Recent

% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

Linn Energy, LLC Message Board

staggman99 264 posts  |  Last Activity: 6 hours ago Member since: Nov 1, 2006
  • Reply to

    FRONTLINE AND THE FRONTLINE 2012 MERGER...!

    by staggman99 Jul 2, 2015 11:22 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 4, 2015 11:20 AM Flag

    update...after a bit more research, it now looks to me, as I read it, that after the merger Hemen will own 52% of the combined company and 'SFL will own 7%' of the combined company...I am 'surprise to read' that SFL is also a FRO and a FRO 2012 shareholder (which 'is different from just lease payments and profit sharing' from ships that SFL leases out to FRO)...! bob, k-bon or somebody, jump in here and correct me on some of this if I am wrong (???)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    FRONTLINE AND THE FRONTLINE 2012 MERGER...!

    by staggman99 Jul 2, 2015 11:22 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 3, 2015 10:48 PM Flag

    chad...it obvious that we (SFL shareholders) only get profit sharing on the ships that SFL has leased to FRO...however, what is good for FRO is also good for SFL, because if a company was to go bankrupt, 'all of the company goes bankrupt', not just part of it...! More, as FRO continues to grow, I am sure they will continue to model more business with SFL in the future (I am also surprise that they were talking about investing, and not religion or politics, on the FRO message board)...! Stagg...!

  • Board members...it looks to me like SFL 'will benefit from the merger' between FRO and FRO 2012...a stronger FRO is always good for SFL (profit sharing and etc.)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    From Raymond James today (from the IV board)

    by bobdbeck Jul 1, 2015 11:05 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 1, 2015 5:42 PM Flag

    For the record...I only have 100 shares of MLPL as it is not a core holding...however, I did make a nice profit on LINE and EVEP, plus a smaller profit BBEP...I also made a outstanding profit on FRO as I sold it at $54.00 a share...! Did anybody notice WMC had a nice day in the market today (???)...! Investors that don't like energy can still buy some LMLP (yield about 13.4% and pays monthly)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    Baxter---BAX take a gander

    by sarge198502 Jun 25, 2015 9:05 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 1, 2015 3:23 PM Flag

    sarge...I just got a nice dividend on SFL and I have a lot of dividends coming next month...that said, I am trying not to post to many messages because If I don't have anything good to say, it is probably best for me to not say anything at all, lol...! My stocks are fine, but this market really sucks, lol...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    From Raymond James today (from the IV board)

    by bobdbeck Jul 1, 2015 11:05 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 1, 2015 3:11 PM Flag

    k-bon...I agree that Total Returns are very important...i.e. the 'Total Returns' on LINE for the last 12 months is -66%, the last 3 years is #$%$9% and the last 5 years is -16.4% (source is dividendinvestor)...I also agree that nobody has a true crystal Ball to the future (not even Raymond James)...! Good luck on all of your investments...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    From Raymond James today (from the IV board)

    by bobdbeck Jul 1, 2015 11:05 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 1, 2015 2:22 PM Flag

    Board members...I strongly disagree with the Raymond James rating because the current and forward color on LINE is terrible: LINE (yield about 14%, if they can keep paying it) gross margin is 84.8%, operating margin is 45.4%, profit margin is -15.5%, ROI is 1%, ROA is -4.7%, ROE is -17.1%, EPS next year is -71.7%, EPS next 5 years is -14.%% and the income is -712.3 million dollars...the forward p/e est. is 115...LINE has gone down 76% in share prices since I sold it without the yields added back...

    The short, medium and long term technical indicators that I use rate LINE and over-all average of a '100% sell'...my opinion, is that LINE did not do a very good job of showing a profit when oil prices were a lot higher and I cannot see were their hedges have helped them show a profit in the past...I also feel they are 'to big to grow' and 'cannot manage the business' they have at this time...it also looks to me like their acquisition opportunities in the past 'have been a failure'...! Lets hope I am wrong about some of this...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    CHECKING OUT GRU, DBA and SOYB...!

    by staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 1:01 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jul 1, 2015 10:09 AM Flag

    syz---zys...I don't like CRESY (yield about 2.3%) as it as 'very poor color'...i.e. gross margin is 15%, operating margin is -5.8%, profit margin is -23.4%, ROA is -7.45, ROI is 15.6% and the ROE is -46.6% (the income is -117 million dollars...the current trend on the 12 different indicators that I use rate it a sell...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    CHECKING OUT GRU, DBA and SOYB...!

    by staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 1:01 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 30, 2015 8:18 PM Flag

    update...Board members, it looks like I was right (this time)...as grain prices are moving up on the latest data on wet growing conditions...i.e. GRU is up 6% today, DBA is up 2.3% today and SOYB is up 3.8% today...again, very wet growing conditions seem to be getting a lot worst in some places such as Missouri and North of I-64 and I-70...steep losses have been noted from Missouri to Ohio...! I got a lot of rain last night, but the worst of it went a bit south of my farms...my crops still look good, but the ground is fully saturated and I don't need any more rain for a couple of weeks (fingers crossed)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    OT: Thoughts on the market?

    by dividendhunter Jun 25, 2015 6:26 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 7:41 PM Flag

    Board members...on one of my watch lists, I have over 70 different stocks in several different sectors and only one stock when up today (NAT when up 2.34%) and all of the others when down with EVEP, RSO and LINE being the worst (as they were all down over -5%)...my opinion is, that we will see a dead cat bounce with a Mid-Summer Rally and then that will probably be about it for this year...

    Again, all investors will probably suffer with 'low income growth stocks' #$%$ the worst...high income stocks will give us revenue stream to continue shopping for value and low income growth stocks will probably continue to disappoint more than others...! Just my opinion and lets hope that I am wrong about some of this...investing in 2015 is looking 'like a repeat' of investing in 2014....! Stagg...!

  • staggman99 staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 2:55 PM Flag

    Board members...I never lie...i.e. the proof of the 'Total Returns' on PSEC can be had on 'dividend investor' or the 'buyupside total return calculator' web sites (on my posted data)...just type the sites in 'on search' and check it out...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    CHECKING OUT GRU, DBA and SOYB...!

    by staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 1:01 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 1:32 PM Flag

    sarge...it seems that soybeans 'are effected the most' (all grain crops now suffer north of I-70), and now I see a lot more corn effected than I first thought..i.e. corn; seedings are about 750.000 acres 'below the March estimate' and 43% of the current corn crop is receiving 'twice as much rainfall' as necessary. soybeans; have reduced planted acreage, very wet field conditions and it could set the stage for a strong August price rally based on weather conditions...! The bottom line is, I don't see grain prices going any lower and they should continue to move up...! Stagg...!

  • Board members...there is a lot of 'excess water damage' to a lot of planted (and non-planted) fields in the Mid-West (the prime growing region of the U.S.) and it seems to be getting worst...the current markets are in a slump because of Greece, but grains price continue to move up a bit...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    the news on GREECE is simply awful

    by sarge198502 Jun 29, 2015 8:05 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 29, 2015 12:49 PM Flag

    william...my opinion is, because they will not take a cut in pensions and other factors, eventually there will be no pension payouts or paychecks for the civil service numbers...the fact is, nobody can borrow their selves wealthy (everybody has to put some skin in the game)...! Stagg...!

  • staggman99 staggman99 Jun 28, 2015 10:55 AM Flag

    Board members...some investors need to do some real homework...the fact is, that PSEC is up 18.05% over the last 4 1/2 years in Total Returns (which is 3.08% annualized) and these numbers do not reflect Compounded Returns if the yields are reinvested...! I wonder how some investors know if they have a profit or loss (???) because they never figure their 'Total Returns' (with yields added back) on their holdings...charts, reflect the swings in share prices, but not the payout of the yields...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    CORN AND SOYBEAN PRICES...!

    by staggman99 Jun 21, 2015 8:05 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 26, 2015 9:21 AM Flag

    Board members...Its looks like I am right about soybeans (this time)...soybeans prices 'have been moving up' and it now looks like about 875,000 acres of soybeans will be lost, Missouri is very hard hit and other areas will follow, (because of very wet conditions in some key growing areas)...! SOYB may be a good short term play at this time (as it is still raining, 'right now', in a lot of the soybean growing country)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    OT: Thoughts on the market?

    by dividendhunter Jun 25, 2015 6:26 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 25, 2015 8:54 PM Flag

    DH...I agree, I also feel that high income stocks reward us better if the markets turn south, because we still have decent revenue stream flowing...! I think we will probably get a nice mid-summer rally and then that may be about it for this year...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    CHECKING OUT LINE...!

    by staggman99 Jun 25, 2015 9:53 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 25, 2015 1:46 PM Flag

    william...you make a very good point, operating cash flow is 1.65 billion dollars and 'leverage free' cash flow is -563.7 million dollars (not very good numbers)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    O/T NRZ

    by wingnut90266 Jun 25, 2015 12:11 PM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 25, 2015 1:26 PM Flag

    Huff...I don't know what is up with NRZ...however, I added more today as I am still building a core position in it (about 80% there)...that said, I am not to worried as NRZ has 'fine color'..i.e. NRZ (yield about 11.4%) has a gross margin of 70.4%, operating margin of 63%, profit margin of 47.8% and a ROE of 21.8% (that is outstanding on the ROE) and a p/e of 6.5...I also feel that NRZ adds a bit of safety when they increase interest rates (target price is $18.55)...! Stagg...!

  • Reply to

    Bought some SFL today...

    by rbgambler99 Jun 25, 2015 10:47 AM
    staggman99 staggman99 Jun 25, 2015 11:53 AM Flag

    gambler...I am a long term holder of SFL and I am very well pleased with it (and SFL is a core holding)...however, as I strongly feel that SFL is on the the fast track to record profits in the future, I also feel that Zacks later upgrade may be 'a bit to much' (I really hope Zack's is right)...i.e. Zacks has raised future year estimated earnings from $1.05 a share to $1.92 a share (an increase of almost 83%)...! I will be happy if SFL does 'half that good' in the future...! Lets hope that I am wrong about some of this, lol...! Stagg...!

LINE
4.04-0.72(-15.13%)Jul 31 4:00 PMEDT