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Oncolytics Biotech Inc. Message Board

starsearcher40 7 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 9, 2014 10:57 AM Member since: Jun 10, 2009
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  • starsearcher40 by starsearcher40 Jul 9, 2014 10:57 AM Flag

    I don't post on this Board too often as I've found following the V2 board to be a much more fruitful discussion in general. And even there, I've been particularly silent as the trading patterns were relentlessly dismal for a very long time. Those patterns have now changed, and it is worth noting. So here then, a rare foray back into the jungle of the "regular" ONCY Board:

    Here are the posts (2 in total) that I've made on the V2 board:

    1) PRE-Market comment on share price:

    Just a comment for the fun of it. Based on the technical indicators that I use, I'm anticipating a particularly strong upside day for Onc/y We'll see what comes..

    2) Additional Commentary (mid-morning):

    There is some clutter in the $1.80 level (ONCY), but I don't think this is going to pose any problem as far as resistance goes. Within the context of a badly beaten down stock, the duration of the downswing, the dry nature of the way the stock is trading, and impending news, I see no issue whatsoever with the stock moving up back to the $2.40 level in the very near term. Personally, I still think even that price is vastly undervalued for what the share price should be (all things considered), but it at least serves my own eyes as a short term price target.

    As for the way the stock is behaving so today, I like everything I'm seeing. -All indications of a healthy run up to come.

  • starsearcher40 by starsearcher40 Mar 21, 2014 12:18 PM Flag

    6) A lot of what I've said above paints a pretty bleak picture of the market as a whole. It is what it is (and it is all that...and worse!), and as a trader I would have a lot harder time making an income if the markets weren't that dirty. While I also live at the bottom of the knowledge food chain, I CAN see the activity in the market of those much higher up the food chain and ride their coat-tails.

    Personally, "investing" scares the heck out of me and I don't really know how people do it. ONC/Y has been for me an extremely rare "investment", despite some of the more obvious signs to trade the heck out of it, up or down. Why invest in it then? Partly as an exercise in self discipline (self torture), but far more because I actually do strongly believe that in the long term this investment will pay out a LOT of money. For me to to be in a stock for a couple of years is unheard of. In my world, "long term" usually means a couple of days at most. Hopefully as this "investment" goes, the timeline is no longer too long, and the payoff soon to come will make the wait worth the time it has taken. I believe (strongly) this will be the case.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • starsearcher40 by starsearcher40 Mar 21, 2014 12:17 PM Flag

    3) I think the company is strong, and the product has more promise than any other up-and-coming drug out there. Those with the power (and the knowledge that we are not privilege to) to move the stock up or down can, will, and ARE playing hardball with the stock. Most importantly, they know the timelines far better than you or I could ever hope to. So where are we at? Personally, I expect we're on the precipice of a well orchestrated set of powerful data, to be released in such a manner as to maximize the positive effect on the share price. Some would simply call it a "promotional" phase, which I think in this case is true but only to a point. I say this because the product IS that good (imho) and an orchestrated promotion of something good is not some cheap pump and dump. It is the solid promotion of something good and powerful. We have been in the "quiet phase" for many months now. This too is (was) an orchestrated event that now looks to be ending.

    4) CIBC on the Canadian side is a participant in this stock that is always worth watching. They certainly came to life today, buying over 93,000 shares in the open market.

    5) If I were to guess here, I think what we will see is a significant ramping up of the price over the short term via a series of well timed news releases that have strong results. With the share price significantly higher, I think the stage will then be set for a buyout, with the buyout of course significantly higher still. Personally, I would be very surprised if this company were not bought in the next 6 months (max).

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • starsearcher40 by starsearcher40 Mar 21, 2014 12:15 PM Flag

    I posted this on the V2 Board, but thought I would post here as well.

    I noticed the change in the trading patterns 3 days ago, and the volume certainly tells the tale that "something" is changing for the positive. I still maintain that this is one of the most manipulated stocks I've ever been around (and I've been in the markets a VERY long time). Manipulation is a pretty horrible experience when it's on the downside, as we have endured since last Fall. It wears you down, and it's meant to wear you down. People cough up their shares, and then the rake them in at the bottom. And once they have their fill, they'll then run the stock to the moon. For those who still have their shares, the upside manipulation will suddenly be your best friend, and the complaints will seem to subside. :)

    A couple of random thoughts/observations:

    1) The manipulation is very evident on the big volume days where there is little price change. There simply isn't enough shares out there, and/or the stock is NOT that wet that the trades going through can be representative of "legitimate" buyers and sellers.

    2) Too lazy to scroll back here through messages, but someone mentioned something to the effect that they just had to accept that they were at the bottom of the food chain of knowledge of what is happening. Bingo! Welcome to the bottom, and it's a good thing to know you're place. I've always said (no matter how good a year I may have had in the markets) that at best I'm a little guppy that just darts out, grabs a morsel and then runs and hides again. The day that I start thinking I'm a shark...well that's when I'll be taught the lesson that I'm not.

    continued in next post

  • Reply to


    by botinsel Jan 13, 2014 1:02 PM
    starsearcher40 starsearcher40 Jan 13, 2014 5:26 PM Flag

    I don't think this is the case at all Botinsel. Yes, at some point there will be a financing. But there is certainly enough good news on the near term horizon that they'll get that news out first and then finance. Personally, I would bet is is some time after Asco, at which point I expect the share price to be much much higher than current levels.

  • starsearcher40 by starsearcher40 Sep 30, 2013 5:08 PM Flag

    It's worth noting (in the midst of a lot of noise being put out by those wishing to accumulate) that Paradigm has been on quite the buying spree the past month. For September alone, they are now up another 435,000 shares. The buying is aggressive. For example, today alone they were up another 42,400 shares...sold none.

    Follow the big money.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Short interest

    by lafrance_paul Sep 24, 2013 4:34 PM
    starsearcher40 starsearcher40 Sep 25, 2013 7:41 AM Flag

    I maintain that the short is an effort to suppress the price with an intent to accumulate large positions. Once the position is established to the extent wanted (and by all accounts some of these positions are already in takeover vast), the short will be covered and the "job" will be done.

    This is a completely different scenario than shorting a stock thinking the company is somehow in trouble. If this was the case, you would see a far bigger short position on the Canadian side. Instead, it is all but non-existent.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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