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Clearfield, Inc. Message Board

sir_david_pierce 15 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 11, 2015 8:49 AM Member since: Jan 5, 2006
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  • sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Mar 11, 2015 8:49 AM Flag

    Hey Algopredictor. You might want to rethink your math in this statement: "Remember the powers that be shorted this from 100 to 5 bux , they made 2000 % already !!!!!"

  • Reply to


    by retailbaloon Mar 10, 2015 1:43 PM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Mar 10, 2015 3:11 PM Flag

    Nailed it to the floor. Massive breakdown today, forming the dreaded "mucous bubble top"

    This crash is going to be both fast and long. We'll see if the support in the low 30s will hold.

  • Reply to

    Insider Buys

    by sir_david_pierce Mar 4, 2015 4:18 PM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Mar 5, 2015 10:38 AM Flag

    Money flow and accumulation has been positive for the last couple weeks, but has been very positive for the last days and a half or so.

    Read: the bulls are more active, and are getting more aggressive.

  • sir_david_pierce by sir_david_pierce Mar 4, 2015 4:18 PM Flag

    Just to be clear, the midday jump in CLF was not caused by the insider buys. The jump was caused by investor response to news of the insider buys.

    ...which is not really news that is relevant to the company's fundamentals.

    But for shorts this was a serious shot across the bow. For about 10 minutes we got to see what it looks like when everyone is trying to leave through the same door at the same time.

    Shorts are working hard for an orderly exit down here. But it is delicate work.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Exchange offer for senior notes

    by skittle12345 Mar 2, 2015 3:42 PM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Mar 2, 2015 5:04 PM Flag

    So they are taking advantage of the bearish sentiment hovering over this company to buy out debtholders at a discount.

    Very wily.

    Another day of...well..not quite range-bound trading. The POS popped below support for a half hour, then jumped back above it just in time for close. Seemed like it brought out more buyers taking the opportunity for cheap shares than it shook out

  • Reply to

    i see a technical break coming this week......

    by ohtaegun Mar 2, 2015 8:43 AM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Mar 2, 2015 12:14 PM Flag

    We don't need news to get volume on CLF. The Level 2 books are all of a sudden twice as thick today as they were last week.

    Bids and Asks are stacked, and with bigger numbers.

    I show strong support at exactly 6.73, and MAJOR resistance at roughly 6.88....and that range is ticking tighter by the hour.

    WHOEEEE. Gotta say, this is fun to watch.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    OH Please Bring it to Five!!!!

    by guide_the_herd Feb 28, 2015 5:11 PM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Feb 28, 2015 7:48 PM Flag

    So GUIDE THE HERD...what is your read of the technicals? What do you see happening here?

  • sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Feb 28, 2015 12:07 PM Flag

    But the short sellers are going to face a huge challenge on Monday and Tuesday. The trading range is as compressed as it can get, and that range pinches off on Tuesday (by my numbers). Technicals point to a dramatic break to the upside

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Feb 28, 2015 12:05 PM Flag

    This stock is still getting heavy attention from short sellers, who are working hard to keep it under the 50dma. And they are throwing a lot of 100-200 share lots at the bid. But also for a low-liquidity stock--which CLF is at the moment--larger buy and sell orders are often executing in multiple small lots, with different exchanges. If you are seeing many 100-shares orders go through within the same fraction of a second that is most likely a single order, taking shares

  • sir_david_pierce by sir_david_pierce Feb 26, 2015 3:33 PM Flag

    CLF is trading in a wedge created by its short-term uptrend line and the 50dma (and its medium-term downtrend line sitting right on top of that).

    Those lines all converge in the next 3 trading days. A break up is much more likely than a break down. So I've placed my bets. I don't think there will be a chance to buy much in the first 10-20% of the run. It will be a low-liquidity frenzy.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • sir_david_pierce by sir_david_pierce Feb 25, 2015 11:31 AM Flag

    It looks like the shorts have beaten this down about as far as they can.

    But that fact that this board seem dominated by climate change deniers is concerning--perhaps I jumped in a bit too early. Definitely not the smart money, that group.

  • Reply to

    Bad Omen - GNC

    by beingtheonenow Feb 18, 2015 10:05 AM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Feb 19, 2015 6:04 PM Flag

    I'm betting that won't be anyone's experience.

    GNC will test major support at 46 next week. If that fails, the uptrend is over, and the last few days in GNC will be confirmed as having been the best shorting opportunity of the year.

    They NY AG issued a subpoena to GNC on 2/10. That horrible fact was overshadowed by the good earnings, but this issue isn't going away. The NY AG takes down entire industries, and GNC has set itself up with a clear and arrogant crime. I'm sure the company is scared witless. Shareholders aren't far behind

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    This stock is doomed

    by sir_david_pierce Feb 9, 2015 1:48 PM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Feb 15, 2015 12:09 PM Flag

    Yeah we'll see. That earnings report blew through the clouds, and jumped the stock back into its bullish channel. But it will be going down in the next two weeks--we'll see if it can stay bullish.

    The fake-supplement story hasn't taken wing, but it hasn't disappeared either. It isn't over. Traditionally, the NY AG goes big and high-profile--with lots of press, and a couple big heads rolling. And GNC is the clearest target. Unlike Walgreens and Target, supplements are its main business. I'm betting that it is going to be GNC's head rolling down Wall Street.

    Technically, the stock slammed up against the resistance created by the gap down after its earnings a year ago, which is also right now the top of its bullish channels.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    This stock is doomed

    by sir_david_pierce Feb 9, 2015 1:48 PM
    sir_david_pierce sir_david_pierce Feb 11, 2015 3:48 PM Flag

    I don't see how the brand can withstand the news that 4 out of 5 bottles of their house brand of herbal formulas contained none of the advertised ingredient--in addition to containing unlisted ingredients that can themselves cause health issues. (the only tested bottle that contained the advertised ingredient was the garlic oil!)

    Can you imagine a claim that would be more damaging to the GNC brand?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • sir_david_pierce by sir_david_pierce Feb 9, 2015 1:48 PM Flag

    GNC has done irreparable damage to its brand. This stock is almost entirely owned by mutual funds and institutions, and they don't want to tank it while they unload.

    But make no mistake. This is going down.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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