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Amgen, Inc. (AMGN) Message Board

skinz4q 382 posts  |  Last Activity: 19 minutes ago Member since: Dec 25, 2005
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  • Reply to

    u think theseanuses will hike today???

    by joelsilver29 Sep 17, 2014 4:07 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q 19 minutes ago Flag

    I had it just about right. If 2015 is another year like this, the increase next year will be about 4 cents again. They have the money to pay more, but they're smart to hang onto it. Things could get worse before they get better.

  • Reply to

    u think theseanuses will hike today???

    by joelsilver29 Sep 17, 2014 4:07 PM

    Did you polish your swastika lapel pin today? You Nazis lost the war... go crawl back under your rock.

  • Reply to

    u think theseanuses will hike today???

    by joelsilver29 Sep 17, 2014 4:07 PM

    Yes. My guess is $0.84/quarter. If you're lucky it might go to $0.85/quarter, but I doubt it.

  • Reply to

    MLP's selling off hard

    by chuck11262004 Jul 30, 2014 1:03 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 17, 2014 4:13 PM Flag

    Bought more at $81 on the sell-off. I don't like it when stocks only go up. They have to go down some of the time to provide buying opportunities. I sold all my MCD at par and moved the proceeds to MMP in the mid-70's. For once I got it right on both sides. I suspect MMP might split in the foreseeable future, not that it really matters. Just keep the faith.

  • Reply to

    mcd dividend

    by labru100 Sep 17, 2014 11:10 AM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 17, 2014 1:50 PM Flag

    Judging by the action today, I have low expectations.

  • Reply to

    mcd dividend

    by labru100 Sep 17, 2014 11:10 AM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 17, 2014 11:21 AM Flag

    They usually raise it at the end of the year. MCD has a history of raising the dividend every year since they started paying dividends, so it's safe to presume they'll raise it again this year. Keep in mind that they can raise it as little or as much as they want to stay in the Dividend Aristocrat club. There's no minimum. Nothing is guaranteed, but they have plenty of money to raise again. I would not expect more than a few cents annually given the poor earnings performance lately. The last thing they would want to do is to be thrown off the Dividend Aristocrats list.

  • skinz4q skinz4q Sep 16, 2014 4:27 PM Flag

    It's a lot more than the "system" that needs fixing. If the posting by Julia La Roche on Business Insider is legit, this could be the death knell for MCD. McDonald's may find out that it would have been a lot cheaper to pay their employees $15/hour than to let morale decline to the point where this kind of thing happens.

  • skinz4q skinz4q Sep 16, 2014 4:19 PM Flag

    I wonder if the person who found this saved a sample for analysis. If not, it's too bad. Now I know what they mean by "Special Sauce" on the Big Mac. This little "joke" could be worse for McDonald's public relations than the poison Tylenol ever was for Johnson & Johnson in 1982.

  • Reply to

    Stuck In a Rut ?

    by bjemery1948 Aug 31, 2014 12:03 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 16, 2014 11:08 AM Flag

    I used the weakness to buy more MMP at $81. I'll buy more at $80 if I get the opportunity. The relatively low yield doesn't bother me at all. I'm a lot more interested in capital growth than income, but a little income certainly doesn't hurt.

  • Reply to

    MCD 401k

    by genem7169 Sep 15, 2014 10:50 AM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 15, 2014 3:06 PM Flag

    Anyone making $7.40/hour would be very hard pressed to survive, let alone be able to afford to contribute to a 401k. A matching contribution means nothing when you're starving and homeless. $7.40/hour might have been okay in 1960 for someone just starting out, but it's pathetic in 2014. Do the numbers. That's about $236.80/week before withholding, Social Security, Medicare, state taxes, transportation, uniform maintenance, health insurance, etc., and there's nothing left to live on. I hope you meant this as a joke, but it's not funny.

  • Reply to

    Old Chinese proverb relevant to MCD

    by bobva1 Sep 11, 2014 1:49 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 13, 2014 10:11 AM Flag

    That's essentially what I've been saying here for many months. I'm NOT anti-McDonald's, as some people here believe. I was just calling it the way I saw it. As the stock went down, their hatred for me intensified. I'm not happy to see MCD floundering, but when a stock is significantly underperforming the broad market it gets my attention. Eventually, reality will set in. I've been in this game long enough to have seen literally hundreds of big name stocks crash and burn. Companies that most people thought would be around forever either disappeared completely or survived as just a shadow of their previous glory. Many of them were once in the exclusive DJIA. Eastman Kodak, Bethlehem Steel, FW Woolworth come to mind. There's no question that MCD is in danger of becoming the next Howard Johnson. The biggest difference is that, once upon a time, Howard Johnson had great fried clams. What great, memorable dish has McDonald's ever had? At one time, MCD's food was cheap, but it's not even that anymore... nor was it ever good.

  • Reply to

    Marc Faber: McDonald's shows bear market is coming

    by shortsp500 Sep 11, 2014 10:23 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 12, 2014 12:56 PM Flag

    Marc Faber is a prophet of doom and gloom. He makes a very good argument for a severe correction. There's little question that the market is way overdue for the inevitable correction that he's predicting, so it's just a matter of time before he's right. He knows that, so he can afford to put his prediction out there and just wait for it to happen. That way, he's always right... eventually.

  • Reply to

    Yield Is Hard To Ignore

    by appletonrocks Sep 9, 2014 10:19 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 10, 2014 9:56 AM Flag

    MCD shareholders need to disabuse themselves of the notion that the dividend will support the stock price. The yield is not unusually high compared to many other excellent companies. The fundamentals are decidedly weak and getting worse. The momentum is clearly downward. Analysts are turning sour on the stock. There's absolutely nothing to stop the yield from surpassing 4% or even higher. The fixation on the dividend has cost shareholders a ton of money as the stock has taken back triple the dividend for the whole year. McDonald's is a broken company that could take many years to repair, and only new top management can do that.

  • Reply to

    Yield Is Hard To Ignore

    by appletonrocks Sep 9, 2014 10:19 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 10, 2014 9:55 AM Flag

    MCD shareholders need to disabuse themselves of the notion that the dividend will support the stock price. The yield is not unusually high compared to many other excellent companies. The fundamentals are decidedly weak and getting worse. The momentum is clearly downward. Analysts are turning sour on the stock. There's absolutely nothing to stop the yield from surpassing 4% or even higher. The fixation on the dividend has cost shareholders a ton of money as the stock has taken back triple the dividend for the whole year. McDonald's is a broken company that could take many years to repair, and only new top management can do that.

  • skinz4q skinz4q Sep 9, 2014 9:18 PM Flag

    You're right, but the problems at MCD are so systemic that Icahn et. al. are probably not too interested in wading into the mess. Also, they know that the share price has a lot of room to fall from here.

  • Reply to

    Bottom

    by gqgerb Sep 9, 2014 5:02 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 9, 2014 7:49 PM Flag

    If Ebola spreads to the U.S., either intentionally through terrorism or inadvertently by an unsuspecting airline passenger, the economic consequences will be catastrophic. The momentum is strongly to the down side for MCD. They already warned about 2015, so this downward spiral could have room to grow. My guess for a spot to start buying has been and still is $85-86 area. Buy more if it gets down to $81-82. If it breaks below $80, you're on your own; don't blame me.

  • Reply to

    Will EPD double again over the next 4 years

    by bbmagic93399 Aug 29, 2014 11:39 AM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 9, 2014 5:38 PM Flag

    Trying to prognosticate something 4 years away is totally a fool's game. Honest.... I'm not trying to be snarky. I'm just being realistic. There are just too many things that could (and will) happen between now and 4 years from now. My advice is to establish a long term game plan and stick with it. Be flexible enough to adjust your plan as developments ensue, and you'll come out the other end in good shape. Keep in mind that we're probably overdue for a correction at some point in the next 4 years, but use it to your advantage to buy bargains. Just don't panic and run for the hills at the first sign of trouble.

  • Reply to

    Big Downgrades coming

    by encana101 Sep 9, 2014 1:30 PM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 9, 2014 2:47 PM Flag

    The momentum is clearly taking MCD lower. Where it stops, nobody knows. They can't blame this on snow and ice. It's just lousy management, lousy products, lousy service and a very tired business model.

  • skinz4q by skinz4q Sep 9, 2014 11:13 AM Flag

    Think about the impact of a terrorist group sending ebola-infected employees into fast food restaurants like McDonald's to spread the disease far and wide. There would be no better way to spread the infection quickly around the country. The impact on the entire economy would be catastrophic beyond comprehension. No explosives needed; just a few walking biological time-bombs.

  • Reply to

    80's can must and will be seen in days imo

    by kored35 Sep 9, 2014 9:52 AM
    skinz4q skinz4q Sep 9, 2014 10:46 AM Flag

    New 52-week low. Support has been broken. Nothing to keep MCD from dropping to the mid-80's in the very near future. Any year-end dividend increase is likely to be very minimal, perhaps as little as 2 or 3 cents quarterly.

AMGN
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