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FRX Message Board

socdad44 294 posts  |  Last Activity: May 13, 2016 12:37 PM Member since: Jul 13, 2009
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  • Reply to

    The street says AA is domed

    by stock_whiz May 13, 2016 12:48 AM
    socdad44 socdad44 May 13, 2016 12:37 PM Flag

    PLEASE!! the article { if you can call it that} Stated that Alcoa reported earnings Wednesday. Leading one to believe that as this "article" was submitted Thursday that earnings were the day before. Then it talked about the stock being down hinting it was because of Wednesdays earnings. We went up 2 bucks after earnings. Yeah I sure believe some tard that doesn't even know earnings were reported Monday 4-11-2016 one month ago. Can't even get the right day oh yes I will be verrrrry afraid Whiz

  • socdad44 by socdad44 May 9, 2016 11:25 AM Flag

    Take a look at the LME aluminum price per ton. Today 1,598 a ton. Last week the LME price per ton was 1,649 a ton. I am long and not going anywhere. Do a little D.D, and you will understand what is going on. Honestly after Celeste and a few others this board is really sad. Short on content long on garbage.

  • Reply to

    baupost sells out

    by socdad44 Feb 13, 2016 5:50 PM
    socdad44 socdad44 Feb 13, 2016 8:26 PM Flag

    I am long also no games here. Google baupost holdings Alcoa you will see it. This was my double check I saw it on MSN Alcoa financials. It is real ,it surprises me that the bashers have not brought this up. I am also surprised we have not seen any articles on it. There were articles when they took the position. It's not like I'm selling anything I just found it interesting look a few minutes you will find it for whatever it is worth.

  • socdad44 by socdad44 Feb 13, 2016 5:50 PM Flag

    Is it common knowledge that Baupost securities sold all 52 million of its shares?

  • socdad44 socdad44 Jan 10, 2016 12:54 PM Flag

    Earnings will go up. We signed with Italian firm {don' remember name to lazy to look up} to "franchise " micro mill tech. We have not heard anything since. Should be a royalty payment somewhere. I am sure we are not giving this "disruptive" tech. for free. Good time to announce during earnings.

  • Reply to

    Micromil Process

    by arro105 Dec 28, 2015 10:58 AM
    socdad44 socdad44 Dec 28, 2015 5:45 PM Flag

    I would assume that there should be a royalty payment of some sorts coming AA's way. You don't GIVE away game changing technology for free. I think that we will be told about this in the Q 4 report. This will help mitigate the poor aluminum prices.

  • socdad44 socdad44 Dec 7, 2015 10:23 AM Flag

    that's what I would like to know?? where did that all go? CHK got way over market value at the time of the sale or so it was reported.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • socdad44 by socdad44 Oct 24, 2015 5:37 PM Flag

    When the spin off happens will it be done on a "pro rata" basis ?

  • socdad44 by socdad44 Oct 23, 2015 10:56 AM Flag

    Say I had 1,000 shares today, when the spin off happens will I get 500 shares of the downstream company and 500 shares of the legacy upstream company thus equaling my 1,000 shares? Or will I keep my 1,000 shares of the upstream company and be given 1,000 shares of the new company? Or is it to soon to tell what will happen? If you are a dumb @** please don't respond . Thank you

  • Reply to

    big picture

    by socdad44 Oct 13, 2015 2:14 PM
    socdad44 socdad44 Oct 13, 2015 9:37 PM Flag

    I have read your posts and know who and what you are. You either buy into what Klaus says or not. Yes by was misspelled on purpose.

  • Reply to

    big picture

    by socdad44 Oct 13, 2015 2:14 PM
    socdad44 socdad44 Oct 13, 2015 9:18 PM Flag

    Correct you are, I sold the 10,000 shares I first had at 17.09. bought back at 15 , 14 ,12 you get the idea. Went for my last 5000 at 10.50. I have dry powder but I am keeping it for now at least. I am heavy in AA and I know that My average is 13.39 for 25,000. We are sort of married I guess but long haul I think I will be ok. You are right though lotsa eggs in one basket

  • socdad44 by socdad44 Oct 13, 2015 2:14 PM Flag

    Todays price honestly who cares. The company splits next year. Downstream stable income, contracts for aerospace 9 years out. Micro mill proprietary process everyone else is in the stone age. We will allow micro mill to selectively be "let out "all profit no capital needed on our part .Then we will take our micro mill money and pay down the 3 billion in underfunded pension expense that we will have to deal with. Upstream the company no one wants will go as follows. Post break up debt taken by value added. Largest bauxite and alumina manufacturer in the world. We made the most money in Alumina since 2007 in spite of the bad quarter. Other primary metal plays have to deal with the same low prices we do but they will go bankrupt or consolidate . We can't do anything about China different rules apply. The "new Alcoa" can outlast everybody else. Maybe due to the mining/alumina positions primary metals may be acquired in the future. Value added will be about 3 years to really see the impact in the stock price. 5 years to see upstream pay off via buyout of competitor attrition. I am a little guy 25,000 shares 3/4 of what I have in my 401k. I turn 55 next year and have 3 years of cash I am going to retire then. I suppose if I am wrong about what will happen I can pick up soda cans in my shopping cart. Aluminum cans how ironic would that be? Stay strong longs

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • socdad44 by socdad44 Jul 23, 2015 10:12 AM Flag

    What was /is the final cost per share of AA stock ? Are we to take the closing price of 7/22 and apply X 2.8351 ?

  • socdad44 socdad44 Jul 16, 2015 11:58 AM Flag

    closing date is 7/21 not 7/26

  • Reply to

    serious question

    by socdad44 Jul 10, 2015 10:21 AM
    socdad44 socdad44 Jul 10, 2015 11:15 AM Flag

    that makes sense the wording was poor at the announcement time . If you want to see something interesting go to RTI historical prices and look at February I don't remember the day. You will see a 3 dollar jump in one day followed by a one dollar jump the next. Makes one wonder who knew what

  • socdad44 by socdad44 Jul 10, 2015 10:21 AM Flag

    If I understand properly AA will buy RTI for 41 dollars a share, yes? If this is the case why are RTI shares at about 30? Also AA and RTI mirror each other with the difference being about the 2.8531 ratio quoted back in March. Is the price really 41 a share and again why is RTI trading 10 dollars less. Thank you

  • If as I understand RTI will be sold to AA for 41 a share. Why is RTI at about 30 and why does RTI mirror AA. The share price of RTI is about 2.8531 higher than AA . Does RTI sell for 41 a share on 7/21/15 or not ?? #$%$ need not respond thank you

  • Alcoa is buying RTI for 41 dollars a share correct? Why is it trading at 30? why does RTI mirror Alcoa ? multiply AA by 2.835 and you get RTI current price more or less. I just want to learn please explain nicely I feel dumb enough asking this question. Why trade RTI at all? thank you

  • Reply to

    Out of Favor $3 share loss.

    by patterrain22 Jun 29, 2015 10:48 AM
    socdad44 socdad44 Jun 29, 2015 11:40 AM Flag

    I am in a 14.22 for20,000 shares { really don't give a $%#& if anyone believes me or not} I rolled 10,000 shares at 17.06 earlier this year and bought here and there on the way down. Im down over 50,000 at this writing. When we bought RTI as you may or may not realize things started to go south at an accelerated pace. Do I feel foolish? NO I don't if we were all psychic we would all be rich. Maybe I should have called the psychic hot line for advice. Now we are getting downgrades just before earnings oh no the sky is falling. Here are facts institutional ownership is up 52 million shares quarter to quarter. We have the majority of days following the same downward pattern on relatively low volume, You are being manipulated and frightened into panic. Many stocks are close to 52 week highs and if / when the FED raises rates your bonds will dump. Sit back relax all will be fine. I think you are a soft bash anyway. If we go to 10 I will buy another 10,000 shares ,always have dry powder. I don't need the cash for about 5 years I am going to retire next year. Maybe I would feel different with a shorter time frame but I doubt it. Be an investor we have good people running our company and stop trying to soft bash and scare the little fish.

  • Reply to

    Net Institutional Purchases

    by yousef.salama Jun 23, 2015 9:59 AM
    socdad44 socdad44 Jun 23, 2015 12:18 PM Flag

    I posted something similar regarding institutional purchases about 3 weeks ago. I used MSN as they update quicker than Yahoo. My number was almost 8 % increase from 67% to 75%. When you consider 34% of the shares were held by others not institutions an 8% increase amounts to 25% of "available shares" the number is huge. Every day we see the same pattern over and over opens higher closes lower on for the most part reduced volume. If you can guess what happens and you are right that is a form of MANIPULATION. Your timeline of 3 years in my mind is pretty darn close. I am down 50,000 at this point. 20,000 @ 14.22. I don't need the cash for quite sometime and am not worried at all. Great post { maybe because you think exactly the same way I do :] I am not a pumper, It comes down to this, you either believe in management's vision or not. There have been 2 quarters since Firth each one better than the last. I will take my chances.