?

    SS

  • Reply to

    ADMD + Battelle = 100% Confidence

    by medplay01 Jul 8, 2014 7:08 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle 22 hours ago Flag

    Whatever happened to the Grossman lady or whatever her name was. You said she was helping ADMD with their submittal to the FDA on 510K. That went in and flopped. ADMD was told they were working with a Class III device and not a Class II device. It seems like that was a pretty stupid thing to not know in advance. Whatever that lady was paid for sure was a waste of time an money. Where is she now? Is Batelle better at working with the FDA than her? Is that what you are saying?

    SS

  • Reply to

    Taking shots at ADMD

    by sensiseattle Jul 9, 2014 11:17 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle 22 hours ago Flag

    I highly doubt there is manipulation going on. The stock went to .028 in one day and now it is at where it was before the news. Buyers at the top are likely selling and many might not have responded as quickly as they liked. Sellers are still there from last week but they are selling into a .019 bid so the stock can go lower just on this weeks jump in share price. They are stuck for a while now.

    Itrader, I do not see any short term catalysts for the stock. We still do not have any kind of estimate from the company to start, or act on, any particular plan. What do you see in the next 60 days that could be a catalyst to buy on? I would like to know. Just buying the stock for the reason it is below .02 is not a good plan but maybe it works for you. I pick up shares based on market cap if the stock was fully diluted at 500 million shares trading. Thus .01 a share makes a $5 million Market Cap at fully diluted.

    Batelle is not a game changer. They are not stupid. They are not going to financially support this company unless they see ADMD management proactively respond to the FDA. Everything is always about ROI.

    SS

  • sensiseattle by sensiseattle Jul 9, 2014 11:17 PM Flag

    I have seen a decent amount of chatter about "Backing up the truck" and "Loading" ADMD shares. You better note that on just one day the stock traded significantly higher on strong volume. Actually, historically it was not that strong of volume. After that the stock had light volume days on lower lows and highs to the "day of news". It was far from maintaining any type of three day uptrend that would be positive short term for the share price.

    Today it absolutely broke down on, unfortunately, moderate volume. If you have dry powder then do not use it in my opinion. Just sit back and let it tick lower. Unless that FDA submittal plan is released or news of new tutes money coming in is announced there is little reason to buy for the short term in my opinion. If you are chiseling away on the stock to build and hold a long term position then by all means chip away.

    If Batelle news was really important, a game changer, then we would be looking at .04 today in my opinion. Maybe higher. Wall Street hedgie and tutes are very aware of Batelle and its investments and research. Bummer for those who took a shot at ADMD on news without doing some sound DD. Another investor is seperated from his capital for a while. I am a chiseler of the stock and building my position so sell me some .015s.

    Just some evening opinion from me to you to chew on.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Only new information in PR

    by kayak_wench Jul 7, 2014 6:54 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 8, 2014 1:51 AM Flag

    Kayak. When a human trial is determined expect a minimum of a year and easily two years for enough humans to be identified and accepted into the trial, perform the study, analyze the results and prepare them for submission for review by the FDA. Also, add time Pre-trial for ADMD to find, as well as contract, with for a JV for the trial. They will have to demonstrate that their product is as good or better than products currently available. I think this trial will take the longer amount of time I mentioned. #1 it has to meet endpoints of actually stopping and/or eliminating cancerscancers; this will take time with follow up and everything else needed to determine effectiveness. Then #2 they need to demonstrate it does not cause adverse affects in the patient short term at least. They might have to maintain a study medium and long term to determine no adverse health risks develop. This trial could easily need 300 enrolees and will certainly need a medical facility UW MED or similar cancer research centers willing to provide support to the trial.

    Do you want to try again on your timeline guess or are sticking to it? :-)

    My ideas above are just my opinion and driven mostly through following the pharma sector. Medical device could be easier or more difficult. This thing is class III so I am expecting quite a trial.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Told to expect news next week.

    by sailorjaffy Jun 28, 2014 3:24 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 6, 2014 8:53 PM Flag

    I am very well abreast of the board as well as the product. There just has been shenanigans in the past that I did not understand at all. Caldwell is also a great business manager and very active in his business. Now, with this in mind I do not understand what Katz is doing. Did you watch his presentation at the last investor conference that was shared with us via video replay? My goodness, I could have done a better job in my sleep! Was he asleep, or heavily sedated? Anyways, when you catch a conference call, if there ever is another, Katz is pretty good. In front of a group of possible investors they better go with Spivac or Cadwell. I do not think Katz could sell a snowsuit to a naked guy in Antarctica. Nasty!

    SS

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Told to expect news next week.

    by sailorjaffy Jun 28, 2014 3:24 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 6, 2014 7:28 PM Flag

    Radio....on options. I thought it was a total joke when ADMD actually lowered the exercise price for insider's options. Did you catch that filing? Maybe I read it wrong. I felt like if they didn't do a good job, and they didn't, then they should take a hit in the future pocket book. Now the share price is significantly lower. I wonder when they will lower the exercise price again? Thoughts?

    SS

  • Reply to

    Told to expect news next week.

    by sailorjaffy Jun 28, 2014 3:24 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 6, 2014 6:35 PM Flag

    Radio it looked like a lot of options will likely expire before the share price gets even close. It is sort of a double edged sword in my opinion as the share price rises we all now have more options being exercised, share count rises (dilution) as well as selling pressure unless most hold their shares, but many have waited a long time for a pay off or to just get their money back. The share price is going to be a mess for a while with significant upside pressure in my opinion. Yet, that pressure would be at a much higher price of say .14 a share. None the less we would be talking about a lot of shares and a thinly traded stock for the number of issued shares. Pressure, and the reason I am getting shares down here once in a while....I want to book a profit before that battle starts with all of the folks listed in the 10k with warrants/options. That could take a while to clean itself up!

    SS

    Sentiment: Buy

  • sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 4, 2014 9:46 PM Flag

    It will be great to find out how their meetings went! Patience.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Told to expect news next week.

    by sailorjaffy Jun 28, 2014 3:24 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 4, 2014 4:39 PM Flag

    Moto, as long as you and I have been sharing thoughts here I have said that I believed that a human trial would be needed for this product. I have bought stock but as you know in smaller amounts when the price takes a good sized dip. As I believe that the trials will be required I have refrained from "backing up the truck". If there are trials then I am very comfortable buying more stock on a religious sell off. Impatient investors will sell it hard, plus the company will issue shares for cash and they will be looking hard for that cash. All that I am saying is that I do think we are a year from approval and a partner will be needed. I do not have enough shares if I am wrong but if I am correct then there will be much more significant buying from me at a penny a share. That is where it will be, if not a bit lower, with news of a trial in my opinion. It is not right that the shares will be that cheap but people are trading at these levels and market cap does not matter to most I think. Even tutes! A year is actually a long time for most folks and that means they will sell even on good news of a trial.

    No one likes a quitter so I hope you are just taking a break on expanding your position. To sell now means a loss for almost anyone who does not have a share lot purchased in the last two weeks. It also meens a wash sale so sellers will not likely be back for some time after selling. All my opinion here.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Told to expect news next week.

    by sailorjaffy Jun 28, 2014 3:24 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 3, 2014 11:46 PM Flag

    You are such a major flaming pumper! If you have not figured out that this company is bankrupt, heck already filed bankruptcy 4 times and reorganized nine times, then you are a pumping moron! You can't fool me pumper! This stock is going to .000000001 tomorrow!

    Have a good 4th of July you pumper you.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Moto & Kayak on ADMD selling shares open market

    by sensiseattle Jun 30, 2014 11:18 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 3, 2014 4:24 PM Flag

    Ask should hold up just fine as long as there is nothing that comes up in regards to the company that is damaging in the short term. If they will keep their shares to themselves of course. If there are 300 million shares trading then market cap is what $6.6 million. That is a drop in the bucket. Hey, if something comes up that could shake out the impatient investor then you better have some "powder" tucked away for a trade. Trade the thing for goodness sake and slowly build up your core position and bring down your real cost basis you know. I never say I am "done buying", I will deffinitely do a trade for a 20% quick gain or so. I also hate a quitter, that is why I only "take breaks".

    SS

  • Reply to

    Moto & Kayak on ADMD selling shares open market

    by sensiseattle Jun 30, 2014 11:18 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 3, 2014 11:18 AM Flag

    Market volume is low as a whole. I do not have much confidence in the run through 17k DJIA. ADMD volume should be light to non-existant unless some buyer is trying to accumulate while everyone is out at the beach/lake.

    I do have another low ball BID in just in cause some donkey puts in an open sell order or something. I think ADMD share holders have left for the weekend.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Moto & Kayak on ADMD selling shares open market

    by sensiseattle Jun 30, 2014 11:18 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jul 2, 2014 11:30 PM Flag

    So with that kind of money, and Batelle well "on the inside", was the money for submitting a proper 510k this time or is it to invest in a proper study to address questions from the FDA for which we very well could not know of? Just speculative questions I have of course. I can't even fathom the idea that it was to enrich any of the other insiders so it must be for something else. Pay for the LINAC repairs? What do you guess? :-)

    SS

  • Guys, I am not thinking ADMD is actually doing this. Talk about a dangerous game if so. I am thinking though if ADMD is providing shares on debt or shares have come available that could be sold after an expired holding period those could be shares we are seeing come into the market by holders of those shares. If ADMD is actively dumping shares into the market then all tutes would be very scared off to invest with the company. That in addition to discouraging new institutional investors could also run off what significant interests are holding ADMD positions, like Brookline for instanceinstance, or others who hold a significant interest. We know what debts are out there, that can be considered and measured by all, bit if the actual company is directly working against you from a standpoint of dilution then forget about it. Diluting for a large pay off is good for all when it supports a bigger physical move forward for the company. Nickle and dimeing day to day would be very destructive to greater trust. So my two cents are ADMD is not directly selling shares day to day.

    SS

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Told to expect news next week.

    by sailorjaffy Jun 28, 2014 3:24 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jun 28, 2014 9:40 PM Flag

    Hmm, new ID. First post here. Completely unfounded information and a dubiously titled post. IGNORE! Team Ignore will love you. Of course you are probably already on the team and this is just another brand new alias.

    Enjoy chatting with them because no one who has done their homework on ADMD at this YMB is going to chat you up.

    IGNORE!

    SS

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    someone's buying up these shares???

    by itrader250 Jun 25, 2014 1:37 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jun 27, 2014 8:43 PM Flag

    Oregon, Idaho, Washington, BC and Alaska are the Pacific Northwest so you can say you made it. Next time you are up let me know. We can easily meet up for comparing notes by posting herehere our locations. That would be fun.

    SS

  • Reply to

    someone's buying up these shares???

    by itrader250 Jun 25, 2014 1:37 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jun 27, 2014 8:39 PM Flag

    My typing sucked on that last post. Dang Cell Phone!

ADMD
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