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Linn Energy, LLC (LINE) Message Board

staggman99 264 posts  |  Last Activity: 16 minutes ago Member since: Nov 1, 2006
  • Board members..about a week ago i said we would not have a Mid Summer Rally and i was very wrong (it nice to be wrong sometimes)...this is a outstanding Mid Summer Rally for me...am I just lucky and or maybe just holding the right stuff (???)...we will get a correction at some point in time, but the higher the market goes , the more slack we have to play with when the markets pull back...

    That said, I cannot believe how good some of my holdings are doing at this time...AWLCF and MLPL are doing wonderful and SDRL and most of the BDC's have been on the come-back trail...! Something is really pushing AWLCF (???)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    AWLCF MAY STILL BE THE ONE...!

    by staggman99 15 hours ago
    staggman99 staggman99 35 minutes ago Flag

    Board members...AWLCF is up big again today (07/23/14) and MLPL is now my leading portfolio gainer (without adding back Total Returns)...the dividends and high yields are rolling in and I am hitting new 'all time highs' again...plus, NYMT, DVHL and MLPL are still on the fast track...

    There is also 'a very heavy rain storm' hitting my farms at this time, one of the most powerful rain storms that I have seen in years...there is just a lot of strange stuff going on at this time (???)...! Good luck to all and keep the faith (this is unreal)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    AWLCF MAY STILL BE THE ONE...!

    by staggman99 15 hours ago
    staggman99 staggman99 11 hours ago Flag

    icon...I don't have a Crystal Ball, but I always buy for the long term and my entry point is where I dollar cost average off of (either up or down)...I feel that AWLCF is a buy right now because of the yield, if AWLCF goes lower in share price then the yield will be higher on the next purchase...the only reason I don't buy more is because I am very heavy in off-shore drilling now...at this time I am adding LMLP to diversify some...

    That said, the markets will have a correction some day 'and then they will go higher again' (as they always have)...investors that have high yield holdings will be able to take advantage of a market pull-back and make more profit in the long run (compound returns always win)...I don't do drip, I like to pick the time and place to add more shares...

    The markets usually pull back from about August until the beginning of November...However, SDRL and SFL will keep growing and glowing over time...more, I don't feel that a stock is over-heated as long as its business and profits keep growing (an increase in the yield is a good sign and a reduction in the yield is usually a bad sign)...! If 'a good high yield stock' gets pulled down in a market sell-off, just keep the faith, it will go back up again...! $tagg...!

  • Board members...AWLCF (yield about 19% after currency exchange fees) is still on the fast track and there is a good article on 'Seeking Alpha' today title "Still The World's Most Undervalued Company"....fact is, AWLCF has been rewarding me very well as it is now up 32.6% YTD in Total Returns...! Check out the article...! $tagg...!

  • staggman99 staggman99 21 hours ago Flag

    Board members...natural gas prices 'tend to follow' the price of corn...if corn prices increased so does natural gas and when corn prices retreat, natural gas does the same thing...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    o/t TWO

    by madmax19471952 Jul 22, 2014 8:39 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 23 hours ago Flag

    Board...another correction, should be MSR (mortgage serving rights) and not MRS...! I think I must need new glasses (???)...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    o/t TWO

    by madmax19471952 Jul 22, 2014 8:39 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 23 hours ago Flag

    mud...while TWO is not one of my leaders, I do feel it gives my portfolio a 'margin a safety' with its MRS holdings...you may want to take a look at LMLP and NSLP as both of them seem to be 'moving to the fast track'...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    o/t APPLE news-eraning are tonight

    by madmax19471952 Jul 22, 2014 9:15 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 23 hours ago Flag

    sarge...only a 'real grass root investor' could post a message like that, great research and good for all of us...please keep up the good work as I am very impressed...! You are becoming the 'lean mean information machine'...! Nothing beats 'real data by real investors' that have there own money on the line...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    o/t TWO

    by madmax19471952 Jul 22, 2014 8:39 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 22, 2014 10:39 AM Flag

    sarge...I almost sold my TWO (some time back) and then it started doing a turn around when they got into the MSR's and now it is another one of my 'green money machines'...I think that I will keep it a while longer as it has become very stable...

    That said, my MLPL is about to over take my SFL which is my long term portfolio leader and AWLCF is now running in third place (without Total Returns)...this is another happy day for the home team...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    raymond james reports

    by edwardkeefej Jul 16, 2014 10:01 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 21, 2014 11:20 AM Flag

    mark...I am glad you are back (I missed you, I really did), even though we sometimes disagree, you always get me thinking and our message boards can get a bit boring sometimes without you...that said, I did read a message about NSLP (yield about 9.9%) on the SFL message board...you know I don't care much about oil or natural as investments (at this time)...however, NSLP looks pretty good to me and after researching it as I like the looks of its color, drivers, charts and etc., ..! What do you think about NSLP (???)...! $tagg...!

  • staggman99 staggman99 Jul 20, 2014 9:30 PM Flag

    k-bon...I don't like to disagree with other investors because when I do they usually get mad at me...however, it does bother me that SDRL has a lot better color than SDLP, yet a lot of investors think that SDLP is a lot better stock to own...

    I am not knocking SDLP as I think it has a bright future, but the color of SDLP is 'not as good' as its parent company...the debt of SDLP is more than its market cap. and the SDRL market cap. is more than the debt...

    When I look at the color (the key statistics) of both companies SDRL is the winner in almost every metric...again, SDRL has 1.5 billion dollars of cash reserves at this time and 'that is a big deal'...SDRL is the company that has a stake in all of these other companies (the other companies do not own SDRL)....

    All Board members, please look at the color (key statistics) of SDRL...i.e. a 63% return on equity is a big deal, a109% profit margin is a big deal, quarterly earning growth YOY of 650% is a big deal and to borrow more 'income producing funds' at 2% over LIBOR is a big deal...! O.K., beat me up, I am a tough old guy and I can take it, lol...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    SOME YTD TOTAL RETURN LEADERS...!

    by staggman99 Jul 19, 2014 12:40 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 19, 2014 9:49 PM Flag

    correction...bud, I already have a core position in MLPL (and I am well pleased with it)...I will add 'a lot more' to my LMLP first and then CEFL and DVHL...I probably should add more to my MLPL, but I am forcing myself to diversify....! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    SOME YTD TOTAL RETURN LEADERS...!

    by staggman99 Jul 19, 2014 12:40 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 19, 2014 9:27 PM Flag

    bud...at this time I am still building core positions in DVHL, CEFL and MLPL (I already have nice core position in BDCL)...I will probably add more to MLPL first...! That said, I am seeing a lot of very good investment opportunities out there at this time..! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    SOME YTD TOTAL RETURN LEADERS...!

    by staggman99 Jul 19, 2014 12:40 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 19, 2014 5:00 PM Flag

    bayman...these stocks are from my "watch list' (not my portfolio) and I only own seven of them, I do not own NRF, VLCCF, SDLP and BBEP....however, I am well pleased with all of my current holdings and I am not changing anything at this time...I am up 12.3% in Total Returns at this time (this is also a big dividend and high yield month for me)...I feel that most of the BDC's are oversold and this is still a good entry point for a lot of them (i.e. BDCL, HTGC, PSEC and etc.)...! I do plan to add 'a lot more' to my MLPL (est. yield maybe 14%) holdings, in the future, when I have more available funds...! $tagg...!

  • Board members...I have about 75 stocks 'on my watch list' at this time and here are some of the YTD leaders in Total Returns...

    NRF (yield about 5.9%) is up 60.7%

    VLCCF (yield about 5.2%) is up 50.4%

    MLPL (yield about 8.2%) is up 34.2%

    AWLCF (yield about 19%, after fees) is up 31.6%

    SDLP (yield about 6.4%) is up 26.7%

    STAG (yield about 5.4%) is up 22.2%

    CEFL (yield about 17%) is up 20.5%

    DVHL (yield about 12.2%) is up 19.3%

    BBEP (yield about 9.1%) is up 18.4%

    NYMT (yield about 13.3%) is up 18.3%

    SFL (yield about 8.9%) is up 17.8%

    I make no suggestions, but some investors may find this interesting, as these are some pretty good returns for only about 6 months...! $tagg...!

  • staggman99 staggman99 Jul 18, 2014 7:09 PM Flag

    k-bon...something does not add up (???)...why would SDRL be raising more funds when they have 1.5 billion dollars in cash reserves (???)...I think there is more to the story, is SDRL launching another company (???)...is SDRL buying a lot more rigs for SeaMex (???)...are they issuing more convertible bonds so JF can buy a a lot of them...(???)...! I think there is a bit more to this story to be had in the future...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    The Red Sea

    by helmetguru123 Jul 17, 2014 3:42 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 18, 2014 2:03 PM Flag

    sarge...yesterday was very painful, I like to brag about my high yields, but a reduction in principal takes the bragging rights away...it don't take much good or bad news to move the markets...today is a nice snap-back as all of my holdings are up strong, except for SDRL...

    I am still not making any changes as I am well pleased with my current holdings and will add more to LMPL. CEFL and DVHL in the future (MLPL is really doing great)...I also think it is a bit strange that they would fly a plane through the 'middle of a war zone' and to think nothing bad would happen...they could have flew around it very easy, but didn't want to waste the extra fuel (more Voodoo economics)...

    That said, I don't run my holdings 'through a war zone' and think nothing bad will happen as 'a weak sector is still a weak sector'...a little common sense can go a long ways when it comes to investing...! Keep the faith as the best is yet to come...! $tagg...!

  • Board members...there is growing concern about the possible loss of more billions of dollars in corporate tax revenue...a total of 47 U.S. based companies have combined with a foreign business over the last decade to reorganize overseas in deals know as 'inversions'....

    'Inversions' enable U.S. companies to lower their tax bills by reorganizing in a country with a lower tax rate and by permitting additional deductions...shareholders of the foreign entity in the 'inversion' must retain more than 20% ownership of the newly merged business to trigger the tax benefits...some companies that are looking abroad for these tax savings are...MDT, MYL, ABBV, WAG and etc.,...

    My opinion is, as these companies reduce their tax liability, we as tax payer will end up picking up the difference 'some place else' and we continue to lose more good paying American jobs...! Just some think else to think about...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    raymond james reports

    by edwardkeefej Jul 16, 2014 10:01 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 17, 2014 8:56 PM Flag

    shuching...years ago when I worked in the oil fields oil was $3.00 a barrel and gasoline was under 20 cents a gallon...today it cost about $60.00 barrel just to produce it (I know it cost more to produce it)...natural gas has gotten a lot cheaper in the last couple of years because of a major increase in production...

    Some wells were costing about 12 million dollars and now cost a few million less, but they also have a high rate of decline...I am not knocking oil but I don't see a major increase (and growth) in profits there at this time...more, if they were to produce a lot more oil then the profits would fall (with the price) just like natural gas did...

    Again, I am not has smart as a lot of investors on oil and natural gas...but, MLPL has been very sweet to me as it is now up 33.7% YTD in Total Returns (not bad for six months) and I think I will stay with it (how can that be wrong, ???)...! If you guys are right about investing in oil and natural gas, then MLPL will go a lot higher...! $tagg...!

  • Reply to

    raymond james reports

    by edwardkeefej Jul 16, 2014 10:01 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 16, 2014 10:30 AM Flag

    ed...you are very sharp on oil and natural gas and mark is to (where is that guy mark at, ???, I miss him)...the fact is, that you said that MLPL would really shine this year and 'you are correct'...the problem is that while they are producing 'a lot more' oil and natural gas, the cost to produce it has also increased a lot...! Some of the 'pipelines and off-shore drilling' seem to be where the action is at this time (and probably LNG in the future)...! $tagg...!

LINE
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