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Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. Message Board

star_hominid 249 posts  |  Last Activity: Nov 24, 2014 11:12 PM Member since: Sep 4, 2007
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  • Reply to

    Rate cuts in China again!

    by rvga128 Nov 23, 2014 9:20 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 24, 2014 11:12 PM Flag

    Chinese inflation is currently running about 1.6%....which is much lower than their forecasts...so I know "they will accept higher inflation"....they just announced it with an interest rate cut.

    Growth is a choice in the shorter term...it was the Chinese raising interest rates in the last several years that slowed growth and lowered the inflation that comes with growth. China has started and stopped stimulus several times in the last 6 years.

    You can fight deflation just like you can fight inflation.

  • Reply to

    Rate cuts in China again!

    by rvga128 Nov 23, 2014 9:20 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 24, 2014 8:19 PM Flag

    The Chinese cut rates for the same reason the USA or Europe cuts rates. The Chinese have inflation well under 2% and growth is slipping below 7%. They want to stabilize growth around 6.5% - 7% and they will accept higher inflation. There may be more rate cuts in the future and/or RRR lowering and they have a bag full of stimulus measures they can trot out if required.

  • Reply to

    70's

    by whitegod303 Nov 24, 2014 1:57 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 24, 2014 2:46 PM Flag

    Hopefully the sellers keep selling and keep the transactions below $2.70 for the next 5 weeks!

  • star_hominid by star_hominid Nov 24, 2014 12:04 PM Flag

    Pre-presales starts......

    ...... November 22, Xinyuan / Xin Yuan masters fully open identification chips. Thousand people heard the news rushed to the sales office, winter panic room staged fiery frenzy.

      Less than 8:00 am, the sales center is crowded, all prospective owners are eager to ask the staff situation on the reservation identification chips. Others took up the size chart lively discussion, Xin Yuan masters 89-137㎡ whole family South transparent so that the presence of customers excited......

  • Reply to

    dividends not buy backs

    by mrmenorah Nov 13, 2014 2:28 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 23, 2014 5:39 PM Flag

    HLA would also rather prices stay depressed so they can use their own dividends/cash to buy cheap stock......like they have done for the last 6-8 years.

  • Reply to

    Rate cuts in China again!

    by rvga128 Nov 23, 2014 9:20 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 23, 2014 5:25 PM Flag

    "Top leaders have changed their views," said a senior economist at a government think-tank .... "Further interest rate cuts should be in the pipeline as we have entered into a rate-cut cycle and RRR cuts are also likely,"

  • Reply to

    RTK Strategy

    by nothx500 Nov 21, 2014 12:25 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 21, 2014 2:43 PM Flag

    I think Nitagaruka should get a bonus! He has been a big help so far for both longs and shorts buying at low prices. LOL! LOL!

  • Reply to

    Nov 15------Official internet launch ceremony

    by star_hominid Nov 13, 2014 11:22 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 20, 2014 7:37 PM Flag

    Apparently XIN started internet sales....from ceramic tile to mangoes on their recently developed micro-channel site. It appears on Nov. 15 they are trying to direct sell real estate as well....starting with Sanya and Williamsburg. That is what I seem to get from Google translate.

  • Reply to

    Nov 15------Official internet launch ceremony

    by star_hominid Nov 13, 2014 11:22 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 20, 2014 7:14 PM Flag

    November 21, 2014 Source: Beijing Times
    Jinghua Times (Reporter Zhang Shuling) November 15, Xin Yuan Chinese official micro-channel platform was officially launched. Micro-channel platform trial run on September 30, ended October 31, line one month trial run on the platform, the number of fans to break 40,000, the number of registered sales reached more than 10,000 people, hundreds of sets of volume platforms, such results to the whole industry a shock.........etc.

  • Reply to

    Dividend XIN

    by joshuafain Nov 17, 2014 2:00 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 17, 2014 4:06 PM Flag

    Hopefully they eliminate it. It's silly to not buy back stock with the money...but my guess is that XIN will announce a 5 cent dividend in the next two weeks.

  • Reply to

    Dividend XIN

    by joshuafain Nov 17, 2014 2:00 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 17, 2014 2:49 PM Flag

    Last year they announced the dividend Nov. 6. I expect a late announcement as XIN keeps their eyes on pre-sales.

  • Reply to

    S & P downgraded Xinyuan again

    by bmayo2727 Nov 17, 2014 10:18 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 17, 2014 12:25 PM Flag

    LOL! And several days later..... the same statement is still true.
    XIN hit $1.50 about 3 years ago and hit $7.40 before that bounce was over.

  • Reply to

    S & P downgraded Xinyuan again

    by bmayo2727 Nov 17, 2014 10:18 AM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 17, 2014 11:58 AM Flag

    -----big revenue quarter-----

    XIN expects $300M revenue in Q4......this should be rather easy for them to predict.
    XIN expects $500M contract sales in Q4.....with 5 projects entering pre-sales in the last weeks of Q4, this is very hard for XIN to predict and a big uncertainty.
    I believe the contract sales, which approximate cash flow, will determine much in the short term....like how much they buyback and how much land they buy....and the dividend.

    My guess is that TPG will stand pat with their 6M ADS.

  • star_hominid by star_hominid Nov 16, 2014 3:31 PM Flag

    Three analysts have RTK with a nickel loss for the year......do you think the "naked shorts" will sabotage earnings again....or will your buddy HR prevail over those evil doers?

  • Reply to

    MLP

    by nothx500 Nov 12, 2014 1:32 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 16, 2014 3:05 PM Flag

    ----- Pasadena debacle -----

    Just wait for the big profits from those Gulf ports. Big adjusted EBITDA anyway!

  • star_hominid star_hominid Nov 15, 2014 1:21 AM Flag

    I don't think Chinese real estate will go south next year....but it might....it is a risk. Debt is modest...somewhere between Tier 1 developers and Tier 2 developers. Debt might go to high levels....but I suspect sales will move along with it or they won't increase the debt much. As far as what the market thinks.....that is usually opportunity knocking.

  • --------Chinese inquiries about real estate investment in the United States surged 35 per cent this week after the two countries agreed to extend the terms of short-term visas, China's top international property portal said on Friday.
    The White House announced this week that both countries have extended the terms of multiple entry short-term tourist and business visas to 10 years from one year. Student visas were extended to five years from one
    year. Student visas were extended to five years from one year. -------

  • star_hominid star_hominid Nov 14, 2014 11:03 PM Flag

    Yes.....different companies.
    Three years ago XIN had a book value of $7.50/ADS......today a book value of $12.50/ADS.
    Three years ago XIN had $407M in cash....today cash of 553M.

    XIN is profitable today.....the only thing missing is high profits....which will be the start of the next bounce. $2.00/ADS profits in one Quarter in 2016 from just one project....Oosten.

    One places a bet....take the risks of failure....and gets rewarded if correct. Or one can just BBS on a msg board like you.

  • Reply to

    MLP

    by nothx500 Nov 12, 2014 1:32 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 14, 2014 8:11 PM Flag

    As for the headquarters....I think Wilshire Blvd. is near to the yacht club, where Hunt keeps the sailboat.

  • Reply to

    UrbanSuburbanHair!!!

    by star_hominid Nov 14, 2014 2:17 PM
    star_hominid star_hominid Nov 14, 2014 3:26 PM Flag

    LOL! Got your red "thumbs down" stamp of approval! Just need some good PsychBabble!

    Are the naked shorts "manipulating" the SP up today?

XIN
2.82+0.10(+3.68%)Nov 26 4:04 PMEST

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