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Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

sensiseattle 156 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 2, 2015 11:37 PM Member since: Jun 26, 2007
  • Reply to

    sensiseattle

    by rickharmon48 Feb 28, 2015 5:30 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 2, 2015 11:37 PM Flag

    I do not know if their acquisition of shares in the link provided was the driver or not. They do buy shares from time to time. Cadwell's approach this time was not the norm. Yet, I do not know if it has meaning or not. We do not know the terms of the warrant he converted. We may have to wait until the next earnings report is filed to know. Caldwell has not sold any shares ever and Katz had his "taken" from him by his wife in divorce or I could say he has not released any either. Caldwell's unusual sense of urgency does make me wonder if they expect good news soon yet they have never sold. Only if they were selling the company would this be interesting. If they were I would expect Caldwell would convert all he had into shares, or right up to the Authorized limit anyways.

    SS

  • sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 2, 2015 9:52 PM Flag

    What's worse Shekels is some investors buy off of the garbage. It serves them right for not doing their DD and instead try to jump a run in a company only to lose a nice big fat chunk of their capital. Hey, AMIC is only off like 40%+/- from Friday's 14 high. Maybe, they can get the rest of it sold for 8 tomorrow.

    I almost fell out of my chair laughing when I saw that!

    SS

  • Reply to

    News leaked.

    by thebusybeliever Feb 27, 2015 1:34 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 2, 2015 7:25 PM Flag

    Busy,

    I think that between the Firm 4 filings and possibly the Sierra Equity pump some folks got sucked in or ahead of themselves. Sierra sounds/looks like a place where imaginations run wild. After all J&J buying ADMD? Please!?!? Hey, a sucker is born everyday and maybe several on Friday. That us all that is out there I know of. I was not a buyer, I was a seller into that rip. Maybe something is out there but as I said, if there is not the stock is back to .0008 by Tuesday. With depleting volume it unfortunately seems the case. Darn it!

    News I am looking for is a first response and clarifications from the FDA to AMIC. That could demonstrate a serious look at RadioGel is taking place.

    SS

  • Reply to

    sensiseattle

    by rickharmon48 Feb 28, 2015 5:30 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 2, 2015 1:26 PM Flag

    Rick I will check it out this evening and reply....

    SS

  • Reply to

    News leaked.

    by thebusybeliever Feb 27, 2015 1:34 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 1, 2015 6:13 PM Flag

    We have seen many like yourself here Bill750 who come on this message board with great unfounded claims of great scenarios for which they bought shares and simply expect that it has value to others here.

    The problem with it is that you are posting such claims in a venue where several to many here do all the homework and even communicate with people at AMIC. All we have to do is call or E-Mail AMIC to verify, and we will. Probably already have. So when they will not confirm this, and they do reply well, then your post becomes complete garbage as I suspect it is.

    As far as the trading/investment styles from one individuals to the next is not open for negative criticism as you seem to like to do. Debate, discussion and dialog as to why someone does something is. You have started off your very brief visit to this message board terribly.

    All I can figure is that you are another bedwetters. Maybe the same bedwetters with yet another alias although I see you have at least carried yours for some years now. That makes the latter far less likely.

    I hope you are on to something and it does hopefully play out well over the next couple months. After all I make money too if such is the case.

    Your ability to be diplomatic or share information which is validated on this board is quite poor. I will assume you are FOS and give you the ole ignore. It is unfortunate in a way since you have made calls elsewhere that may have been true. All of those calls are unvalidated as well and "after the fact of a move in a stock" but maybe you really were on to something. I was actually on to something with the shares I am talking about that you think I am a piker. I posted my move and the reasons why at the beginning of last week. The stock did move and aggressively. I said what I would do if it moved in this manner early in the week. I followed through exactly in selling those shares. Not my Core position, a trading position.

    You have made a tall statement.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Started buying yesterday

    by bill750 Feb 27, 2015 10:10 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 1, 2015 5:40 PM Flag

    Typical penny stock Carney barker. All bark and no bite. You cannot demonstrate any hard evidence validating your claims. At least I have respect enough to this message board to reference information that is available to have a discussion about. You are just throwing it out there to see if the poop sticks. No credibility nor helpful discussion on AMIC.

    Now I will put ya on ignore. I shouldn't have second guessed my gut in the first place but oh well, you are just worthless. Toss you out on the Heap pile with the rest of the bedwetters.

    SS

  • Reply to

    ECIG been an amazing trade so far

    by bill750 Feb 26, 2015 5:20 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 1, 2015 12:12 AM Flag

    You do not know they ran out unless you are a warrant holder, now holding the bag.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Started buying yesterday

    by bill750 Feb 27, 2015 10:10 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Mar 1, 2015 12:08 AM Flag

    If you know more prove it. I challenge you here to validate your drivel with SEC filings, reffernces, communications with AMIC, or press releases.

    This aught to be fun because you can't you lying pumper! I will keep you off ignore to see what you come up with.

    SS

  • Reply to

    sensiseattle

    by rickharmon48 Feb 28, 2015 5:30 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 28, 2015 8:44 PM Flag

    Oh, also, buy as many shares when you like as you like. I will never criticize your trading/investment style.

    Good luck.

    SS

  • Reply to

    sensiseattle

    by rickharmon48 Feb 28, 2015 5:30 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 28, 2015 8:40 PM Flag

    Accepted? Yes, the filing was accepted. If you are asking if they approved? No one would dare say right now. There are still something like 65 days for FDA to decide. Based on the volume of shares traded I do not expect that was "leaked". I also am not sure an insider could acquire shares if that information was available to them and not yet shared publicly with a Form 8K.

    Look up previous news and trading volume around news to see what share volumes are like. There has been no news as important as an FDA approval.

    SS

  • Reply to

    News leaked.

    by thebusybeliever Feb 27, 2015 1:34 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 11:01 PM Flag

    Let me put it another way. First of all you bought well so like me I bet you do not have even an "issue" if the stock falls clear back to 2.

    Now for how I framed my trade. You know when I bought 6 this week. The stock in December vaulted from 2 to over 20 on a "leak" followed the next day on news of the WSU study followed the next day by news of filing the De Novo. In the course of a couple weeks thereafter retraced back to 10. Then as you know through last Monday back to 5. I bought the December '14 2 and 3 and lightened that load at 11 on the backside.

    Back then I was expecting news before end of year and feasting on tax loss selling into that news. Now on Monday I buy 6 because, as I said, why not? It will melt up to FDA decision. Then today, as I said I would do, it rips higher on nothing to speak of so yeah I am selling? I am taking some profits. The only thing that happens is Caldwell holds a convertible overnight, and Katz buys some shares with tip money. Sure Caldwell was kind of cool but at the same time where is the stock going to go when the Form 4 hits the street but up?

    If the stock can't hold a gain on the biggest news in a year on a study and an FDA filing I am not going to hold on a leak I can not find or get out of the company itself. That is all. I will take profits and essentially reduce the cost average on my core position so to speak. My core position is larger than Katz' holdings. The stock started rolling over the last half of the day. If there is no news by Tuesday you know what will happen. 8 will happen. The FDA news should not be coming. In my opinion it is a 120 day decision and if earlier it is not going to be good. Longer meens there are questions put to AMIC. I think longer is better to support the "melt up" theory.

    My core is for $.02 and/or much higher. ;-)

    SS

  • Reply to

    You took profit today on the 1st of 3 day run?

    by showmeditems Feb 27, 2015 2:26 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 4:39 PM Flag

    Yes, I have visited it. You actually visit Caldwell Labs. Hey, I do think that a penny a share is easily attainable if the response from the FDA is interpreted in a positive light. Even if it is a dim light. If they give approval pending the successful conclusion of a human trial (100 people or something reasonable) then it is a penny at least in my opinion. Financing, partners, royalties....all that #$%$ will be on the table. Serious fun.

    SS

  • Reply to

    You took profit today on the 1st of 3 day run?

    by showmeditems Feb 27, 2015 2:26 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 2:33 PM Flag

    You bet. I hold a core position for the years to come. Trading around it makes that core position less than free so to speak through taking trading profits. I have seen a lot of news "leaked" with this stock and you can see how it has ended. The core is for the 1000% SP appreciation.

    SS

  • Reply to

    News leaked.

    by thebusybeliever Feb 27, 2015 1:34 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 1:56 PM Flag

    Busy, I took profits on the 4 million shares at .0013 bought Monday @ .0006 or so.

    No news does not compute well for SP so I will take that small profit. Holding core for the long term.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Form 5 Updates

    by sensiseattle Feb 23, 2015 6:03 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 11:23 AM Flag

    At short term resistance now...$0011

    SS

  • Reply to

    Started buying yesterday

    by bill750 Feb 27, 2015 10:10 AM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 11:21 AM Flag

    You lying pumper! You do not know that. In fact Cadwell just took 26 million shares from the Authorized shares yesterday via convertible for $26K per Form 4 filed yesterday. Also, if AMIC ran out of shares then convertible holders will file against AMIC as has happened before and AMIC will basically be looking down a lawsuit unless they can find outside financing to satisfy these debt holders. You also do not know how many convertible shares are still being held by those "Toxic funders" which are scheduled to be sold open market to fulfill their repayment. If there is no authorized left to pay back those folks who hold convertibles notes due February forward, it does not mean a thing with regards to increase in share price. In fact long term this is a head wind against the shares rising. Shares issued via convertible note execution are likely better sold now than later when there is a vote on the table to increase authorized share count and thus further dilute the position of these shareholders.

    Fact is you have no idea where AMIC is at with regards to paying back these notes unless you are an insider. The points you bring up in your post are strong headwinds against SP appreciation short term. Only strong buying driven by speculation on positive comments from the FDA will move this stock upward.

    If what you said was true then Cadwell actually just took the last shares left that were authorized. Only a high level insider or BOD would know that. So are you Spivak, Katz, Cadwell?

    SS

  • Reply to

    Form 4 filings

    by moto1960 Feb 26, 2015 5:39 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 27, 2015 12:03 AM Flag

    Katz bought a micro amount of shares but so be it, it is better than selling. Now Cadwell is slick. I am a bit fed up with his shenanigans with regards to acquiring enough shares to insure that any large investor who may come in with a significant investment for the benefit of the company would have no voting strength against Cadwell but besides that, the guy makes a $26k loan for a convertible and is paid a 1+ million share origination fee and then he goes and immediately turns the $26k convertible right into 26 million shares. Give me a break! So he basically gets a million shares on a technicality that he creates and then TAKES 26 million shares from the authorized pool instead of buying them open market from someone who wants to sell their stake and/or follow conventional terms of convertibles like everyone else has to do. God forbid you let a shareholder out of their position or possible increase the share price a tick with just making an open market buy. He would prefer to increase the issued share count by taking from their limited authorized share pool.

    With all do respect he did not hold the convertible expecting lower share prices. He may know something that is more positive than what we know. That is great. If either of them sell a share above today's price in the near future I am going to be getting very cautious. That is a no brainer of course. Some of the stuff Cadwell does sure shows his true colors as far as his point of view on other investors in his company. Garbage. Maybe that is why any significant investor who may entertain supporting this company will never come forth. It is curious that the 26 million shares were acquired at $.001, or is that just SEC form rounding? It is not rounding. Why convert yesterday at .0010 when the shares never traded there nor at any time in the last 14 or more days? Must be some "technicality" with his convertible that he got the day before. No holding term or SP Calculation!

    SS

  • Reply to

    Form 5 Updates

    by sensiseattle Feb 23, 2015 6:03 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 26, 2015 11:21 PM Flag

    Churning away and melting up as it should. Opinions are positive on the work AMIC has done and insiders are investing. Sure the share price should rise. This is just low volume churn though. Days of 100 million plus volume and a break through .0011, that is what I am looking for. That would be a decent indication to me of a melt up that has started into the FDA decision.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Form 5 Updates

    by sensiseattle Feb 23, 2015 6:03 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 24, 2015 9:11 PM Flag

    Now I disagree with that.

    It will do this for another 30-45 days. I think then it will either sell off or traders will gun it into the end of 120 day review period expiration. I think it will run 30% higher into that approximate date. If there is any kind of negative leak you will see it in the SP before FDA response. I would not be surprised to see it move hard on a "perceived" leak of info. Rumors make or kill the micro cap trader. If it kills I will buy it.

    If it rips higher in a stupid way before FDA I will probably take a little profit. I can do that with my position size and still let a healthy portion of the investment ride for a long time, forever in fact. I have bought this company for the long haul. My inclination is to expect this De novo to actually go quite well. I have been told AMIC worked this hard and well but that is just hearsay from the scientific neighborhood.

    SS

  • Reply to

    Form 5 Updates

    by sensiseattle Feb 23, 2015 6:03 PM
    sensiseattle sensiseattle Feb 24, 2015 4:04 PM Flag

    Looks like the 5s ran out for the day. So did the 6. Funny thing that only a few million 7s are on the ask.

    Normal riff raff for ADMD.

    SS

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