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Annaly Capital Management, Inc. Message Board

stan1736 23 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 11, 2014 8:05 AM Member since: Feb 22, 2003
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  • stan1736 by stan1736 Sep 11, 2014 8:05 AM Flag

    initiated today by Wunderlich . Price Target = $10.50

  • Reply to

    response from the company to my letter

    by alan74z Sep 4, 2014 9:03 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Sep 5, 2014 12:39 PM Flag

    While receiving a response from the co. to a shareholder inquiry may be a good sign ( I've never received a response ), I agree with your assessment is quite accurate. The co. has had a sizable accumulation of cash and several years to grow the co. by acquisition. The old adage " Put up or shut up " may apply. I am not optimistic that management will follow through on their vision; but I'll continue to hold since the share price is too low to make selling worthwhile.

  • stan1736 by stan1736 Aug 31, 2014 10:36 AM Flag

    As an investor with positions in a number of Business Development Companies, I have just become aware of Capital Southwest Corp. The current share price ( $36.60) is well below the NAV of $51.17 ( as of 6/30/14 ), ; most BDCs trade within 5-10% above or below the NAV. Would appreciate someone familiar with CSWC offering an explanation for this discrepancy.

  • Reply to

    Is PGN that bad a company??

    by jhgrsrch Aug 18, 2014 11:08 AM
    stan1736 stan1736 Aug 18, 2014 11:37 AM Flag

    As one who received PGN shares in the spin-off, I am disappointed, but not surprised, by the drop in share price. After most spin-offs, a number of shareholders will sell their shares. At the current price I believe PGN to be undervalued considering the sizable backlog ( over $2.6B) and therefore plan to retain my shares. I will await announcement of a dividend before considering buying more shares.

  • Could provide a boost to share price considering the relatively small number of shares traded daily.

  • Reply to

    Someone started accumulating PGN

    by mystk7 Aug 14, 2014 3:21 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Aug 14, 2014 3:54 PM Flag

    There are 84,753,393 shares outstanding. Don't know the float. Hopefully we'll see some positive movement here after first dividend is declared.

  • stan1736 stan1736 Aug 11, 2014 3:06 PM Flag

    The Q&A in today's earnings call can be summarized in one word -stonewalling. Management 's suggestion that the accumulated cash will be used for acquisitions is wearing a little thin. Shareholder value can be fostered by share repurchase, dividends or a buyout of the co. GURE seems disinclined to take any of these options. They also seem reluctant to respond to shareholder emails. I would encourage shareholders who share my views to contact the company -management and/or investor relations.

  • stan1736 by stan1736 Aug 11, 2014 12:32 PM Flag

    Time to get solicit some thoughts about this stock, which continues to lag despite the fact that it sells significantly below NAV, earns its generous dividend,has insider buying has 100% senior secured floating rate loans , and 1SB/4B/1H ratings by the analysts that follow it.

  • Reply to

    Why is this company on stock exchange?

    by dbkemp05 Aug 10, 2014 11:54 AM
    stan1736 stan1736 Aug 11, 2014 10:17 AM Flag

    I agree with your assessment. The Q&A can be summarized in one word -stonewalling . My previous emails to the co. to promote shareholder value by share repurchase, institution of a dividend or taking the co. private receive no response. I will try again; and I encourage those shareholders who agree with this assessment to express your views to management.

  • Reply to

    Price on 8/4

    by dfsponn1 Aug 2, 2014 5:41 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Aug 3, 2014 9:44 AM Flag

    Paragon Offshore will be traded on the NYSE under the symbol PGN .

  • Reply to

    My main concern...

    by jacob.gustafsson Aug 1, 2014 4:16 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Aug 3, 2014 9:40 AM Flag

    As a long-term shareholder, my main concern is management's apparent disregard of its shareholders . With $2.84 per share in cash, there has been no share buyback, no dividend, no recent acquisitions and no attempt to take the co. private. Management does not find it necessary to respond to shareholder inquiries. With 35% of shares owned by insiders, I would have hoped that management's interests were aligned with that of its shareholders. While I look for improved earnings in the second quarter, I am skeptical that this will result in share price appreciation.

  • Reply to

    RSO and Earnings

    by mysonchino Jul 26, 2014 1:34 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Jul 27, 2014 11:42 AM Flag

    Your point is well taken. As a long-term RSO shareholder, I have appreciated the dividend , but been disappointed regarding lack of improvement in NAV or in share price. During the 1st quarter earnings call, management confirmed that it expected AFFO to be .27 for quarters 3 & 4. This would nicely cover the .20 quarterly dividend. Considering the increase in loan originations this year, the recent securitization, a commercial real estate portfolio ( 73%) producing an ROE of 12 - 12 % , a leveraged loan portfolio ( 26% ) with a 15 - 20 % ROE, I believe in the predicted AFFO and the safety of the dividend. To management I would suggest that even a modest increase in the dividend and/or share buyback would be very positive for the share price.

  • stan1736 by stan1736 Jul 26, 2014 12:36 PM Flag

    On 6/30/14, short interest was 10.7 M shares; on July 15, it had decreased to 4.1 M shares .

  • Reply to

    Back From Coffee Break

    by tradelogic2001 Jul 22, 2014 2:29 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Jul 23, 2014 10:07 AM Flag

    I have owned this stock for a long time. Management has no interest in shareholder value. Despite the fact that the share price has been below the cash per share, there have been no share buybacks and no dividend ; and management doesn't respond to legitimate shareholder inquiries. I will continue to hold since I believe that these shares are undervalued.

  • Reply to

    SPO price at 16.99

    by thewisejman Jul 16, 2014 9:32 AM
    stan1736 stan1736 Jul 16, 2014 10:24 AM Flag

    The drop is a knee-jerk reaction that always follows issuance of new shares by BDCs. Since new shares are issued above NAV, this is accretive for current shareholders. Today's drop = buying opportunity.

  • Reply to

    Any opinions on ARI

    by mysonchino Jul 14, 2014 1:45 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Jul 15, 2014 6:33 AM Flag

    I have long-standing positions in RSO & ARI . ARI focuses on commercial real estate , an asset class with little new development the past decade. Co. pays $1.60/year dividend which seems safe . Fixed coverage ratio = 5.1 x. Robust pipeline ; book = $16.21 ; 54% of loans are floating; debt/equity ratio = 0.5x . All in all, a superior investment for income investors.

  • stan1736 stan1736 Jul 10, 2014 5:37 PM Flag

    As a long-time BDC investor ( incl.FSC), the market's knee-jerk response to issuance of new shares is a drop in share price. In reality, assuming the new shares are issued above the current NAV of $9.81, the event will be accretive to current shareholders. Since BDCs have to pay out most of their earnings as dividends, issuing shares is the way they grow. I presume the new funds will be put to work promptly; average yield on debt investments is 10.8% . I expect that tomorrow's drop will be of short duration . A share price decline below the issuing price = buying opportunity. Just one man's opinion.

  • stan1736 stan1736 Jul 9, 2014 4:36 PM Flag

    Well today we saw somewhat of a selloff on hugh volume ; and on a day with most stocks up. Might just represent an institutional investor bailing out ; or possibly a prelude to an announcement later today or tomorrow. We shall soon see. Other opinions appreciated.

  • stan1736 stan1736 Jul 9, 2014 6:07 AM Flag

    According to one of the experts on Fast Money yesterday afternoon (MSNBC), yesterday's stock drop was an over-reaction since the terms of the bond issuance were favorable to SDRL. As often happens , the initial response by the market to an announcement is an over-reaction. I commend management for its prompt response. IMHO, the stock , even before the drop, was undervalued; and the dividend, albeit high, is safe.

  • Reply to

    what gives with this sector?

    by nadsmis Jul 7, 2014 4:39 PM
    stan1736 stan1736 Jul 8, 2014 8:46 AM Flag

    Having shares of AYR & FLY, I don't appreciate the recent drop in share prices. But I'm quite comfortable with the underlying business plans/outlook . AYR has a net interest margin of 9.5% ( rental yield of 14% minus debt cost of 4.6%) . Combine this with over 98% utilization, $715M new investments YTD, a book value of $20.30/share and a 4.6% dividend = undervalued stock price. For FLY, 15% fleet growth this year, 99% utilization, book value $18.13, dividend over 7%, $30M share repurchase program,$381M unrestricted cash . increasing global air traffic.

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