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HXM Message Board

stocktracker000 49 posts  |  Last Activity: 3 hours ago Member since: Jun 15, 2001
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  • stocktracker000 by stocktracker000 3 hours ago Flag

    Get the 5-day chart and posted it on your wall as reminder what margin selling looks like. PPS stayed up on first two days with pop and then it deteriorated in 3,4 and 5th (today). If PPS stayed up 3 days then it would have taken another day for margin selling to complete...

    Retail investors that means you mom & pop investors listen and never margin, you will not be able to ride through the down turns to survive the margin call. After you sold out, PPS will rise back with nice profit. Instead look for margin selling and buy at end or buy at beginning of short squeeze. BTW short squeeze is harder to detect...

    Supply of oil will go down over the year and demand will continue to rise. Just matter of time before demand catches up with supply. There should be a significant drop at CUshing, OK storage one week and that should be a god indicator of inflection point. Get ready for 60 oil. Saudi's and OPEC are all in trouble with PPS oil forever capped by shale fracking...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Not so fast. This year is starting to look like last year. CEO pulls rabbit out of the hat again! Didn't GNW have good earnings in 1Q last year and then have more losses for 2, 3 and 4Q. Looks like it is setup for shareholder meeting in June. Just get by shareholder meeting and then make adjustment later in the 2nd half...

    Ride the momentum for while and then dump before 2Q earnings for profit...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Still SDRL looks great. Way undervalued and good earnings for 2016. Of course it is no where near where it was couple of years ago. But, then it was trading at much much higher PPS. Around 1.1B in the bank and another 200M from recent sale of asset and another 800M in earnings coming for this year, so balance should be 2B by end of year and lenders should be confident about SDRL when oil PPS trades above 60 by end of year. Credit line has been rolled over till end of year and things are looking up...

    Like Ackman says about Valeant, I wish I could buy more SDRL...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • stocktracker000 by stocktracker000 Apr 21, 2016 6:44 PM Flag

    Look at the selling pattern since 11 AM yesterday. It's a straight line until 2:30 until someone stepped in to buy or cover...

    Margining is a fools game. There was no real news with SDRL and some short covering on Tuesday morning. Next time don't get suckered in and cover your margin as soon as you get a call before others get out...

    Still considering to buy SDRL, wait till end of Fri and buy some in last hour when marginal capitulate at the end of day and don't want to hold over the weekend. Buy other half on money when final day of margin cover....

    It is not worth shorting with 1B in cash in the coffer and another billion coming in earnings this year. Banks will roll over debt until oil recovers in 2nd half and will mostly likely ask for tiered interest with higher interest rate in later years...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Buy

  • So goes pyramid scheme. Sune never had any cash, it was all contrived and investors fell for it head over heels until the bubble bursted...

    Sad how SEC and DOJ failed investors again and let crooks swindle hard earned money of regular Joe's of America. Wonder who the auditor for SUNE is. Are they going to meet same fate as Arthur Andersen formerly one of Big Five or are they going to continue on with charade perpetrated by exec mgmt. and take the risk of egg in the face...

    Looks like BK was forgone conclusion since February when news started leak of missing money which was never present to begin with...

    For longs and shorts, SUNE will trade OTC on pink sheet for awhile until it goes to zero. There may be short squeeze as shorts cover once it trades again. My guess for new ticker is SUNEQ where Q is usually added to indicated company in BK. Common will be worthless by all accounts. SUNE probably overpaid to the tune of 30-40 over market value of assets so even if you get 50 cent on a dollar, common will still be wiped out...

    End of the road for SUNE. Once again If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck then it is a duck...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Sell

  • stocktracker000 by stocktracker000 Apr 12, 2016 8:32 PM Flag

    Phildor and then business practice issues and tehn accounting issues and now 10K late. Wonder if accounting investigation really covered anything...

    Everything that VRX has said appears to be lie. No issues with Phildor and then Phildor went BK. Accounting issues surfaced afterward and now 10K late and want 2 additional months to 5/29. Waiver obtained and then default issued. What the h$ll is going on with VRX? Wonder if they will file by even 5/29...

    If it walks like duck, quacks like a duck and looks like a duck then it is a duck comes to mind...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • January transaction. You mean 500M just vanished into thin air. SUNE was suppose to have around 1.1 B excluding VSLR deal. What the h*ll happened?

    So, it's all sham and 100M was used multiple time like Enron registering same transaction over and over again over multiple subsidiaries to generate billions in revenue and phony profits...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • FDA has complete clinical hold on the trials due to 2 deaths in group that was taking the drug. what ever data was collected during trial and presented on Sunday...

    Until 2 deaths are resolved, NDA can not be filed..

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Instead of Ken Lay and Bernie Ebbers, We have trio of cast from Ahmed Chatila (CEO), Brain Wubbels (CFO) and joining in from legal dept Martin Truong...

    After Sarbane-OXley, things would have changed by now but things are same as ever. Nothing has changed. SEC/DOJ is once again late again to save the day...

    Sad for all longs who got duped by mgmt. presentations and misleading press releases until the final days where DIP financing was going on secret to detriment of shareholder value...

    So, wall street journal has unearthed the shenanigans of exec mgmt...

    SUNE mgmt. is shady has it gets in delaying release of DOJ/SEC subpoenas and twisting blackout rules to accommodate exit for exec. Expect to see hedge funds to be taken by existing mgmt. if they stay on for BK...

    If it walks like a duck and looks like a duck then it is a duck...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It will be black eye that they will not live through. They better be sure about their report if they are going to publish it...

    I believe them, but again if they screwed up, they are just print on toilet paper...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • It may bounce back upto high as 30 cents and then may even go to 1 dollar in short covering during the week...

    Good bounce play once you see short covering...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always..

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • stocktracker000 stocktracker000 Apr 1, 2016 7:38 PM Flag

    Buy companies in BK ddue to credit crunch RJET that has real book value. Check RJET balance sheet and you will find positive BV..

    Good Luck to all and od your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • stocktracker000 by stocktracker000 Apr 1, 2016 5:48 PM Flag

    For longs:
    1. Waiver is granted
    2. 10K is filed in allotted time
    3. Case closed until fall

    For shorts:
    1. Waiver is not granted and default is enforced
    2. BK ensues
    3. Case closed

    Never seen the case for shorts to happen unless it is 2nd or 3rd time. Definitely if it is 3 time default. So case for long is most likely scenario. SUNE goes BK then creditors all need to stand line and hope to get money back. Odds of getting decent amount is negligible. Most likely assets are auctioned or sold off at deep discount and makes it unpleasant for creditors. Money will not be returned to creditors until BK proceeding are finished which may take couple of years with complexity of SUNE portfolio. Not desirable. Better to give SUNE time to work the issues and then get most of money back down the road...

    Looks like SUNE is selling assets to raise sufficient cash to ride through the bumps for year or two until projects mature and cash is generated….

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence

    Sentiment: Hold

  • stocktracker000 by stocktracker000 Mar 31, 2016 8:39 PM Flag

    1. gain creditors confidence and trust and get waiver
    2. Get 10K out asap. No matter how bad. Good or bad it is worse if delayed in limbo
    3. Get asset sales done to increase cash coffer
    4. Come clean with DOJ and SEC investigation and pay penitence and fine
    5. Work like hell to continue the business and take full advanatage of solar credit
    6. Always be prompt about reporting SEC or DOJ investigation on same day or first thing next morning
    7. Stop playing shady exec

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Lenders will give waiver and want to see 10k before making any moves. It would be foolish not to. Besides SUNE has assets that could sold to raise cash in the meantime..

    Still considering to buy. Don't margin and buy sometime next week. I would say 10K around 0.5 PPS is good entry point to hold to the end of the matter. If things work out and SUNE takes off. It could worth 50x or even 100x in 3-5 years since solar industry is booming business. Worst case would be total loss. Oil price will not stay down at current prices. OPEC is getting hammered running deficit and need more revenue than 40. Probably around 70-80 to be more balances...

    Investigation would amount to small fine and implementation of better controls...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • He has been total disaster from last July. SUNE has been floundering and no leadership from the mgmt...

    Any guess to how long he will be CEO???

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • stocktracker000 stocktracker000 Mar 30, 2016 7:00 PM Flag

    He will be gone from SUNE once new CFO takes over next week. Good Riddance...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Wuebbels resigns

    by davidtepper69 Mar 30, 2016 6:41 PM
    stocktracker000 stocktracker000 Mar 30, 2016 6:55 PM Flag

    He should be out of SUNE once new CFO takes over next week...

    Clock is ticking and once transition is done. No place for Wuebbels at SUNE...

    Good Luck to and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    I'm really thinking buyout

    by skblast Mar 30, 2016 6:44 PM
    stocktracker000 stocktracker000 Mar 30, 2016 6:51 PM Flag

    Don't see much more than $3-4 for buyout bid based on last 6 months trading price and unknown condition of company without 10K being filed. I don't see a bid until 10K is filed...

    Things look grim. Both CEO/CFO should be dumped at first light once SUNE stabilizes...

    Good Luck to all and od your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Considering PPS decline of 90% this year and over 98% in a year I don't see how both of these guys could still be running SUNE. They appear to be as clueless clowns with no idea what's going on...

    Missing 10K deadline is no big deal. I think creditors will give SUNE waiver and then see where financial status is once 10K comes out. Never seen a creditor push the button to force company into BK and automatically lose more. They will work with mgmt. so that viable options are exercised so that they could get their money back...

    Next couple of weeks should be telling...

    Good Luck to all and do your due diligence always...

    Sentiment: Hold

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