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Ship Finance International Limited Message Board

staggman99 212 posts  |  Last Activity: 6 hours ago Member since: Nov 1, 2006
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  • Reply to

    lousy market

    by madmax19471952 Jan 13, 2015 6:52 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 14, 2015 11:20 AM Flag

    bayman...PDLI has great color and the looks of a long term winner (nice tip)...more, I said a long time back that we were in a 'Golden Age' and investing was easy because of high yields and good Total Returns...

    The fact is, that investing has gotten harder, we can still get high yields, but capital appreciation is a lot harder to achieve...in the past, we could just buy a lot of energy companies and reap high Total Returns year after year...

    Old habits are hard to break, but its time to get back to the hard work of real investing and we have to look to different sectors for future gains...'it will probably be a while' before we see 25% to 30% plus portfolio gains a year (like in the past)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    OT: December retail sales report

    by marklibera Jan 14, 2015 10:06 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 14, 2015 10:27 AM Flag

    mark...fuel prices were 'a lot higher' in December, it will take 'more than a few weeks' to see the difference...! Also, a lot of companies will be putting funds into bonuses, 401-k plans and capital spending in the first quarter of the year (and oil prices are still falling)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    lousy market

    by madmax19471952 Jan 13, 2015 6:52 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 14, 2015 9:27 AM Flag

    sarge...I am still trying to keep the faith and it is not easy...I find it very strange that a lot of companies are doing good, yet the markets 'have no favorite sons'...I am starting to think that all of this negative stuff we see on TV all the time is getting investors spooked...

    They say, 'So Goes January, So Goes The Year' (if that is true, we are in deep trouble)...that said, it is looking like the markets are wanting to go a lot lower...! This is not good...at this time, no bet is a good bet..! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    What a Horrilbe market....Question.

    by rbgambler99 Jan 13, 2015 3:03 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 13, 2015 5:43 PM Flag

    mark...there is no fallacies in my statements, some sectors will suffer and some will benefit (it that simple)...there was a time when it was a 'clog lock' to invest in oil or natural gas (not anymore)...we may have a recession or a market crash, but it will not be because of lower energy prices....! If I am wrong, you can get wealthy by shorting the sectors that you have named...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    What a Horrilbe market....Question.

    by rbgambler99 Jan 13, 2015 3:03 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 13, 2015 4:05 PM Flag

    gambler...my opinion (for what it is worth)...average people now have a lot more disposable income because of a lot lower fuel prices (the investors on this message board are not average people)...people who do not invest in oil or related industries or that do not invest at all, love to see lower oil prices...

    The money that was going to the oil and natural gas industries will be spread out 'all over the place in different sectors' and it will take a while for it to show it true colors...I think a lot of people will eat out more, maybe buy a new vehicle, travel more and etc.,...

    Investors that can see ahead of the curve 'will profit from it in the future'...when companies that have a strong profit from lower oil prices, show in on their earnings, it will be to late for us to get on board...how about tires, roofing, plastics, trucking and etc.,...people will always borrow money (even when times are good)...its not easy, but we need to follow the money flow...! How about SWFT or BERY (???)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    SDRL and the Russians

    by shuching4 Jan 10, 2015 3:10 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 12, 2015 11:01 AM Flag

    keebon...you may want to take a look at HQL (yield about 6.8%, in stock or cash)...HQL has a decent long term track record and seems to be on top of the game...HQL 'is not in my current holdings' and that is another one of mistakes...

    The Total Returns for HQL has it up 210% for the last three years and is up 34% for the last 12 months...! Also, a new income investment fund HIPS,( yield is paid monthly), is looking interesting (it is a basket of holdings that must return a certain percentage profits to the share holders, BDC's, MLP's and REIT's)...! $tagg...!

  • Board members...I am starting to think that 'Verde Potash is a scam'...why does it take so many years to get a product into the market place (???)...how come a lot of major corporations do not invest in it (???)...it is now going on six years in the development stage...

    All the news releases always keep saying 'what a great product it is' and 'how cheap it can be produced', but they never tell us when it will hit the market place (all news releases are always about the same)...again, why does it take so long to get such a great product to market (???)...I only have a very small holding in AMHPH, but the 'time frame numbers' do not add up...! Verde Potash has a great website, but great website don't make us any money (to much talk and not enough action)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    US Cuba Deal

    by golf19holes Dec 18, 2014 11:28 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 11, 2015 2:41 PM Flag

    agreed...sugar (a lot of sugar), cigars, rum, tourist and etc.,..also, companies will locate there to take advantage of cheaper labor. (less than Mexico)..! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    Watch out! This will explode by mid next year!

    by thangamku Oct 29, 2014 7:47 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 11, 2015 2:32 PM Flag

    thangamhu...I am starting to wonder if this is not a scam...why does it take so many years to get a product into the market place (???) and how come a lot of the major corporations do not invest in it (???)....its now going on six years in the development stage...

    All the news releases 'always tell how great the product is', but never tell us when it will hit the market place...again, how many years does it take to get a product into the market place (???)...! $tagg...!

  • staggman99 by staggman99 Jan 10, 2015 9:33 AM Flag

    Board members...here is my current 'Show And Tell', done in order, with the first being the best and they are not listed by Total Returns;

    CORE HOLDINGS:

    NYMT (yield about 13.7%)...

    SFL (yield about 11%)...

    AI (yield about 13%)...

    F (yield about 3.9%)...

    WMC (yield about 20%)...

    PSEC (yield about 11.6% and pays monthly)...

    BDCL (yield about 19.2%)...

    NON CORE HOLDINGS:

    NMM (yield about 14.4%)...

    NAO (yield about 13.5%)...

    ADM (yield about 2%)...

    DVHL (yield about 15%)...

    CEFL (yield about 21% and pays monthly)...

    AWLCF (yield about 44%)...

    AMHPF (no yield, just guts)...

    No bragging rights, at this time, but I did make a decent profit on a few trades in 2014...however, my principal is taking a heavy hit, while my total yields have increased a lot...I would have had a pretty decent year in 2014 if I had not given a lot of profit back on SDRL and AWLCF (SDRL was also a top heavy holding)...! It also looks like my current holdings have made a bottom and are now headed up again (this is based on the action of the last two weeks)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    OT: Major housecleaning

    by marklibera Jan 9, 2015 12:21 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 9, 2015 4:21 PM Flag

    Board members...I lost a lot of profit SDRL and loss money NADL, plus I did not want to sell them....however, SDRL has gone down another 30% since I sold it and NADL has gone down 37% since I sold it...sometimes, we have to 'bite the bullet, take a beating' and move on before its get worst...! At least, I am now receive dividends on those funds elsewhere...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    SBLK announced a SO

    by bobdbeck Jan 9, 2015 9:43 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 9, 2015 10:37 AM Flag

    sarge..I am not buying APPLE because I am your friend, if I bought APPLE, it would crash and we both would lose a lot of money...! The fact is, slipping is always dangerous, lol...! $tagg...!

  • staggman99 staggman99 Jan 9, 2015 10:25 AM Flag

    ed...some of what you say is true...however, the the U.S added 252,000 more jobs in December and unemployment is now at 5.6%...I also agree with what you are saying about good paying jobs, but we will probably lose more good paying jobs in the U.S. this year to outsourcing than cuts in the oil sector...don't forget, a lot of companies and people are happy to see a drop in oil prices...

    There is a lot of money 'moving into other sectors' and we need to take advantage of it...I also feel that a lot of investors got spoiled; in the past, we could invest in almost any oil company and make a profit (good ran oil companies made a lot more profit than others)....Tip: companies that made a good profit in the past, that depend on oil, should do better in the future...i.e. airlines, trucking, shipping, plastics, roofing and etc.,...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    AWLCF IS STILL PAYING GREAT....!

    by staggman99 Jan 7, 2015 6:30 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 8, 2015 5:13 PM Flag

    ed...I have a lot of trees (way to many) and I am ready for another timber sale...however, the weather conditions were very bad as it rained almost the whole time...my oldest son 'shot two' and we lost the blood trail because it was raining...one of my grandsons was afraid to shoot a deer because a skunk laid down and went to sleep under his deer stand (no joke)...I gave up and got out of the rain, lol...! The first season, everybody got a deer but me...second season, no deer...third season, not sure if I will go (it may be to cold for me)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    BDCs

    by keebon Jan 7, 2015 3:08 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 8, 2015 4:42 PM Flag

    sarge...this is a very strange market, i.e. VLCCF is up 32% today, yet it is down 54% in the last 12 months...VLCCF is not in my portfolio but is on my watch list...also, my BDCL (yield about 19%) has been 'on a decent upward tick' lately...Ford (F) increased their dividend by 20% and seems to be getting a bit stronger...ADM sucks, a 'down grade hurt'...! Good luck...! $tagg...!

  • staggman99 by staggman99 Jan 8, 2015 1:15 PM Flag

    Board members...'because of keebon', I am now up 22% on NMM in just three weeks (current yield about 14%)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    OPEC Break Even Prices for 2012

    by fav_for_08 Jan 6, 2015 10:51 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 8, 2015 9:32 AM Flag

    Board members...the fact is that 'ethanol is now higher' than wholesale regular gasoline and the refineries 'are taking a beating' by blending it...i.e ethanol is now $1.47 and regular gasoline is $1.34 a gallon...

    More, the price of Illinois basin crude oil is now $41.50 (and it don't have anything to do with Obama)...! $tagg...!

  • Board members...AWLCF (yield now about 44%) is still paying great, but 'is looking terrible price wise'...AWLCF has a minus -35% in Total Returns in 2014...AWLCF is still one of my core holdings and I cannot make myself sell a holdings that is paying out 44% a year (even though I am taking a beating on it)...

    At this time, I am trying to look to the future and trying to correct some mistakes of the past year...I cannot sell any of my current holdings, as they all still look good to me and I am fully invested...how can I sell a stock that is paying out 44% a year (???), it good that I am fully invested, or I would probably add more...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    OT: Thoughts on WMC

    by marklibera Jan 7, 2015 5:23 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 7, 2015 6:04 PM Flag

    Board members...WMC (yield about 19.8%) is up 17.6% in the last 12 months in Total Returns (WMC is one of my core holdings)...my opinion is, that a lot of investors are afraid of it because of the high yield (and that fear 'may continue to hurt' the share price some)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    Oil related stocks

    by lakeed98 Jan 7, 2015 7:56 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jan 7, 2015 8:28 AM Flag

    Board members... a lot of oil companies will rebound at some point in the future (but not soon)....however, because all oil wells have 'a limited life span' I would stay away from all oil companies that have 'cut back on capital spending', when oil does rebound at some point in time, companies that have cut back on capital spending will continue to suffer...! At this time shipping is getting stronger and SFL seems to have their boots on the ground...! $tagg...!

SFL
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