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Ancestry.com Inc. Message Board

squidunker008 19 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 14, 2014 8:40 AM Member since: Feb 18, 2008
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  • Reply to

    Is it game over?

    by squidunker008 Apr 7, 2014 9:54 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Apr 14, 2014 8:40 AM Flag

    With the coming blood moon - you may be prophetic. The pre-market bid/ask today, Monday 4/14 is showing that we may see the BEBE stock price up today 50 cents or more. Solidly in the mid- 6's. let's see. Good luck.

  • squidunker008 by squidunker008 Apr 10, 2014 10:50 AM Flag

    This chat board is dead. It was more fun when Trudy was in charge of the company.

  • squidunker008 by squidunker008 Apr 7, 2014 9:54 AM Flag

    BEBE stock has now given back the entire "premium" or "pop" in share price that was attributable to the news and intent of the company to sell itself. $6.00 is pretty much the where these shares stabilized over the past year based on Steve Birkhold's arrival, his "turnaround plan", the no debt and $1.90 cash in the treasury situation. The market has now finished a big yawn and has gone to sleep on BEBE. No news = sleepy time.

  • squidunker008 by squidunker008 Mar 10, 2014 9:40 AM Flag

    The ADRs had an interesting open to trading today. Down 4% on real tiny, puttsy trading. Tiny "odd lots" of very few trades. Being a contrarian, I feel this may be a market maker wanting to throw around few tiny lowball buys to worry potential sellers and profit takers that it is "game over". It may be that someone wants to buy a nice block of shares today/tomorrow. I have seen this before for small cap accumulation. Do not be surprised to see some trades down (very small volumes) early morning - only to have a big trade or two near east coast lunch time then again about 3:00 PM within the $13 - 13.50 range. Carry on of good bids tomorrow likely. Funds and bigger players buy on Monday/Tuesday in a no new news environment for an appreciating stock.

    Good luck.

  • Reply to

    You guys sure don't post much here..

    by freshbone1 Mar 3, 2014 11:38 PM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Mar 5, 2014 10:58 AM Flag

    I agree, but the stock is now priced for 15 - 20% growth for 3 years, and the rearview margins are mediocre. Sales look good, though no rearview PE. The next earnings report will be a big thing to support this current price - and it would be nice if they announce a dividend above 60 cents a share May on these ADRs. They are cash flow positive and have that Samsung money from the shares in the Treasury.
    The technology is right there in the populist groove of mobile/personal Bluetooth with location. Hot for current speculation. if Samsung gets a little more in bed with CSR, its off to the races.
    With all said, I did take a little off the table yesterday to pay myself for 2011's risk taking.
    I still have every CSRXF share I got in the SIRF acquisition.
    good luck.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    You guys sure don't post much here..

    by freshbone1 Mar 3, 2014 11:38 PM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Mar 4, 2014 9:38 AM Flag

    Hey Freshbone. I monitor this as I own and preferred the ADR instead of the "pink sheet" listing for CSR that I got from SIRF. To date - I am just enjoying the 540 % ride I got on these ADRs bought 4 years ago.
    See you on the CSRXF board CSRXF board. Honestly, this stock moved too far too fast. I am worried and may take some profit.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    SUCKERS BUYING A 3 DOLLAR STOCK HERE!!!!!!!

    by johnrizzi643 Feb 27, 2014 1:52 PM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Feb 27, 2014 2:01 PM Flag

    They are not suckers or investors buying today. This is simply a "short squeeze" with the smart shorts closing out . There is so little stock to borrow that to continue shorting could mean watching the stock continue a sharp upward march for a few more days. There is a lot of shares that need to be "covered" and it will get expensive by mid-week for any short that waits until next week to cover. Nice and orderly though.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Bebe Shopping Itself to Private Equity ??

    by banana_split_52 Feb 8, 2014 2:14 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Feb 10, 2014 9:21 AM Flag

    I am no expert, since emotion and pride of ownership can come in to play. The key positive is no current debt - so PE can load it on and will to immediately pay themselves.
    A negative is the current cash flow, meaning the clock is ticking. If you use very simple and stupid metrics, great deals for PE can be made with price to book at 2.5. That implies a stock price offer of $7.50 almost guaranteed. If you look at price to sales - having your company at 2.0 is acceptable. That could imply a final acceptable price near $12.00.
    I will split down the middle and look for $9.50 to $10.00. This could be a very friendly deal - that tempers my price guest. Yet, with no debt, bidders may come forward and compete for that brand name you speak of - and a sell to demographic they can grow up with (current younger woman who want to look hot, that of course will age to trying to look hot - and ride that groups purchase aspiration for a decade).

    Good luck

  • Reply to

    Bebe Shopping Itself to Private Equity ??

    by banana_split_52 Feb 8, 2014 2:14 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Feb 8, 2014 12:29 PM Flag

    This move makes sense. I posted a reply to a post on this board on Thursday AM. about trading this stock and someday a buyout. Manny Moshouf, the founder, still owns 60 % of the stock. He is in his 70s. His company has lost it's edge and his vision of 20 years ago is no longer hot. He may want to divest - even for estate planning reasons. He does not need the aggravation, or risk, of riding a "full turnaround". To sell out at 5-25 thousands shares a month will be a drag on the stock and take forever.
    Steve Birkhold was likely hired by Manny with full expectations to get Bebe somehow in shape for Manny' and his equity to exit.
    Steve is 51. Arranging a good deal for Bebes sale would be a nice career accomplishment - worth just as much to his professional reputation as completing a "turnaround". He will be rewarded. Steve will get millions in bonus, immediate full vesting of all stock options and incentive compensation for the deal by Manny and maybe the buyers - plus the buyers could incentivize him to stay on and mange the place or be a partner in the group. Steve wins, Manny wins, current shareholders are relieved, and Bebe moves on with private equity doing aggressive financial engineering, rationalization of stores and the business. All then outside of the trappings of a public company where shorts, public disclosure requirements, and others who may prey on the business and interfere, being neutralized and pushed out of the game.
    This is all probably mostly around Manny Mosauf retiring from retail and getting the best dollar he can for his baby - or shall I say his BEBE - as he moves to a new phase of life. I wish Manny, Steve, and shareholders success I will be hanging in for the ride. No way I cannot make money on BEBE shares, now, in the next 18 months.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Management and the Board

    by jbktl61 Jan 21, 2014 1:22 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Feb 7, 2014 9:30 AM Flag

    Except when the elderly founder owns over half the stock and will call the shots. So change will be slow - but they will survive until a buyout. That is why one owns the stock, but trades in and out of a portion of the position as it fluctuates in the $4 to $8 channel almost yearly.
    Your short will hurt today since they did better than expected. We may go to $6 this month.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Transocean undervalued PE of 10.

    by roundup4978 Jan 16, 2014 10:55 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 31, 2014 8:55 PM Flag

    Everybody makes money in the market - but me!!!

  • Reply to

    Share Offering

    by johnsonjoel1 Jan 31, 2014 1:12 PM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 31, 2014 1:51 PM Flag

    Thanks. A very good thought. I got back in again today after years out with a first buy at $22.01, then a second at $21.35. I am happy to be in now and think the risk/reward is great for a 2 year forward outlook.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Goodbye to the $6's??

    by rmbo47 Jan 30, 2014 11:27 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 30, 2014 3:47 PM Flag

    here come the &s tomorrow - on the news!!

  • Reply to

    BOUGHT 10000 SHARES FOR $67K

    by kingscatss Jan 30, 2014 3:41 PM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 30, 2014 3:45 PM Flag

    Great. You must be a good investor. I think I will bid for a few thousand at $5.70 near the clos

  • squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 23, 2014 2:03 PM Flag

    Agree! You are a little high on the year end stock price though - I am looking more for $38.00/share.
    Tunc should turn it on after tonight's earnings -probably elude in the conference call. Big upside surprise.
    Today could be the last day to buy in for under $30.00.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    MM shaking weak hands hold

    by rferneini Jan 22, 2014 2:56 PM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 22, 2014 3:20 PM Flag

    You betchya!

  • Reply to

    HOLD IT!!!

    by bentley3088 Jan 22, 2014 11:23 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 22, 2014 11:29 AM Flag

    I never seen the stock price like deeze!!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 21, 2014 4:45 PM Flag

    How much pain can you take on this run - - to $4.00.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Alert: Calling "Qmunir 737"

    by squidunker008 Jan 16, 2014 11:25 AM
    squidunker008 squidunker008 Jan 21, 2014 9:46 AM Flag

    There are 167 million shares listed in London. The current market cap of the company is 1.2 billion British pounds - or a round figure of $2 billion US dollars. For some fund companies - this would will be considered a small cap stock. I am going to try to see if a Vanguard or Fidelity are accumulating this issue in their small cap portfolios.
    Interestingly, the price of this company on the LSE peaked in 2007 at double the price it is now. Essentially, the stock has to date lifted off a long trough and dive in 2008. I f we go to near the average 2007 price the stock commanded, these stupid pink sheet shares could touch near $18 in the next year. The "pop" may have only begun.

    Good Luck

    Sentiment: Hold

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