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Валгрин Ко. Message Board

short_is_good_baboly 175 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 15, 2016 2:09 AM Member since: Aug 31, 2002
  • short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 13, 2016 4:45 PM Flag

    Subpoena are not issued for fun especially if government is involved.
    And law firms are no wasting their time and money to chase ghosts.
    Read HZNP 10k, it tells clearly the significant risk from above actions.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Mar 13, 2016 3:07 PM Flag

    What is DOJ responsibility:
    To enforce the law and defend the interests of the United States according to the law; to ensure public safety against threats foreign and domestic; to provide federal leadership in preventing and controlling crime; to seek just punishment for those guilty of unlawful behavior; and to ensure fair and impartial administration of justice for all Americans.

    First, DOJ is very busy and it won't waste its time and it does not have strong evidences.
    Second, it starts with subpoena to be fair and then other facts will be revealed.
    Third, other law firms have read and felt the outcome so they are trying to benefit. HZNP legal team is weak but the company may put more money in this area so things to prevent the worst case scenarios.

    Possible outcome will be something that may ban and restrict HZNP from some businesses plus fines.
    HZNP revenue and income may be affected significantly and that is why the current numbers are meaningless unless. Just look at VRX and ENDP and you may see some glimpses of HZNP future and HZNP may be worse since its business is more shaky.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Mar 12, 2016 11:44 PM Flag

    Income is going down every week and Q1 will be horrible.

  • People who are investing in HZNP are walking on thin edge which can crumble at any day without any notice. The losses won't be reversible.
    Why does anyone in his right mind invest in a shaky company? Sitting in death row is not a good feeling.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    HZNP is as risky as VRX

    by short_is_good_baboly Mar 12, 2016 11:41 AM
    short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 12, 2016 1:28 PM Flag

    Your first question: Me lose money on this POS? Never happens and you better stick to a better dream.
    Second: PE does not matter when you are about to lose millions in different lawsuits and investigations. After all, with last Friday gain, PE is close to 8.
    It is better for to open your eyes. What do you say about ENDP with PE of 6? Why has ENDP dropped from $95 to low $40? Lawsuits, yes lawsuits, something that HZNP will face several of them and from every corner. Already one in the bag from ES. Count on more. This is the best chance for you to exit and save yourself.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Mar 12, 2016 11:41 AM Flag

    If you like want risk then BUY VRX instead of HZNP. VRX has much better numbers.

  • short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 8, 2016 11:37 PM Flag

    """Should be $39 or more...the company made 750,000,000$ last year. What more could they want?"""

    Congratulation for taking money from people. $750m must be equal to a lot of expensive ibuprofens.
    This is just the start and wait when some states sue HZNP and also investigate its sales and marketing practices.

  • Reply to

    Data Slip? - Actimmune FA trial ahead of sked

    by geringerart Mar 7, 2016 2:19 PM
    short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 8, 2016 12:16 AM Flag

    Yeh right, TW says something without knowing it and you take it and drum it around, people listen, emperor will conquer a new territory soon.
    Give people a break. Last 5% of enrolment may take as much as other 95%. TW is new to R&D and he is showing his lack of experience again. R&D is different from selling second hand drugs. You can BS a lot to sell a drug but you cannot BS when it comes to trials and dealing with FDA.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    What the Real Facts Are

    by samiam3939 Mar 6, 2016 2:26 PM
    short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 6, 2016 3:04 PM Flag

    This is such a stupid argument if one claims that this fund and that fund own the stocks. All companies shares, regardless of the company status, are owned by some identities. Even shares of BK companies are owned by some funds.

    The business style and model of a company is very important.
    A few companies have created and followed a new business model in past few years. They buy a company, mostly at high price, sacks as many people they can, hires more salesmen, and raises prices significantly. This guarantees more cash flow which leads to more plundering and more sacks. No surprise that they end up with a collection of brands or orphan drugs without any science based company. Greed in one word that can describes these companies. People who buys shares of these companies think greed is a good thing. They encourage these fake companies since they compensate you well.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 5, 2016 1:57 PM Flag

    It is not SDRL only. Look at EMES and many other drillers that are doing the same. Most will go BK eventually but like a chicken without head they jump up a few times before they rest down for good.

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Mar 4, 2016 3:57 PM Flag

    Both VRX and HZNP are on death row.
    VRX CEO took some sick days. Will it happen at HZNP too?
    Both companies are losing some directors.
    Similarity of VRX and HZNP are a lot.
    VRX failed to acquire AGN and AGN CEO damaged VRX with his comment.
    HZNP failed to acquire DEPO and then DEPO CEO, well you know the rest.
    VRX got problem with ES. Same scenario for HZNP.
    First VRX got subpoena and then more actions against it followed.
    HZNP also got subpoena but we are waiting for more actions against HZNP.
    What is it? HZNP is a small carbon copy of VRX with same business model. VRX is original copy but HZNP is an imitated scratch copy of VRX.

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Mar 4, 2016 12:36 AM Flag

    Unstable stocks like HZNP may lose all their income overnight.
    VRX has forward PE of 4.8. But VRX investors are nervous because the company is unstable.

    VRX abruptly announces last night that Deb Jorn, head of the U.S. gastrointestinal and dermatology divisions, resigned effective immediately. You can see this kind of behavior in unstable companies.

    Do you remember that VRX problems started with failed AGN acquisition and continued problem with ES and finally subpoena and so on. AGN CEO fought back the acquisition exactly what DEPO CEO did to HZNP.

    Having same business model as VRX, HZNP problems have become carbon copy of VRX. HZNP also failed to acquire DEPO and then got problem with ES and finally subpoena.

    Well, VRX is one step ahead of HZNP but look at VRX and you are seeing HZNP future. VRX forward PE is 4.8. Give the same PE to HZNP if it is lucky.

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Mar 3, 2016 4:02 PM Flag

    VRX is fading and HZNP, the cheap imitation of VRX will have the same faith.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    HZNP sold all its DEPO shares

    by veqasfletch2001 Mar 1, 2016 12:58 PM
    short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 2, 2016 11:01 PM Flag

    """I think TW is in trouble,will be lucky for him to hold his position."""
    Well, i think he is in deep trouble. Martin Shkreli will laugh at him and says "You Too".

  • Reply to

    what these law firms settle for

    by gemini_dealer Mar 2, 2016 7:56 AM
    short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Mar 2, 2016 10:53 PM Flag

    TW and HZNP management don't care about money and they probably pay millions for those class action. It seems that HZNP is a casino, one of those on border of California and Nevada where they prey on naive people to survive. How much did TW gamble on DEPO? Well, $29m loss from DEPO shares and probably another $20m for other expenses. But, when you have your hands in people's pocket then you do not care if you waste $1 or $100m.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Feb 29, 2016 5:24 PM Flag

    We were saying that HZNP business model carries a lot risk.
    And worse than that, the company did not share it with investors. May be it shared with some big pocket investors and gave them a chance to exit at high. Not only dishonest but lawsuits will come from every corner for HZNP behavior.
    The U.S. Justice Department subpoenaed information related to the company’s patient-assistance programs as well as other parts of its marketing and sales practices and HZNP kept it secret. Why?
    Tim inexperience is showing up. Easy come and easy go. It is questionable what HZNP is doing. The stock will be punished for many reasons.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • All gains may vanish in one hour. But negative side is getting stronger. Eventually, the company has to reveal all the risks that this model of business carry on. And sooner or later, one of these risk will damage the shareholders permanently.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Feb 24, 2016 10:43 AM Flag

    This is what HZNP gouger is arguing.

  • Reply to

    Double bottom is in the way

    by short_is_good_baboly Feb 24, 2016 9:45 AM
    short_is_good_baboly short_is_good_baboly Feb 24, 2016 9:56 AM Flag

    russian donkey has spoken. you better sell and save yourself. If good solid stocks go down then HZNP has no chance and it will see new lows again. Why do you want to put money on a company that sells $10 ibuprofen for $1650 ( price went up) anyway?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • short_is_good_baboly by short_is_good_baboly Feb 24, 2016 9:45 AM Flag

    HZNP is not better than a few months ago when it hit $12.80. HZNP wasted its cash position on Crealta and its DEPO shares are down by a few more points.
    Earnings will disappoint and HZNP may establish a new lows.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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