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Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

sensiseattle 464 posts  |  Last Activity: 10 hours ago Member since: Jun 26, 2007
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  • Reply to

    Stock action stinks

    by dalton880 Feb 4, 2016 3:48 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle 10 hours ago Flag

    Rook, shares can be loaned for purposes of shorting. If it is overissued, short + long excedes issued shares, I beleive that in and of itself is indeed not an issue. The issue may be covering the short position. Especially an issue if to many short positions happen to want to cover the same week. We do need good news, DDI was good but not great, so I should say we need great news. The kind of news that longs expand their positions and new investors have the confidence to establish a long position. I do think that RLYP is diverging from the IBB index a bit, and if things continue to remain bad in the market I would be watching that closely. I could see RLYP hanging in here and would be anxious to see ANY short covering at all here midmonth.

    I do not think we have an SEC issue here at all. I am long.

    SS

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    More dilution on the way?

    by sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 12:33 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 8:58 PM Flag

    Well, you are an insider then because per 10q filing that is it for who has those shares. Also, listen to the last interview Jim gave, he specifically stated that raising capital does not have to be dilutive. Well, this kind of capital raise is absolutely dilutive. So he lied or has a different idea on what is a lot or little dilution to common. I guess insiders are not worried about dilution as they are the diluters in order to sell their shareS once their Preferred is converted. Which longs have said that the share count will double. None of the longs here have said such a thing.

    Again, reference your statements pumper. Your credibility is just horrendous. So you and Bill both own Series A Preferred Convertible shares. Well, then you both are liars. They will have to specifically reference those shares in their next 10q and/or 8k so we will know soon enough. I make sure to look as well as post on your ownership or lack thereof.

    Here is your problem as well, you say they have to be held 6 months and yet per the Form 4 filled for Jim K recent Series A Preferred Convirtable specifically says that they can be converted at any time. It is in the small print, you should read that once in a while. So it could be done now, but he will lose money if he does it prior to the share price of .0050. So the dilution is great in 6 months, per your post. So at 6 months an investor would be wise to sell or get diluted.

    Smalldumbtdrd you really are an ignorant pumper! Again, waiting for you to post anything that is positive, catalyst forming, to buy this stock. What is in the SEC filings to promote purchasing this stock, backing up the truck, as one would say.

    The catalyst is one of capital and debt raising in my opinion. Being on the front of a new debt cycle for a micro-cap is not where you want to be in my opinion.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Chart looks amazing-up 24%

    by smallcaptrdr24 Jan 28, 2016 10:49 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 8:44 PM Flag

    You do not get facts from a message board. Where is a statement directly from AMIC or the FDA stating that human trials will not be needed. If you beleive a message board on something like that then I have a great deal for you on some Oceanside property in North Dakota.

    SS

  • An 11 million share trade on a downtick on the open this morning and then the rest of the day it barely rises on pocket change, 2 million shares. Total painting the tape. Wonder if that last 11 million share kick down is it for the seller of the last couple days. Still no news and no reason to bid up to get some shares, any shares really.

    When will the kick in the 1 for 3000 share reverse split? These sellers may be looking to short it if the stock is much over a few dollars. I think that will be inevitable if they increase the authorized share count after the split. Guaranteed dilution and no revenues? They will short it. It may be better to forgo the reverse split entirely. Stuck between a rock and a hard spot in my opinion.

    SS

  • Reply to

    More dilution on the way?

    by sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 12:33 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 12:42 AM Flag

    How will they ever get the stock to .0050, as that is where they want to be to convert their Series A notes. 1 for 1 on the conversion. Of course there will need to be an increase in the authorized share count to convert. Then the dilution of the common shareholder may begin. If it starts in my opinion you will be looking at the end. Hey, who knows, maybe they can get the price up 250% some how. I have kinda given up on making excuses for AMIC to myself. I doubt .0050 is going to happen anytime soon. Those days are long behind us, when I called a good catalyst at .0004.

    SS

  • sensiseattle by sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 12:33 AM Flag

    Well James K bought, for $10,000, 10,000 Series A Preffered Convertible notes which convert into 10,000,000 shares of common stock. If you do the math he pretty much got a share for .0010. Now I do not think the stock traded at that price on the 21st when the transaction took place, but what the heck, he is the CEO right? Form 4 is available for review of course.

    Now with Series A they may be able to get the money they invested back. All they have to do is convert those shares and sell in the open market. Much better than cash debt if you are the lender of the debt.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Chart looks amazing-up 24%

    by smallcaptrdr24 Jan 28, 2016 10:49 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 12:13 AM Flag

    Actually you do not know that. Post where we can find that the RadioGel will not need human trials. It may not need them to file their de novo, I could see that, but there is no public evidence that prior to FDA approval to commercialize that AMIC will not have to do human trials.

    You have mispoken or are knowingly lying. Probably both.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Chart looks amazing-up 24%

    by smallcaptrdr24 Jan 28, 2016 10:49 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 5, 2016 12:07 AM Flag

    I do not have to search the 10q because I know it as well as the company in my opinion. I have also been correct. SERIES A PREFERED CONVERTABLE broke the bond shareholders had with the insiders. It gets preferential treatment and when converted is very dilutive to the common shareholder in my opinion. There is no way you can spin the numbers of that note to make it look good. Then there is a reverse split, which in my opinion will be followed shortly thereafter, by a large increase in the authorized share count.

    So while you are posting garbage about buying this stock which will go to the moon, post some specific positives that are demonstratable to your thesis. Tangible positives from the SEC filings or PR. Demonstrate why anyone should buy these shares. If you can't then you have no catalyst and must just want to unload your shares on the buyer because you are so far underwater. You can sell anytime you know but you will have to do it on a downtick because I do not see much volume paying up for the stock.

    The catalyst for more debt, dilution and difficult financing terms is what is upon us. Oh, by the way, I do not think anyone is short the stock. Maybe you can be but that would be pretty stupid. Once the R/S happens and the stock is priced a few bucks or higher it may make a great short investment.

    SS

  • Reply to

    pump and dump

    by pennymover Jan 22, 2016 1:44 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 4, 2016 3:52 PM Flag

    Maybe they should have picked a better PR/IR firm. The stock is SELLING OFF hard on above average volume. Moves like this always make me thing there is some kind of leak but maybe it is just another investor who is flat out sick of no progress with the company or SP.

    SS

  • Wonder if there was a leak because someone looks to be exiting their position and quickly. Strong volume and negative SP action. Throwing in the proverbial towell. Never a bad idea when a Reverse Split is in the air and a much dilutive increase in Authorized shares. It is just my opinion but have seen it so many times with stocks in trouble. Companies without money, without shares and without financing solutions.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Big rally-something cooking weekend

    by growth12345 Feb 4, 2016 9:57 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 4, 2016 10:55 AM Flag

    Beer Brats, Chilli, Elk Burgers and some gumbo and rice. A lot is cooking this weekend.

    SS

  • Reply to

    had a strange dream

    by stock_lurker Feb 3, 2016 9:06 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 3, 2016 10:50 PM Flag

    Word up dog!

    SS

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Looks like its time for everyone to jump in

    by smallcaptrdr24 Jan 20, 2016 8:41 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 3, 2016 10:09 PM Flag

    Are you on the PR Paid Pumper Roll Call? My goodness now is not the time to buy. Read the 10q and you will find there is not even one positive thing in there to grab and buy stock from. It is all bad. They released an 8k saying that they are going to do an RS and there will be no proxy to vote by common shareholders! That is about as negative as it gets. Since you did not read these things let me describe. They are going to do up to a 1:3000 reverse split, then in my opinion they will increase the Authorized Share count several millions of shares. Why, because they want to cover the Series A Preffered Convertible stock they issued to themselves to cover their debt. Why would they do that? Well, there is little chance that their MONEY would be paid back, so convert that debt to shares, then in my opinion you can convert the Preffered notes they have into stock and sell into the market.

    That is Dilution 101. I see no cash coming in like grants or financing to cover their $1-$2 million cash burn rate per year. No reports on ISO Thera, no reports on the start of the WSU program, no investor conferences. There is a catalyst for dilution in my opinion. We are at the beginning of a new finance cycle. That would be a time I would definitely not buy on.

    No volume, lunch money, and little to no share appreciation. If you wanted to sell just ten million shares in my opinion it would be very difficult and would happen on a down tick.

    Good luck ignorant one. You telling folks this is about to pop is pretty disgusting, deceptive and ignorant.

    SS

  • sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 3, 2016 12:09 AM Flag

    I think Rubio could beat her too. One thing we have to watch for is the fact that Hilltard is a high maintanence lady, legal maintenance that is. Dems will not let Sanders win but if Hilltard were to win and FBI brought charges then what? Could Trump or Rubio beat Uncle Joe?

    Long story short I actually do like Rubio's youth and also his PASSION. It is so darn genuine. Trump's too but I think Rubio's can penetrate parties beyond Republican and Conservative. The libtatds are not watching and listening to him but in a general election for President they would be forced to. He may surprise many, you never know. I am still a Trump guy but I am paying pretty close attention to all these guys. Have not cast my vote yet.

    Back to buyouts, they just happen, good economy or bad.

    SS

  • sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 2, 2016 10:07 PM Flag

    Big pharma will need to replenish their pipelines and offered drugs. I do not think Presidents nor oil changes that. So with this in mind buying up drugs/companies will happen. Price can and should be affected by the market but reasonable offers based on future revenues should remain fair, but not outlandish.

    SS

  • sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 1, 2016 11:37 PM Flag

    Why does everyone leave out the script numbers which could be strong and lead to revisions to estimates and a steeper revenue curve to profitability or even a buyout?

    SS

  • Reply to

    Charts look bad.

    by sensiseattle Jan 28, 2016 1:00 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 1, 2016 9:57 PM Flag

    Wake me up when there is actually news. Who cares if Jim can write an article? Start working on moving RadioGel in the right direction. No one wants to here about an article you penned for some club of scientists, led by an old buddy from PNNL. REALLY?

    SS

  • Reply to

    pump and dump

    by pennymover Jan 22, 2016 1:44 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 1, 2016 9:55 PM Flag

    Stock is not moving. They write articles in a journal and that is news? How about exposing the company to some investors AMIC. Oh, wait, that is not a good idea. They do not have any shares to provide to a possible large investor. They still need to R/S 1:3000 and increase the AS before much money can be raised. At least at the moment they can't dilute shareholders. Wait until the proxybis released, that we get no vote on, announcing these manouvers. That will be when things get real interesting. Dilution, shorting and selling of shares is what I expect short term once R/S gets rolling. In my opinion we are at the front side of a new debt cycle with AMIC. All just my opinion!

    SS

  • Reply to

    Where are the ZS004E Data?

    by hschlauch Jan 31, 2016 4:17 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jan 31, 2016 11:12 PM Flag

    They will hold it as long as possible to let shorty work RLYP before they make their bid for RLYP. There is a chance that AZ rolled the dice and picked up the chips before the snake eyes came up. Now they have to give back the money and buy RLYP. Although I cannot beleive a major like AZ would blow it like this.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Where are the ZS004E Data?

    by hschlauch Jan 31, 2016 4:17 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Jan 31, 2016 10:20 PM Flag

    Is May day in great jeopardy? If so the market should let RLYP go and rise. Their first to market could become quite significant. The whole sandbox to themselves to play in.

    SS