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Dendreon Corp. Message Board

stephen_f_evans1 19 posts  |  Last Activity: 18 hours ago Member since: Sep 24, 2008
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  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 18 hours ago Flag

    Looks like inverse of 4/23 and 4/24, ironically at support levels. On 4/23 and 4/24 at resistance. One could call this action a double bottom. I see a lower opening(hopefully, gonna sell a put spread, bullish). Runup slightly positive maybe up .5. Pause until 10:30, slight run down to +.1 or even for day and a run up into the end of the day up .5 to close.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 18 hours ago Flag

    Nice, I got a small bet on Jan 2016 135/140 Call spread. Pays 53 to 2, cost average.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 18 hours ago Flag

    Now I know your full of B.S. Google tan(x) and continuity.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 19 hours ago Flag

    Spot on bro. This action is awesome. Great support. Almost closed green after opening lower $1.5? I'm selling some 65/64 Put spreads that expire in 2 weeks tomorrow. 50/50 chance but love the action down here. Might sell some Jan/Apr 85/90 put spreads. Then wait for some JAN 2017 available come November. The further I go out the better I feel.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 19 hours ago Flag

    Please do, kid. LOL. Your an idiot stuck in your high school education looking for identity. I've been trading this stuff since '87, a lil after it all began. Its impossible to have traded options longer.....LOL....kid.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 20 hours ago Flag

    Listen?
    You don't get it. Hang it up please. You need to be right no matter what. I know you don't make any money. Your on a chat board trying to be Mr. analytic. HFT's have everything to do with lack of randomness in the market. When FB was around 22, I was buying the 45/47 2015 call spread for .13. I'm killing it, because I recognized the stock behavior like Tan(x). Running it down then it gaps up. I know you haven't been trading options as long as I have. I was at CBOE in '87, when it all was starting. Put me on iggy. Loser.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 10, 2014 2:17 AM Flag

    January earnings gapped up and never filled. Its not continuous. Tan(x) isn't continuous either at 0. You fail to see that the regression line is NOT linear around earnings. Its a simple shape of a graph of the closes that appears Tangental. It evokes most Fear and Greed. If you think you can make this an exact science I suggest you stay in school before the market sucks your money. All the advanced math I learned is obsolete. Excel is all you need. Your obviously fresh out of school with a need to rationalize your education. Nothing is random with HFT's.

  • Reply to

    Looks

    by ncc_dot_pk Jul 9, 2014 12:35 PM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 9, 2014 12:37 PM Flag

    65.07 close

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Cheap July 11th calls?

    by winningstox Jul 8, 2014 3:26 PM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 9, 2014 11:51 AM Flag

    Great trade. good call. You got a double so far.

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 9, 2014 10:26 AM Flag

    Your too exact with your mathematics. Tan(x) is my regression line. Its not linear. You say the market is continuous. What about gaps that aren't filled? The only way to describe a discontinued graph is with a discontinued function. Tan(x) provides that. Buffalo you? Naw. Tan(x) shows the most extreme case of fear to greed or greed to fear. You call it a counter trend. You need to get passed linear regression lines and see the trig.

  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 9, 2014 9:20 AM Flag

    Opening higher, try to test new lows 62.21. If slow day and no real progress making new lows I could see it snap back. FB takes a punch and counters really well. I wouldn't be surprised to see a close over 65.06 or sideways day today with virtually no gain. Lower? Maybe but not by too much. Support around 62.5. Long Jan 2015 45/47 call spread since May 2012. Long Jan 2016 135/140 call spread and Jan 2016 85/90 Call spread. When FB was at 22 the Jan 45/47 2014 traded .14. Now the 135/140 is .15. Love the tail end of the bell curve. :)

  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 5:26 PM Flag

    Nasdaq hitting support levels but hasn't broken up trend. We went from over bought to support in 4 days. The speed of which should slow down, same with FB. I could see it around 60 before earnings and a gap up on earnings then 80, support 72 then 90. I don't see any index broken just a quick retrace to support levels from overbought. 10 trading days until earnings starts tomorrow.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 2:38 PM Flag

    Sure it does. Almost perfectly correlated to Jan earnings. No time comparison, comparing to closes. Don't need oscillation for regression analysis.

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 12:50 PM Flag

    I agree its not continuous, but its R^2 value has been very high for brief periods around earnings. Assymptote describing earnings.

  • Reply to

    Y=Tan(x)

    by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 12:44 PM Flag

    Wont let me put parameters on x. From 0 to 90. At 90 or when cos goes from negative to positive we get vertical asymptote. Like when earnings came out 1/30. Stock was headed lower into earnings then spiked up.

  • stephen_f_evans1 by stephen_f_evans1 Jul 8, 2014 11:21 AM Flag

    Most fear in the graph. When cos(x) goes positive we get our vertical asymptote. Cos goes positive 7/23. after hours. 0

  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 7, 2014 9:05 PM Flag

    The two week pattern was usually peaking around 3rd day. This time it peaked 3rd day and 6th day, then 3 days down. Holiday shortened weeks usually continue previous weeks pattern. IMO, that's why we had a peak on third and 6th day. Should support around 65/64.5 next few days, maybe Friday. Tomorrow is a key day, Mms are gonna try to continue sell off from 68.44. Action should spring back up quickly and hold. They wont try to rally it up too fast. It needs to support first and die out. Wednesday starts the 10 day countdown into earnings I wouldn't be surprised to see 62.5 and then a reversal or hold. 5 days before earnings, should look like Y=tan(x). 0

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 Jul 6, 2014 3:20 PM Flag

    I'm convinced we go higher than 71.44 after earnings or even before. That's not too much of a concern to me. Its when it corrects back to 71.44 the action around there is a concern. Its very subtle how FB behaves when hitting support levels but before it goes higher its got to hold. Ever since it held around 22, then subtly ran up. When it was occurring it was as if every abrupt sell off was met with resistance in that period of time form 6/13 to 7/24. You felt as if it was going lower that time even though it was going up. Why? Because the sell offs were fast and furious and the climbs were long and slow. Since IPO it was 6 months down, 6 months up. Lost 50% up 330% respectively in that time. This slight run up since it held support around 55 gives me the same feeling. You feel as if it could jump quickly at any point but it doesn't. It moves up and holds. Slow and deliberate as if the longs are in complete control. The peak up to earnings and or after I see 77.5 to 82.5. Doesn't matter to me as long as its above 75. Slightly above 71.44 makes me nervous. It has to hold that 71.44 level +- 1$ or else we could have a sideways cycle. To me it easier to hold 71.44 +-1$ when you go higher like 77.5 or 80 than if only around 75. Then next stop is 90$ after holding 71.44 +-1$. I think September/October earnings will be a neutral move holding any gains made from this move up around 71.44+-1$. GL

  • Reply to

    Coffee,Curry and lima beans.

    by stephen_f_evans1 Dec 19, 2013 3:05 PM
    stephen_f_evans1 stephen_f_evans1 May 15, 2014 11:02 AM Flag

    Poop

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