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USEC Inc. Message Board

skiselev81 252 posts  |  Last Activity: 21 minutes ago Member since: Aug 13, 2003
  • Reply to

    Securitization will make SCTY a home run

    by sean_erickson2000 Mar 11, 2015 12:11 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 11, 2015 5:37 PM Flag

    The main problem with scty is not the fact that they can securitize the pool of existing customers (the cash flow they receive from them over the long run) and not the default rate associated with this pool, but the fact that this stock is priced for incredible customer growth over the next 10-15 years. Because the lease program that scty provides really makes absolutely no economic sense whatsoever (it is cheaper to take a loan and buy your own panel that you own, not someone else), at some point in the future, scty salesmen will have a very difficult time finding new suckers to sign these long-term lease contracts. To do so, they will have to decrease contracted electric rates and offer significant upfront incentives. Even then, over the long run it will cost $500 (and lower and lower after that) to install your own panel that you actually own without any long term contracts, so this lease nonsense is going to be dead longer term anyway just because of future technological improvements in both panel and cell yields and lower manufacturing costs as the process becomes commoditized (so even poor people in 5-10 years will be able to buy their own solar panels without any contracts). Once more hints of slower "new customer growth" emerge, the scty stock price will take a significant hit. We are already beginning to see slight hints of this, however, for now it is clear Wall St still sees that this bubble can be monetized to retail, uneducated investors that are buying the "solar dream" without an actual understanding of what business they are buying...

  • Reply to

    Earnings

    by monsignor401 Mar 3, 2015 2:04 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 11, 2015 1:43 PM Flag

    Good call. At this point I actually think it may re-test $2 range in a few months...if not that low then low $2 are almost inevitable...results were quite weak, inventory issues persist, and a capital raise may still be needed...cheers to us idiot bagholders on this value trap!!!!

  • Reply to

    Securitization will make SCTY a home run

    by sean_erickson2000 Mar 11, 2015 12:11 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 11, 2015 1:40 PM Flag

    hahahaha seems that you have already forgotten the "securitization" debacle that led to the largest financial crisis that happened JUST 7 years ago??? people have short term memories I guess...once the unsuspecting lumpen classes realize what they have been locked into (these uneconomic leases that make zero financial sense), you will see a skyrocketing default rate as people begin to abandon the outdated panels that scty installs on their roofs for 30 year periods (roflmao). Also, electric rates will GO DOWN when more and more people install their own solar panels on top of higher panel and cell yields as the technology gets exponentially better (Moore's Law)....therefore, electric rates over the long run will DECREASE from this point on, not increase forever as you claim in your previous posts...good luck to you mr. 2000, I hope you do not relive the year 2000 by being invested in this scam stock scty...

  • Reply to

    bounce coming

    by jones61111 Mar 9, 2015 12:59 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 10, 2015 4:44 PM Flag

    sooner or later the support will not be there and it will drop to the next support level in the low $40's...then another horrible Q will break that battle and low $30's will be the next support...probably on next Q release (maybe 2 Q's away as Wall St is still behind all these nonsensical scams in the market, pumping them like there is no tomorrow as they need to get the commissions on huge secondaries, which are an absolute certainty with scams like scty, tsla and just about every "social media" and "saas" bubble)....Cheers to the winners in life that are buying these bubbles, they will learn what life is all about quite soon!!!!!

  • Reply to

    Tomorrow is the day

    by supracmdrr Mar 9, 2015 9:32 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 10, 2015 1:00 PM Flag

    This process is happening now at HLF as we speak...however, I wouldn't equate the two completely as scty does not have a pyramid marketing scheme, which is easy to prove (as is the case with hlf, over there it is a simple no-brainer). What will lead to failure is the simple model, in which you think you can keep hiring slick salespeople that will continuously mislead people to lock them into these nonsensical long term leases (it is absolutely a no brainer that to buy a panel makes more economic sense, and, if you can not afford one, you can actually get a loan to buy one....this loan will be cheaper than the scam lease scty would lock you into, which is already all out there and proven mathematically). Therefore, the slick salespeople at scty can only find so many uneducated idiots to grow this leasing program, and, I suspect, as this issue gets more media attention, almost everyone that thought about getting into this program will fall off and scty will quickly head towards $10. Btw, the insiders understand this very well, that is why they bought silevo, to try to compete on manufacturing more efficient solar panels, however, they are very far behind in that game already. So, over the long run, this Company's stock will be significantly lower than it is today, bottom line.

  • Reply to

    Tomorrow is the day

    by supracmdrr Mar 9, 2015 9:32 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 10, 2015 12:37 PM Flag

    It is very simple...the leasing ppa program (related to the vast majority of scty revenue and future projections) is nothing but a scam, a long term contract that locks unsuspecting lumpen classes into long, term leasing contracts that make little economic sense in light of the FACT that electric rates are going to go DOWN over the long term as solar becomes more abundant, not UP, as the charts that scty salespeople use to lure people into these contracts and lock them into long term rates. This system is NO DOUBT a pure pyramid level scam, same as HLF (but different industry). However, solar has a very bright future and Companies that focus on designing and manufacturing the most efficient solar panels should be invested in...however, it is a fool's game to predict which Company will win the rat race in the end, therefore the solar etf is really the best risk/reward investment for the long term as far as solar is concerned...scty is going MUCH lower as the true fallacy of their leasing program gets wider attention and their fraudulent salesmanship tactics begin to be discussed among the lower and uneducated middle classes that they've taken from behind so far...

  • Reply to

    Tomorrow is the day

    by supracmdrr Mar 9, 2015 9:32 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 10, 2015 11:03 AM Flag

    this is the most ridiculous and dumbest thing I have ever read in my professional financial career...holy #$%$ roflmao...it is logic like this from shareholders of scty that confirm a short thesis here and that this scam is headed to $20 or lower longer term...simply wow...

  • skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 9, 2015 4:41 PM Flag

    they will sell it for $2-3 million, if they get lucky. That is a money losing/cash burning business with flat revenue growth, I believe...will be VERY difficult to fetch anything more than that. Keep your dreams to yourself please. After we get the announcement, the stock should re-test the lows....cheers!

  • Reply to

    Volume:2.628 million today $1.12-1.13

    by smaycs4 Mar 6, 2015 8:30 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 6, 2015 9:19 PM Flag

    yea strange action there...so you think it was an institutional trade basically? Makes sense...

  • Reply to

    How Do I Know It's Gonna Bounce Here?

    by bheard333 Mar 4, 2015 2:35 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 4, 2015 2:52 PM Flag

    if you really have that many shares then you are way more of an idiot than I previously thought reading your garbage on here...I love wall street lol!!!

  • Reply to

    Earnings

    by monsignor401 Mar 3, 2015 2:04 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 4, 2015 2:44 PM Flag

    Good call man....everything you said is on the money with this report...the only thing that is surprising is the stock action, why is it not down 15-20% on this disaster they reported yet again??

  • skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 4, 2015 1:33 PM Flag

    new all time lows coming foolio...

  • skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 4, 2015 11:37 AM Flag

    learn anything yet, lumpen lol????

  • Reply to

    tomorrow down 20-25%

    by skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 9:33 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 10:14 PM Flag

    not sure if you're calling me an idiot or what tough guy, but bring something useful to the discussing table instead of worthless insults...

  • Reply to

    tomorrow down 20-25%

    by skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 9:33 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 10:09 PM Flag

    you are correct they filed this info on the 20th of Feb...I have not done any research here just saw the proxy filed with the sec...so what's driving the panic selling ah then?

  • Reply to

    tomorrow down 20-25%

    by skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 9:33 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 9:48 PM Flag

    What? unless these "buyers" had insider info that the Company was going to try to raise a substantial amount of capital and initiate a reverse stock split, do you honestly think they would be buyers of this stock? I mean come o, let's stop talking nonsense here please...reality = buyers were speculators that were buying hand over first in "hope" of a buyout or something like a merger done by Jefferies...unfortunately Jefferies could NOT find a buyer as we see and suggested them to sell more stock to survive another year...in the meanwhile the scam penny stock newsletters that peons on this board read were paid to pump the equity upwards by the company...very nicely done lol.

  • skiselev81 by skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 9:33 PM Flag

    Correct? Let's be real here, the filing is terrible for the holders...basically tremendous dilution on the way and on top of it a reverse split?? I like what Jefferies has "advised" them to do lol

  • Reply to

    Volume picking up

    by olychuck Mar 2, 2015 9:35 PM
    skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 3, 2015 2:08 PM Flag

    based on what? your dreams? How about 3 pennies instead by the summer for this dead, bk scam? Cheers!

  • skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 2, 2015 2:22 PM Flag

    who drinks sodas in the US anymore? It's a freaking dead business...sodas are equivalent to poison and everyone knows it, at least in the US...everyone is stopping drinking that trash one by one, just about everyone I know...this will be a huge flop no doubt...$80 by the end of the year...cheers!

  • skiselev81 skiselev81 Mar 2, 2015 1:55 PM Flag

    that's pure nonsense...solar will continue getting cheaper and cheaper, and hence, more affordable, as the technology continues to evolve and (cell and panel) yields keep getting better and better...solar is definitely here to expand for a long time...however, this is NOT the case with scty, as it is a scam consumer leasing company...they lock in the uneducated lumpen classes in the US into these very long term 20-30 year contracts, and that is the business...once they've gone through all of the dumb, uneducated peons that lock themselves into this nonsense, the charade is over...reminds me of the other pyramid scheme out there HLF, that is also going down the drain...

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